All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 76.2600021 home-field advantage = -0.57 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 325 H Lake Shore/Silver Cree (16- 4, 79.3) 9- 8 327 A Niagara Wheatfield ( 6-10, 72.4) 8- 5 329 A East Aurora (15- 4, 76.5) 4- 5 401 A Gowanda (12- 3, 77.9) 7-15 403 H North Tonawanda ( 6- 8, 66.6) 15- 4 412 H Lancaster ( 7-10, 68.1) 15- 4 414 H Harriton ( 9-11, 76.8) 5- 9 422 A Williamsville North ( 7-11, 70.2) 11- 1 424 H Clarence (12- 4, 76.2) 8-11 430 A Starpoint ( 6-10, 67.1) 16- 6 503 H Sweet Home ( 2-12, 62.3) 14- 1 507 A Lake Shore/Silver Cree (16- 4, 79.3) 4- 8 508 H Niagara Wheatfield ( 6-10, 72.4) 12- 8 510 H Iroquois ( 4-13, 69.8) 11- 3 512 A Eden/North Collins (12- 6, 74.9) 12-11 515 A West Seneca West ( 6-10, 66.8) 10- 1 520 H West Seneca West ( 6-10, 66.8) 16- 3 522 A Clarence (12- 4, 76.2) 9- 4 530 N Lake Shore/Silver Cree (16- 4, 79.3) 9-14
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 325 H Lake Shore/Silver Cree 9- 8 1 -2 + 3.49 327 A Niagara Wheatfield 8- 5 3 3 -0.30 329 A East Aurora 4- 5 -1 0 -0.17 401 A Gowanda 7-15 -8 -2 -- -4.77 403 H North Tonawanda 15- 4 11 10 0.00 412 H Lancaster 15- 4 11 8 0.00 414 H Harriton 5- 9 -4 0 n/a 422 A Williamsville North 11- 1 10 5 1.56 424 H Clarence 8-11 -3 0 - -3.66 430 A Starpoint 16- 6 10 8 0.00 503 H Sweet Home 14- 1 13 14 0.00 507 A Lake Shore/Silver Cree 4- 8 -4 -3 -0.37 508 H Niagara Wheatfield 12- 8 4 4 -0.44 510 H Iroquois 11- 3 8 7 0.00 512 A Eden/North Collins 12-11 1 0 0.23 515 A West Seneca West 10- 1 9 8 0.00 520 H West Seneca West 16- 3 13 10 0.00 522 A Clarence 9- 4 5 0 ++ 5.48 530 N Lake Shore/Silver Cree 9-14 -5 -3 -1.94UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 A Gowanda 7-15 -8 -2 -- -4.77 414 H Harriton 5- 9 -4 0 - 424 H Clarence 8-11 -3 0 - -3.66OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 522 A Clarence 9- 4 5 0 ++ 5.48 325 H Lake Shore/Silver Cree 9- 8 1 -2 + 3.49
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 76.26 Power Rank................. 139 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 45.30 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 195 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5520 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 245 RPI Rating............... .5901 RPI Rank................... 64 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 243 Selection sum ........... 405 Selection Rank ............ 113 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -60. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 94 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -60. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 96 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 10.3 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 6.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 4.3