All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 87.1999969 home-field advantage = -0.49 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 219 H Cathedral Catholic (16- 5, 89.6) 6- 9 221 H Mira Costa (14- 5, 84.1) 9- 7 225 H JSerra Catholic (13- 7, 86.1) 11- 7 227 A Crean Lutheran (17- 4, 79.2) 9- 7 303 A El Dorado (12- 6, 73.4) 12- 1 306 H Yorba Linda ( 7-11, 69.5) 14- 4 308 A La Costa Canyon (12- 7, 90.3) 3-14 311 H Canyon ( 9- 9, 77.5) 17- 4 315 A Mater Dei Santa Ana (15- 4, 88.7) 7-13 318 A Father Ryan (10- 6, 81.2) 11- 3 319 A Brentwood ( 6- 9, 76.3) 16- 1 326 H St Francis-La Canada (16- 4, 85.8) 10- 8 327 H El Modena ( 4-11, 63.1) 20- 0 402 H Loyola Los Angeles (21- 3, 93.6) 8-13 408 A Torrey Pines (15- 5, 93.9) 9-18 410 A Esperanza ( 7-13, 61.1) 19- 1 412 A St Margarets Episcopal (13- 7, 83.0) 9-11 416 H Bishops School ( 9- 9, 87.3) 5- 2 419 H Santa Margarita Cathol (15- 4, 89.6) 6- 7 423 H Corona Del Mar (15- 7, 86.0) 13- 8 501 H St Margarets Episcopal (13- 7, 83.0) 12- 6 506 A JSerra Catholic (13- 7, 86.1) 11- 4 510 N Loyola Los Angeles (21- 3, 93.6) 9-11
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 219 H Cathedral Catholic 6- 9 -3 -1 -1.08 221 H Mira Costa 9- 7 2 3 -1.63 225 H JSerra Catholic 11- 7 4 1 + 2.44 227 A Crean Lutheran 9- 7 2 7 -- -5.00 303 A El Dorado 12- 1 11 13 0.00 306 H Yorba Linda 14- 4 10 18 0.00 308 A La Costa Canyon 3-14 -11 -3 - -3.36 311 H Canyon 17- 4 13 10 0.00 315 A Mater Dei Santa Ana 7-13 -6 -1 -- -4.04 318 A Father Ryan 11- 3 8 5 n/a 319 A Brentwood 16- 1 15 10 n/a 326 H St Francis-La Canada 10- 8 2 1 0.12 327 H El Modena 20- 0 20 24 0.00 402 H Loyola Los Angeles 8-13 -5 -5 0.94 408 A Torrey Pines 9-18 -9 -7 0.00 410 A Esperanza 19- 1 18 25 0.00 412 A St Margarets Episcopal 9-11 -2 3 -- -5.75 416 H Bishops School 5- 2 3 0 + 2.61 419 H Santa Margarita Cathol 6- 7 -1 -1 0.93 423 H Corona Del Mar 13- 8 5 1 + 3.28 501 H St Margarets Episcopal 12- 6 6 4 1.27 506 A JSerra Catholic 11- 4 7 0 +++ 6.42 510 N Loyola Los Angeles 9-11 -2 -6 ++ 4.43UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 227 A Crean Lutheran 9- 7 2 7 -- -5.00 315 A Mater Dei Santa Ana 7-13 -6 -1 -- -4.04 412 A St Margarets Episcopal 9-11 -2 3 -- -5.75 308 A La Costa Canyon 3-14 -11 -3 - -3.36OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 506 A JSerra Catholic 11- 4 7 0 +++ 6.42 510 N Loyola Los Angeles 9-11 -2 -6 ++ 4.43 225 H JSerra Catholic 11- 7 4 1 + 2.44 416 H Bishops School 5- 2 3 0 + 2.61 423 H Corona Del Mar 13- 8 5 1 + 3.28
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 87.20 Power Rank................. 14 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 63.51 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 13 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6330 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 61 RPI Rating............... .6453 RPI Rank................... 19 Champ. Probability ...... 3.0 Championship Rank ......... 9 Selection sum ........... 123 Selection Rank ............ 28 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 25. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 18 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -10. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 43 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 10.7 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 6.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 15- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -5.3 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -5.3 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 5- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.7