safe3step boys Glastonbury 1

  
Glastonbury           
W-L: (14- 2)  PR =    95.2851
 Schedule/Results All Games 

 Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  
 410 H Farmington                           (10- 9, 83.0)    12- 5   
 412 A New Canaan                           (12- 3, 99.9)     2-14   
 419 H Cheshire HS                          (14- 4, 94.3)     9- 8   
 422 A East Catholic                        ( 8- 9, 83.0)    15- 6   
 424 H Southington                          (11- 7, 88.1)    13- 6   
 426 H Wilton                               ( 3-10, 95.0)    14-12   
 430 A Northwest Catholic                   ( 8- 9, 82.7)    19- 2   
 508 H Hall                                 ( 7- 9, 82.7)    19- 3   
 514 A RHAM                                 (15- 5, 83.2)    20- 5   
 515 A Avon HS                              ( 4-12, 80.2)    19- 3   
 519 H Conard                               (16- 5, 89.6)    12- 3   
 522 A Simsbury                             ( 8-10, 86.0)    13- 3   
 527 H Simsbury                             ( 8-10, 86.0)    19- 5   
 529 N Conard                               (16- 5, 89.6)    18- 7   
 604 H Trumbull                             ( 9- 8, 87.7)    16- 6   
 607 A Ridgefield                           (10- 3, 99.3)     5-16

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 H Farmington             12- 5       7    13           0.00
   412 A New Canaan              2-14     -12    -5           0.00
   419 H Cheshire HS             9- 8       1     1          -0.46
   422 A East Catholic          15- 6       9    12           0.00
   424 H Southington            13- 6       7     8           0.00
   426 H Wilton                 14-12       2     1           1.26
   430 A Northwest Catholic     19- 2      17    12           0.00
   508 H Hall                   19- 3      16    13           0.00
   514 A RHAM                   20- 5      15    12           0.00
   515 A Avon HS                19- 3      16    15           0.00
   519 H Conard                 12- 3       9     6           0.00
   522 A Simsbury               13- 3      10     9           0.00
   527 H Simsbury               19- 5      14    10           0.00
   529 N Conard                 18- 7      11     6           0.00
   604 H Trumbull               16- 6      10     8           0.00
   607 A Ridgefield              5-16     -11    -5          -0.49

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Glastonbury Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each 
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they 
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the 
record of the loser for all common opponents

Opponent	Who Gets the Point?	Head-2-Head Point	Common Opponent Point	Power Rating Point
Amity Regional	Glastonbury		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Glastonbury
Avon HS	Glastonbury	Glastonbury
Bacon Academy	Glastonbury		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Glastonbury
Berlin	Glastonbury		Glastonbury 4- 0 vs 0- 4
Bethel	Glastonbury		insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)	Glastonbury
Branford	Glastonbury			Glastonbury
Brien McMahon	Glastonbury		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)	Glastonbury
Bristol Co-Op	Glastonbury		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Glastonbury
Brookfield	Glastonbury			Glastonbury
Bunnell-Stratford	Glastonbury			Glastonbury
Canton	Glastonbury		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Glastonbury
Capital-Classical Pr	Glastonbury			Glastonbury
Cheshire HS	Glastonbury	Glastonbury
Conard	Glastonbury	Glastonbury
Cromwell	Glastonbury			Glastonbury
Danbury	Glastonbury		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)	Glastonbury
Daniel Hand	Glastonbury		insuffient: ( 6- 0)( 5- 1)	Glastonbury
Darien	Darien		tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2)	Darien
East Catholic	Glastonbury	Glastonbury
East Lyme	Glastonbury		insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)	Glastonbury
Ellington	Glastonbury			Glastonbury
Enfield	Glastonbury			Glastonbury
EO Smith	Glastonbury		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Glastonbury
Fairfield Ludlowe	Glastonbury		tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1)	Glastonbury
Fairfield Prep	Fairfield Prep		tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1)	Fairfield Prep
Fairfield Warde	Glastonbury		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Glastonbury
Farmington	Glastonbury	Glastonbury
Fitch Groton	Glastonbury		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Glastonbury
Foran	Glastonbury		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Glastonbury
Granby Memorial	Glastonbury			Glastonbury
Greenwich HS	Greenwich HS		insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3)	Greenwich HS
Guilford	Glastonbury		Glastonbury 4- 0 vs 2- 2
Haddam-Killingworth	Glastonbury			Glastonbury
Hall	Glastonbury	Glastonbury
Hamden	Glastonbury			Glastonbury
Holy Cross	Glastonbury			Glastonbury
Immaculate Danbury	Glastonbury			Glastonbury
Joel Barlow	Glastonbury		insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)	Glastonbury
Jonathan Law	Glastonbury			Glastonbury
Lakeview United	Glastonbury			Glastonbury
Ledyard-Griswold	Glastonbury			Glastonbury
Lewis Mills	Glastonbury		Glastonbury 5- 0 vs 1- 4
Lyman Hall	Glastonbury			Glastonbury
Maloney-Platt	Glastonbury			Glastonbury
Masuk	Glastonbury		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Glastonbury
Middletown	Glastonbury			Glastonbury
Montville	Glastonbury			Glastonbury
Morgan School	Glastonbury		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Glastonbury
New Canaan	New Canaan	New Canaan
New Fairfield	Glastonbury		tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)	Glastonbury
New Milford	Glastonbury		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Glastonbury
Newington	Glastonbury		Glastonbury 4- 0 vs 1- 3
Newtown	Glastonbury		Glastonbury 3- 0 vs 1- 2
North Branford	Glastonbury			Glastonbury
North Haven	Glastonbury		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Glastonbury
Northwest Catholic	Glastonbury	Glastonbury
Norwalk	Glastonbury		Glastonbury 2- 1 vs 0- 3
Norwich Free Academy	Glastonbury		Glastonbury 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Norwich Tech	Glastonbury			Glastonbury
Notre Dame-Fairfield	Glastonbury			Glastonbury
Notre Dame-West Have	Glastonbury		Glastonbury 4- 1 vs 2- 3
Old Lyme	Glastonbury			Glastonbury
Old Saybrook	Glastonbury			Glastonbury
Pomperaug	Glastonbury		Glastonbury 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Prince-Cheney Tech	Glastonbury			Glastonbury
RHAM	Glastonbury	Glastonbury
Ridgefield	Ridgefield	Ridgefield
Rockville Co-op	Glastonbury			Glastonbury
Rocky Hill	Glastonbury		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Glastonbury
Sheehan	Glastonbury		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Glastonbury
Shelton	Glastonbury			Glastonbury
Simsbury	Glastonbury	Glastonbury
Somers	Glastonbury		insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1)	Glastonbury
South Windsor	Glastonbury		Glastonbury 7- 0 vs 0- 7
Southington	Glastonbury	Glastonbury
St Bernard-Wheeler	Glastonbury		insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)	Glastonbury
St Joseph Trumbull	Glastonbury		tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1)	Glastonbury
St Paul Catholic	Glastonbury		Glastonbury 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Stamford	Glastonbury		Glastonbury 2- 1 vs 0- 3
Staples	Staples		Staples 3- 0 vs 1- 2
Stonington	Glastonbury			Glastonbury
Suffield	Glastonbury		insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1)	Glastonbury
Tolland	Glastonbury		Glastonbury 4- 0 vs 0- 4
Trumbull	Glastonbury	Glastonbury
Valley Regional	Glastonbury			Glastonbury
Vinal/Goodwin Tech	Glastonbury			Glastonbury
Waterford	Glastonbury			Glastonbury
Watertown	Glastonbury			Glastonbury
West Haven	Glastonbury			Glastonbury
Westhill	Glastonbury		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Glastonbury
Weston	Glastonbury		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Glastonbury
Wethersfield	Glastonbury		Glastonbury 6- 0 vs 0- 6
Wilbur Cross	Glastonbury			Glastonbury
Wilton	Glastonbury	Glastonbury
Windsor	Glastonbury			Glastonbury
Wolcott	Glastonbury			Glastonbury
Woodstock Academy	Glastonbury		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Glastonbury
Xavier	Glastonbury		Glastonbury 5- 0 vs 2- 3

PowerWise = 92

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.01

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Farmington      (10- 9, 83.0)    12- 5      -16.92      23.34      -0.47         1.06            24.31
   0 A New Canaan      (12- 3, 99.9)     2-14       -0.00      40.26       0.47         1.06            -0.50
   0 H Cheshire HS     (14- 4, 94.3)     9- 8       -5.60      34.65      -0.47         1.06            36.34
   0 A East Catholic   ( 8- 9, 83.0)    15- 6      -16.87      23.39       0.47         1.06            25.37
   0 H Southington     (11- 7, 88.1)    13- 6      -11.84      28.41      -0.47         1.06            29.70
   0 H Wilton          ( 3-10, 95.0)    14-12       -4.88      35.37      -0.47         1.06            37.10
   0 A Northwest Cath  ( 8- 9, 82.7)    19- 2      -17.20      23.06       0.47         1.06            25.02
   0 H Hall            ( 7- 9, 82.7)    19- 3      -17.19      23.07      -0.47         1.06            24.02
   0 A RHAM            (15- 5, 83.2)    20- 5      -16.72      23.54       0.47         1.06            25.53
   0 A Avon HS         ( 4-12, 80.2)    19- 3      -19.72      20.54       0.47         1.06            22.34
   0 H Conard          (16- 5, 89.6)    12- 3      -10.26      30.00      -0.47         1.06            31.39
   0 A Simsbury        ( 8-10, 86.0)    13- 3      -13.94      26.31       0.47         1.06            28.48
   0 H Simsbury        ( 8-10, 86.0)    19- 5      -13.94      26.31      -0.47         1.06            27.47
   0 N Conard          (16- 5, 89.6)    18- 7      -10.26      30.00      -0.00         1.06            31.89
   0 H Trumbull        ( 9- 8, 87.7)    16- 6      -12.24      28.02      -0.47         1.06            29.29
   0 A Ridgefield      (10- 3, 99.3)     5-16       -0.57      39.68       0.47         1.06            -0.11
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       397.61

winning pts = 398.2232 losing points = -0.6096

SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------