---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:54 PDT

safe3step boys Guerin Catholic 1
  
Guerin Catholic       
W-L: (11- 7) PR = 92.6047

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 307 A Evansville Memorial (11- 4, 90.3) 12-15 308 A Evansville North ( 2- 9, 78.9) 22- 2 312 H Noblesville (12- 6, 92.1) 10-13 315 H St Joseph South Bend ( 6- 6, 87.3) 15- 9 319 H Carmel ( 9- 2, 99.9) 4-23 325 A Hamilton Southeaster (12- 2, 99.9) 6-17 416 H Bishop Chatard (10- 7, 88.3) 10- 3 419 H Roncalli Catholic (10- 8, 80.8) 26- 5 423 A Zionsville (12- 7, 93.7) 10- 8 425 A Westfield ( 9- 8, 92.5) 15- 8 430 H Cathedral ( 8- 3, 97.7) 7-17 505 A Heritage Christian ( 6- 5, 87.2) 22-10 507 H Center Grove (11- 6, 93.7) 9-12 510 H Culver Academy (10- 2, 98.1) 7-14 513 H Brebeuf Jesuit ( 6-10, 88.1) 18- 3 524 H Northridge (11- 7, 85.4) 10- 0 527 N St Joseph South Bend ( 6- 6, 87.3) 13- 3 531 N Evansville Memorial (11- 4, 90.3) 14- 5

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 A Evansville Memorial    12-15      -3     1    --    -4.48
   308 A Evansville North       22- 2      20    13           0.00
   312 H Noblesville            10-13      -3     1    --    -4.40
   315 H St Joseph South Bend   15- 9       6     6           0.00
   319 H Carmel                  4-23     -19    -6           0.00
   325 A Hamilton Southeaster    6-17     -11    -8           0.00
   416 H Bishop Chatard         10- 3       7     5           0.00
   419 H Roncalli Catholic      26- 5      21    13           0.00
   423 A Zionsville             10- 8       2    -2    +      3.90
   425 A Westfield              15- 8       7    -1    ++     5.75
   430 H Cathedral               7-17     -10    -4          -0.76
   505 A Heritage Christian     22-10      12     5           0.46
   507 H Center Grove            9-12      -3     0    -     -2.71
   510 H Culver Academy          7-14      -7    -5          -0.34
   513 H Brebeuf Jesuit         18- 3      15     5           0.00
   524 H Northridge             10- 0      10     8           0.00
   527 N St Joseph South Bend   13- 3      10     5           0.00
   531 N Evansville Memorial    14- 5       9     2    +      2.67

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 A Evansville Memorial    12-15      -3     1    --    -4.48
   312 H Noblesville            10-13      -3     1    --    -4.40
   507 H Center Grove            9-12      -3     0    -     -2.71

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 A Westfield              15- 8       7    -1    ++     5.75
   423 A Zionsville             10- 8       2    -2    +      3.90
   531 N Evansville Memorial    14- 5       9     2    +      2.67

Guerin Catholic Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Argos Guerin Catholic   Guerin Catholic
Avon Guerin Catholic insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Guerin Catholic
Bishop Chatard Guerin Catholic Guerin Catholic  
Bishop Dwenger Guerin Catholic Guerin Catholic   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Bloomington North Guerin Catholic tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Guerin Catholic
Bloomington South Guerin Catholic insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Guerin Catholic
Brebeuf Jesuit Guerin Catholic Guerin Catholic  
Brownsburg Guerin Catholic Guerin Catholic   5- 3 vs 3- 5
Carmel Carmel Carmel  
Carroll Guerin Catholic insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Guerin Catholic
Castle Guerin Catholic Guerin Catholic   4- 1 vs 1- 3
Cathedral Cathedral Cathedral  
Center Grove Center Grove Center Grove  
Chesterton Guerin Catholic Guerin Catholic   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Columbus North Guerin Catholic insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Guerin Catholic
Concordia Guerin Catholic   Guerin Catholic
Crown Point Guerin Catholic insuffient: ( 4- 4)( 3- 5) Guerin Catholic
Culver Academy Culver Academy Culver Academy  
East Side LC Guerin Catholic tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Guerin Catholic
Edgewood Guerin Catholic   Guerin Catholic
Elkhart Memorial Guerin Catholic   Guerin Catholic
Evansville Central Guerin Catholic Guerin Catholic   2- 1 vs 0- 2
Evansville Memorial Guerin Catholic insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 2) Guerin Catholic
Evansville North Guerin Catholic Guerin Catholic  
Evansville Reitz Guerin Catholic insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 1) Guerin Catholic
Fishers Guerin Catholic Guerin Catholic   4- 3 vs 1- 6
Franklin Guerin Catholic Guerin Catholic   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Gibson Southern Guerin Catholic Guerin Catholic   2- 1 vs 0- 2
Hamilton Southeaster Hamilton Southeaster Hamilton Southeaster  
Heritage Christian Guerin Catholic Guerin Catholic  
Homestead Guerin Catholic Guerin Catholic   5- 2 vs 3- 3
Lafayette Harrison Guerin Catholic insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Guerin Catholic
LaPorte Guerin Catholic   Guerin Catholic
Lawrence North Guerin Catholic insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Guerin Catholic
Leo Guerin Catholic Guerin Catholic   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Marian Guerin Catholic Guerin Catholic   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Mater Dei Guerin Catholic Guerin Catholic   3- 1 vs 1- 2
Munster Guerin Catholic   Guerin Catholic
New Prairie Guerin Catholic insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Guerin Catholic
Noblesville Noblesville Noblesville  
North Central Guerin Catholic Guerin Catholic   5- 2 vs 2- 5
Northridge Guerin Catholic Guerin Catholic  
Park Tudor Guerin Catholic Guerin Catholic   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Penn Guerin Catholic insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) Guerin Catholic
Perry Meridian Guerin Catholic insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Guerin Catholic
Roncalli Catholic Guerin Catholic Guerin Catholic  
Snider Guerin Catholic insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Guerin Catholic
South Bend Adams Guerin Catholic Guerin Catholic   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Southport Guerin Catholic insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Guerin Catholic
St Joseph South Bend Guerin Catholic Guerin Catholic  
Valparaiso Guerin Catholic Guerin Catholic   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Victory Christian Guerin Catholic   Guerin Catholic
Westfield Guerin Catholic Guerin Catholic  
Whiteland Guerin Catholic insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Guerin Catholic
Zionsville Guerin Catholic Guerin Catholic  

PowerWise = 49


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.07

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Evansville Mem  (11- 4, 90.3)    12-15       -9.62      24.28       0.84         0.73            -6.37
   0 A Evansville Nor  ( 2- 9, 78.9)    22- 2      -21.01      12.89       0.84         0.73             9.97
   0 H Noblesville     (12- 6, 92.1)    10-13       -7.85      26.05      -0.84         0.73            -6.31
   0 H St Joseph Sout  ( 6- 6, 87.3)    15- 9      -12.56      21.34      -0.84         0.73            14.88
   0 H Carmel          ( 9- 2, 99.9)     4-23       -0.00      33.90      -0.84         0.73            -0.61
   0 A Hamilton South  (12- 2, 99.9)     6-17       -0.04      33.87       0.84         0.73            -0.59
   0 H Bishop Chatard  (10- 7, 88.3)    10- 3      -11.55      22.35      -0.84         0.73            15.62
   0 H Roncalli Catho  (10- 8, 80.8)    26- 5      -19.12      14.78      -0.84         0.73            10.12
   0 A Zionsville      (12- 7, 93.7)    10- 8       -6.24      27.66       0.84         0.73            20.70
   0 A Westfield       ( 9- 8, 92.5)    15- 8       -7.39      26.52       0.84         0.73            19.87
   0 H Cathedral       ( 8- 3, 97.7)     7-17       -2.21      31.69      -0.84         0.73            -2.22
   0 A Heritage Chris  ( 6- 5, 87.2)    22-10      -12.68      21.22       0.84         0.73            16.03
   0 H Center Grove    (11- 6, 93.7)     9-12       -6.16      27.74      -0.84         0.73            -5.09
   0 H Culver Academy  (10- 2, 98.1)     7-14       -1.79      32.11      -0.84         0.73            -1.91
   0 H Brebeuf Jesuit  ( 6-10, 88.1)    18- 3      -11.81      22.09      -0.84         0.73            15.43
   0 H Northridge      (11- 7, 85.4)    10- 0      -14.50      19.41      -0.84         0.73            13.48
   0 N St Joseph Sout  ( 6- 6, 87.3)    13- 3      -12.56      21.34      -0.00         0.73            15.50
   0 N Evansville Mem  (11- 4, 90.3)    14- 5       -9.62      24.28      -0.00         0.73            17.63
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       146.12

winning pts = 169.2333 losing points = -23.1097

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------