Bowling Green
W-L: ( 7- 6) PR = 81.6481Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 303 A Ballard Louisville (10- 6, 86.5) 4-19 307 H South Warren ( 7- 5, 83.7) 7- 6 311 A Owensboro ( 0- 3, 74.7) 12- 5 313 A Greenwood ( 7- 5, 80.4) 6- 8 322 A DuPont Manual (11- 8, 83.8) 4- 9 324 A Christian Academy-Lo ( 9- 5, 86.6) 1-13 327 A Central Hardin ( 3-10, 72.2) 16- 2 415 H Owensboro ( 0- 3, 74.7) 1- 0 418 A South Warren ( 7- 5, 83.7) 3-11 423 H Greenwood ( 7- 5, 80.4) 9- 6 426 H DuPont Manual (11- 8, 83.8) 10- 5 428 H North Hardin ( 0- 8, 70.7) 17- 0 509 H Greenwood ( 7- 5, 80.4) 6- 7
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
303 A Ballard Louisville 4-19 -15 -6 0.00
307 H South Warren 7- 6 1 -1 + 2.29
311 A Owensboro 12- 5 7 6 0.00
313 A Greenwood 6- 8 -2 0 - -2.45
322 A DuPont Manual 4- 9 -5 -3 - -2.12
324 A Christian Academy-Lo 1-13 -12 -6 0.00
327 A Central Hardin 16- 2 14 9 0.00
418 A South Warren 3-11 -8 -3 - -2.20
423 H Greenwood 9- 6 3 2 1.04
426 H DuPont Manual 10- 5 5 -1 +++ 6.38
428 H North Hardin 17- 0 17 12 0.00
509 H Greenwood 6- 7 -1 2 - -2.96
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 313 A Greenwood 6- 8 -2 0 - -2.45 322 A DuPont Manual 4- 9 -5 -3 - -2.12 418 A South Warren 3-11 -8 -3 - -2.20 509 H Greenwood 6- 7 -1 2 - -2.96 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 426 H DuPont Manual 10- 5 5 -1 +++ 6.38 307 H South Warren 7- 6 1 -1 + 2.29 |
Bowling Green Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderson County | Anderson County | Anderson County | ||
| Atherton | Bowling Green | insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 3- 2) | Bowling Green | |
| Ballard Louisville | Ballard Louisville | Ballard Louisville | ||
| Bluegrass | Bluegrass | Bluegrass | ||
| Bryan Station | Bowling Green | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Bowling Green | |
| Central Hardin | Bowling Green | Bowling Green | ||
| Christian Academy-Lo | Christian Academy-Lo | Christian Academy-Lo | ||
| Collins | Bowling Green | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bowling Green | |
| Cooper | Bowling Green | Bowling Green | ||
| Covington Catholic | Bowling Green | Bowling Green | ||
| DeSales | Bowling Green | Bowling Green 4- 2 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Dixie Heights | Dixie Heights | Dixie Heights | ||
| DuPont Manual | DuPont Manual | insuffient: ( 4- 5)( 3- 3) | DuPont Manual | |
| Eastern | Eastern | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 1) | Eastern | |
| Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass | ||
| Great Crossing | Bowling Green | Bowling Green 2- 3 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Greenwood | Greenwood | Greenwood | ||
| Henry Clay | Henry Clay | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) | Henry Clay | |
| Kentucky Country Day | Kentucky Country Day | Kentucky Country Day 3- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Lafayette | Bowling Green | Bowling Green | ||
| Lexington Catholic | Lexington Catholic | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) | Lexington Catholic | |
| Lexington Christian | Lexington Christian | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lexington Christian | |
| Louisville Collegiat | Louisville Collegiat | tied - ( 2- 4) ( 2- 2) | Louisville Collegiat | |
| Male | Bowling Green | Bowling Green 3- 4 vs 0- 4 | ||
| North Hardin | Bowling Green | Bowling Green | ||
| North Oldham | North Oldham | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 2) | North Oldham | |
| Oldham County | Bowling Green | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bowling Green | |
| Owensboro | Bowling Green | Bowling Green | ||
| Paul Laurence Dunbar | Bowling Green | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bowling Green | |
| Ryle | Ryle | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ryle | |
| Sayre | Sayre | Sayre | ||
| Scott County | Bowling Green | Bowling Green 3- 2 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Shelby County | Bowling Green | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 1) | Bowling Green | |
| South Oldham | South Oldham | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | South Oldham | |
| South Warren | South Warren | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 0) | South Warren | |
| St Henry | Bowling Green | Bowling Green | ||
| St Xavier Louisville | St Xavier Louisville | St Xavier Louisville | ||
| Tates Creek | Bowling Green | Bowling Green | ||
| Trinity Louisville | Trinity Louisville | Trinity Louisville 3- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Walton-Verona | Bowling Green | Bowling Green | ||
| Woodford County | Woodford County | Woodford County 2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
PowerWise = 19
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.62
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Ballard Louisv (10- 6, 86.5) 4-19 -13.39 18.60 0.75 1.05 -13.24
0 H South Warren ( 7- 5, 83.7) 7- 6 -16.21 15.78 -0.75 1.05 15.74
0 A Owensboro ( 0- 3, 74.7) 12- 5 -25.22 6.76 0.75 1.05 7.87
0 A Greenwood ( 7- 5, 80.4) 6- 8 -19.46 12.53 0.75 1.05 -19.60
0 A DuPont Manual (11- 8, 83.8) 4- 9 -16.12 15.86 0.75 1.05 -16.10
0 A Christian Acad ( 9- 5, 86.6) 1-13 -13.25 18.73 0.75 1.05 -13.10
0 A Central Hardin ( 3-10, 72.2) 16- 2 -27.67 4.32 0.75 1.05 5.31
0 H Owensboro ( 0- 3, 74.7) 1- 0 -25.22 6.76 -0.75 1.05 6.29
0 A South Warren ( 7- 5, 83.7) 3-11 -16.21 15.78 0.75 1.05 -16.19
0 H Greenwood ( 7- 5, 80.4) 9- 6 -19.46 12.53 -0.75 1.05 12.33
0 H DuPont Manual (11- 8, 83.8) 10- 5 -16.12 15.86 -0.75 1.05 15.83
0 H North Hardin ( 0- 8, 70.7) 17- 0 -29.24 2.74 -0.75 1.05 2.09
0 H Greenwood ( 7- 5, 80.4) 6- 7 -19.46 12.53 -0.75 1.05 -21.17
------
-33.93
|
winning pts = 65.4666 losing points = -99.3936
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------