Grafton
W-L: ( 7-12) PR = 90.0256Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 401 A Nipmuc Regional (10- 8, 88.8) 8- 3 404 H Tantasqua Regional ( 7-13, 88.0) 11- 8 408 H Algonquin (16- 4, 93.1) 4- 8 411 A North Middlesex ( 9-11, 89.1) 6-12 414 A Ipswich (14- 5, 91.4) 6- 9 416 H Dover-Sherborn (14- 6, 91.7) 5- 9 421 A Algonquin (16- 4, 93.1) 6- 8 424 A St Johns Shrewsbury ( 6-13, 91.3) 5- 9 426 H St Johns Shrewsbury ( 6-13, 91.3) 9-11 501 H Nipmuc Regional (10- 8, 88.8) 10- 3 502 H Foxborough ( 5-14, 88.2) 11- 9 505 A Walpole (17- 4, 96.0) 1-16 510 H Dracut (17- 4, 94.5) 2- 9 513 H Longmeadow (14- 4, 97.4) 3-18 515 H Nashoba Regional (15- 6, 92.7) 5- 8 517 A Wayland ( 2-14, 85.6) 10- 7 520 A Tantasqua Regional ( 7-13, 88.0) 13- 3 521 A Shrewsbury ( 6-13, 89.4) 9- 3 602 A North Andover ( 9-11, 94.0) 4-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
401 A Nipmuc Regional 8- 3 5 1 ++ 4.37
404 H Tantasqua Regional 11- 8 3 3 0.38
408 H Algonquin 4- 8 -4 -2 -1.61
411 A North Middlesex 6-12 -6 0 -- -5.33
414 A Ipswich 6- 9 -3 -2 -1.01
416 H Dover-Sherborn 5- 9 -4 -1 - -2.92
421 A Algonquin 6- 8 -2 -4 1.66
424 A St Johns Shrewsbury 5- 9 -4 -2 - -2.08
426 H St Johns Shrewsbury 9-11 -2 -1 -1.34
501 H Nipmuc Regional 10- 3 7 2 + 3.10
502 H Foxborough 11- 9 2 2 -0.49
505 A Walpole 1-16 -15 -7 0.00
510 H Dracut 2- 9 -7 -4 -1.20
513 H Longmeadow 3-18 -15 -7 0.00
515 H Nashoba Regional 5- 8 -3 -2 -0.94
517 A Wayland 10- 7 3 4 -0.81
520 A Tantasqua Regional 13- 3 10 1 + 3.65
521 A Shrewsbury 9- 3 6 0 ++ 4.97
602 A North Andover 4-11 -7 -5 -0.37
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 411 A North Middlesex 6-12 -6 0 -- -5.33 416 H Dover-Sherborn 5- 9 -4 -1 - -2.92 424 A St Johns Shrewsbury 5- 9 -4 -2 - -2.08 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 A Nipmuc Regional 8- 3 5 1 ++ 4.37 521 A Shrewsbury 9- 3 6 0 ++ 4.97 501 H Nipmuc Regional 10- 3 7 2 + 3.10 520 A Tantasqua Regional 13- 3 10 1 + 3.65 |
Grafton Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abington | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Acton Boxborough | Acton Boxborough | Acton Boxborough 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Agawam | Agawam | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Agawam | |
| Algonquin | Algonquin | Algonquin | ||
| Amesbury | Grafton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Grafton | |
| Amherst-Pelham Reg | Grafton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Grafton | |
| AMSA Charter | Grafton | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) | Grafton | |
| Andover HS | Andover HS | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Andover HS | |
| Apponequet Regional | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Archbishop Williams | Grafton | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Grafton | |
| Arlington Catholic | Arlington Catholic | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Arlington Catholic | |
| Arlington HS | Arlington HS | Arlington HS | ||
| Ashland | Grafton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Grafton | |
| Assabet Valley RVT | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Attleboro | Grafton | Grafton 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Auburn | Grafton | Grafton 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Barnstable | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Bay Path RVT | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Bedford | Grafton | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Grafton | |
| Belchertown | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Bellingham | Grafton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Grafton | |
| Belmont | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Beverly | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Billerica Memorial | Billerica Memorial | Billerica Memorial 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Bishop Feehan | Bishop Feehan | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Bishop Feehan | |
| Bishop Fenwick | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Bishop Stang | Grafton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Grafton | |
| Blackstone Valley RV | Grafton | Grafton 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Blue Hills RVT | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Boston College HS | Boston College HS | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Boston College HS | |
| Boston Latin School | Grafton | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Grafton | |
| Bourne | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Braintree | Grafton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Grafton | |
| Bridgewater-Raynham | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Bristol-Plymouth RVT | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Brookline | Grafton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Grafton | |
| Burlington | Burlington | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Burlington | |
| Cambridge Rindge-Lat | Grafton | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Grafton | |
| Canton | Grafton | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Grafton | |
| Cape Cod Academy | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Cape Cod Tech | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Cardinal Spellman | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Catholic Memorial | Catholic Memorial | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Catholic Memorial | |
| Central Catholic | Central Catholic | insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) | Central Catholic | |
| Chelmsford | Grafton | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Grafton | |
| Chicopee Comprehensi | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Cohasset | Cohasset | Cohasset | ||
| Concord-Carlisle | Concord-Carlisle | Concord-Carlisle 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Danvers | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Dartmouth | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Dedham | Grafton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Grafton | |
| Dennis-Yarmouth Regi | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Dighton-Rehoboth Reg | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Doherty Memorial | Grafton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Grafton | |
| Dover-Sherborn | Dover-Sherborn | Dover-Sherborn | ||
| Dracut | Dracut | Dracut | ||
| Duxbury | Duxbury | Duxbury 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| East Bridgewater | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| East Longmeadow | East Longmeadow | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | East Longmeadow | |
| Essex Tech | Grafton | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Grafton | |
| Fairhaven | Grafton | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Grafton | |
| Falmouth Academy | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Falmouth HS | Falmouth HS | Falmouth HS | ||
| Foxborough | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Framingham | Grafton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Grafton | |
| Franklin | Franklin | Franklin 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Gloucester | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Granby | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Greater Lowell RVT | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Greater New Bedford | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Groton-Dunstable Reg | Grafton | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) | Grafton | |
| Hamilton-Wenham Regi | Grafton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Grafton | |
| Hanover | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Haverhill | Grafton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Grafton | |
| Hingham | Hingham | Hingham | ||
| Holliston | Grafton | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Grafton | |
| Hoosac Valley | Grafton | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Grafton | |
| Hopkinton | Grafton | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Grafton | |
| Hudson | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Hull | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Ipswich | Ipswich | Ipswich | ||
| King Philip Regional | King Philip Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | King Philip Regional | |
| Lenox/Lee | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Leominster | Grafton | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Grafton | |
| Lexington | Lexington | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Lexington | |
| Lincoln-Sudbury Regi | Lincoln-Sudbury Regi | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Lincoln-Sudbury Regi | |
| Littleton | Grafton | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Grafton | |
| Longmeadow | Longmeadow | Longmeadow | ||
| Lowell | Grafton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Grafton | |
| Lowell Catholic | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Lunenburg | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Lynn Classical-Engli | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Lynnfield | Lynnfield | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Lynnfield | |
| Malden | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Malden Catholic | Grafton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Grafton | |
| Manchester-Essex Reg | Manchester-Essex Reg | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Manchester-Essex Reg | |
| Mansfield | Mansfield | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Mansfield | |
| Marblehead | Grafton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Grafton | |
| Marshfield | Marshfield | Marshfield | ||
| Marthas Vineyard | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Masconomet | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Mashpee | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| McCann Technical | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Medfield | Medfield | Medfield 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Medford | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Medway | Grafton | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Grafton | |
| Melrose | Melrose | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Melrose | |
| Methuen | Grafton | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Grafton | |
| Middleborough | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Milford | Grafton | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Grafton | |
| Milton HS | Grafton | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Grafton | |
| Minnechaug Regional | Minnechaug Regional | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Minnechaug Regional | |
| Minuteman Regional | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Monomoy Regional | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Monson | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Montachusett RVT | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Mount Greylock Regio | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Mystic Valley Charte | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Nantucket | Nantucket | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Nantucket | |
| Nashoba Regional | Nashoba Regional | Nashoba Regional | ||
| Nashoba Valley Tech | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Natick | Natick | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Natick | |
| Nauset | Nauset | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Nauset | |
| Needham | Needham | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Needham | |
| New Bedford | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Newburyport | Newburyport | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Newburyport | |
| Newton North | Newton North | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Newton North | |
| Newton South | Grafton | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Grafton | |
| Nipmuc Regional | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| North Andover | North Andover | North Andover | ||
| North Attleboro | North Attleboro | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | North Attleboro | |
| North Middlesex | North Middlesex | North Middlesex | ||
| North Quincy Co-op | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| North Reading | Grafton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Grafton | |
| Northampton | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Northeast Metro RVT | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Norton | Grafton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Grafton | |
| Norwell | Norwell | Norwell | ||
| Norwood | Grafton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Grafton | |
| Oakmont Regional | Oakmont Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Oakmont Regional | |
| Old Colony RVT | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Old Rochester Region | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Oliver Ames | Grafton | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Grafton | |
| Peabody Vets Memoria | Grafton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Grafton | |
| Pembroke | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Pentucket Regional | Grafton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Grafton | |
| Pittsfield | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Plymouth North | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Plymouth South | Plymouth South | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Plymouth South | |
| Pope Francis Prep | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Reading Memorial | Reading Memorial | Reading Memorial 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Revere | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Rockland | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Salem | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Sandwich | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Saugus | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Scituate | Scituate | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 0) | Scituate | |
| Seekonk | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Sharon | Sharon | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Sharon | |
| Shawsheen Valley RVT | Shawsheen Valley RVT | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Shawsheen Valley RVT | |
| Shepherd Hill | Grafton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Grafton | |
| Shrewsbury | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Silver Lake | Silver Lake | Silver Lake | ||
| Smith VoTech | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Somerset Berkley | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Somerville | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| South Hadley | Grafton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Grafton | |
| South Shore RVT | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Southeastern RVT | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Springfield Central | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| St Bernards | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| St John Paul II | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| St Johns Prep Danver | St Johns Prep Danver | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St Johns Prep Danver | |
| St Johns Shrewsbury | St Johns Shrewsbury | St Johns Shrewsbury | ||
| St Marys Lynn | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| St Marys Westfield | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Stoneham | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Stoughton | Grafton | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Grafton | |
| Sturgis Charter East | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Swampscott | Grafton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Grafton | |
| Tantasqua Regional | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Taunton | Grafton | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Grafton | |
| Tech Boston Academy | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Tewksbury Memorial | Grafton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Grafton | |
| Tri-County RVT | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Triton Regional | Grafton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Grafton | |
| Tyngsborough | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Upper Cape Cod RVT | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Wachusett Regional | Wachusett Regional | Wachusett Regional 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Wahconah | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Wakefield Memorial | Wakefield Memorial | Wakefield Memorial | ||
| Walpole | Walpole | Walpole | ||
| Waltham | Grafton | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Grafton | |
| Watertown | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Wayland | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Wellesley | Wellesley | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Wellesley | |
| West Springfield | Grafton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Grafton | |
| Westborough | Westborough | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Westborough | |
| Westfield | Grafton | Grafton 2- 3 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Westford Academy | Westford Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Westford Academy | |
| Weston | Weston | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Weston | |
| Westport | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Westwood | Westwood | Westwood 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Weymouth | Grafton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Grafton | |
| Whitman-Hanson | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Whittier RVT | Grafton | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Grafton | |
| Wilmington | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Winchester | Winchester | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Winchester | |
| Winthrop | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Woburn Memorial | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Xaverian Brothers | Xaverian Brothers | Xaverian Brothers 2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
PowerWise = 148
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 18.05
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Nipmuc Regiona (10- 8, 88.8) 8- 3 -11.14 21.40 0.63 0.95 20.93
0 H Tantasqua Regi ( 7-13, 88.0) 11- 8 -11.86 20.68 -0.63 0.95 19.04
0 H Algonquin (16- 4, 93.1) 4- 8 -6.85 25.69 -0.63 0.95 -7.11
0 A North Middlese ( 9-11, 89.1) 6-12 -10.84 21.70 0.63 0.95 -9.69
0 A Ipswich (14- 5, 91.4) 6- 9 -8.52 24.02 0.63 0.95 -7.49
0 H Dover-Sherborn (14- 6, 91.7) 5- 9 -8.16 24.38 -0.63 0.95 -8.35
0 A Algonquin (16- 4, 93.1) 6- 8 -6.85 25.69 0.63 0.95 -5.90
0 A St Johns Shrew ( 6-13, 91.3) 5- 9 -8.58 23.96 0.63 0.95 -7.55
0 H St Johns Shrew ( 6-13, 91.3) 9-11 -8.58 23.96 -0.63 0.95 -8.76
0 H Nipmuc Regiona (10- 8, 88.8) 10- 3 -11.14 21.40 -0.63 0.95 19.72
0 H Foxborough ( 5-14, 88.2) 11- 9 -11.73 20.81 -0.63 0.95 19.17
0 A Walpole (17- 4, 96.0) 1-16 -3.87 28.67 0.63 0.95 -3.07
0 H Dracut (17- 4, 94.5) 2- 9 -5.44 27.10 -0.63 0.95 -5.77
0 H Longmeadow (14- 4, 97.4) 3-18 -2.51 30.03 -0.63 0.95 -2.99
0 H Nashoba Region (15- 6, 92.7) 5- 8 -7.18 25.36 -0.63 0.95 -7.42
0 A Wayland ( 2-14, 85.6) 10- 7 -14.32 18.22 0.63 0.95 17.91
0 A Tantasqua Regi ( 7-13, 88.0) 13- 3 -11.86 20.68 0.63 0.95 20.25
0 A Shrewsbury ( 6-13, 89.4) 9- 3 -10.54 22.00 0.63 0.95 21.50
0 A North Andover ( 9-11, 94.0) 4-11 -5.88 26.66 0.63 0.95 -4.98
------
59.42
|
winning pts = 138.5192 losing points = -79.1036
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------