List of boy Div 17 Fairfield Warde List of Team Values for Connecticut


      All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.



PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H St Joseph Trumbull      2-11      -9    -7           0.00
   404 H Westhill               15- 5      10     8           0.00
   406 A Newtown                 5- 1       4     2           1.12
   408 A Staples                 1-18     -17   -14           0.00
   411 A Norwalk                17- 2      15    14           0.00
   413 A New Fairfield           7- 6       1    -2    +      3.11
   416 H Trumbull                7- 2       5     1    +      3.07
   420 A Danbury                15- 4      11    17           0.00
   425 A Shelton                 9- 2       7     6           0.76
   427 A Bethel                  8- 4       4     2           1.72
   501 H Joel Barlow             8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.86
   504 A Fairfield Ludlowe       6-14      -8    -5          -1.26
   507 H New Canaan              2-16     -14   -15           0.00
   509 A Brien McMahon           6- 5       1     6    --    -5.33
   514 H Stamford                4- 9      -5     0    --    -4.38

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 A Brien McMahon           6- 5       1     6    --    -5.33
   514 H Stamford                4- 9      -5     0    --    -4.38

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 A New Fairfield           7- 6       1    -2    +      3.11
   416 H Trumbull                7- 2       5     1    +      3.07
   501 H Joel Barlow             8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.86



 RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Power Rating............. 74.69 Power Rank.................    23
 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 48.36 SOS (PR) Rank..............    19
 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6478 SOS (RPI) Rank.............    11
 RPI Rating............... .5582 RPI Rank...................    31
 Champ. Probability ......   0.0 Championship Rank .........    32
 Selection sum ...........    78 Selection Rank ............    21
 Qual Win (PR) Rating.....  -40. Qual Win (PR) Rank.........    30
 Qual Win (RPI) Rating....  -55. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........    36
    
 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals .....   7.5 Ave Defensive Goals .......    7.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -15.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -13.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.0