Grand Junction
W-L: (11- 5) PR = 85.5115Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 307 A Montrose ( 3-11, 78.2) 13- 6 312 H Montrose ( 3-11, 78.2) 24- 3 314 H Thompson Valley ( 3-12, 78.3) 14- 5 325 H Crested Butte ( 4-11, 79.5) 16- 2 328 H Prairie View ( 6-10, 79.6) 15- 8 329 H Mountain Range ( 3-12, 85.5) 11-12 404 A Durango ( 6- 8, 81.6) 10- 4 405 A Durango ( 6- 8, 81.6) 16- 8 408 A Fruita Monument (11- 5, 84.0) 14-11 411 A Crested Butte ( 4-11, 79.5) 16- 5 424 H Aspen (16- 1, 89.3) 6-10 428 A Aspen (16- 1, 89.3) 7-14 429 H Telluride (11- 5, 86.7) 11-10 430 A Telluride (11- 5, 86.7) 3- 8 501 H Fruita Monument (11- 5, 84.0) 8- 3 509 H Steamboat Springs (10- 7, 87.3) 2-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
307 A Montrose 13- 6 7 7 0.00
312 H Montrose 24- 3 21 8 0.00
314 H Thompson Valley 14- 5 9 8 0.00
325 H Crested Butte 16- 2 14 6 0.00
328 H Prairie View 15- 8 7 6 0.00
329 H Mountain Range 11-12 -1 0 -1.35
404 A Durango 10- 4 6 4 1.42
405 A Durango 16- 8 8 4 1.42
408 A Fruita Monument 14-11 3 1 1.89
411 A Crested Butte 16- 5 11 6 0.00
424 H Aspen 6-10 -4 -3 -0.55
428 A Aspen 7-14 -7 -4 -0.81
429 H Telluride 11-10 1 -1 1.83
430 A Telluride 3- 8 -5 -2 - -3.44
501 H Fruita Monument 8- 3 5 2 + 3.15
509 H Steamboat Springs 2-11 -9 -1 - -3.57
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 430 A Telluride 3- 8 -5 -2 - -3.44 509 H Steamboat Springs 2-11 -9 -1 - -3.57 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 501 H Fruita Monument 8- 3 5 2 + 3.15 |
Grand Junction Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Academy | Air Academy | Air Academy 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Arapahoe | Arapahoe | Arapahoe | ||
| Arvada West | Grand Junction | Grand Junction | ||
| Aspen | Aspen | Aspen | ||
| Battle Mountain | Grand Junction | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Grand Junction | |
| Boulder | Boulder | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Boulder | |
| Castle View | Castle View | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Castle View | |
| Chaparral | Grand Junction | Grand Junction | ||
| Chatfield | Chatfield | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Chatfield | |
| Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Cherry Creek | Cherry Creek | Cherry Creek | ||
| Cheyenne Mountain | Cheyenne Mountain | Cheyenne Mountain | ||
| Colorado Academy | Colorado Academy | Colorado Academy | ||
| Columbine | Columbine | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Columbine | |
| Conifer | Grand Junction | Grand Junction 3- 2 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Crested Butte | Grand Junction | Grand Junction | ||
| Dakota Ridge | Dakota Ridge | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Dakota Ridge | |
| Denver East | Denver East | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Denver East | |
| Denver North | Grand Junction | Grand Junction 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Denver South | Denver South | Denver South | ||
| Douglas County | Grand Junction | Grand Junction | ||
| Durango | Grand Junction | Grand Junction | ||
| Eagle Valley | Grand Junction | Grand Junction 4- 1 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Eaglecrest | Grand Junction | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Grand Junction | |
| Erie | Erie | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Erie | |
| Evergreen | Evergreen | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 0) | Evergreen | |
| Fairview | Fairview | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Fairview | |
| Fountain Valley | Grand Junction | Grand Junction | ||
| Fruita Monument | Grand Junction | Grand Junction | ||
| Glenwood Springs | Grand Junction | insuffient: ( 4- 3)( 3- 3) | Grand Junction | |
| Golden | Golden | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Golden | |
| Grandview | Grandview | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Grandview | |
| Green Mountain | Grand Junction | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Grand Junction | |
| Heritage | Grand Junction | Grand Junction | ||
| Holy Family | Grand Junction | tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) | Grand Junction | |
| Jefferson Academy | Grand Junction | Grand Junction 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Kent Denver | Kent Denver | Kent Denver | ||
| Lakewood | Lakewood | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Lakewood | |
| Legend | Legend | Legend | ||
| Lewis Palmer | Lewis Palmer | Lewis Palmer | ||
| Littleton | Grand Junction | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Grand Junction | |
| Lutheran | Grand Junction | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Grand Junction | |
| Middle Park | Grand Junction | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Grand Junction | |
| Monarch | Monarch | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Monarch | |
| Montrose | Grand Junction | Grand Junction | ||
| Mountain Range | Mountain Range | Mountain Range | ||
| Mountain Vista | Mountain Vista | Mountain Vista | ||
| Mullen | Grand Junction | Grand Junction | ||
| Northfield | Northfield | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Northfield | |
| Palmer | Grand Junction | Grand Junction | ||
| Pine Creek | Grand Junction | Grand Junction | ||
| Ponderosa | Grand Junction | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Grand Junction | |
| Poudre District | Poudre District | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Poudre District | |
| Prairie View | Grand Junction | Grand Junction | ||
| Pueblo West | Grand Junction | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Grand Junction | |
| Ralston Valley | Ralston Valley | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Ralston Valley | |
| Rangeview | Grand Junction | Grand Junction | ||
| Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit | ||
| Resurrection Christi | Resurrection Christi | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Resurrection Christi | |
| Rock Canyon | Rock Canyon | Rock Canyon | ||
| Smoky Hill | Grand Junction | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Grand Junction | |
| St Marys HS | Grand Junction | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Grand Junction | |
| Steamboat Springs | Steamboat Springs | Steamboat Springs | ||
| Summit | Grand Junction | Grand Junction 3- 2 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Telluride | Telluride | tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1) | Telluride | |
| Thomas Jefferson | Grand Junction | Grand Junction | ||
| Thompson Valley | Grand Junction | Grand Junction | ||
| ThunderRidge | Grand Junction | Grand Junction | ||
| Vail Mountain | Grand Junction | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Grand Junction | |
| Valor Christian | Valor Christian | Valor Christian | ||
| Vanguard School | Grand Junction | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Grand Junction | |
| Windsor | Grand Junction | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Grand Junction |
PowerWise = 37
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.04
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Montrose ( 3-11, 78.2) 13- 6 -21.66 11.84 0.37 0.94 11.48
0 H Montrose ( 3-11, 78.2) 24- 3 -21.66 11.84 -0.37 0.94 10.78
0 H Thompson Valle ( 3-12, 78.3) 14- 5 -21.62 11.88 -0.37 0.94 10.82
0 H Crested Butte ( 4-11, 79.5) 16- 2 -20.43 13.07 -0.37 0.94 11.94
0 H Prairie View ( 6-10, 79.6) 15- 8 -20.30 13.20 -0.37 0.94 12.06
0 H Mountain Range ( 3-12, 85.5) 11-12 -14.37 19.13 -0.37 0.94 -13.85
0 A Durango ( 6- 8, 81.6) 10- 4 -18.33 15.17 0.37 0.94 14.61
0 A Durango ( 6- 8, 81.6) 16- 8 -18.33 15.17 0.37 0.94 14.61
0 A Fruita Monumen (11- 5, 84.0) 14-11 -15.87 17.63 0.37 0.94 16.92
0 A Crested Butte ( 4-11, 79.5) 16- 5 -20.43 13.07 0.37 0.94 12.64
0 H Aspen (16- 1, 89.3) 6-10 -10.57 22.94 -0.37 0.94 -10.28
0 A Aspen (16- 1, 89.3) 7-14 -10.57 22.94 0.37 0.94 -9.59
0 H Telluride (11- 5, 86.7) 11-10 -13.20 20.31 -0.37 0.94 18.74
0 A Telluride (11- 5, 86.7) 3- 8 -13.20 20.31 0.37 0.94 -12.06
0 H Fruita Monumen (11- 5, 84.0) 8- 3 -15.87 17.63 -0.37 0.94 16.23
0 H Steamboat Spri (10- 7, 87.3) 2-11 -12.59 20.91 -0.37 0.94 -12.18
------
92.87
|
winning pts = 150.8330 losing points = -57.9614
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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