All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 72.9700012 home-field advantage = -0.64 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 A Morgan School ( 8-10, 65.8) 12- 3 410 H Wethersfield ( 7-11, 71.1) 14- 7 421 A Southington (11- 7, 79.9) 5-15 424 H East Catholic ( 8-10, 73.3) 10- 4 428 H Xavier ( 6-10, 74.2) 5- 7 501 H Avon HS ( 4-12, 69.5) 7- 8 503 A Bristol Co-Op (15- 3, 69.1) 10- 9 506 A Berlin ( 6-10, 62.7) 17- 5 508 A Glastonbury (17- 3, 87.1) 3-19 510 H Pomperaug ( 5-11, 68.0) 12- 3 513 A Daniel Hand (13- 8, 81.5) 3-15 515 H Northwest Catholic ( 8- 9, 72.7) 6-11 517 A Farmington (10- 9, 74.2) 11- 9 519 H Simsbury ( 8-11, 77.6) 7-11 521 A Conard (16- 5, 80.9) 5-10 604 A Bethel (13- 7, 76.8) 6-16
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 A Morgan School 12- 3 9 6 0.46 410 H Wethersfield 14- 7 7 2 ++ 4.53 421 A Southington 5-15 -10 -7 0.00 424 H East Catholic 10- 4 6 0 ++ 5.66 428 H Xavier 5- 7 -2 0 -1.39 501 H Avon HS 7- 8 -1 4 -- -5.10 503 A Bristol Co-Op 10- 9 1 3 - -2.25 506 A Berlin 17- 5 12 9 0.00 508 A Glastonbury 3-19 -16 -14 0.00 510 H Pomperaug 12- 3 9 5 1.43 513 A Daniel Hand 3-15 -12 -9 0.00 515 H Northwest Catholic 6-11 -5 0 -- -5.91 517 A Farmington 11- 9 2 -1 + 3.83 519 H Simsbury 7-11 -4 -4 0.03 521 A Conard 5-10 -5 -8 + 2.00 604 A Bethel 6-16 -10 -4 - -2.58UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 501 H Avon HS 7- 8 -1 4 -- -5.10 515 H Northwest Catholic 6-11 -5 0 -- -5.91 503 A Bristol Co-Op 10- 9 1 3 - -2.25 604 A Bethel 6-16 -10 -4 - -2.58OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 410 H Wethersfield 14- 7 7 2 ++ 4.53 424 H East Catholic 10- 4 6 0 ++ 5.66 517 A Farmington 11- 9 2 -1 + 3.83 521 A Conard 5-10 -5 -8 + 2.00
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 72.97 Power Rank................. 40 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 47.77 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 30 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5893 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 43 RPI Rating............... .5043 RPI Rank................... 45 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 40 Selection sum ........... 139 Selection Rank ............ 45 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -155. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 50 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -155. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 51 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 8.3 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 9.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -16.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -10.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -6.3