Fuquay-Varina
W-L: (14- 8) PR = 85.3586Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 225 A Chapel Hill (12- 8, 89.5) 6-14 228 H Swansboro ( 6-14, 78.7) 14- 6 304 H Grays Creek ( 5-13, 77.3) 21-13 306 H Wake Forest ( 9- 9, 80.5) 15- 5 311 H Laney (17- 3, 93.2) 4-18 314 H Hoggard (15- 6, 91.9) 9-24 318 H Cleveland ( 7-10, 79.6) 18-10 319 H Enloe ( 4-15, 84.3) 17-13 324 A Garner ( 5-10, 81.0) 18-10 327 H Clayton (13- 6, 86.9) 9-13 408 A Corinth Holders ( 7-13, 81.8) 13- 5 410 A Cleveland ( 7-10, 79.6) 20- 8 415 A Willow Spring (13- 7, 88.0) 6-13 417 H South Garner ( 5-14, 80.0) 13- 6 422 A Grays Creek ( 5-13, 77.3) 1- 0 425 H Garner ( 5-10, 81.0) 18- 9 429 A Clayton (13- 6, 86.9) 12-10 502 H Willow Spring (13- 7, 88.0) 6-14 506 H Corinth Holders ( 7-13, 81.8) 11- 5 507 A South Garner ( 5-14, 80.0) 12- 5 508 A Jordan (12- 9, 87.3) 6-16 513 A Apex Friendship (16- 7, 94.4) 5-21
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
225 A Chapel Hill 6-14 -8 -4 -0.57
228 H Swansboro 14- 6 8 7 0.00
304 H Grays Creek 21-13 8 8 0.00
306 H Wake Forest 15- 5 10 5 0.00
311 H Laney 4-18 -14 -8 0.00
314 H Hoggard 9-24 -15 -6 0.00
318 H Cleveland 18-10 8 6 0.00
319 H Enloe 17-13 4 1 + 2.70
324 A Garner 18-10 8 4 0.93
327 H Clayton 9-13 -4 -1 - -2.71
408 A Corinth Holders 13- 5 8 3 1.74
410 A Cleveland 20- 8 12 6 0.00
415 A Willow Spring 6-13 -7 -3 - -2.09
417 H South Garner 13- 6 7 6 0.00
425 H Garner 18- 9 9 5 0.38
429 A Clayton 12-10 2 -2 + 3.84
502 H Willow Spring 6-14 -8 -2 - -2.64
506 H Corinth Holders 11- 5 6 4 1.19
507 A South Garner 12- 5 7 5 0.00
508 A Jordan 6-16 -10 -2 - -2.78
513 A Apex Friendship 5-21 -16 -9 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 327 H Clayton 9-13 -4 -1 - -2.71 415 A Willow Spring 6-13 -7 -3 - -2.09 502 H Willow Spring 6-14 -8 -2 - -2.64 508 A Jordan 6-16 -10 -2 - -2.78 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 319 H Enloe 17-13 4 1 + 2.70 429 A Clayton 12-10 2 -2 + 3.84 |
Fuquay-Varina Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apex | Apex | Apex 2- 0 vs 0- 1 | ||
| Apex Friendship | Apex Friendship | Apex Friendship | ||
| Ardrey Kell | Ardrey Kell | Ardrey Kell | ||
| Arendell Parrott Aca | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Asheville HS | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Asheville School | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Ashley | Ashley | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Ashley | |
| Athens Drive | Athens Drive | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Athens Drive | |
| Atkins | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Ballantyne Ridge | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Bishop McGuinness | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Bradford Prep | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Broughton | Broughton | Broughton 4- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Butler | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Cannon School | Cannon School | Cannon School | ||
| Cape Fear Academy | Fuquay-Varina | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Fuquay-Varina | |
| Cape Fear HS | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Cardinal Gibbons | |
| Carrboro | Carrboro | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 2) | Carrboro | |
| Cary Academy | Cary Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) | Cary Academy | |
| Cary Christian | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Cary HS | Fuquay-Varina | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) | Fuquay-Varina | |
| Cedar Ridge | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Charlotte Catholic | |
| Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS | ||
| Charlotte Christian | Charlotte Christian | Charlotte Christian | ||
| Charlotte Latin | Charlotte Latin | Charlotte Latin | ||
| Christ School | Christ School | Christ School | ||
| Christ The King | Christ The King | Christ The King | ||
| Clayton | Clayton | tied - ( 6- 1) ( 6- 1) | Clayton | |
| Cleveland | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Community School-Dav | Community School-Dav | Community School-Dav | ||
| Corinth Holders | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Cornerstone Charter | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Croatan | Croatan | Croatan 4- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Cuthbertson | Cuthbertson | Cuthbertson | ||
| Davie | Davie | Davie | ||
| DH Conley | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Durham Academy | Durham Academy | Durham Academy 2- 0 vs 0- 1 | ||
| East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| East Forsyth | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Eastern Alamance | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Eastern Guilford | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Enloe | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Fike | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| First Flight | First Flight | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | First Flight | |
| Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Garner | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Glenn | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Grays Creek | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Green Hope | Green Hope | Green Hope 3- 1 vs 1- 1 | ||
| Green Level | Green Level | Green Level 3- 0 vs 0- 1 | ||
| Greensboro Day | Greensboro Day | Greensboro Day | ||
| Grimsley | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Havelock | Fuquay-Varina | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Fuquay-Varina | |
| Heritage | Heritage | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Heritage | |
| Hickory | Hickory | Hickory | ||
| High Point Central | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Hillsborough Orange | |
| Hoggard | Hoggard | Hoggard | ||
| Holly Springs | Holly Springs | Holly Springs 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Hough | Hough | Hough | ||
| Hunt | Fuquay-Varina | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Fuquay-Varina | |
| Independence | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Jack Britt | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Jacksonville | Fuquay-Varina | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Fuquay-Varina | |
| JF Webb | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| JH Rose | JH Rose | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | JH Rose | |
| John Paul II Catholi | Fuquay-Varina | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Fuquay-Varina | |
| Jordan | Jordan | Jordan | ||
| Lake Norman Charter | Lake Norman Charter | Lake Norman Charter | ||
| Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS | ||
| Laney | Laney | Laney | ||
| Leesville Road | Leesville Road | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 2) | Leesville Road | |
| Lincoln Charter | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Marvin Ridge | Marvin Ridge | Marvin Ridge | ||
| Middle Creek | Middle Creek | Middle Creek 2- 0 vs 0- 1 | ||
| Millbrook | Millbrook | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 1) | Millbrook | |
| Mooresville | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Mount Tabor | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Mountain Island Char | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Myers Park | Myers Park | Myers Park | ||
| New Bern | Fuquay-Varina | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) | Fuquay-Varina | |
| New Hanover | Fuquay-Varina | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Fuquay-Varina | |
| North Brunswick | Fuquay-Varina | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Fuquay-Varina | |
| North Davidson | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| North Lincoln | North Lincoln | North Lincoln | ||
| North Raleigh Christ | Fuquay-Varina | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Fuquay-Varina | |
| Northern Durham | Fuquay-Varina | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 3) | Fuquay-Varina | |
| Northern Guilford | Northern Guilford | Northern Guilford | ||
| Northside | Fuquay-Varina | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Fuquay-Varina | |
| Northwest Guilford | Northwest Guilford | Northwest Guilford | ||
| Northwood | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Page | Page | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Page | |
| Panther Creek | Fuquay-Varina | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) | Fuquay-Varina | |
| Parkwood | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Patton Morganton | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Pine Forest | Fuquay-Varina | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Fuquay-Varina | |
| Pine Lake Prep | Pine Lake Prep | Pine Lake Prep | ||
| Pinecrest | Pinecrest | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 2) | Pinecrest | |
| Porter Ridge | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Providence | Providence | Providence | ||
| Providence Day | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Queens Grant | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | ||
| Ragsdale | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Ravenscroft School | Ravenscroft School | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Ravenscroft School | |
| Reagan | Reagan | Reagan | ||
| Riverside Durham | Fuquay-Varina | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 2) | Fuquay-Varina | |
| RJ Reynolds | RJ Reynolds | RJ Reynolds | ||
| Rolesville | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina 6- 0 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Roxboro Community | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Sanderson | Fuquay-Varina | insuffient: ( 5- 0)( 4- 1) | Fuquay-Varina | |
| Seaforth | Seaforth | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Seaforth | |
| South Brunswick | Fuquay-Varina | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Fuquay-Varina | |
| South Garner | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| South Iredell | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| South Mecklenburg | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| South View | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Southeast Alamance | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Southeast Guilford | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Southern Alamance | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Southlake Christian | Southlake Christian | Southlake Christian | ||
| Southwest Guilford | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| St Davids School | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| St Stephens | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Sun Valley | Fuquay-Varina | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Fuquay-Varina | |
| Swansboro | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| TC Roberson | TC Roberson | TC Roberson | ||
| Terry Sanford | Fuquay-Varina | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 2) | Fuquay-Varina | |
| Topsail | Topsail | Topsail 2- 2 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Union Pines | Fuquay-Varina | insuffient: ( 5- 1)( 4- 1) | Fuquay-Varina | |
| Vance Charter | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Voyager Academy | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Wake Forest | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Wake Prep | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina 2- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Wakefield | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina 2- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Walter M Williams | Fuquay-Varina | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Fuquay-Varina | |
| Watauga | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Weddington | Weddington | Weddington | ||
| West Brunswick | Fuquay-Varina | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Fuquay-Varina | |
| West Carteret | Fuquay-Varina | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Fuquay-Varina | |
| West Forsyth | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| West Stokes | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Western Alamance | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Western Guilford | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Willow Spring | Willow Spring | Willow Spring |
PowerWise = 85
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.93
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Chapel Hill (12- 8, 89.5) 6-14 -10.38 23.43 0.27 0.82 -8.24
0 H Swansboro ( 6-14, 78.7) 14- 6 -21.24 12.57 -0.27 0.82 10.03
0 H Grays Creek ( 5-13, 77.3) 21-13 -22.60 11.21 -0.27 0.82 8.92
0 H Wake Forest ( 9- 9, 80.5) 15- 5 -19.43 14.38 -0.27 0.82 11.50
0 H Laney (17- 3, 93.2) 4-18 -6.75 27.06 -0.27 0.82 -5.72
0 H Hoggard (15- 6, 91.9) 9-24 -8.05 25.76 -0.27 0.82 -6.78
0 H Cleveland ( 7-10, 79.6) 18-10 -20.32 13.48 -0.27 0.82 10.77
0 H Enloe ( 4-15, 84.3) 17-13 -15.57 18.24 -0.27 0.82 14.65
0 A Garner ( 5-10, 81.0) 18-10 -18.89 14.92 0.27 0.82 12.39
0 H Clayton (13- 6, 86.9) 9-13 -12.98 20.83 -0.27 0.82 -10.80
0 A Corinth Holder ( 7-13, 81.8) 13- 5 -18.08 15.73 0.27 0.82 13.05
0 A Cleveland ( 7-10, 79.6) 20- 8 -20.32 13.48 0.27 0.82 11.21
0 A Willow Spring (13- 7, 88.0) 6-13 -11.91 21.90 0.27 0.82 -9.48
0 H South Garner ( 5-14, 80.0) 13- 6 -19.94 13.87 -0.27 0.82 11.08
0 A Grays Creek ( 5-13, 77.3) 1- 0 -22.60 11.21 0.27 0.82 9.36
0 H Garner ( 5-10, 81.0) 18- 9 -18.89 14.92 -0.27 0.82 11.94
0 A Clayton (13- 6, 86.9) 12-10 -12.98 20.83 0.27 0.82 17.20
0 H Willow Spring (13- 7, 88.0) 6-14 -11.91 21.90 -0.27 0.82 -9.93
0 H Corinth Holder ( 7-13, 81.8) 11- 5 -18.08 15.73 -0.27 0.82 12.60
0 A South Garner ( 5-14, 80.0) 12- 5 -19.94 13.87 0.27 0.82 11.53
0 A Jordan (12- 9, 87.3) 6-16 -12.59 21.22 0.27 0.82 -10.04
0 A Apex Friendshi (16- 7, 94.4) 5-21 -5.48 28.32 0.27 0.82 -4.25
------
100.99
|
winning pts = 166.2274 losing points = -65.2421
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------