Forest Park
W-L: ( 7-10) PR = 77.8693Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 325 H Colgan (13- 5, 83.1) 5-16 326 H Gainesville (15- 5, 88.5) 2-15 328 A Gar-field ( 1-14, 70.4) 14- 5 404 A Potomac-Dumfries ( 3- 9, 71.7) 18- 2 408 H Hylton ( 9- 7, 79.9) 6-11 411 A Woodbridge ( 6- 9, 77.6) 11-14 421 A Unity Reed ( 5- 9, 72.1) 17- 8 424 A Stafford ( 8- 7, 80.2) 8- 9 425 A Colgan (13- 5, 83.1) 3-17 429 H Gar-field ( 1-14, 70.4) 19- 0 507 A Brentsville (13- 3, 84.6) 12-17 509 A Hylton ( 9- 7, 79.9) 3-12 513 H Woodbridge ( 6- 9, 77.6) 15-12 516 H Potomac-Dumfries ( 3- 9, 71.7) 10- 5 521 A Colgan (13- 5, 83.1) 8-13 523 A Woodbridge ( 6- 9, 77.6) 10- 7 527 A Battlefield (18- 4, 92.3) 0-17
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
325 H Colgan 5-16 -11 -5 -0.33
326 H Gainesville 2-15 -13 -10 0.00
328 A Gar-field 14- 5 9 7 0.00
404 A Potomac-Dumfries 18- 2 16 6 0.00
408 H Hylton 6-11 -5 -1 - -3.53
411 A Woodbridge 11-14 -3 0 - -2.67
421 A Unity Reed 17- 8 9 5 0.00
424 A Stafford 8- 9 -1 -3 1.92
425 A Colgan 3-17 -14 -6 0.00
429 H Gar-field 19- 0 19 8 0.00
507 A Brentsville 12-17 -5 -7 0.00
509 A Hylton 3-12 -9 -3 - -2.31
513 H Woodbridge 15-12 3 1 + 2.11
516 H Potomac-Dumfries 10- 5 5 7 0.00
521 A Colgan 8-13 -5 -6 0.00
523 A Woodbridge 10- 7 3 0 + 3.33
527 A Battlefield 0-17 -17 -15 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 H Hylton 6-11 -5 -1 - -3.53 411 A Woodbridge 11-14 -3 0 - -2.67 509 A Hylton 3-12 -9 -3 - -2.31 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 513 H Woodbridge 15-12 3 1 + 2.11 523 A Woodbridge 10- 7 3 0 + 3.33 |
Forest Park Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albemarle | Albemarle | Albemarle | ||
| Alexandria City | Alexandria City | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Alexandria City | |
| Annandale | Forest Park | Forest Park | ||
| Atlee | Atlee | Atlee | ||
| Battlefield | Battlefield | Battlefield | ||
| Bayside | Forest Park | Forest Park | ||
| Benedictine | Benedictine | Benedictine | ||
| Bishop Ireton | Bishop Ireton | Bishop Ireton | ||
| Bishop OConnell | Bishop OConnell | Bishop OConnell | ||
| Blacksburg | Blacksburg | Blacksburg | ||
| Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School | ||
| Brentsville | Brentsville | Brentsville | ||
| Briar Woods | Briar Woods | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Briar Woods | |
| Broad Run | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Brooke Point | Brooke Point | Brooke Point 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Cape Henry Collegiat | Cape Henry Collegiat | Cape Henry Collegiat | ||
| Catholic HS | Catholic HS | Catholic HS | ||
| Cave Spring | Cave Spring | Cave Spring | ||
| Centreville | Centreville | Centreville | ||
| Chantilly | Chantilly | Chantilly | ||
| Charlottesville | Charlottesville | Charlottesville | ||
| Christchurch | Christchurch | Christchurch | ||
| Christiansburg | Forest Park | Forest Park | ||
| Clover Hill | Forest Park | Forest Park | ||
| Colgan | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Collegiate School | Collegiate School | Collegiate School | ||
| Colonial Forge | Colonial Forge | Colonial Forge 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Cosby | Cosby | Cosby 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Covenant School | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Cox | Cox | Cox | ||
| Culpeper County | Forest Park | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Forest Park | |
| Deep Run | Deep Run | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Deep Run | |
| Dominion | Dominion | Dominion | ||
| Douglas Freeman | Douglas Freeman | Douglas Freeman | ||
| Eastern View | Forest Park | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Forest Park | |
| EC Glass | EC Glass | EC Glass | ||
| Edison | Edison | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Edison | |
| Episcopal | Episcopal | Episcopal | ||
| Eukarya Christian | Eukarya Christian | Eukarya Christian | ||
| Fairfax | Fairfax | Fairfax | ||
| Falls Church | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Fauquier | Fauquier | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Fauquier | |
| First Colonial | First Colonial | First Colonial | ||
| Fishburne Military A | Forest Park | Forest Park | ||
| Flint Hill | Flint Hill | Flint Hill | ||
| Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | ||
| Fork Union Military | Fork Union Military | Fork Union Military | ||
| Franklin County | Franklin County | Franklin County | ||
| Fredericksburg Acade | Forest Park | Forest Park | ||
| Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Freedom South Ridin | Freedom South Ridin | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Freedom South Ridin | |
| Freedom Woodbridge | Freedom Woodbridge | Freedom Woodbridge | ||
| Gainesville | Gainesville | Gainesville | ||
| Gar-field | Forest Park | Forest Park | ||
| Glen Allen | Glen Allen | Glen Allen | ||
| Goochland | Goochland | Goochland | ||
| Grafton LC | Forest Park | Forest Park | ||
| Grassfield LC | Grassfield LC | Grassfield LC | ||
| Green Run | Forest Park | Forest Park | ||
| Handley | Handley | Handley | ||
| Hanover | Hanover | Hanover | ||
| Hayfield | Hayfield | Hayfield | ||
| Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Heritage Leesburg | |
| Herndon | Herndon | Herndon | ||
| Hickory LC | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Hidden Valley | Forest Park | Forest Park | ||
| Highland School | Highland School | Highland School | ||
| Highland Springs | Forest Park | Forest Park | ||
| Hylton | Hylton | Hylton | ||
| Independence | Independence | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Independence | |
| James Monroe | James Monroe | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | James Monroe | |
| James River | James River | James River | ||
| Jamestown LC | Jamestown LC | Jamestown LC | ||
| Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| John Champe | John Champe | John Champe | ||
| Justice | Justice | Justice | ||
| Kellam | Kellam | Kellam | ||
| Kempsville | Forest Park | Forest Park | ||
| Kettle Run | Kettle Run | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Kettle Run | |
| Lafayette LC | Lafayette LC | Lafayette LC | ||
| Lake Braddock | Lake Braddock | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lake Braddock | |
| Landstown | Forest Park | Forest Park | ||
| Langley | Langley | Langley | ||
| Lewis | Forest Park | Forest Park | ||
| Liberty Bealeton | Liberty Bealeton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Liberty Bealeton | |
| Lightridge | Lightridge | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Lightridge | |
| Lloyd C Bird | Lloyd C Bird | Lloyd C Bird | ||
| Lord Botetourt | Forest Park | Forest Park | ||
| Loudoun County | Loudoun County | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Loudoun County | |
| Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Madison | Madison | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Madison | |
| Manchester | Manchester | Manchester | ||
| Marshall | Marshall | Marshall | ||
| Massaponax | Forest Park | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Forest Park | |
| Matoaca | Forest Park | Forest Park | ||
| Maury LC | Maury LC | Maury LC | ||
| McLean | McLean | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | McLean | |
| Mechanicsville | Forest Park | Forest Park | ||
| Menchville LC | Forest Park | Forest Park | ||
| Meridian | Meridian | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Meridian | |
| Midlothian | Midlothian | Midlothian | ||
| Mills Godwin | Mills Godwin | Mills Godwin | ||
| Monacan | Monacan | Monacan | ||
| Monticello | Monticello | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Monticello | |
| Mount Vernon | Forest Park | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Forest Park | |
| Mountain View | Mountain View | Mountain View 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | ||
| New Covenant School | New Covenant School | New Covenant School | ||
| Norfolk Academy | Norfolk Academy | Norfolk Academy | ||
| Norfolk Christian | Norfolk Christian | Norfolk Christian | ||
| Norfolk Collegiate | Norfolk Collegiate | Norfolk Collegiate | ||
| North Cross School | North Cross School | North Cross School | ||
| North Stafford | Forest Park | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Forest Park | |
| Northern VA Home Sch | Forest Park | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Forest Park | |
| Oakton | Oakton | Oakton | ||
| Ocean Lakes | Ocean Lakes | Ocean Lakes | ||
| Orange County | Orange County | Orange County | ||
| Osbourn | Forest Park | Forest Park 3- 2 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Osbourn Park | Forest Park | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) | Forest Park | |
| Park View | Forest Park | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Forest Park | |
| Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | ||
| Patrick Henry Roano | Patrick Henry Roano | Patrick Henry Roano | ||
| Patriot | Patriot | insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 3- 2) | Patriot | |
| Paul VI | Paul VI | Paul VI | ||
| Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Potomac School | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Potomac-Dumfries | Forest Park | Forest Park | ||
| Powhatan | Forest Park | Forest Park | ||
| Princess Anne | Princess Anne | Princess Anne | ||
| Riverbend | Riverbend | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Riverbend | |
| Riverside | Riverside | Riverside | ||
| Robinson | Robinson | Robinson | ||
| Rock Ridge | Forest Park | Forest Park | ||
| Rockbridge County | Rockbridge County | Rockbridge County | ||
| Rockingham LC | Rockingham LC | Rockingham LC | ||
| Salem | Salem | Salem | ||
| Salem Virginia Beach | Forest Park | Forest Park | ||
| Seton School | Seton School | Seton School | ||
| South County | South County | South County | ||
| South Lakes | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield | ||
| St Christophers | St Christophers | St Christophers | ||
| St John Paul the Gre | St John Paul the Gre | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | St John Paul the Gre | |
| St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | ||
| Stafford | Stafford | Stafford | ||
| Steward School | Forest Park | Forest Park | ||
| Stone Bridge | Stone Bridge | Stone Bridge | ||
| Strasburg LC | Strasburg LC | Strasburg LC | ||
| Tabb LC | Tabb LC | Tabb LC | ||
| Tallwood | Forest Park | Forest Park | ||
| Tandem Friends | Forest Park | Forest Park | ||
| Thomas Dale | Forest Park | Forest Park | ||
| Thomas Jefferson | Thomas Jefferson | Thomas Jefferson | ||
| Trinity Christian | Trinity Christian | Trinity Christian | ||
| Trinity Episcopal | Trinity Episcopal | Trinity Episcopal | ||
| Trinity Meadow View | Trinity Meadow View | Trinity Meadow View | ||
| Tuscarora | Forest Park | Forest Park | ||
| Unity Reed | Forest Park | Forest Park | ||
| Veritas School | Forest Park | Forest Park | ||
| Virginia Academy | Forest Park | Forest Park | ||
| Virginia Episcopal S | Virginia Episcopal S | Virginia Episcopal S | ||
| Wakefield HS | Wakefield HS | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Wakefield HS | |
| Wakefield School | Forest Park | Forest Park | ||
| Washington-Liberty | Washington-Liberty | Washington-Liberty | ||
| West Potomac | West Potomac | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | West Potomac | |
| West Springfield | West Springfield | West Springfield | ||
| Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Western Albemarle | |
| Westfield | Westfield | Westfield | ||
| William Byrd | William Byrd | William Byrd | ||
| William Fleming | William Fleming | William Fleming | ||
| Woodberry Forest | Woodberry Forest | Woodberry Forest | ||
| Woodbridge | Forest Park | Forest Park | ||
| Woodgrove | Woodgrove | Woodgrove | ||
| Woodson | Woodson | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Woodson | |
| York LC | Forest Park | Forest Park | ||
| Yorktown | Yorktown | Yorktown |
PowerWise = 42
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.94
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Colgan (13- 5, 83.1) 5-16 -16.75 18.25 -0.61 0.82 -14.24
0 H Gainesville (15- 5, 88.5) 2-15 -11.37 23.63 -0.61 0.82 -9.83
0 A Gar-field ( 1-14, 70.4) 14- 5 -29.47 5.54 0.61 0.82 5.04
0 A Potomac-Dumfri ( 3- 9, 71.7) 18- 2 -28.18 6.82 0.61 0.82 6.10
0 H Hylton ( 9- 7, 79.9) 6-11 -19.95 15.05 -0.61 0.82 -16.87
0 A Woodbridge ( 6- 9, 77.6) 11-14 -22.31 12.69 0.61 0.82 -17.80
0 A Unity Reed ( 5- 9, 72.1) 17- 8 -27.81 7.20 0.61 0.82 6.40
0 A Stafford ( 8- 7, 80.2) 8- 9 -19.72 15.28 0.61 0.82 -15.68
0 A Colgan (13- 5, 83.1) 3-17 -16.75 18.25 0.61 0.82 -13.24
0 H Gar-field ( 1-14, 70.4) 19- 0 -29.47 5.54 -0.61 0.82 4.04
0 A Brentsville (13- 3, 84.6) 12-17 -15.28 19.72 0.61 0.82 -12.03
0 A Hylton ( 9- 7, 79.9) 3-12 -19.95 15.05 0.61 0.82 -15.87
0 H Woodbridge ( 6- 9, 77.6) 15-12 -22.31 12.69 -0.61 0.82 9.91
0 H Potomac-Dumfri ( 3- 9, 71.7) 10- 5 -28.18 6.82 -0.61 0.82 5.10
0 A Colgan (13- 5, 83.1) 8-13 -16.75 18.25 0.61 0.82 -13.24
0 A Woodbridge ( 6- 9, 77.6) 10- 7 -22.31 12.69 0.61 0.82 10.91
0 A Battlefield (18- 4, 92.3) 0-17 -7.63 27.37 0.61 0.82 -5.76
------
-87.05
|
winning pts = 47.4987 losing points = -134.5473
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------