Great Falls
W-L: ( 4-10) PR = 93.3361Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 H Helena East (11- 3, 98.2) 0-20 405 H Missoula Wild ( 7- 6, 95.3) 10-19 412 A Billings Beartooth (11- 4, 97.1) 7-18 412 H Northwest Black (12- 3, 98.8) 4-18 419 H Northwest Green ( 5- 7, 92.9) 6- 7 419 H Helena West ( 5-10, 93.6) 11-12 425 H Helena East (11- 3, 98.2) 3-21 426 A Missoula Wild ( 7- 6, 95.3) 9-11 503 A Northwest Green ( 5- 7, 92.9) 7- 6 504 A Northwest Black (12- 3, 98.8) 5-24 509 A Sheridan ( 0-13, 87.8) 13- 5 510 A Cody ( 2-10, 90.4) 10- 5 516 H Bozeman White ( 4- 8, 92.7) 15-10 517 A Northwest Black (12- 3, 98.8) 3-19
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
405 H Helena East 0-20 -20 -5 -0.36
405 H Missoula Wild 10-19 -9 -2 - -3.26
412 A Billings Beartooth 7-18 -11 -4 -0.93
412 H Northwest Black 4-18 -14 -5 0.00
419 H Northwest Green 6- 7 -1 1 -1.67
419 H Helena West 11-12 -1 0 -1.03
425 H Helena East 3-21 -18 -5 -0.36
426 A Missoula Wild 9-11 -2 -2 0.28
503 A Northwest Green 7- 6 1 0 0.87
504 A Northwest Black 5-24 -19 -6 0.00
509 A Sheridan 13- 5 8 5 0.00
510 A Cody 10- 5 5 3 + 2.33
516 H Bozeman White 15-10 5 1 ++ 4.13
517 A Northwest Black 3-19 -16 -6 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 H Missoula Wild 10-19 -9 -2 - -3.26 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 516 H Bozeman White 15-10 5 1 ++ 4.13 510 A Cody 10- 5 5 3 + 2.33 |
Great Falls Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billings Beartooth | Billings Beartooth | Billings Beartooth | ||
| Bozeman Black | Bozeman Black | Bozeman Black 9- 0 vs 4- 6 | ||
| Bozeman White | Great Falls | Great Falls | ||
| Cody | Great Falls | Great Falls | ||
| Helena East | Helena East | Helena East | ||
| Helena West | Helena West | Helena West | ||
| Missoula Wild | Missoula Wild | Missoula Wild | ||
| Northwest Black | Northwest Black | Northwest Black | ||
| Northwest Green | Great Falls | insuffient: ( 2- 5)( 3- 4) | Great Falls | |
| Sheridan | Great Falls | Great Falls |
PowerWise = 4
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.45
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Helena East (11- 3, 98.2) 0-20 -1.66 11.90 -0.27 0.96 -1.85
0 H Missoula Wild ( 7- 6, 95.3) 10-19 -4.55 9.00 -0.27 0.96 -4.64
0 A Billings Beart (11- 4, 97.1) 7-18 -2.76 10.80 0.27 0.96 -2.39
0 H Northwest Blac (12- 3, 98.8) 4-18 -1.09 12.47 -0.27 0.96 -1.31
0 H Northwest Gree ( 5- 7, 92.9) 6- 7 -6.96 6.59 -0.27 0.96 -6.95
0 H Helena West ( 5-10, 93.6) 11-12 -6.33 7.23 -0.27 0.96 -6.34
0 H Helena East (11- 3, 98.2) 3-21 -1.66 11.90 -0.27 0.96 -1.85
0 A Missoula Wild ( 7- 6, 95.3) 9-11 -4.55 9.00 0.27 0.96 -4.12
0 A Northwest Gree ( 5- 7, 92.9) 7- 6 -6.96 6.59 0.27 0.96 6.60
0 A Northwest Blac (12- 3, 98.8) 5-24 -1.09 12.47 0.27 0.96 -0.79
0 A Sheridan ( 0-13, 87.8) 13- 5 -12.15 1.41 0.27 0.96 1.61
0 A Cody ( 2-10, 90.4) 10- 5 -9.51 4.05 0.27 0.96 4.15
0 H Bozeman White ( 4- 8, 92.7) 15-10 -7.16 6.40 -0.27 0.96 5.89
0 A Northwest Blac (12- 3, 98.8) 3-19 -1.09 12.47 0.27 0.96 -0.79
------
-12.77
|
winning pts = 18.2513 losing points = -31.0255
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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