All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 77.1200027 home-field advantage = -0.78 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 319 H Madison (17- 2, 85.2) 5-16 324 A Alexandria City (11- 9, 74.3) 4- 8 401 H Lightridge ( 6-10, 73.8) 17-11 405 H Seton School ( 5- 8, 68.9) 15- 5 410 A Brentsville (13- 3, 74.3) 9- 3 411 H Western Albemarle (14- 5, 77.1) 11-10 423 H Handley (10- 2, 73.1) 10- 1 424 H Liberty Bealeton ( 6- 6, 69.2) 11- 8 428 A Fauquier ( 6- 9, 69.4) 13- 9 429 A Trinity Meadow View ( 9- 7, 70.5) 17- 7 507 A Freedom South Riding (12- 7, 77.8) 6-10 508 A Oakton (14- 6, 81.6) 4-11 512 H Kettle Run ( 4- 9, 65.7) 18- 5 515 A Dominion ( 6-10, 71.8) 9-10 528 H Liberty Bealeton ( 6- 6, 69.2) 15- 3 530 N Monticello (14- 3, 76.7) 10- 8 603 H Western Albemarle (14- 5, 77.1) 10- 8 606 N Monacan ( 9- 9, 70.4) 19- 9 610 A Loudoun County (17- 4, 81.9) 11-12
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 319 H Madison 5-16 -11 -7 0.00 324 A Alexandria City 4- 8 -4 2 --- -6.06 401 H Lightridge 17-11 6 4 1.85 405 H Seton School 15- 5 10 9 0.00 410 A Brentsville 9- 3 6 2 + 3.97 411 H Western Albemarle 11-10 1 0 0.21 423 H Handley 10- 1 9 4 + 2.17 424 H Liberty Bealeton 11- 8 3 8 -- -4.00 428 A Fauquier 13- 9 4 6 - -2.95 429 A Trinity Meadow View 17- 7 10 5 1.18 507 A Freedom South Riding 6-10 -4 -1 - -2.56 508 A Oakton 4-11 -7 -5 -1.72 512 H Kettle Run 18- 5 13 12 0.00 515 A Dominion 9-10 -1 4 -- -5.57 528 H Liberty Bealeton 15- 3 12 8 0.00 530 N Monticello 10- 8 2 0 1.56 603 H Western Albemarle 10- 8 2 0 1.21 606 N Monacan 19- 9 10 6 0.26 610 A Loudoun County 11-12 -1 -5 ++ 4.58UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 77.12 Power Rank................. 47 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 47.67 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 61 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7073 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 9 RPI Rating............... .6193 RPI Rank................... 19 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 107 Selection sum ........... 88 Selection Rank ............ 22 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -75. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 69 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -65. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 60 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 11.3 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 8.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -11.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.7