First State Military
W-L: (10- 5) PR = 79.2711Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 325 H Delaware Military Ac ( 3-12, 75.6) 15- 4 329 A Sussex Central ( 1-11, 71.4) 16- 5 331 H Archmere Academy (10- 5, 89.8) 9-15 402 A Woodbridge ( 2-13, 76.4) 16-10 408 H Brandywine (11- 5, 81.0) 5- 9 414 H Wilmington Charter ( 9- 7, 86.3) 4-17 417 H St Georges Tech ( 8- 7, 80.3) 6- 5 429 H Hodgson Vo-Tech ( 5-10, 72.5) 17- 7 502 H Mount Pleasant ( 2-11, 68.6) 13- 1 503 A Odessa (10- 5, 81.0) 6- 5 505 A Newark Charter ( 3-11, 79.9) 5-16 507 H Conrad School ( 4-10, 72.3) 18- 0 512 A Delcastle ( 2-13, 70.1) 19- 3 513 A Sussex Tech (10- 5, 82.4) 7-17 515 A McKean ( 0-15, 64.7) 20- 3
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
325 H Delaware Military Ac 15- 4 11 4 1.15
329 A Sussex Central 16- 5 11 8 0.00
331 H Archmere Academy 9-15 -6 -10 0.00
402 A Woodbridge 16-10 6 3 + 2.37
408 H Brandywine 5- 9 -4 -2 - -2.48
414 H Wilmington Charter 4-17 -13 -7 0.00
417 H St Georges Tech 6- 5 1 -1 1.78
429 H Hodgson Vo-Tech 17- 7 10 7 0.00
502 H Mount Pleasant 13- 1 12 11 0.00
503 A Odessa 6- 5 1 -2 + 2.97
505 A Newark Charter 5-16 -11 -1 -- -4.18
507 H Conrad School 18- 0 18 7 0.00
512 A Delcastle 19- 3 16 9 0.00
513 A Sussex Tech 7-17 -10 -3 -1.63
515 A McKean 20- 3 17 14 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 505 A Newark Charter 5-16 -11 -1 -- -4.18 408 H Brandywine 5- 9 -4 -2 - -2.48 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 402 A Woodbridge 16-10 6 3 + 2.37 503 A Odessa 6- 5 1 -2 + 2.97 |
First State Military Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis I du Pont | Alexis I du Pont | Alexis I du Pont | ||
| Appoquinimink | Appoquinimink | Appoquinimink 6- 1 vs 4- 3 | ||
| Archmere Academy | Archmere Academy | Archmere Academy | ||
| Brandywine | Brandywine | Brandywine | ||
| Caesar Rodney | Caesar Rodney | Caesar Rodney 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Cape Henlopen | Cape Henlopen | Cape Henlopen 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Caravel Academy | Caravel Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Caravel Academy | |
| Concord | First State Military | First State Military 6- 2 vs 4- 4 | ||
| Conrad School | First State Military | First State Military | ||
| Delaware Military Ac | First State Military | First State Military | ||
| Delcastle | First State Military | First State Military | ||
| Delmar | Delmar | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Delmar | |
| Dover | First State Military | insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 2) | First State Military | |
| Hodgson Vo-Tech | First State Military | First State Military | ||
| Indian River | Indian River | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Indian River | |
| McKean | First State Military | First State Military | ||
| Middletown | First State Military | insuffient: ( 6- 2)( 5- 3) | First State Military | |
| Milford | Milford | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Milford | |
| Mount Pleasant | First State Military | First State Military | ||
| Newark Charter | Newark Charter | Newark Charter | ||
| Odessa | First State Military | First State Military | ||
| Polytech | Polytech | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Polytech | |
| Red Lion Christian | Red Lion Christian | insuffient: ( 7- 2)( 6- 3) | Red Lion Christian | |
| Salesianum School | Salesianum School | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Salesianum School | |
| Sanford School | Sanford School | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Sanford School | |
| Smyrna | Smyrna | Smyrna 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| St Andrews School | St Andrews School | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | St Andrews School | |
| St Georges Tech | First State Military | First State Military | ||
| St Marks | St Marks | St Marks 6- 1 vs 4- 3 | ||
| Sussex Academy | Sussex Academy | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Sussex Academy | |
| Sussex Central | First State Military | First State Military | ||
| Sussex Tech | Sussex Tech | Sussex Tech | ||
| Tatnall School | Tatnall School | Tatnall School 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Tower Hill School | Tower Hill School | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Tower Hill School | |
| Wilmington Charter | Wilmington Charter | Wilmington Charter | ||
| Wilmington Christian | Wilmington Christian | Wilmington Christian 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Wilmington Friends | Wilmington Friends | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Wilmington Friends | |
| Woodbridge | First State Military | First State Military |
PowerWise = 13
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.36
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Delaware Milit ( 3-12, 75.6) 15- 4 -24.27 10.91 -0.21 0.96 10.24
0 A Sussex Central ( 1-11, 71.4) 16- 5 -28.49 6.69 0.21 0.96 6.60
0 H Archmere Acade (10- 5, 89.8) 9-15 -10.15 25.03 -0.21 0.96 -9.91
0 A Woodbridge ( 2-13, 76.4) 16-10 -23.47 11.71 0.21 0.96 11.41
0 H Brandywine (11- 5, 81.0) 5- 9 -18.90 16.27 -0.21 0.96 -18.30
0 H Wilmington Cha ( 9- 7, 86.3) 4-17 -13.65 21.53 -0.21 0.96 -13.26
0 H St Georges Tec ( 8- 7, 80.3) 6- 5 -19.64 15.53 -0.21 0.96 14.67
0 H Hodgson Vo-Tec ( 5-10, 72.5) 17- 7 -27.40 7.77 -0.21 0.96 7.24
0 H Mount Pleasant ( 2-11, 68.6) 13- 1 -31.30 3.87 -0.21 0.96 3.51
0 A Odessa (10- 5, 81.0) 6- 5 -18.86 16.31 0.21 0.96 15.81
0 A Newark Charter ( 3-11, 79.9) 5-16 -20.02 15.16 0.21 0.96 -18.96
0 H Conrad School ( 4-10, 72.3) 18- 0 -27.57 7.60 -0.21 0.96 7.08
0 A Delcastle ( 2-13, 70.1) 19- 3 -29.85 5.33 0.21 0.96 5.30
0 A Sussex Tech (10- 5, 82.4) 7-17 -17.46 17.71 0.21 0.96 -16.52
0 A McKean ( 0-15, 64.7) 20- 3 -35.17 1.00 0.21 0.96 1.16
------
6.06
|
winning pts = 83.0179 losing points = -76.9542
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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