Fairfield Warde
W-L: ( 6-10) PR = 79.9516
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
405 H Newtown (13- 7, 85.1) 3- 9
412 H Norwalk ( 1-15, 69.9) 15- 1
415 H Greenwich HS (11- 5, 95.8) 4-16
417 A Brookfield (12- 8, 84.9) 5-13
419 A St Joseph Trumbull (14- 5, 95.2) 3-18
422 A Trumbull ( 9- 8, 87.7) 5-11
426 H Danbury ( 2-13, 69.9) 20- 2
501 A Westhill ( 3-11, 73.5) 11- 3
503 A Holy Cross (12- 6, 76.4) 9- 6
505 H Shelton ( 6-10, 76.2) 7- 4
510 H Fairfield Ludlowe (15- 5, 94.5) 5-17
513 A Darien ( 9- 5, 99.5) 0-21
515 A Stamford ( 7- 9, 83.1) 7-10
517 H Bethel (13- 7, 85.4) 7-16
520 H Brien McMahon ( 5-11, 79.4) 8- 6
523 A Sheehan (15- 5, 84.5) 4-17
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
405 H Newtown 3- 9 -6 -5 -0.31
412 H Norwalk 15- 1 14 11 0.00
415 H Greenwich HS 4-16 -12 -15 0.00
417 A Brookfield 5-13 -8 -5 0.00
419 A St Joseph Trumbull 3-18 -15 -16 0.00
422 A Trumbull 5-11 -6 -8 0.00
426 H Danbury 20- 2 18 10 0.00
501 A Westhill 11- 3 8 6 0.00
503 A Holy Cross 9- 6 3 3 -0.08
505 H Shelton 7- 4 3 4 -1.23
510 H Fairfield Ludlowe 5-17 -12 -14 0.00
513 A Darien 0-21 -21 -20 0.00
515 A Stamford 7-10 -3 -4 0.61
517 H Bethel 7-16 -9 -5 -0.02
520 H Brien McMahon 8- 6 2 1 1.02
523 A Sheehan 4-17 -13 -5 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
|
Fairfield Warde Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Amity Regional |
Amity Regional |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) |
Amity Regional |
Avon HS |
Avon HS |
|
 
| Avon HS |
Bacon Academy |
Bacon Academy |
|
 
| Bacon Academy |
Berlin |
Fairfield Warde |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Fairfield Warde |
Bethel |
Bethel |
Bethel |
 
| |
Branford |
Fairfield Warde |
|
tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) |
Fairfield Warde |
Brien McMahon |
Fairfield Warde |
Fairfield Warde |
 
| |
Bristol Co-Op |
Bristol Co-Op |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Bristol Co-Op |
Brookfield |
Brookfield |
Brookfield |
 
| |
Bunnell-Stratford |
Fairfield Warde |
|
tied - ( 2- 4) ( 2- 4) |
Fairfield Warde |
Canton |
Canton |
|
 
| Canton |
Capital-Classical Pr |
Fairfield Warde |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Fairfield Warde |
Cheshire HS |
Cheshire HS |
|
Cheshire HS   3- 1 vs 0- 4 |
|
Conard |
Conard |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) |
Conard |
Cromwell |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
Danbury |
Fairfield Warde |
Fairfield Warde |
 
| |
Daniel Hand |
Daniel Hand |
|
Daniel Hand   3- 1 vs 1- 3 |
|
Darien |
Darien |
Darien |
 
| |
East Catholic |
East Catholic |
|
 
| East Catholic |
East Lyme |
East Lyme |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
East Lyme |
Ellington |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
Enfield |
Fairfield Warde |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Fairfield Warde |
EO Smith |
Fairfield Warde |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Fairfield Warde |
Fairfield Ludlowe |
Fairfield Ludlowe |
Fairfield Ludlowe |
 
| |
Fairfield Prep |
Fairfield Prep |
|
Fairfield Prep   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Farmington |
Farmington |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Farmington |
Fitch Groton |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
Foran |
Foran |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) |
Foran |
Glastonbury |
Glastonbury |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Glastonbury |
Granby Memorial |
Granby Memorial |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Granby Memorial |
Greenwich HS |
Greenwich HS |
Greenwich HS |
 
| |
Guilford |
Guilford |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Guilford |
Haddam-Killingworth |
Haddam-Killingworth |
|
 
| Haddam-Killingworth |
Hall |
Hall |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Hall |
Hamden |
Hamden |
|
tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) |
Hamden |
Holy Cross |
Fairfield Warde |
Fairfield Warde |
 
| |
Immaculate Danbury |
Fairfield Warde |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) |
Fairfield Warde |
Joel Barlow |
Joel Barlow |
|
Joel Barlow   3- 1 vs 0- 4 |
|
Jonathan Law |
Fairfield Warde |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Fairfield Warde |
Lakeview United |
Fairfield Warde |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Fairfield Warde |
Ledyard-Griswold |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
Lewis Mills |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
Lyman Hall |
Fairfield Warde |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Fairfield Warde |
Maloney-Platt |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
Masuk |
Masuk |
|
tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) |
Masuk |
Middletown |
Fairfield Warde |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Fairfield Warde |
Montville |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
Morgan School |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
New Canaan |
New Canaan |
|
New Canaan   5- 0 vs 2- 3 |
|
New Fairfield |
New Fairfield |
|
New Fairfield   4- 0 vs 0- 4 |
|
New Milford |
New Milford |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) |
New Milford |
Newington |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
Newtown |
Newtown |
Newtown |
 
| |
North Branford |
North Branford |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
North Branford |
North Haven |
Fairfield Warde |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Fairfield Warde |
Northwest Catholic |
Northwest Catholic |
|
 
| Northwest Catholic |
Norwalk |
Fairfield Warde |
Fairfield Warde |
 
| |
Norwich Free Academy |
Fairfield Warde |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Fairfield Warde |
Norwich Tech |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
Notre Dame-Fairfield |
Fairfield Warde |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) |
Fairfield Warde |
Notre Dame-West Have |
Notre Dame-West Have |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) |
Notre Dame-West Have |
Old Lyme |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
Old Saybrook |
Old Saybrook |
|
 
| Old Saybrook |
Pomperaug |
Fairfield Warde |
|
tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) |
Fairfield Warde |
Prince-Cheney Tech |
Fairfield Warde |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Fairfield Warde |
RHAM |
RHAM |
|
 
| RHAM |
Ridgefield |
Ridgefield |
|
Ridgefield   5- 0 vs 1- 4 |
|
Rockville Co-op |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
Rocky Hill |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
Sheehan |
Sheehan |
Sheehan |
 
| |
Shelton |
Fairfield Warde |
Fairfield Warde |
 
| |
Simsbury |
Simsbury |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Simsbury |
Somers |
Somers |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) |
Somers |
South Windsor |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
Southington |
Southington |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Southington |
St Bernard-Wheeler |
St Bernard-Wheeler |
|
 
| St Bernard-Wheeler |
St Joseph Trumbull |
St Joseph Trumbull |
St Joseph Trumbull |
 
| |
St Paul Catholic |
Fairfield Warde |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Fairfield Warde |
Stamford |
Stamford |
Stamford |
 
| |
Staples |
Staples |
|
Staples   4- 2 vs 2- 4 |
|
Stonington |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
Suffield |
Suffield |
|
 
| Suffield |
Tolland |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
Trumbull |
Trumbull |
Trumbull |
 
| |
Valley Regional |
Fairfield Warde |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Fairfield Warde |
Vinal/Goodwin Tech |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
Waterford |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
Watertown |
Fairfield Warde |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Fairfield Warde |
West Haven |
Fairfield Warde |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) |
Fairfield Warde |
Westhill |
Fairfield Warde |
Fairfield Warde |
 
| |
Weston |
Weston |
|
Weston   2- 4 vs 0- 6 |
|
Wethersfield |
Wethersfield |
|
 
| Wethersfield |
Wilbur Cross |
Fairfield Warde |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Fairfield Warde |
Wilton |
Wilton |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 5)( 2- 4) |
Wilton |
Windsor |
Fairfield Warde |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Fairfield Warde |
Wolcott |
Fairfield Warde |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Fairfield Warde |
Woodstock Academy |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
Xavier |
Xavier |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Xavier |
PowerWise = 48

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Newtown (13- 7, 85.1) 3- 9 -14.78 25.47 -0.47 1.06 -16.22
0 H Norwalk ( 1-15, 69.9) 15- 1 -30.00 10.25 -0.47 1.06 10.40
0 H Greenwich HS (11- 5, 95.8) 4-16 -4.12 36.14 -0.47 1.06 -4.88
0 A Brookfield (12- 8, 84.9) 5-13 -14.98 25.27 0.47 1.06 -15.43
0 A St Joseph Trum (14- 5, 95.2) 3-18 -4.67 35.58 0.47 1.06 -4.46
0 A Trumbull ( 9- 8, 87.7) 5-11 -12.24 28.02 0.47 1.06 -12.50
0 H Danbury ( 2-13, 69.9) 20- 2 -29.96 10.29 -0.47 1.06 10.44
0 A Westhill ( 3-11, 73.5) 11- 3 -26.36 13.89 0.47 1.06 15.27
0 A Holy Cross (12- 6, 76.4) 9- 6 -23.50 16.75 0.47 1.06 18.32
0 H Shelton ( 6-10, 76.2) 7- 4 -23.71 16.55 -0.47 1.06 17.09
0 H Fairfield Ludl (15- 5, 94.5) 5-17 -5.39 34.86 -0.47 1.06 -6.24
0 A Darien ( 9- 5, 99.5) 0-21 -0.36 39.90 0.47 1.06 -0.12
0 A Stamford ( 7- 9, 83.1) 7-10 -16.81 23.44 0.47 1.06 -17.37
0 H Bethel (13- 7, 85.4) 7-16 -14.49 25.76 -0.47 1.06 -15.91
0 H Brien McMahon ( 5-11, 79.4) 8- 6 -20.46 19.80 -0.47 1.06 20.54
0 A Sheehan (15- 5, 84.5) 4-17 -15.41 24.84 0.47 1.06 -15.88
------
-16.96
|
winning pts = 92.0567 losing points = -109.0117
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------