---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:50 PDT

safe3step boys Fairfield Warde 1
  
Fairfield Warde       
W-L: ( 6-10) PR = 79.9516

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 H Newtown (13- 7, 85.1) 3- 9 412 H Norwalk ( 1-15, 69.9) 15- 1 415 H Greenwich HS (11- 5, 95.8) 4-16 417 A Brookfield (12- 8, 84.9) 5-13 419 A St Joseph Trumbull (14- 5, 95.2) 3-18 422 A Trumbull ( 9- 8, 87.7) 5-11 426 H Danbury ( 2-13, 69.9) 20- 2 501 A Westhill ( 3-11, 73.5) 11- 3 503 A Holy Cross (12- 6, 76.4) 9- 6 505 H Shelton ( 6-10, 76.2) 7- 4 510 H Fairfield Ludlowe (15- 5, 94.5) 5-17 513 A Darien ( 9- 5, 99.5) 0-21 515 A Stamford ( 7- 9, 83.1) 7-10 517 H Bethel (13- 7, 85.4) 7-16 520 H Brien McMahon ( 5-11, 79.4) 8- 6 523 A Sheehan (15- 5, 84.5) 4-17

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Newtown                 3- 9      -6    -5          -0.31
   412 H Norwalk                15- 1      14    11           0.00
   415 H Greenwich HS            4-16     -12   -15           0.00
   417 A Brookfield              5-13      -8    -5           0.00
   419 A St Joseph Trumbull      3-18     -15   -16           0.00
   422 A Trumbull                5-11      -6    -8           0.00
   426 H Danbury                20- 2      18    10           0.00
   501 A Westhill               11- 3       8     6           0.00
   503 A Holy Cross              9- 6       3     3          -0.08
   505 H Shelton                 7- 4       3     4          -1.23
   510 H Fairfield Ludlowe       5-17     -12   -14           0.00
   513 A Darien                  0-21     -21   -20           0.00
   515 A Stamford                7-10      -3    -4           0.61
   517 H Bethel                  7-16      -9    -5          -0.02
   520 H Brien McMahon           8- 6       2     1           1.02
   523 A Sheehan                 4-17     -13    -5           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Fairfield Warde Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional Amity Regional insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) Amity Regional
Avon HS Avon HS   Avon HS
Bacon Academy Bacon Academy   Bacon Academy
Berlin Fairfield Warde tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Fairfield Warde
Bethel Bethel Bethel  
Branford Fairfield Warde tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Fairfield Warde
Brien McMahon Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde  
Bristol Co-Op Bristol Co-Op tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bristol Co-Op
Brookfield Brookfield Brookfield  
Bunnell-Stratford Fairfield Warde tied - ( 2- 4) ( 2- 4) Fairfield Warde
Canton Canton   Canton
Capital-Classical Pr Fairfield Warde insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Fairfield Warde
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Conard Conard insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) Conard
Cromwell Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Danbury Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde  
Daniel Hand Daniel Hand Daniel Hand   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Darien Darien Darien  
East Catholic East Catholic   East Catholic
East Lyme East Lyme tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) East Lyme
Ellington Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Enfield Fairfield Warde tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fairfield Warde
EO Smith Fairfield Warde tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fairfield Warde
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe  
Fairfield Prep Fairfield Prep Fairfield Prep   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Farmington Farmington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Farmington
Fitch Groton Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Foran Foran insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Foran
Glastonbury Glastonbury insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Glastonbury
Granby Memorial Granby Memorial insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Granby Memorial
Greenwich HS Greenwich HS Greenwich HS  
Guilford Guilford tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Guilford
Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth   Haddam-Killingworth
Hall Hall tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hall
Hamden Hamden tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Hamden
Holy Cross Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde  
Immaculate Danbury Fairfield Warde insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) Fairfield Warde
Joel Barlow Joel Barlow Joel Barlow   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Jonathan Law Fairfield Warde insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Fairfield Warde
Lakeview United Fairfield Warde insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Fairfield Warde
Ledyard-Griswold Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Lewis Mills Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Lyman Hall Fairfield Warde insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Fairfield Warde
Maloney-Platt Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Masuk Masuk tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) Masuk
Middletown Fairfield Warde insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Fairfield Warde
Montville Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Morgan School Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
New Canaan New Canaan New Canaan   5- 0 vs 2- 3
New Fairfield New Fairfield New Fairfield   4- 0 vs 0- 4
New Milford New Milford insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) New Milford
Newington Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Newtown Newtown Newtown  
North Branford North Branford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) North Branford
North Haven Fairfield Warde tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Fairfield Warde
Northwest Catholic Northwest Catholic   Northwest Catholic
Norwalk Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde  
Norwich Free Academy Fairfield Warde tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Fairfield Warde
Norwich Tech Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Notre Dame-Fairfield Fairfield Warde insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) Fairfield Warde
Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Notre Dame-West Have
Old Lyme Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Old Saybrook Old Saybrook   Old Saybrook
Pomperaug Fairfield Warde tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Fairfield Warde
Prince-Cheney Tech Fairfield Warde insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Fairfield Warde
RHAM RHAM   RHAM
Ridgefield Ridgefield Ridgefield   5- 0 vs 1- 4
Rockville Co-op Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Rocky Hill Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Sheehan Sheehan Sheehan  
Shelton Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde  
Simsbury Simsbury tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Simsbury
Somers Somers tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Somers
South Windsor Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Southington Southington insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Southington
St Bernard-Wheeler St Bernard-Wheeler   St Bernard-Wheeler
St Joseph Trumbull St Joseph Trumbull St Joseph Trumbull  
St Paul Catholic Fairfield Warde tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Fairfield Warde
Stamford Stamford Stamford  
Staples Staples Staples   4- 2 vs 2- 4
Stonington Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Suffield Suffield   Suffield
Tolland Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Trumbull Trumbull Trumbull  
Valley Regional Fairfield Warde tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fairfield Warde
Vinal/Goodwin Tech Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Waterford Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Watertown Fairfield Warde insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Fairfield Warde
West Haven Fairfield Warde insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Fairfield Warde
Westhill Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde  
Weston Weston Weston   2- 4 vs 0- 6
Wethersfield Wethersfield   Wethersfield
Wilbur Cross Fairfield Warde insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Fairfield Warde
Wilton Wilton insuffient: ( 1- 5)( 2- 4) Wilton
Windsor Fairfield Warde tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fairfield Warde
Wolcott Fairfield Warde insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Fairfield Warde
Woodstock Academy Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Xavier Xavier tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Xavier

PowerWise = 48


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.01

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Newtown         (13- 7, 85.1)     3- 9      -14.78      25.47      -0.47         1.06           -16.22
   0 H Norwalk         ( 1-15, 69.9)    15- 1      -30.00      10.25      -0.47         1.06            10.40
   0 H Greenwich HS    (11- 5, 95.8)     4-16       -4.12      36.14      -0.47         1.06            -4.88
   0 A Brookfield      (12- 8, 84.9)     5-13      -14.98      25.27       0.47         1.06           -15.43
   0 A St Joseph Trum  (14- 5, 95.2)     3-18       -4.67      35.58       0.47         1.06            -4.46
   0 A Trumbull        ( 9- 8, 87.7)     5-11      -12.24      28.02       0.47         1.06           -12.50
   0 H Danbury         ( 2-13, 69.9)    20- 2      -29.96      10.29      -0.47         1.06            10.44
   0 A Westhill        ( 3-11, 73.5)    11- 3      -26.36      13.89       0.47         1.06            15.27
   0 A Holy Cross      (12- 6, 76.4)     9- 6      -23.50      16.75       0.47         1.06            18.32
   0 H Shelton         ( 6-10, 76.2)     7- 4      -23.71      16.55      -0.47         1.06            17.09
   0 H Fairfield Ludl  (15- 5, 94.5)     5-17       -5.39      34.86      -0.47         1.06            -6.24
   0 A Darien          ( 9- 5, 99.5)     0-21       -0.36      39.90       0.47         1.06            -0.12
   0 A Stamford        ( 7- 9, 83.1)     7-10      -16.81      23.44       0.47         1.06           -17.37
   0 H Bethel          (13- 7, 85.4)     7-16      -14.49      25.76      -0.47         1.06           -15.91
   0 H Brien McMahon   ( 5-11, 79.4)     8- 6      -20.46      19.80      -0.47         1.06            20.54
   0 A Sheehan         (15- 5, 84.5)     4-17      -15.41      24.84       0.47         1.06           -15.88
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -16.96

winning pts = 92.0567 losing points = -109.0117

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------