Green Mountain Valle
W-L: (12- 1) PR = 93.3613Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 424 H Lyndon Institute ( 0-15, 82.9) 11- 2 426 H Bellows Free Academy ( 2-11, 87.4) 11- 6 429 A Montpelier ( 7- 8, 90.7) 10- 8 502 H Otter Valley Union ( 0- 9, 84.3) 1- 0 505 A Bellows Free Academy ( 2-11, 87.4) 11- 8 517 A Stratton Mountain Sc ( 0- 9, 85.8) 15- 1 519 H Hartford Union (15- 3, 97.8) 4-15 521 A Randolph Union ( 6- 5, 89.7) 15- 4 523 H Stratton Mountain Sc ( 0- 9, 85.8) 11- 2 529 A Stowe ( 5- 9, 91.2) 14- 6 529 H Randolph Union ( 6- 5, 89.7) 14- 6 611 H Randolph Union ( 6- 5, 89.7) 17- 6 614 N Montpelier ( 7- 8, 90.7) 14-13
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
424 H Lyndon Institute 11- 2 9 11 0.00
426 H Bellows Free Academy 11- 6 5 6 0.00
429 A Montpelier 10- 8 2 2 -0.28
505 A Bellows Free Academy 11- 8 3 6 - -2.00
517 A Stratton Mountain Sc 15- 1 14 7 0.00
519 H Hartford Union 4-15 -11 -4 -1.01
521 A Randolph Union 15- 4 11 3 1.76
523 H Stratton Mountain Sc 11- 2 9 8 0.00
529 A Stowe 14- 6 8 2 + 3.23
529 H Randolph Union 14- 6 8 4 0.93
611 H Randolph Union 17- 6 11 4 0.93
614 N Montpelier 14-13 1 3 -1.70
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 505 A Bellows Free Academy 11- 8 3 6 - -2.00 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 529 A Stowe 14- 6 8 2 + 3.23 |
Green Mountain Valle Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bellows Free Academy | Green Mountain Valle | Green Mountain Valle | ||
| Bellows Free Academy | Green Mountain Valle | Green Mountain Valle | ||
| Brattleboro Union | Green Mountain Valle | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Green Mountain Valle | |
| Burlington | Burlington | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Burlington | |
| Burr and Burton Acad | Burr and Burton Acad | Burr and Burton Acad | ||
| Champlain Valley Uni | Champlain Valley Uni | Champlain Valley Uni | ||
| Colchester | Green Mountain Valle | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | Green Mountain Valle | |
| Essex Junction | Essex Junction | Essex Junction | ||
| Hartford Union | Hartford Union | Hartford Union | ||
| Harwood Union | Harwood Union | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Harwood Union | |
| Lamoille Union | Green Mountain Valle | Green Mountain Valle | ||
| Lyndon Institute | Green Mountain Valle | Green Mountain Valle | ||
| Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | ||
| Milton | Milton | insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 5- 0) | Milton | |
| Montpelier | Green Mountain Valle | Green Mountain Valle | ||
| Mount Abraham | Green Mountain Valle | Green Mountain Valle 5- 1 vs 3- 3 | ||
| Mt Anthony Union | Green Mountain Valle | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Green Mountain Valle | |
| Mt Mansfield Union | Mt Mansfield Union | Mt Mansfield Union | ||
| Otter Valley Union | Green Mountain Valle | Green Mountain Valle | ||
| Randolph Union | Green Mountain Valle | Green Mountain Valle | ||
| Rice Memorial | Rice Memorial | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Rice Memorial | |
| Rutland | Rutland | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Rutland | |
| South Burlington | South Burlington | South Burlington | ||
| Spaulding | Green Mountain Valle | Green Mountain Valle 5- 1 vs 3- 3 | ||
| St Johnsbury Academy | St Johnsbury Academy | tied - ( 5- 1) ( 5- 1) | St Johnsbury Academy | |
| Stowe | Green Mountain Valle | Green Mountain Valle | ||
| Stratton Mountain Sc | Green Mountain Valle | Green Mountain Valle | ||
| Woodstock Union | Woodstock Union | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Woodstock Union |
PowerWise = 14
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.14
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Lyndon Institu ( 0-15, 82.9) 11- 2 -17.04 1.00 -0.42 1.09 0.64
0 H Bellows Free A ( 2-11, 87.4) 11- 6 -12.48 4.56 -0.42 1.09 4.51
0 A Montpelier ( 7- 8, 90.7) 10- 8 -9.23 7.81 0.42 1.09 8.95
0 H Otter Valley U ( 0- 9, 84.3) 1- 0 -15.57 1.48 -0.42 1.09 1.15
0 A Bellows Free A ( 2-11, 87.4) 11- 8 -12.48 4.56 0.42 1.09 5.42
0 A Stratton Mount ( 0- 9, 85.8) 15- 1 -14.11 2.94 0.42 1.09 3.65
0 H Hartford Union (15- 3, 97.8) 4-15 -2.13 14.92 -0.42 1.09 -2.77
0 A Randolph Union ( 6- 5, 89.7) 15- 4 -10.19 6.85 0.42 1.09 7.91
0 H Stratton Mount ( 0- 9, 85.8) 11- 2 -14.11 2.94 -0.42 1.09 2.74
0 A Stowe ( 5- 9, 91.2) 14- 6 -8.72 8.32 0.42 1.09 9.51
0 H Randolph Union ( 6- 5, 89.7) 14- 6 -10.19 6.85 -0.42 1.09 7.00
0 H Randolph Union ( 6- 5, 89.7) 17- 6 -10.19 6.85 -0.42 1.09 7.00
0 N Montpelier ( 7- 8, 90.7) 14-13 -9.23 7.81 -0.00 1.09 8.49
------
64.19
|
winning pts = 66.9584 losing points = -2.7677
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------