Gulf Breeze
W-L: (14- 2) PR = 91.3031Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 211 H Fort Walton Beach ( 1- 9, 72.9) 24- 1 212 H West Florida ( 7- 7, 79.0) 18- 1 219 H Pensacola Catholic (15- 4, 89.6) 11- 5 221 A Leon ( 4- 9, 79.5) 20- 5 225 H Navarre (11- 7, 83.2) 21- 3 301 H Maclay ( 9-10, 86.2) 14- 8 305 A Niceville (10- 6, 86.6) 16- 2 307 H Episcopal Jacksonvi (17- 4, 92.6) 9- 8 312 A Pensacola Catholic (15- 4, 89.6) 7- 9 324 H Washington ( 7- 9, 75.2) 16- 1 329 H Trinity Catholic ( 9-10, 87.1) 17- 6 401 H South Walton (13- 6, 90.6) 12-11 411 H Chiles ( 7- 9, 81.5) 20- 0 415 H Niceville (10- 6, 86.6) 21-11 423 H Bartram Trail ( 8- 9, 84.4) 12- 1 430 H Nease (13- 7, 91.0) 13-14
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
211 H Fort Walton Beach 24- 1 23 19 0.00
212 H West Florida 18- 1 17 13 0.00
219 H Pensacola Catholic 11- 5 6 2 + 2.69
221 A Leon 20- 5 15 11 0.00
225 H Navarre 21- 3 18 9 0.00
301 H Maclay 14- 8 6 6 0.00
305 A Niceville 16- 2 14 4 0.93
307 H Episcopal Jacksonvi 9- 8 1 -1 1.65
312 A Pensacola Catholic 7- 9 -2 1 - -3.11
324 H Washington 16- 1 15 17 0.00
329 H Trinity Catholic 17- 6 11 5 0.18
401 H South Walton 12-11 1 1 -0.31
411 H Chiles 20- 0 20 10 0.00
415 H Niceville 21-11 10 5 0.00
423 H Bartram Trail 12- 1 11 8 0.00
430 H Nease 13-14 -1 1 -1.93
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 312 A Pensacola Catholic 7- 9 -2 1 - -3.11 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 219 H Pensacola Catholic 11- 5 6 2 + 2.69 |
Gulf Breeze Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Admiral Farragut Aca | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| All Saints Academy | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Alonso | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| American Heritage De | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| American Heritage Pl | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Angeline Academy | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Apopka | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Archbishop McCarthy | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Atlantic Coast | Gulf Breeze | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Gulf Breeze | |
| Atlantic-Delray Beac | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Aubrey Rogers | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Barron Collier | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Bartow | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Bartram Trail | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Beachside | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze 2- 2 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Belen Jesuit | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Benjamin School | Benjamin School | Benjamin School | ||
| Berkeley Prep | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Bishop McLaughlin | Gulf Breeze | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Gulf Breeze | |
| Bishop Moore | Bishop Moore | Bishop Moore | ||
| Bishop Verot | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Bloomingdale | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Boca Ciega | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Boca Raton | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Bolles | Bolles | tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1) | Bolles | |
| Boone | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Bradenton Christian | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Buchholz | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Calvary Christian Ac | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Calvary Christian HS | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Canterbury School | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Cardinal Gibbons | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Cardinal Mooney | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Cardinal Newman | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Celebration | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Chiles | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Clearwater Central C | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Cocoa Beach | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Colonial | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Columbus Catholic | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Community School-Nap | Community School-Nap | Community School-Nap | ||
| Cooper City | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Coral Glades | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Coral Reef | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Coral Shores | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Coral Springs | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Countryside | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Creekside | Gulf Breeze | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Gulf Breeze | |
| Cypress Bay | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Cypress Creek | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Cypress Lake | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Dr Phillips | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Durant | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Dwyer | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| East Lake | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| East Ridge | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| East River | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Eastside | Gulf Breeze | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Gulf Breeze | |
| Edgewater | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Edgewood | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Episcopal Jacksonvi | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Estero | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Evans | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Father Lopez | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Fernandina Beach | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| First Academy | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Flagler Palm Coast | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Fleming Island | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Fletcher | Gulf Breeze | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Gulf Breeze | |
| Florida Christian | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Forest | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Fort Myers | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Fort Walton Beach | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Foundation Academy | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Freedom Orlando | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Freedom Tampa | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Golden Gate | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Gulf Coast | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Gulliver Prep | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Hagerty | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Holy Trinity Episcop | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Horizon | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| IMG Academy-White | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Immaculata LaSalle | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Immokalee | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Indian Rocks Christi | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Innovation | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Jensen Beach | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Jesuit Tampa | Jesuit Tampa | Jesuit Tampa | ||
| John Carroll Catholi | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Jupiter | Jupiter | Jupiter | ||
| Jupiter Christian | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Key West | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Keys Gate | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Kings Academy | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Lake Brantley | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Lake Buena Vista | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Lake Highland Prep | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Lake Howell | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Lake Mary | Lake Mary | Lake Mary | ||
| Lake Minneola | Gulf Breeze | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Gulf Breeze | |
| Lake Nona | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Lake Wales | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Lakeland Christian | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Lakeland HS | Gulf Breeze | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Gulf Breeze | |
| Lakewood Ranch | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Land O Lakes | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Lely | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Leon | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Lincoln Tallahassee | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze 6- 0 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Lyman | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Maclay | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Manatee | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Mandarin | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Marco Island Academy | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Martin County | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Matanzas | Gulf Breeze | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Gulf Breeze | |
| Melbourne | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Melbourne Central Ca | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Menendez | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Merritt Island | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Miami Country Day | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Miami Palmetto | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Milton | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze 6- 0 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Mitchell | Gulf Breeze | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Gulf Breeze | |
| Montverde Academy | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Naples | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Navarre | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Nease | Nease | Nease | ||
| Newberry | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Newsome | Gulf Breeze | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Gulf Breeze | |
| Niceville | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| North Bay Haven | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze 6- 1 vs 0- 6 | ||
| North Broward Prep | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Northeast St Petersb | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Northside Christian | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| NSU University Schoo | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Oak Hall | Oak Hall | insuffient: ( 5- 1)( 6- 0) | Oak Hall | |
| Ocoee | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Okeechobee | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Olympia | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Olympic Heights | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Osceola | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Out-of-Door Academy | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Oviedo | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Oxbridge Academy | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Palm Beach Central | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Palm Beach Gardens | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Palm Harbor Universi | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Palmer Trinity | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Palmetto Ridge | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Park Vista | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Pasco | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Paxon Institute | Gulf Breeze | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Gulf Breeze | |
| Pensacola | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze 6- 1 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Pensacola Catholic | Gulf Breeze | insuffient: ( 8- 0)( 7- 1) | Gulf Breeze | |
| Pine Crest | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Plant | Plant | Plant | ||
| Pompano Beach | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Ponte Vedra | Ponte Vedra | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 0) | Ponte Vedra | |
| Providence School | Gulf Breeze | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Gulf Breeze | |
| Ransom Everglades | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Rickards | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Riverdale | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Riverside | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Riverview Sarasota | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Robinson | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Rockledge | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Sandalwood | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Santa Fe | Gulf Breeze | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Gulf Breeze | |
| Sarasota HS | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Satellite | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Sebastian River | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Seminole | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Seminole Ridge | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Sickles | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| South Fork | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| South Lake | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| South Plantation | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| South Walton | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Spanish River | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| St Andrews | St Andrews | St Andrews | ||
| St Augustine | Gulf Breeze | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Gulf Breeze | |
| St Brendan | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| St Cloud | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| St Edwards School | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| St John Paul II Acad | St John Paul II Acad | St John Paul II Acad | ||
| St Joseph Academy | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| St Petersburg Cathol | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| St Petersburg HS | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| St Stephens Episcopa | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| St Thomas Aquinas | St Thomas Aquinas | St Thomas Aquinas | ||
| Stanton Prep | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Steinbrenner | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Stoneman Douglas | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Suncoast | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Sunlake | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Tampa Catholic | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Tampa Prep | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Taravella | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Timber Creek | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Tocoi Creek | Gulf Breeze | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Gulf Breeze | |
| Tohopekaliga | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Trinity Catholic | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Trinity Prep | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| University Orlando | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Venice | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Vero Beach | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Viera | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Village School Naple | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Washington | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Wellington | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Wesley Chapel | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| West Boca Raton | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| West Broward | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| West Florida | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| West Orange | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| West Shore | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Western Davie | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Westminster Academy | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Westminster Christia | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Wharton | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Windermere HS | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Windermere Prep | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Winter Haven | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Winter Park | Winter Park | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Winter Park | |
| Winter Springs | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Wiregrass Ranch | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze |
PowerWise = 213
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.16
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Fort Walton Be ( 1- 9, 72.9) 24- 1 -26.96 11.44 -0.60 0.95 10.27
0 H West Florida ( 7- 7, 79.0) 18- 1 -20.87 17.52 -0.60 0.95 16.03
0 H Pensacola Cath (15- 4, 89.6) 11- 5 -10.31 28.09 -0.60 0.95 26.04
0 A Leon ( 4- 9, 79.5) 20- 5 -20.36 18.04 0.60 0.95 17.66
0 H Navarre (11- 7, 83.2) 21- 3 -16.68 21.72 -0.60 0.95 20.01
0 H Maclay ( 9-10, 86.2) 14- 8 -13.66 24.74 -0.60 0.95 22.87
0 A Niceville (10- 6, 86.6) 16- 2 -13.26 25.13 0.60 0.95 24.38
0 H Episcopal Jac (17- 4, 92.6) 9- 8 -7.34 31.05 -0.60 0.95 28.86
0 A Pensacola Cath (15- 4, 89.6) 7- 9 -10.31 28.09 0.60 0.95 -9.20
0 H Washington ( 7- 9, 75.2) 16- 1 -24.74 13.66 -0.60 0.95 12.37
0 H Trinity Cathol ( 9-10, 87.1) 17- 6 -12.82 25.58 -0.60 0.95 23.67
0 H South Walton (13- 6, 90.6) 12-11 -9.30 29.09 -0.60 0.95 27.00
0 H Chiles ( 7- 9, 81.5) 20- 0 -18.37 20.03 -0.60 0.95 18.41
0 H Niceville (10- 6, 86.6) 21-11 -13.26 25.13 -0.60 0.95 23.24
0 H Bartram Trail ( 8- 9, 84.4) 12- 1 -15.50 22.90 -0.60 0.95 21.13
0 H Nease (13- 7, 91.0) 13-14 -8.93 29.47 -0.60 0.95 -9.03
------
273.72
|
winning pts = 291.9498 losing points = -18.2303
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------