Hartford Union
W-L: (15- 3) PR = 97.7709Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 411 A Colchester ( 2-11, 88.7) 11- 2 415 H Mount Abraham ( 4- 8, 90.2) 12- 0 418 H Spaulding ( 4- 9, 88.5) 15- 4 429 A Bellows Free Academy ( 2-11, 87.4) 16- 4 507 H Brattleboro Union ( 5-11, 90.3) 20- 0 510 H St Johnsbury Academy (11- 5, 93.9) 12- 2 512 H Lyndon Institute ( 0-15, 82.9) 18- 0 514 A Stowe ( 5- 9, 91.2) 16- 1 516 A Mt Anthony Union ( 6- 9, 92.9) 16- 1 519 A Green Mountain Valle (12- 1, 93.4) 15- 4 520 H Montpelier ( 7- 8, 90.7) 8- 3 522 A Woodstock Union ( 7- 9, 96.1) 10- 6 524 H Harwood Union (12- 1, 99.2) 4- 5 528 A Burlington ( 9- 3, 94.4) 13- 8 531 A Milton (12- 4, 95.4) 9-10 607 H Stowe ( 5- 9, 91.2) 14- 2 610 H Mt Anthony Union ( 6- 9, 92.9) 15- 3 614 N Harwood Union (12- 1, 99.2) 4- 7
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
411 A Colchester 11- 2 9 9 0.00
415 H Mount Abraham 12- 0 12 8 0.00
418 H Spaulding 15- 4 11 10 0.00
429 A Bellows Free Academy 16- 4 12 10 0.00
507 H Brattleboro Union 20- 0 20 8 0.00
510 H St Johnsbury Academy 12- 2 10 4 0.68
512 H Lyndon Institute 18- 0 18 15 0.00
514 A Stowe 16- 1 15 6 0.00
516 A Mt Anthony Union 16- 1 15 4 0.56
519 A Green Mountain Valle 15- 4 11 4 1.01
520 H Montpelier 8- 3 5 8 0.00
522 A Woodstock Union 10- 6 4 1 + 2.72
524 H Harwood Union 4- 5 -1 -1 0.02
528 A Burlington 13- 8 5 3 + 2.07
531 A Milton 9-10 -1 2 - -2.99
607 H Stowe 14- 2 12 7 0.00
610 H Mt Anthony Union 15- 3 12 5 0.00
614 N Harwood Union 4- 7 -3 -1 -1.56
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 531 A Milton 9-10 -1 2 - -2.99 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 522 A Woodstock Union 10- 6 4 1 + 2.72 528 A Burlington 13- 8 5 3 + 2.07 |
Hartford Union Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bellows Free Academy | Hartford Union | Hartford Union | ||
| Bellows Free Academy | Hartford Union | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Hartford Union | |
| Brattleboro Union | Hartford Union | Hartford Union | ||
| Burlington | Hartford Union | Hartford Union | ||
| Burr and Burton Acad | Hartford Union | tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) | Hartford Union | |
| Champlain Valley Uni | Champlain Valley Uni | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Champlain Valley Uni | |
| Colchester | Hartford Union | Hartford Union | ||
| Essex Junction | Essex Junction | Essex Junction | ||
| Green Mountain Valle | Hartford Union | Hartford Union | ||
| Harwood Union | Harwood Union | Harwood Union | ||
| Lamoille Union | Hartford Union | Hartford Union | ||
| Lyndon Institute | Hartford Union | Hartford Union | ||
| Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Middlebury Union | |
| Milton | Milton | Milton | ||
| Montpelier | Hartford Union | Hartford Union | ||
| Mount Abraham | Hartford Union | Hartford Union | ||
| Mt Anthony Union | Hartford Union | Hartford Union | ||
| Mt Mansfield Union | Mt Mansfield Union | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Mt Mansfield Union | |
| Otter Valley Union | Hartford Union | Hartford Union 5- 0 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Randolph Union | Hartford Union | Hartford Union 6- 0 vs 3- 3 | ||
| Rice Memorial | Hartford Union | Hartford Union 5- 0 vs 3- 2 | ||
| Rutland | Hartford Union | tied - ( 4- 0) ( 4- 0) | Hartford Union | |
| South Burlington | South Burlington | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | South Burlington | |
| Spaulding | Hartford Union | Hartford Union | ||
| St Johnsbury Academy | Hartford Union | Hartford Union | ||
| Stowe | Hartford Union | Hartford Union | ||
| Stratton Mountain Sc | Hartford Union | Hartford Union 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Woodstock Union | Hartford Union | Hartford Union |
PowerWise = 21
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.14
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Colchester ( 2-11, 88.7) 11- 2 -11.23 5.82 0.42 0.79 4.90
0 H Mount Abraham ( 4- 8, 90.2) 12- 0 -9.74 7.30 -0.42 0.79 5.41
0 H Spaulding ( 4- 9, 88.5) 15- 4 -11.42 5.63 -0.42 0.79 4.09
0 A Bellows Free A ( 2-11, 87.4) 16- 4 -12.48 4.56 0.42 0.79 3.91
0 H Brattleboro Un ( 5-11, 90.3) 20- 0 -9.60 7.44 -0.42 0.79 5.52
0 H St Johnsbury A (11- 5, 93.9) 12- 2 -6.03 11.01 -0.42 0.79 8.32
0 H Lyndon Institu ( 0-15, 82.9) 18- 0 -17.04 1.00 -0.42 0.79 0.46
0 A Stowe ( 5- 9, 91.2) 16- 1 -8.72 8.32 0.42 0.79 6.86
0 A Mt Anthony Uni ( 6- 9, 92.9) 16- 1 -6.98 10.06 0.42 0.79 8.23
0 A Green Mountain (12- 1, 93.4) 15- 4 -6.54 10.51 0.42 0.79 8.58
0 H Montpelier ( 7- 8, 90.7) 8- 3 -9.23 7.81 -0.42 0.79 5.81
0 A Woodstock Unio ( 7- 9, 96.1) 10- 6 -3.82 13.22 0.42 0.79 10.71
0 H Harwood Union (12- 1, 99.2) 4- 5 -0.69 16.35 -0.42 0.79 -0.87
0 A Burlington ( 9- 3, 94.4) 13- 8 -5.47 11.57 0.42 0.79 9.42
0 A Milton (12- 4, 95.4) 9-10 -4.53 12.51 0.42 0.79 -3.23
0 H Stowe ( 5- 9, 91.2) 14- 2 -8.72 8.32 -0.42 0.79 6.21
0 H Mt Anthony Uni ( 6- 9, 92.9) 15- 3 -6.98 10.06 -0.42 0.79 7.58
0 N Harwood Union (12- 1, 99.2) 4- 7 -0.69 16.35 -0.00 0.79 -0.54
------
91.36
|
winning pts = 96.0055 losing points = -4.6445
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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