Fruita Monument
W-L: (11- 5) PR = 84.0290Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 311 H Telluride (11- 5, 86.7) 5-12 313 H Crested Butte ( 4-11, 79.5) 15- 5 315 H Thompson Valley ( 3-12, 78.3) 8- 1 329 H Prairie View ( 6-10, 79.6) 13- 5 402 A Eagle Valley ( 0-12, 75.6) 1- 0 408 H Grand Junction (11- 5, 85.5) 11-14 410 A Battle Mountain ( 8- 8, 84.9) 7- 5 412 A Montrose ( 3-11, 78.2) 15- 5 415 H Aspen (16- 1, 89.3) 1-14 419 H Durango ( 6- 8, 81.6) 12- 8 422 A Crested Butte ( 4-11, 79.5) 15- 5 423 H Montrose ( 3-11, 78.2) 16- 7 425 A Telluride (11- 5, 86.7) 8- 7 501 A Grand Junction (11- 5, 85.5) 3- 8 506 H Prairie View ( 6-10, 79.6) 10- 3 509 A Telluride (11- 5, 86.7) 4-10
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
311 H Telluride 5-12 -7 -2 - -2.69
313 H Crested Butte 15- 5 10 5 0.07
315 H Thompson Valley 8- 1 7 6 0.00
329 H Prairie View 13- 5 8 5 0.20
408 H Grand Junction 11-14 -3 -1 -1.89
410 A Battle Mountain 7- 5 2 -1 + 3.24
412 A Montrose 15- 5 10 5 0.00
415 H Aspen 1-14 -13 -5 -0.06
419 H Durango 12- 8 4 3 1.17
422 A Crested Butte 15- 5 10 4 0.81
423 H Montrose 16- 7 9 6 0.00
425 A Telluride 8- 7 1 -3 ++ 4.04
501 A Grand Junction 3- 8 -5 -2 - -3.15
506 H Prairie View 10- 3 7 5 0.20
509 A Telluride 4-10 -6 -3 -1.96
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 311 H Telluride 5-12 -7 -2 - -2.69 501 A Grand Junction 3- 8 -5 -2 - -3.15 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 425 A Telluride 8- 7 1 -3 ++ 4.04 410 A Battle Mountain 7- 5 2 -1 + 3.24 |
Fruita Monument Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Academy | Air Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Air Academy | |
| Arapahoe | Arapahoe | Arapahoe | ||
| Arvada West | Fruita Monument | Fruita Monument | ||
| Aspen | Aspen | Aspen | ||
| Battle Mountain | Fruita Monument | Fruita Monument | ||
| Boulder | Boulder | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Boulder | |
| Castle View | Castle View | Castle View | ||
| Chaparral | Fruita Monument | Fruita Monument | ||
| Chatfield | Chatfield | Chatfield | ||
| Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Cherry Creek | Cherry Creek | Cherry Creek | ||
| Cheyenne Mountain | Cheyenne Mountain | Cheyenne Mountain | ||
| Colorado Academy | Colorado Academy | Colorado Academy | ||
| Columbine | Columbine | Columbine | ||
| Conifer | Fruita Monument | Fruita Monument 4- 2 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Crested Butte | Fruita Monument | Fruita Monument | ||
| Dakota Ridge | Dakota Ridge | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 0) | Dakota Ridge | |
| Denver East | Denver East | Denver East | ||
| Denver North | Fruita Monument | Fruita Monument 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Denver South | Denver South | Denver South | ||
| Douglas County | Fruita Monument | Fruita Monument | ||
| Durango | Fruita Monument | Fruita Monument | ||
| Eagle Valley | Fruita Monument | Fruita Monument | ||
| Eaglecrest | Fruita Monument | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Fruita Monument | |
| Erie | Erie | Erie | ||
| Evergreen | Evergreen | tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 0) | Evergreen | |
| Fairview | Fairview | Fairview | ||
| Fountain Valley | Fruita Monument | Fruita Monument | ||
| Glenwood Springs | Fruita Monument | Fruita Monument 6- 3 vs 4- 3 | ||
| Golden | Golden | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Golden | |
| Grand Junction | Grand Junction | Grand Junction | ||
| Grandview | Grandview | Grandview | ||
| Green Mountain | Fruita Monument | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Fruita Monument | |
| Heritage | Heritage | Heritage | ||
| Holy Family | Fruita Monument | insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) | Fruita Monument | |
| Jefferson Academy | Fruita Monument | Fruita Monument 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Kent Denver | Kent Denver | Kent Denver | ||
| Lakewood | Lakewood | Lakewood | ||
| Legend | Legend | Legend | ||
| Lewis Palmer | Lewis Palmer | Lewis Palmer | ||
| Littleton | Fruita Monument | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Fruita Monument | |
| Lutheran | Lutheran | Lutheran | ||
| Middle Park | Fruita Monument | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Fruita Monument | |
| Monarch | Monarch | Monarch | ||
| Montrose | Fruita Monument | Fruita Monument | ||
| Mountain Range | Mountain Range | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Mountain Range | |
| Mountain Vista | Mountain Vista | Mountain Vista | ||
| Mullen | Fruita Monument | Fruita Monument | ||
| Northfield | Northfield | Northfield | ||
| Palmer | Fruita Monument | Fruita Monument | ||
| Pine Creek | Pine Creek | Pine Creek | ||
| Ponderosa | Fruita Monument | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Fruita Monument | |
| Poudre District | Poudre District | Poudre District | ||
| Prairie View | Fruita Monument | Fruita Monument | ||
| Pueblo West | Fruita Monument | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Fruita Monument | |
| Ralston Valley | Ralston Valley | Ralston Valley | ||
| Rangeview | Fruita Monument | Fruita Monument | ||
| Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit | ||
| Resurrection Christi | Resurrection Christi | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Resurrection Christi | |
| Rock Canyon | Rock Canyon | Rock Canyon | ||
| Smoky Hill | Fruita Monument | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Fruita Monument | |
| St Marys HS | Fruita Monument | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Fruita Monument | |
| Steamboat Springs | Steamboat Springs | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Steamboat Springs | |
| Summit | Fruita Monument | Fruita Monument 5- 1 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Telluride | Telluride | Telluride | ||
| Thomas Jefferson | Fruita Monument | Fruita Monument | ||
| Thompson Valley | Fruita Monument | Fruita Monument | ||
| ThunderRidge | Fruita Monument | Fruita Monument | ||
| Vail Mountain | Vail Mountain | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | Vail Mountain | |
| Valor Christian | Valor Christian | Valor Christian | ||
| Vanguard School | Fruita Monument | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Fruita Monument | |
| Windsor | Fruita Monument | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Fruita Monument |
PowerWise = 32
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.04
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Telluride (11- 5, 86.7) 5-12 -13.20 20.31 -0.37 0.94 -12.75
0 H Crested Butte ( 4-11, 79.5) 15- 5 -20.43 13.07 -0.37 0.94 11.94
0 H Thompson Valle ( 3-12, 78.3) 8- 1 -21.62 11.88 -0.37 0.94 10.82
0 H Prairie View ( 6-10, 79.6) 13- 5 -20.30 13.20 -0.37 0.94 12.06
0 A Eagle Valley ( 0-12, 75.6) 1- 0 -24.29 9.22 0.37 0.94 9.01
0 H Grand Junction (11- 5, 85.5) 11-14 -14.39 19.11 -0.37 0.94 -13.87
0 A Battle Mountai ( 8- 8, 84.9) 7- 5 -15.00 18.50 0.37 0.94 17.74
0 A Montrose ( 3-11, 78.2) 15- 5 -21.66 11.84 0.37 0.94 11.48
0 H Aspen (16- 1, 89.3) 1-14 -10.57 22.94 -0.37 0.94 -10.28
0 H Durango ( 6- 8, 81.6) 12- 8 -18.33 15.17 -0.37 0.94 13.92
0 A Crested Butte ( 4-11, 79.5) 15- 5 -20.43 13.07 0.37 0.94 12.64
0 H Montrose ( 3-11, 78.2) 16- 7 -21.66 11.84 -0.37 0.94 10.78
0 A Telluride (11- 5, 86.7) 8- 7 -13.20 20.31 0.37 0.94 19.44
0 A Grand Junction (11- 5, 85.5) 3- 8 -14.39 19.11 0.37 0.94 -13.18
0 H Prairie View ( 6-10, 79.6) 10- 3 -20.30 13.20 -0.37 0.94 12.06
0 A Telluride (11- 5, 86.7) 4-10 -13.20 20.31 0.37 0.94 -12.06
------
79.75
|
winning pts = 141.8862 losing points = -62.1401
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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