All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 73.9400024 home-field advantage = -0.78 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 317 H Alexandria City (11- 9, 74.3) 8- 5 319 H South Lakes ( 4-12, 73.4) 9- 7 321 A South County ( 9- 9, 74.9) 6-12 326 A Chantilly ( 9- 5, 81.3) 7-17 401 A Annandale ( 3- 9, 60.0) 14- 2 403 A Thomas Jefferson ( 6- 8, 64.9) 13- 2 409 H Falls Church ( 6- 8, 67.9) 16- 6 410 H Lake Braddock ( 9- 9, 75.3) 10- 9 412 N Woodson (11- 9, 76.9) 5-19 423 A Edison ( 9- 8, 68.8) 14- 7 426 A Oakton (14- 6, 81.6) 9-13 430 H Lewis ( 2-10, 57.4) 19- 5 503 H West Springfield ( 0-14, 72.1) 14-11 506 A Mount Vernon ( 5- 8, 62.2) 14- 1 508 H Justice ( 5- 9, 65.8) 14- 6 515 H Lewis ( 2-10, 57.4) 21- 1 519 H Thomas Jefferson ( 6- 8, 64.9) 12- 7 521 H Edison ( 9- 8, 68.8) 14- 8 523 H Alexandria City (11- 9, 74.3) 6- 7
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 317 H Alexandria City 8- 5 3 0 + 2.56 319 H South Lakes 9- 7 2 1 0.69 321 A South County 6-12 -6 -1 -- -4.26 326 A Chantilly 7-17 -10 -8 0.00 401 A Annandale 14- 2 12 13 0.00 403 A Thomas Jefferson 13- 2 11 8 0.00 409 H Falls Church 16- 6 10 6 0.15 410 H Lake Braddock 10- 9 1 0 1.55 412 N Woodson 5-19 -14 -2 -- -4.04 423 A Edison 14- 7 7 4 + 2.63 426 A Oakton 9-13 -4 -8 + 3.00 430 H Lewis 19- 5 14 17 0.00 503 H West Springfield 14-11 3 2 0.41 506 A Mount Vernon 14- 1 13 10 0.00 508 H Justice 14- 6 8 8 0.00 515 H Lewis 21- 1 20 17 0.00 519 H Thomas Jefferson 12- 7 5 9 - -2.00 521 H Edison 14- 8 6 5 0.07 523 H Alexandria City 6- 7 -1 0 -1.44UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 A South County 6-12 -6 -1 -- -4.26 412 N Woodson 5-19 -14 -2 -- -4.04 519 H Thomas Jefferson 12- 7 5 9 - -2.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 317 H Alexandria City 8- 5 3 0 + 2.56 423 A Edison 14- 7 7 4 + 2.63 426 A Oakton 9-13 -4 -8 + 3.00
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 73.94 Power Rank................. 68 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 41.18 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 98 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5292 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 104 RPI Rating............... .5162 RPI Rank................... 71 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 71 Selection sum ........... 231 Selection Rank ............ 67 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -55. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 56 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -55. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 56 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 11.8 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 7.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 14- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.3