---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:07 PDT

safe3step boys Apex Friendship 1
  
Apex Friendship       
W-L: (16- 7) PR = 94.4151

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 228 H Topsail (15- 6, 91.1) 11- 9 304 H Chapel Hill (12- 8, 89.5) 12- 5 307 H Croatan (21- 2, 94.4) 10- 8 310 H Holly Springs (12- 9, 93.6) 8-12 313 A Middle Creek (21- 4, 97.7) 4-15 315 A Hillsborough Orange (21- 5, 88.0) 16- 7 318 H Leesville Road (10-11, 88.8) 11- 2 324 A Panther Creek ( 2-18, 79.4) 17- 3 328 A Cary HS ( 7-17, 79.2) 18- 3 408 H Green Level (13- 7, 94.0) 13-14 409 H Green Hope (10-11, 91.9) 11- 4 414 A Apex (18- 5, 95.5) 8- 9 415 H Middle Creek (21- 4, 97.7) 3-10 417 A Holly Springs (12- 9, 93.6) 8- 5 422 A Green Hope (10-11, 91.9) 5- 4 425 H Apex (18- 5, 95.5) 7- 8 429 H Panther Creek ( 2-18, 79.4) 18- 1 506 A Green Level (13- 7, 94.0) 15-11 507 H Cary HS ( 7-17, 79.2) 19- 2 513 H Fuquay-Varina (14- 8, 85.4) 21- 5 516 A Willow Spring (13- 7, 88.0) 13- 4 520 A Laney (17- 3, 93.2) 12- 5 523 A Middle Creek (21- 4, 97.7) 2-16

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 H Topsail                11- 9       2     4          -1.54
   304 H Chapel Hill            12- 5       7     5           0.00
   307 H Croatan                10- 8       2     0           1.69
   310 H Holly Springs           8-12      -4     1    --    -5.06
   313 A Middle Creek            4-15     -11    -4          -1.47
   315 A Hillsborough Orange    16- 7       9     6           0.00
   318 H Leesville Road         11- 2       9     6           0.00
   324 A Panther Creek          17- 3      14    15           0.00
   328 A Cary HS                18- 3      15    15           0.00
   408 H Green Level            13-14      -1     1          -1.72
   409 H Green Hope             11- 4       7     3    +      2.25
   414 A Apex                    8- 9      -1    -1           0.39
   415 H Middle Creek            3-10      -7    -3    -     -2.01
   417 A Holly Springs           8- 5       3     1    +      2.48
   422 A Green Hope              5- 4       1     2          -1.20
   425 H Apex                    7- 8      -1    -1          -0.15
   429 H Panther Creek          18- 1      17    15           0.00
   506 A Green Level            15-11       4     0    +      3.82
   507 H Cary HS                19- 2      17    16           0.00
   513 H Fuquay-Varina          21- 5      16     9           0.00
   516 A Willow Spring          13- 4       9     6           0.00
   520 A Laney                  12- 5       7     1    ++     4.01
   523 A Middle Creek            2-16     -14    -4          -1.47

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 H Holly Springs           8-12      -4     1    --    -5.06
   415 H Middle Creek            3-10      -7    -3    -     -2.01

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   520 A Laney                  12- 5       7     1    ++     4.01
   409 H Green Hope             11- 4       7     3    +      2.25
   417 A Holly Springs           8- 5       3     1    +      2.48
   506 A Green Level            15-11       4     0    +      3.82

Apex Friendship Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex Apex  
Ardrey Kell Apex Friendship tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Apex Friendship
Arendell Parrott Aca Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Asheville HS Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Asheville School Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Ashley Apex Friendship insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 4) Apex Friendship
Athens Drive Apex Friendship Apex Friendship   6- 3 vs 3- 3
Atkins Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Ballantyne Ridge Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Bishop McGuinness Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Bradford Prep Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Broughton Apex Friendship tied - ( 5- 3) ( 5- 2) Apex Friendship
Butler Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Cannon School Apex Friendship insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Apex Friendship
Cape Fear Academy Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Cape Fear HS Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Carrboro Apex Friendship Apex Friendship   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Cary Academy Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Cary Christian Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Cary HS Apex Friendship Apex Friendship  
Cedar Ridge Apex Friendship insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Apex Friendship
Chapel Hill Apex Friendship Apex Friendship  
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Charlotte Christian Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Charlotte Latin Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Christ School Christ School insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Christ School
Christ The King Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Clayton Apex Friendship tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1) Apex Friendship
Cleveland Apex Friendship insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) Apex Friendship
Community School-Dav Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Corinth Holders Apex Friendship insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) Apex Friendship
Cornerstone Charter Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Croatan Apex Friendship Apex Friendship  
Cuthbertson Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Davie Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
DH Conley Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Durham Academy Durham Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Durham Academy
East Chapel Hill Apex Friendship insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) Apex Friendship
East Forsyth Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Eastern Alamance Apex Friendship insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Apex Friendship
Eastern Guilford Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Enloe Apex Friendship Apex Friendship   2- 0 vs 0- 3
Fike Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
First Flight Apex Friendship insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Apex Friendship
Forsyth Country Day Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Fuquay-Varina Apex Friendship Apex Friendship  
Garner Apex Friendship insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) Apex Friendship
Glenn Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Grays Creek Apex Friendship insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Apex Friendship
Green Hope Apex Friendship Apex Friendship  
Green Level Apex Friendship tied - ( 5- 3) ( 5- 2) Apex Friendship
Greensboro Day Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Grimsley Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Havelock Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Heritage Apex Friendship tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 0) Apex Friendship
Hickory Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
High Point Central Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Hillsborough Orange Apex Friendship Apex Friendship  
Hoggard Apex Friendship Apex Friendship   5- 1 vs 3- 3
Holly Springs Apex Friendship tied - ( 4- 3) ( 4- 3) Apex Friendship
Hough Hough   Hough
Hunt Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Independence Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Jack Britt Apex Friendship insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Apex Friendship
Jacksonville Apex Friendship insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Apex Friendship
JF Webb Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
JH Rose Apex Friendship Apex Friendship   2- 0 vs 0- 2
John Paul II Catholi Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Jordan Apex Friendship Apex Friendship   4- 1 vs 1- 2
Lake Norman Charter Apex Friendship insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Apex Friendship
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Lake Norman HS
Laney Apex Friendship Apex Friendship  
Leesville Road Apex Friendship Apex Friendship  
Lincoln Charter Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Marvin Ridge Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Middle Creek Middle Creek Middle Creek  
Millbrook Apex Friendship Apex Friendship   4- 0 vs 1- 2
Mooresville Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Mount Tabor Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Mountain Island Char Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Myers Park Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
New Bern Apex Friendship Apex Friendship   2- 0 vs 0- 3
New Hanover Apex Friendship insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) Apex Friendship
North Brunswick Apex Friendship insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) Apex Friendship
North Davidson Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
North Lincoln Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
North Raleigh Christ Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Northern Durham Apex Friendship Apex Friendship   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Northern Guilford Apex Friendship insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Apex Friendship
Northside Apex Friendship insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Apex Friendship
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 2) Northwest Guilford
Northwood Apex Friendship insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Apex Friendship
Page Apex Friendship insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Apex Friendship
Panther Creek Apex Friendship Apex Friendship  
Parkwood Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Patton Morganton Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Pine Forest Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Pine Lake Prep Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Pinecrest Apex Friendship Apex Friendship   4- 2 vs 0- 4
Porter Ridge Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Providence Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Providence Day Apex Friendship insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Apex Friendship
Queens Grant Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Rabun Gap-Nocoochee   Rabun Gap-Nocoochee
Ragsdale Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Ravenscroft School Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Reagan Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Riverside Durham Apex Friendship Apex Friendship   3- 0 vs 0- 3
RJ Reynolds Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Rolesville Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Roxboro Community Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Sanderson Apex Friendship Apex Friendship   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Seaforth Apex Friendship tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Apex Friendship
South Brunswick Apex Friendship insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) Apex Friendship
South Garner Apex Friendship insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 2) Apex Friendship
South Iredell Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
South Mecklenburg Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
South View Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Southeast Alamance Apex Friendship insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Apex Friendship
Southeast Guilford Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Southern Alamance Apex Friendship Apex Friendship   2- 0 vs 0- 1
Southlake Christian Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Southwest Guilford Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
St Davids School Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
St Stephens Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Sun Valley Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Swansboro Apex Friendship Apex Friendship   2- 0 vs 0- 2
TC Roberson Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Terry Sanford Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Topsail Apex Friendship Apex Friendship  
Union Pines Apex Friendship Apex Friendship   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Vance Charter Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Voyager Academy Apex Friendship tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Apex Friendship
Wake Forest Apex Friendship Apex Friendship   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Wake Prep Apex Friendship insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Apex Friendship
Wakefield Apex Friendship insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Apex Friendship
Walter M Williams Apex Friendship Apex Friendship   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Watauga Apex Friendship insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Apex Friendship
Weddington Apex Friendship tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Apex Friendship
West Brunswick Apex Friendship insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) Apex Friendship
West Carteret Apex Friendship insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Apex Friendship
West Forsyth Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
West Stokes Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Western Alamance Apex Friendship insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Apex Friendship
Western Guilford Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Willow Spring Apex Friendship Apex Friendship  

PowerWise = 138


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.93

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Topsail         (15- 6, 91.1)    11- 9       -8.75      25.06      -0.27         0.78            19.33
   0 H Chapel Hill     (12- 8, 89.5)    12- 5      -10.38      23.43      -0.27         0.78            18.05
   0 H Croatan         (21- 2, 94.4)    10- 8       -5.52      28.29      -0.27         0.78            21.84
   0 H Holly Springs   (12- 9, 93.6)     8-12       -6.28      27.53      -0.27         0.78            -5.11
   0 A Middle Creek    (21- 4, 97.7)     4-15       -2.23      31.58       0.27         0.78            -1.53
   0 A Hillsborough O  (21- 5, 88.0)    16- 7      -11.89      21.92       0.27         0.78            17.30
   0 H Leesville Road  (10-11, 88.8)    11- 2      -11.06      22.75      -0.27         0.78            17.52
   0 A Panther Creek   ( 2-18, 79.4)    17- 3      -20.55      13.26       0.27         0.78            10.55
   0 A Cary HS         ( 7-17, 79.2)    18- 3      -20.72      13.08       0.27         0.78            10.41
   0 H Green Level     (13- 7, 94.0)    13-14       -5.94      27.87      -0.27         0.78            -4.84
   0 H Green Hope      (10-11, 91.9)    11- 4       -7.96      25.85      -0.27         0.78            19.94
   0 A Apex            (18- 5, 95.5)     8- 9       -4.36      29.45       0.27         0.78            -3.19
   0 H Middle Creek    (21- 4, 97.7)     3-10       -2.23      31.58      -0.27         0.78            -1.95
   0 A Holly Springs   (12- 9, 93.6)     8- 5       -6.28      27.53       0.27         0.78            21.68
   0 A Green Hope      (10-11, 91.9)     5- 4       -7.96      25.85       0.27         0.78            20.37
   0 H Apex            (18- 5, 95.5)     7- 8       -4.36      29.45      -0.27         0.78            -3.61
   0 H Panther Creek   ( 2-18, 79.4)    18- 1      -20.55      13.26      -0.27         0.78            10.13
   0 A Green Level     (13- 7, 94.0)    15-11       -5.94      27.87       0.27         0.78            21.94
   0 H Cary HS         ( 7-17, 79.2)    19- 2      -20.72      13.08      -0.27         0.78             9.99
   0 H Fuquay-Varina   (14- 8, 85.4)    21- 5      -14.54      19.27      -0.27         0.78            14.81
   0 A Willow Spring   (13- 7, 88.0)    13- 4      -11.91      21.90       0.27         0.78            17.29
   0 A Laney           (17- 3, 93.2)    12- 5       -6.75      27.06       0.27         0.78            21.31
   0 A Middle Creek    (21- 4, 97.7)     2-16       -2.23      31.58       0.27         0.78            -1.53
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       250.73

winning pts = 272.4783 losing points = -21.7482

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------