All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 89.3799973 home-field advantage = -1.06 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 A Episcopal Academy (14- 6, 95.3) 4-11 325 A South Side (14- 5, 87.2) 7-11 329 H Hun School ( 7-14, 83.7) 11- 3 402 A Chatham (15- 6, 91.7) 5-13 405 A Springside Chestnut Hi (12- 9, 92.6) 4-12 409 A North Hunterdon ( 7-11, 80.0) 16- 5 412 H Hillsborough (11-10, 80.9) 12- 2 416 A Bridgewater-Raritan (14- 7, 87.7) 9- 2 419 H Bernards ( 8-12, 85.3) 12- 6 422 A Pingry (17- 4, 89.0) 5- 6 424 A West Morris Central (10-10, 84.5) 10- 6 430 H Somerville ( 6-10, 82.0) 13- 4 503 H Rutgers Prep ( 5-13, 79.1) 12- 3 507 A Ridge (13- 9, 87.6) 10- 6 510 H Somerville ( 6-10, 82.0) 12- 6 514 H Bridgewater-Raritan (14- 7, 87.7) 12- 6 517 A Pingry (17- 4, 89.0) 10- 4 520 H Watchung Hills ( 8-11, 79.5) 17- 2 527 A Don Bosco Prep (17- 7, 94.0) 7- 8 531 H St Joseph Metuchen (17- 5, 84.7) 7- 4 603 A St Augustine Prep (16- 4, 90.8) 5-11
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 A Episcopal Academy 4-11 -7 -6 n/a 325 A South Side 7-11 -4 1 n/a 329 H Hun School 11- 3 8 6 0.27 402 A Chatham 5-13 -8 -3 - -3.66 405 A Springside Chestnut Hi 4-12 -8 -3 n/a 409 A North Hunterdon 16- 5 11 8 0.00 412 H Hillsborough 12- 2 10 9 0.00 416 A Bridgewater-Raritan 9- 2 7 0 +++ 6.35 419 H Bernards 12- 6 6 5 0.88 422 A Pingry 5- 6 -1 0 -0.29 424 A West Morris Central 10- 6 4 3 0.20 430 H Somerville 13- 4 9 8 0.00 503 H Rutgers Prep 12- 3 9 11 0.00 507 A Ridge 10- 6 4 0 + 3.26 510 H Somerville 12- 6 6 8 -1.00 514 H Bridgewater-Raritan 12- 6 6 2 + 3.23 517 A Pingry 10- 4 6 0 +++ 6.71 520 H Watchung Hills 17- 2 15 10 0.00 527 A Don Bosco Prep 7- 8 -1 -5 ++ 4.71 531 H St Joseph Metuchen 7- 4 3 5 - -2.76 603 A St Augustine Prep 5-11 -6 -2 - -3.55UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 325 A South Side 7-11 -4 1 -- 402 A Chatham 5-13 -8 -3 - -3.66 405 A Springside Chestnut Hi 4-12 -8 -3 - 531 H St Joseph Metuchen 7- 4 3 5 - -2.76 603 A St Augustine Prep 5-11 -6 -2 - -3.55OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 416 A Bridgewater-Raritan 9- 2 7 0 +++ 6.35 517 A Pingry 10- 4 6 0 +++ 6.71 527 A Don Bosco Prep 7- 8 -1 -5 ++ 4.71 507 A Ridge 10- 6 4 0 + 3.26 514 H Bridgewater-Raritan 12- 6 6 2 + 3.23
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 89.38 Power Rank................. 11 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 69.75 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 12 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5915 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 86 RPI Rating............... .6530 RPI Rank................... 14 Champ. Probability ...... 7.0 Championship Rank ......... 5 Selection sum ........... 113 Selection Rank ............ 29 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 60. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 13 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 45. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 13 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 9.5 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 6.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 14- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -5.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 4- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 0.9 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.3