Great Mills
W-L: ( 5- 8) PR = 79.6305Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 A CH Flowers ( 6- 6, 73.9) 14- 3 324 H Calvert (10- 4, 82.3) 6- 7 328 H North Point ( 5- 8, 78.0) 10-11 331 A Westlake ( 1- 9, 71.5) 14- 6 404 H Chopticon (10- 4, 84.1) 3-11 408 A Huntingtown (15- 3, 91.9) 0-17 421 A Northern Calvert (10- 4, 87.8) 1-14 423 A Patuxent ( 7- 7, 79.3) 11- 6 425 H Leonardtown (14- 2, 88.2) 1-14 428 H Lackey ( 0-12, 69.8) 14- 1 430 H MJ McDonough ( 2-10, 74.2) 8- 3 501 A La Plata ( 6- 6, 82.9) 6-12 509 A Chopticon (10- 4, 84.1) 2-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
321 A CH Flowers 14- 3 11 5 0.00
324 H Calvert 6- 7 -1 -2 1.25
328 H North Point 10-11 -1 2 - -3.10
331 A Westlake 14- 6 8 8 0.00
404 H Chopticon 3-11 -8 -4 -0.99
408 A Huntingtown 0-17 -17 -13 0.00
421 A Northern Calvert 1-14 -13 -9 0.00
423 A Patuxent 11- 6 5 0 ++ 5.11
425 H Leonardtown 1-14 -13 -8 0.00
428 H Lackey 14- 1 13 10 0.00
430 H MJ McDonough 8- 3 5 6 0.00
501 A La Plata 6-12 -6 -4 -1.33
509 A Chopticon 2-11 -9 -5 -0.10
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 H North Point 10-11 -1 2 - -3.10 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 423 A Patuxent 11- 6 5 0 ++ 5.11 |
Great Mills Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Archbishop Curley | Archbishop Curley | Archbishop Curley | ||
| Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | ||
| Beth TFiloh | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Bishop McNamara | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Boys Latin | Boys Latin | Boys Latin | ||
| Bullis | Bullis | Bullis | ||
| Calvert Hall | Calvert Hall | Calvert Hall | ||
| Chapelgate Christian | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Cristo Rey Jesuit | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| DeMatha | DeMatha | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | DeMatha | |
| FCA LC | FCA LC | FCA LC | ||
| Friends | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Garrett County LC | Garrett County LC | Garrett County LC | ||
| Georgetown Day | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Georgetown Prep | Georgetown Prep | Georgetown Prep | ||
| Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | ||
| Gilman | Gilman | Gilman | ||
| Glenelg Country | Glenelg Country | Glenelg Country | ||
| Gonzaga | Gonzaga | Gonzaga | ||
| Good Counsel | Good Counsel | Good Counsel | ||
| Gunston School | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Heights | Heights | Heights | ||
| Indian Creek School | Indian Creek School | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Indian Creek School | |
| Jemicy School | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| John Carroll | John Carroll | John Carroll | ||
| Key School | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Landon | Landon | Landon | ||
| Loyola-Blakefield | Loyola-Blakefield | Loyola-Blakefield | ||
| Maret | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| McDonogh | McDonogh | McDonogh | ||
| Mercersburg Academy | Mercersburg Academy | Mercersburg Academy | ||
| Mount Carmel | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Mount St Joseph | Mount St Joseph | Mount St Joseph | ||
| Park School | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Salisbury School | Salisbury School | Salisbury School | ||
| Sandy Spring Friends | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Severn School | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | ||
| St Albans | St Albans | St Albans | ||
| St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | ||
| St James | St James | St James | ||
| St Johns Catholic Pr | St Johns Catholic Pr | St Johns Catholic Pr | ||
| St Johns College HS | St Johns College HS | St Johns College HS | ||
| St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | ||
| St Pauls | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| St Vincent Pallotti | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | ||
| Tome School | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Worcester Prep | Worcester Prep | Worcester Prep | ||
| Aberdeen | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Academy for College | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Annapolis | Annapolis | Annapolis | ||
| Arundel | Arundel | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Arundel | |
| Atholton | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Baltimore Polytechni | Baltimore Polytechni | Baltimore Polytechni | ||
| Bel Air | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | ||
| Bladensburg | Great Mills | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Great Mills | |
| Blair | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Blake | Blake | Blake | ||
| Bohemia Manor | Bohemia Manor | Bohemia Manor | ||
| Boonsboro | Boonsboro | Boonsboro | ||
| Bowie | Great Mills | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Great Mills | |
| Broadneck | Broadneck | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Broadneck | |
| Brunswick | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Calvert | Calvert | Calvert | ||
| Cambridge SD | Cambridge SD | Cambridge SD | ||
| Carver A&T | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Catoctin | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Catonsville | Catonsville | Catonsville | ||
| Centennial | Centennial | Centennial | ||
| Century | Century | Century | ||
| CH Flowers | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Chesapeake BC | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Chopticon | Chopticon | Chopticon | ||
| City College | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Clarksburg | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| CM Wright | CM Wright | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | CM Wright | |
| Crofton | Crofton | Crofton | ||
| Damascus | Damascus | Damascus | ||
| Digital Harbor | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Dr Henry Wise | Great Mills | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Great Mills | |
| Dulaney | Dulaney | Dulaney | ||
| Dunbar | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Dundalk | Dundalk | Dundalk | ||
| DuVal | Great Mills | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Great Mills | |
| Eastern Tech | Eastern Tech | Eastern Tech | ||
| Easton | Easton | Easton | ||
| Edgewood | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Edmondson-Westside | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Einstein | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Eleanor Roosevelt | Great Mills | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Great Mills | |
| Elkton | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Fairmont Heights | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Fallston | Fallston | Fallston | ||
| Forest Park | Forest Park | Forest Park | ||
| Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Franklin | Franklin | Franklin | ||
| Frederick | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Frederick Douglass B | Frederick Douglass B | Frederick Douglass B | ||
| Frederick Douglass P | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Friendly | Friendly | Friendly | ||
| Gaithersburg | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Glen Burnie | Glen Burnie | Glen Burnie | ||
| Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | ||
| Gov Thomas Johnson | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Guilford Park | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Gwynn Park | Great Mills | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Great Mills | |
| Hammond | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Harford Tech | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Hereford | Hereford | Hereford | ||
| High Point | High Point | High Point | ||
| Howard | Howard | Howard | ||
| Huntingtown | Huntingtown | Huntingtown | ||
| JM Bennett | JM Bennett | JM Bennett | ||
| Joppatowne | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Kennedy | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Kent County | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Kent Island | Kent Island | Kent Island | ||
| Kenwood | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| La Plata | La Plata | La Plata | ||
| Lackey | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Lake Clifton | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Lansdowne | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Laurel | Great Mills | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Great Mills | |
| Leonardtown | Leonardtown | Leonardtown | ||
| Liberty | Liberty | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Liberty | |
| Linganore | Linganore | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Linganore | |
| Loch Raven | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Long Reach | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Magruder | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Marriotts Ridge | |
| Meade | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Mergenthaler | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Middletown | Middletown | Middletown | ||
| Milford Mill | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| MJ McDonough | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | ||
| National Academy Fou | National Academy Fou | National Academy Fou | ||
| New Town | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| North Caroline | North Caroline | North Caroline | ||
| North County | North County | North County | ||
| North Dorchester | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| North East Cecil | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| North Hagerstown | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| North Harford | North Harford | North Harford | ||
| North Point | North Point | North Point | ||
| Northeast AA | Northeast AA | Northeast AA | ||
| Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Northwest | Northwest | Northwest | ||
| Northwestern PG | Great Mills | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Great Mills | |
| Northwood | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Oakdale | Oakdale | Oakdale | ||
| Oakland Mills | Oakland Mills | Oakland Mills | ||
| Old Mill | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Overlea | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Owings Mills | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Oxon Hill | Great Mills | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Great Mills | |
| Paint Branch | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Parkdale | Great Mills | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Great Mills | |
| Parkside | Parkside | Parkside | ||
| Parkville | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Patapsco | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Patterson HS | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Patuxent | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Perry Hall | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Perryville | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Pikesville | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Poolesville | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | ||
| Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Randallstown | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Reginald F Lewis | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Reservoir | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Richard Montgomery | Richard Montgomery | Richard Montgomery | ||
| Rising Sun | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| River Hill | River Hill | River Hill | ||
| Rockville | Rockville | Rockville | ||
| Seneca Valley | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Severn Run | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Severna Park | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Severna Park | |
| Sherwood | Sherwood | Sherwood | ||
| Smithsburg | Smithsburg | Smithsburg | ||
| South Carroll | South Carroll | South Carroll | ||
| South Hagerstown | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| South River | South River | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | South River | |
| Southern AA | Southern AA | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Southern AA | |
| Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | ||
| Springbrook | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| St Charles | St Charles | St Charles | ||
| Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Stephen Decatur | |
| Suitland | Great Mills | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Great Mills | |
| Surrattsville | Surrattsville | Surrattsville | ||
| Thomas Stone | Great Mills | insuffient: ( 4- 6)( 3- 7) | Great Mills | |
| Towson | Towson | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Towson | |
| Tuscarora | Tuscarora | Tuscarora | ||
| Urbana | Urbana | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Urbana | |
| Walkersville | Walkersville | Walkersville | ||
| Walt Whitman | Walt Whitman | Walt Whitman | ||
| Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | ||
| Watkins Mill | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Western STES | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Westlake | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Westminster | Westminster | Westminster | ||
| Wheaton | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Wicomico | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Wilde Lake | Wilde Lake | Wilde Lake | ||
| Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Winters Mill | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Woodlawn | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Wootton | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Archbishop Carroll | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| DC International PCS | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Jackson Reed | Great Mills | Great Mills |
PowerWise = 97
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.14
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A CH Flowers ( 6- 6, 73.9) 14- 3 -26.04 9.55 0.45 0.93 9.33
0 H Calvert (10- 4, 82.3) 6- 7 -17.57 18.02 -0.45 0.93 -16.82
0 H North Point ( 5- 8, 78.0) 10-11 -21.93 13.66 -0.45 0.93 -20.89
0 A Westlake ( 1- 9, 71.5) 14- 6 -28.36 7.23 0.45 0.93 7.16
0 H Chopticon (10- 4, 84.1) 3-11 -15.81 19.78 -0.45 0.93 -15.18
0 A Huntingtown (15- 3, 91.9) 0-17 -8.01 27.58 0.45 0.93 -7.06
0 A Northern Calve (10- 4, 87.8) 1-14 -12.06 23.53 0.45 0.93 -10.84
0 A Patuxent ( 7- 7, 79.3) 11- 6 -20.61 14.99 0.45 0.93 14.41
0 H Leonardtown (14- 2, 88.2) 1-14 -11.65 23.94 -0.45 0.93 -11.29
0 H Lackey ( 0-12, 69.8) 14- 1 -30.06 5.53 -0.45 0.93 4.75
0 H MJ McDonough ( 2-10, 74.2) 8- 3 -25.74 9.85 -0.45 0.93 8.78
0 A La Plata ( 6- 6, 82.9) 6-12 -17.04 18.55 0.45 0.93 -15.49
0 A Chopticon (10- 4, 84.1) 2-11 -15.81 19.78 0.45 0.93 -14.34
------
-67.48
|
winning pts = 44.4294 losing points = -111.9123
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------