List of boy Div 158 Page List of Team Values for NC Public


      All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.



PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 H Ballantyne Ridge        7- 6       1     6    --    -5.09
   227 A Forsyth Country Day    13- 0      13    -2          n/a  
   303 A Northwest Guilford      8- 9      -1   -10    +++    6.00
   305 A Grimsley               17- 2      15     6           0.09
   306 H Chapel Hill            13- 5       8    -2    +++    9.17
   309 H Ragsdale               19- 2      17    19           0.00
   310 H Myers Park             10-11      -1    -1           0.77
   312 H Eastern Guilford       22- 0      22    23           0.00
   317 A Southeast Guilford     17- 2      15     9           0.00
   319 H Northern Guilford       6- 9      -3    -1          -1.31
   320 A Reagan                 17- 5      12     0    +++    6.70
   324 A Western Guilford       18- 1      17    14           0.00
   326 A Southwest Guilford     20- 0      20    13           0.00
   407 H Grimsley               12- 2      10     7           0.00
   408 A RJ Reynolds             5- 9      -4    -7    +      3.00
   409 A Ragsdale               20- 0      20    18           0.00
   414 A Eastern Guilford       20- 0      20    23           0.00
   416 H Southeast Guilford     20- 2      18     9           0.00
   417 H Ardrey Kell            10-18      -8    -9           0.00
   421 A Northern Guilford      10- 9       1    -2    +      3.37

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 H Ballantyne Ridge        7- 6       1     6    --    -5.09

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 A Forsyth Country Day    13- 0      13    -2    +++        
   303 A Northwest Guilford      8- 9      -1   -10    +++    6.00
   306 H Chapel Hill            13- 5       8    -2    +++    9.17
   320 A Reagan                 17- 5      12     0    +++    6.70
   408 A RJ Reynolds             5- 9      -4    -7    +      3.00
   421 A Northern Guilford      10- 9       1    -2    +      3.37



 RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Power Rating............. 75.12 Power Rank.................    40
 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 41.67 SOS (PR) Rank..............    66
 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .4774 SOS (RPI) Rank.............    87
 RPI Rating............... .5596 RPI Rank...................    33
 Champ. Probability ......   0.0 Championship Rank .........    85
 Selection sum ...........   167 Selection Rank ............    44
 Qual Win (PR) Rating.....  -25. Qual Win (PR) Rank.........    44
 Qual Win (RPI) Rating....  -25. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........    47
    
 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals .....  13.9 Ave Defensive Goals .......    4.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    9.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7