First Colonial
W-L: ( 8- 7) PR = 78.4646Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 331 H Cape Henry Collegiat (11- 6, 87.9) 2-15 408 A Kellam (16- 3, 87.2) 2-15 410 H Ocean Lakes ( 8- 7, 78.5) 6- 9 415 A Norfolk Collegiate ( 6- 9, 81.2) 4-10 422 A Cox (11- 6, 81.3) 3-10 424 H Bishop OConnell ( 4- 5, 86.0) 2-19 429 A Salem Virginia Beach ( 1-10, 68.4) 11- 3 430 H Tallwood ( 1-10, 67.8) 14- 2 502 H Princess Anne ( 9- 5, 79.3) 15-13 506 A Bayside ( 1-11, 68.4) 14- 1 509 H Kempsville ( 5- 9, 75.0) 17-10 513 A Green Run ( 5- 7, 70.3) 12- 1 516 H Landstown ( 4- 9, 71.5) 13- 3 528 A Ocean Lakes ( 8- 7, 78.5) 11- 8 530 A Kellam (16- 3, 87.2) 6-16
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
331 H Cape Henry Collegiat 2-15 -13 -9 0.00
408 A Kellam 2-15 -13 -9 0.00
410 H Ocean Lakes 6- 9 -3 1 - -3.60
415 A Norfolk Collegiate 4-10 -6 -3 -1.66
422 A Cox 3-10 -7 -3 -1.56
424 H Bishop OConnell 2-19 -17 -7 0.00
429 A Salem Virginia Beach 11- 3 8 9 0.00
430 H Tallwood 14- 2 12 11 0.00
502 H Princess Anne 15-13 2 0 + 2.23
506 A Bayside 14- 1 13 9 0.00
509 H Kempsville 17-10 7 4 0.88
513 A Green Run 12- 1 11 8 0.00
516 H Landstown 13- 3 10 8 0.00
528 A Ocean Lakes 11- 8 3 -1 + 3.62
530 A Kellam 6-16 -10 -9 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 410 H Ocean Lakes 6- 9 -3 1 - -3.60 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 502 H Princess Anne 15-13 2 0 + 2.23 528 A Ocean Lakes 11- 8 3 -1 + 3.62 |
First Colonial Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albemarle | Albemarle | Albemarle | ||
| Alexandria City | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Annandale | First Colonial | First Colonial | ||
| Atlee | Atlee | Atlee | ||
| Battlefield | Battlefield | Battlefield | ||
| Bayside | First Colonial | First Colonial | ||
| Benedictine | Benedictine | Benedictine 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Bishop Ireton | Bishop Ireton | Bishop Ireton 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Bishop OConnell | Bishop OConnell | Bishop OConnell | ||
| Blacksburg | Blacksburg | Blacksburg | ||
| Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School | ||
| Brentsville | Brentsville | Brentsville | ||
| Briar Woods | Briar Woods | Briar Woods | ||
| Broad Run | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Brooke Point | Brooke Point | Brooke Point | ||
| Cape Henry Collegiat | Cape Henry Collegiat | Cape Henry Collegiat | ||
| Catholic HS | Catholic HS | Catholic HS 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Cave Spring | Cave Spring | Cave Spring | ||
| Centreville | Centreville | Centreville | ||
| Chantilly | Chantilly | Chantilly | ||
| Charlottesville | Charlottesville | Charlottesville | ||
| Christchurch | Christchurch | Christchurch | ||
| Christiansburg | First Colonial | First Colonial | ||
| Clover Hill | First Colonial | First Colonial | ||
| Colgan | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Collegiate School | Collegiate School | Collegiate School | ||
| Colonial Forge | Colonial Forge | Colonial Forge | ||
| Cosby | Cosby | Cosby | ||
| Covenant School | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Cox | Cox | Cox | ||
| Culpeper County | First Colonial | First Colonial | ||
| Deep Run | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Dominion | Dominion | Dominion | ||
| Douglas Freeman | Douglas Freeman | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Douglas Freeman | |
| Eastern View | First Colonial | First Colonial | ||
| EC Glass | EC Glass | EC Glass | ||
| Edison | Edison | Edison | ||
| Episcopal | Episcopal | Episcopal | ||
| Eukarya Christian | Eukarya Christian | Eukarya Christian | ||
| Fairfax | Fairfax | Fairfax | ||
| Falls Church | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Fauquier | Fauquier | Fauquier | ||
| Fishburne Military A | First Colonial | First Colonial | ||
| Flint Hill | Flint Hill | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Flint Hill | |
| Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | ||
| Forest Park | First Colonial | First Colonial | ||
| Fork Union Military | Fork Union Military | Fork Union Military | ||
| Franklin County | Franklin County | Franklin County | ||
| Fredericksburg Acade | First Colonial | First Colonial | ||
| Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Fredericksburg Chris | |
| Freedom South Ridin | Freedom South Ridin | Freedom South Ridin | ||
| Freedom Woodbridge | Freedom Woodbridge | Freedom Woodbridge | ||
| Gainesville | Gainesville | Gainesville | ||
| Gar-field | First Colonial | First Colonial | ||
| Glen Allen | Glen Allen | Glen Allen | ||
| Goochland | Goochland | Goochland | ||
| Grafton LC | First Colonial | First Colonial | ||
| Grassfield LC | Grassfield LC | Grassfield LC | ||
| Green Run | First Colonial | First Colonial | ||
| Handley | Handley | Handley | ||
| Hanover | Hanover | Hanover | ||
| Hayfield | Hayfield | Hayfield | ||
| Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Herndon | Herndon | Herndon | ||
| Hickory LC | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Hidden Valley | First Colonial | First Colonial | ||
| Highland School | Highland School | Highland School | ||
| Highland Springs | First Colonial | First Colonial | ||
| Hylton | Hylton | Hylton | ||
| Independence | Independence | Independence 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| James Monroe | James Monroe | James Monroe | ||
| James River | James River | James River | ||
| Jamestown LC | Jamestown LC | Jamestown LC | ||
| Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| John Champe | John Champe | John Champe | ||
| Justice | Justice | Justice | ||
| Kellam | Kellam | Kellam | ||
| Kempsville | First Colonial | First Colonial | ||
| Kettle Run | Kettle Run | Kettle Run | ||
| Lafayette LC | Lafayette LC | Lafayette LC | ||
| Lake Braddock | Lake Braddock | Lake Braddock | ||
| Landstown | First Colonial | First Colonial | ||
| Langley | Langley | Langley | ||
| Lewis | First Colonial | First Colonial | ||
| Liberty Bealeton | Liberty Bealeton | Liberty Bealeton | ||
| Lightridge | Lightridge | Lightridge | ||
| Lloyd C Bird | Lloyd C Bird | Lloyd C Bird | ||
| Lord Botetourt | First Colonial | First Colonial | ||
| Loudoun County | Loudoun County | Loudoun County | ||
| Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Madison | Madison | Madison | ||
| Manchester | Manchester | Manchester | ||
| Marshall | Marshall | Marshall | ||
| Massaponax | First Colonial | First Colonial | ||
| Matoaca | First Colonial | First Colonial | ||
| Maury LC | Maury LC | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Maury LC | |
| McLean | McLean | McLean | ||
| Mechanicsville | First Colonial | First Colonial | ||
| Menchville LC | First Colonial | First Colonial | ||
| Meridian | Meridian | Meridian | ||
| Midlothian | Midlothian | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Midlothian | |
| Mills Godwin | Mills Godwin | Mills Godwin | ||
| Monacan | Monacan | Monacan | ||
| Monticello | Monticello | Monticello | ||
| Mount Vernon | First Colonial | First Colonial | ||
| Mountain View | Mountain View | Mountain View | ||
| Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | Nansemond-Suffolk Ac 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| New Covenant School | New Covenant School | New Covenant School | ||
| Norfolk Academy | Norfolk Academy | Norfolk Academy 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Norfolk Christian | Norfolk Christian | tied - ( 4- 3) ( 4- 2) | Norfolk Christian | |
| Norfolk Collegiate | Norfolk Collegiate | Norfolk Collegiate | ||
| North Cross School | North Cross School | North Cross School | ||
| North Stafford | First Colonial | First Colonial | ||
| Northern VA Home Sch | First Colonial | First Colonial | ||
| Oakton | Oakton | Oakton | ||
| Ocean Lakes | Ocean Lakes | insuffient: ( 7- 4)( 6- 5) | Ocean Lakes | |
| Orange County | Orange County | Orange County | ||
| Osbourn | First Colonial | First Colonial | ||
| Osbourn Park | First Colonial | First Colonial | ||
| Park View | First Colonial | First Colonial | ||
| Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | ||
| Patrick Henry Roano | Patrick Henry Roano | Patrick Henry Roano | ||
| Patriot | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Paul VI | Paul VI | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Paul VI | |
| Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Potomac School | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Potomac-Dumfries | First Colonial | First Colonial | ||
| Powhatan | First Colonial | First Colonial | ||
| Princess Anne | First Colonial | First Colonial | ||
| Riverbend | Riverbend | Riverbend | ||
| Riverside | Riverside | Riverside | ||
| Robinson | Robinson | Robinson | ||
| Rock Ridge | First Colonial | First Colonial | ||
| Rockbridge County | Rockbridge County | Rockbridge County | ||
| Rockingham LC | Rockingham LC | Rockingham LC | ||
| Salem | Salem | Salem | ||
| Salem Virginia Beach | First Colonial | First Colonial | ||
| Seton School | Seton School | Seton School | ||
| South County | South County | South County | ||
| South Lakes | South Lakes | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) | South Lakes | |
| St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield | ||
| St Christophers | St Christophers | St Christophers | ||
| St John Paul the Gre | St John Paul the Gre | St John Paul the Gre | ||
| St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | ||
| Stafford | Stafford | Stafford | ||
| Steward School | First Colonial | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | First Colonial | |
| Stone Bridge | Stone Bridge | Stone Bridge | ||
| Strasburg LC | Strasburg LC | Strasburg LC | ||
| Tabb LC | Tabb LC | Tabb LC | ||
| Tallwood | First Colonial | First Colonial | ||
| Tandem Friends | First Colonial | First Colonial | ||
| Thomas Dale | First Colonial | First Colonial | ||
| Thomas Jefferson | First Colonial | First Colonial | ||
| Trinity Christian | Trinity Christian | Trinity Christian | ||
| Trinity Episcopal | Trinity Episcopal | Trinity Episcopal | ||
| Trinity Meadow View | Trinity Meadow View | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Trinity Meadow View | |
| Tuscarora | First Colonial | First Colonial | ||
| Unity Reed | First Colonial | First Colonial | ||
| Veritas School | First Colonial | First Colonial | ||
| Virginia Academy | First Colonial | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | First Colonial | |
| Virginia Episcopal S | Virginia Episcopal S | Virginia Episcopal S | ||
| Wakefield HS | Wakefield HS | Wakefield HS | ||
| Wakefield School | First Colonial | First Colonial | ||
| Washington-Liberty | Washington-Liberty | Washington-Liberty | ||
| West Potomac | West Potomac | West Potomac | ||
| West Springfield | West Springfield | West Springfield | ||
| Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Westfield | Westfield | Westfield | ||
| William Byrd | William Byrd | William Byrd | ||
| William Fleming | William Fleming | William Fleming | ||
| Woodberry Forest | Woodberry Forest | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Woodberry Forest | |
| Woodbridge | First Colonial | First Colonial | ||
| Woodgrove | Woodgrove | Woodgrove | ||
| Woodson | Woodson | Woodson | ||
| York LC | First Colonial | First Colonial | ||
| Yorktown | Yorktown | Yorktown |
PowerWise = 45
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.94
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Cape Henry Col (11- 6, 87.9) 2-15 -11.96 23.04 -0.61 0.93 -11.69
0 A Kellam (16- 3, 87.2) 2-15 -12.65 22.35 0.61 0.93 -11.20
0 H Ocean Lakes ( 8- 7, 78.5) 6- 9 -21.43 13.57 -0.61 0.93 -20.49
0 A Norfolk Colleg ( 6- 9, 81.2) 4-10 -18.70 16.30 0.61 0.93 -16.82
0 A Cox (11- 6, 81.3) 3-10 -18.61 16.39 0.61 0.93 -16.73
0 H Bishop OConnel ( 4- 5, 86.0) 2-19 -13.90 21.11 -0.61 0.93 -13.48
0 A Salem Virginia ( 1-10, 68.4) 11- 3 -31.49 3.51 0.61 0.93 3.83
0 H Tallwood ( 1-10, 67.8) 14- 2 -32.12 2.88 -0.61 0.93 2.11
0 H Princess Anne ( 9- 5, 79.3) 15-13 -20.59 14.41 -0.61 0.93 12.83
0 A Bayside ( 1-11, 68.4) 14- 1 -31.45 3.55 0.61 0.93 3.87
0 H Kempsville ( 5- 9, 75.0) 17-10 -24.94 10.06 -0.61 0.93 8.78
0 A Green Run ( 5- 7, 70.3) 12- 1 -29.63 5.38 0.61 0.93 5.56
0 H Landstown ( 4- 9, 71.5) 13- 3 -28.43 6.57 -0.61 0.93 5.54
0 A Ocean Lakes ( 8- 7, 78.5) 11- 8 -21.43 13.57 0.61 0.93 13.18
0 A Kellam (16- 3, 87.2) 6-16 -12.65 22.35 0.61 0.93 -11.20
------
-45.89
|
winning pts = 55.7038 losing points = -101.5988
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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