---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:50 PDT

safe3step boys Hamden 1
  
Hamden                
W-L: (11- 6) PR = 81.2525

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 H Holy Cross (12- 6, 76.4) 16- 4 408 A Xavier ( 6-10, 83.2) 4- 9 410 A Shelton ( 6-10, 76.2) 9- 7 415 H North Haven ( 5-11, 77.1) 12- 8 417 A Brien McMahon ( 5-11, 79.4) 10- 5 422 A West Haven ( 5-11, 71.1) 15- 3 424 A Branford ( 9- 8, 78.7) 10- 2 429 H Foran (12- 6, 83.4) 8-13 502 H Newington ( 5-12, 79.9) 8- 6 503 A Amity Regional (10- 7, 84.1) 6-12 507 A Wilbur Cross ( 5-11, 72.9) 13- 6 508 H Jonathan Law ( 5-11, 74.5) 18- 1 513 A Lyman Hall ( 5-11, 78.0) 15- 1 515 H Sheehan (15- 5, 84.5) 9-10 517 H Middletown ( 6-10, 68.4) 16- 2 520 H Guilford (13- 8, 86.9) 3-18 604 A Fairfield Prep (13- 2, 98.1) 2-18

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Holy Cross             16- 4      12     5           0.00
   408 A Xavier                  4- 9      -5    -2    -     -2.53
   410 A Shelton                 9- 7       2     5    -     -2.59
   415 H North Haven            12- 8       4     5          -0.65
   417 A Brien McMahon          10- 5       5     1    +      3.66
   422 A West Haven             15- 3      12    10           0.00
   424 A Branford               10- 2       8     2    +      2.90
   429 H Foran                   8-13      -5    -2    -     -3.32
   502 H Newington               8- 6       2     2           0.14
   503 A Amity Regional          6-12      -6    -3          -1.65
   507 A Wilbur Cross           13- 6       7     8           0.00
   508 H Jonathan Law           18- 1      17     7           0.00
   513 A Lyman Hall             15- 1      14     3    +      2.25
   515 H Sheehan                 9-10      -1    -3           1.76
   517 H Middletown             16- 2      14    13           0.00
   520 H Guilford                3-18     -15    -5           0.00
   604 A Fairfield Prep          2-18     -16   -17           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A Xavier                  4- 9      -5    -2    -     -2.53
   410 A Shelton                 9- 7       2     5    -     -2.59
   429 H Foran                   8-13      -5    -2    -     -3.32

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 A Brien McMahon          10- 5       5     1    +      3.66
   424 A Branford               10- 2       8     2    +      2.90
   513 A Lyman Hall             15- 1      14     3    +      2.25

Hamden Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional Amity Regional Amity Regional  
Avon HS Hamden   Hamden
Bacon Academy Bacon Academy   Bacon Academy
Berlin Hamden insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Hamden
Bethel Bethel insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Bethel
Branford Hamden Hamden  
Brien McMahon Hamden Hamden  
Bristol Co-Op Hamden tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hamden
Brookfield Brookfield Brookfield   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Bunnell-Stratford Hamden   Hamden
Canton Canton   Canton
Capital-Classical Pr Hamden insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Hamden
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   5- 1 vs 0- 6
Conard Conard   Conard
Cromwell Hamden insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Hamden
Danbury Hamden Hamden   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Daniel Hand Daniel Hand Daniel Hand   5- 1 vs 2- 4
Darien Darien tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Darien
East Catholic East Catholic tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) East Catholic
East Lyme East Lyme tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) East Lyme
Ellington Hamden   Hamden
Enfield Hamden tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Hamden
EO Smith Hamden tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hamden
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Fairfield Ludlowe
Fairfield Prep Fairfield Prep Fairfield Prep  
Fairfield Warde Hamden tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Hamden
Farmington Farmington insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Farmington
Fitch Groton Hamden   Hamden
Foran Foran Foran  
Glastonbury Glastonbury   Glastonbury
Granby Memorial Granby Memorial insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Granby Memorial
Greenwich HS Greenwich HS   Greenwich HS
Guilford Guilford Guilford  
Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Haddam-Killingworth
Hall Hall tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hall
Holy Cross Hamden Hamden  
Immaculate Danbury Hamden insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Hamden
Joel Barlow Joel Barlow tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Joel Barlow
Jonathan Law Hamden Hamden  
Lakeview United Hamden insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Hamden
Ledyard-Griswold Hamden insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Hamden
Lewis Mills Hamden insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Hamden
Lyman Hall Hamden Hamden  
Maloney-Platt Hamden Hamden   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Masuk Masuk insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Masuk
Middletown Hamden Hamden  
Montville Hamden insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Hamden
Morgan School Hamden tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Hamden
New Canaan New Canaan insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) New Canaan
New Fairfield New Fairfield   New Fairfield
New Milford New Milford New Milford   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Newington Hamden Hamden  
Newtown Newtown tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Newtown
North Branford North Branford tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) North Branford
North Haven Hamden Hamden  
Northwest Catholic Northwest Catholic tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Northwest Catholic
Norwalk Hamden Hamden   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Norwich Free Academy Hamden   Hamden
Norwich Tech Hamden insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Hamden
Notre Dame-Fairfield Hamden insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Hamden
Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have   6- 1 vs 2- 5
Old Lyme Hamden   Hamden
Old Saybrook Old Saybrook tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Old Saybrook
Pomperaug Hamden tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hamden
Prince-Cheney Tech Hamden insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Hamden
RHAM RHAM tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) RHAM
Ridgefield Ridgefield   Ridgefield
Rockville Co-op Hamden insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Hamden
Rocky Hill Hamden insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Hamden
Sheehan Sheehan Sheehan  
Shelton Hamden Hamden  
Simsbury Simsbury insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Simsbury
Somers Somers tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Somers
South Windsor Hamden tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hamden
Southington Southington insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Southington
St Bernard-Wheeler St Bernard-Wheeler tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Bernard-Wheeler
St Joseph Trumbull St Joseph Trumbull tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Joseph Trumbull
St Paul Catholic Hamden tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hamden
Stamford Stamford tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Stamford
Staples Staples tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Staples
Stonington Hamden insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Hamden
Suffield Suffield   Suffield
Tolland Hamden insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Hamden
Trumbull Trumbull insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Trumbull
Valley Regional Hamden tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hamden
Vinal/Goodwin Tech Hamden insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Hamden
Waterford Hamden tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Hamden
Watertown Hamden insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Hamden
West Haven Hamden Hamden  
Westhill Hamden Hamden   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Weston Weston tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Weston
Wethersfield Hamden tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hamden
Wilbur Cross Hamden Hamden  
Wilton Wilton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Wilton
Windsor Hamden insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Hamden
Wolcott Hamden Hamden   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Woodstock Academy Hamden   Hamden
Xavier Xavier Xavier  

PowerWise = 52


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.01

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Holy Cross      (12- 6, 76.4)    16- 4      -23.50      16.75      -0.47         1.00            16.29
   0 A Xavier          ( 6-10, 83.2)     4- 9      -16.65      23.60       0.47         1.00           -16.19
   0 A Shelton         ( 6-10, 76.2)     9- 7      -23.71      16.55       0.47         1.00            17.03
   0 H North Haven     ( 5-11, 77.1)    12- 8      -22.82      17.43      -0.47         1.00            16.97
   0 A Brien McMahon   ( 5-11, 79.4)    10- 5      -20.46      19.80       0.47         1.00            20.28
   0 A West Haven      ( 5-11, 71.1)    15- 3      -28.79      11.46       0.47         1.00            11.94
   0 A Branford        ( 9- 8, 78.7)    10- 2      -21.22      19.04       0.47         1.00            19.52
   0 H Foran           (12- 6, 83.4)     8-13      -16.49      23.77      -0.47         1.00           -16.97
   0 H Newington       ( 5-12, 79.9)     8- 6      -20.03      20.22      -0.47         1.00            19.76
   0 A Amity Regional  (10- 7, 84.1)     6-12      -15.77      24.49       0.47         1.00           -15.30
   0 A Wilbur Cross    ( 5-11, 72.9)    13- 6      -27.00      13.26       0.47         1.00            13.74
   0 H Jonathan Law    ( 5-11, 74.5)    18- 1      -25.35      14.90      -0.47         1.00            14.44
   0 A Lyman Hall      ( 5-11, 78.0)    15- 1      -21.88      18.38       0.47         1.00            18.86
   0 H Sheehan         (15- 5, 84.5)     9-10      -15.41      24.84      -0.47         1.00           -15.90
   0 H Middletown      ( 6-10, 68.4)    16- 2      -31.53       8.73      -0.47         1.00             8.26
   0 H Guilford        (13- 8, 86.9)     3-18      -13.04      27.22      -0.47         1.00           -13.52
   0 A Fairfield Prep  (13- 2, 98.1)     2-18       -1.78      38.47       0.47         1.00            -1.31
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        97.91

winning pts = 177.0939 losing points = -79.1887

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------