Gardiner Area
W-L: ( 8- 8) PR = 86.2047Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 417 A Oak Hill (10- 6, 88.6) 6-14 422 A Messalonskee (13- 4, 93.1) 5-16 425 H North Yarmouth Acade (10- 3, 91.2) 3-12 429 H Erskine Academy ( 8- 7, 83.9) 11- 9 502 A Biddeford ( 3-11, 82.8) 12- 8 506 H Oxford Hills ( 5- 9, 83.0) 17- 7 509 H Mount Ararat ( 6- 9, 84.4) 15- 8 514 A Brunswick (10- 6, 91.7) 7-16 516 A Greely ( 6- 5, 89.8) 8-10 519 H Morse/Boothbay ( 8- 7, 86.3) 13-22 524 A Brewer ( 4- 4, 83.1) 12- 0 527 A Lawrence/Winslow ( 2- 7, 78.8) 20- 8 529 A Lewiston ( 7- 8, 84.8) 6- 7 604 H Cony ( 4-10, 81.0) 17- 4 610 N Mount Ararat ( 6- 9, 84.4) 7- 4 613 A York (11- 2, 96.3) 9-20
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
417 A Oak Hill 6-14 -8 -3 -1.88
422 A Messalonskee 5-16 -11 -8 0.00
425 H North Yarmouth Acade 3-12 -9 -4 -0.71
429 H Erskine Academy 11- 9 2 3 -1.00
502 A Biddeford 12- 8 4 3 1.34
506 H Oxford Hills 17- 7 10 4 1.04
509 H Mount Ararat 15- 8 7 3 + 2.41
514 A Brunswick 7-16 -9 -6 0.00
516 A Greely 8-10 -2 -4 + 2.34
519 H Morse/Boothbay 13-22 -9 1 -- -5.64
524 A Brewer 12- 0 12 2 + 2.63
527 A Lawrence/Winslow 20- 8 12 7 0.00
529 A Lewiston 6- 7 -1 1 -1.68
604 H Cony 17- 4 13 6 0.00
610 N Mount Ararat 7- 4 3 2 1.15
613 A York 9-20 -11 -11 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 519 H Morse/Boothbay 13-22 -9 1 -- -5.64 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 509 H Mount Ararat 15- 8 7 3 + 2.41 516 A Greely 8-10 -2 -4 + 2.34 524 A Brewer 12- 0 12 2 + 2.63 |
Gardiner Area Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bangor | Gardiner Area | tied - ( 2- 4) ( 2- 4) | Gardiner Area | |
| Biddeford | Gardiner Area | Gardiner Area | ||
| Bonny Eagle | Bonny Eagle | tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) | Bonny Eagle | |
| Brewer | Gardiner Area | Gardiner Area | ||
| Brunswick | Brunswick | Brunswick | ||
| Camden Hills Regiona | Gardiner Area | insuffient: ( 3- 4)( 2- 5) | Gardiner Area | |
| Cape Elizabeth | Cape Elizabeth | Cape Elizabeth 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Cheverus | Cheverus | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Cheverus | |
| Cony | Gardiner Area | Gardiner Area | ||
| Deering | Deering | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Deering | |
| Edward Little | Gardiner Area | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) | Gardiner Area | |
| Erskine Academy | Gardiner Area | Gardiner Area | ||
| Falmouth | Falmouth | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Falmouth | |
| Freeport | Freeport | Freeport 3- 2 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Fryeburg Academy | Fryeburg Academy | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Fryeburg Academy | |
| Gorham | Gorham | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Gorham | |
| Gray/New Gloucester/ | Gardiner Area | tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) | Gardiner Area | |
| Greely | Greely | Greely | ||
| Hampden Academy | Gardiner Area | Gardiner Area 2- 4 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Houlton/Hogdon | Gardiner Area | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Gardiner Area | |
| John Bapst Memorial | Gardiner Area | Gardiner Area 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Kennebunk | Kennebunk | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Kennebunk | |
| Lake Region | Lake Region | Lake Region | ||
| Lawrence/Winslow | Gardiner Area | Gardiner Area | ||
| Lewiston | Lewiston | Lewiston | ||
| Lincoln Academy | Gardiner Area | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Gardiner Area | |
| Maranacook-Winthrop | Maranacook-Winthrop | Maranacook-Winthrop 5- 1 vs 3- 3 | ||
| Marshwood | Marshwood | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Marshwood | |
| Massabesic | Gardiner Area | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Gardiner Area | |
| MCI-Nokomis | Gardiner Area | Gardiner Area 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Messalonskee | Messalonskee | Messalonskee | ||
| Morse/Boothbay | Morse/Boothbay | Morse/Boothbay | ||
| Mount Ararat | Gardiner Area | Gardiner Area | ||
| Mount Blue | Gardiner Area | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) | Gardiner Area | |
| Noble/Sanford | Noble/Sanford | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Noble/Sanford | |
| North Yarmouth Acade | North Yarmouth Acade | North Yarmouth Acade | ||
| Oak Hill | Oak Hill | Oak Hill | ||
| Oxford Hills | Gardiner Area | Gardiner Area | ||
| Portland | Portland | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Portland | |
| Scarborough | Scarborough | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Scarborough | |
| South Portland | South Portland | South Portland 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Thornton Academy | Thornton Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Thornton Academy | |
| Traip Academy | Gardiner Area | Gardiner Area 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Waynflete School | Waynflete School | Waynflete School | ||
| Wells | Wells | insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) | Wells | |
| Westbrook | Gardiner Area | Gardiner Area 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Windham | Windham | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Windham | |
| Yarmouth | Yarmouth | Yarmouth 5- 0 vs 0- 5 | ||
| York | York | York |
PowerWise = 20
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.00
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Oak Hill (10- 6, 88.6) 6-14 -11.32 17.12 0.74 0.81 -8.60
0 A Messalonskee (13- 4, 93.1) 5-16 -6.77 21.67 0.74 0.81 -4.90
0 H North Yarmouth (10- 3, 91.2) 3-12 -8.67 19.77 -0.74 0.81 -7.64
0 H Erskine Academ ( 8- 7, 83.9) 11- 9 -15.96 12.48 -0.74 0.81 9.54
0 A Biddeford ( 3-11, 82.8) 12- 8 -17.10 11.34 0.74 0.81 9.82
0 H Oxford Hills ( 5- 9, 83.0) 17- 7 -16.92 11.52 -0.74 0.81 8.76
0 H Mount Ararat ( 6- 9, 84.4) 15- 8 -15.54 12.90 -0.74 0.81 9.88
0 A Brunswick (10- 6, 91.7) 7-16 -8.18 20.26 0.74 0.81 -6.05
0 A Greely ( 6- 5, 89.8) 8-10 -10.09 18.35 0.74 0.81 -7.60
0 H Morse/Boothbay ( 8- 7, 86.3) 13-22 -13.60 14.84 -0.74 0.81 -11.65
0 A Brewer ( 4- 4, 83.1) 12- 0 -16.80 11.64 0.74 0.81 10.06
0 A Lawrence/Winsl ( 2- 7, 78.8) 20- 8 -21.07 7.37 0.74 0.81 6.59
0 A Lewiston ( 7- 8, 84.8) 6- 7 -15.11 13.33 0.74 0.81 -11.68
0 H Cony ( 4-10, 81.0) 17- 4 -18.94 9.50 -0.74 0.81 7.12
0 N Mount Ararat ( 6- 9, 84.4) 7- 4 -15.54 12.90 -0.00 0.81 10.48
0 A York (11- 2, 96.3) 9-20 -3.63 24.81 0.74 0.81 -2.35
------
11.78
|
winning pts = 72.2416 losing points = -60.4602
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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