Forsyth Country Day
W-L: (13- 4) PR = 89.7220Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 225 H East Forsyth ( 6-14, 82.5) 15- 1 228 H Bishop McGuinness (10-11, 83.0) 17-12 305 A Mooresville ( 4-15, 83.8) 21- 5 307 H North Raleigh Christ ( 4-12, 84.3) 12- 4 311 H Cary Academy ( 6- 6, 87.0) 17- 7 313 H St Davids School ( 3- 7, 85.3) 15- 6 325 A Page (12-10, 87.5) 12-13 328 A Charlotte CDS (17- 6, 94.1) 4-13 401 A Greensboro Day (10- 8, 88.9) 9- 8 404 A St Davids School ( 3- 7, 85.3) 9- 7 408 H Charlotte Latin (10- 7, 92.9) 10-16 410 A Ravenscroft School ( 7- 6, 86.8) 15- 9 422 H Charlotte Christian ( 9- 8, 91.6) 10-11 425 H Greensboro Day (10- 8, 88.9) 12-11 501 A Asheville School ( 0-10, 79.1) 21- 1 513 H Cape Fear Academy ( 9- 6, 85.2) 14- 9 517 H Greensboro Day (10- 8, 88.9) 13- 8
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
225 H East Forsyth 15- 1 14 7 0.00
228 H Bishop McGuinness 17-12 5 7 0.00
305 A Mooresville 21- 5 16 6 0.00
307 H North Raleigh Christ 12- 4 8 6 0.00
311 H Cary Academy 17- 7 10 3 1.97
313 H St Davids School 15- 6 9 5 0.33
325 A Page 12-13 -1 2 - -2.92
328 A Charlotte CDS 4-13 -9 -5 -0.35
401 A Greensboro Day 9- 8 1 1 0.42
404 A St Davids School 9- 7 2 4 - -2.12
408 H Charlotte Latin 10-16 -6 -3 - -2.12
410 A Ravenscroft School 15- 9 6 3 + 2.33
422 H Charlotte Christian 10-11 -1 -2 0.58
425 H Greensboro Day 12-11 1 1 -0.12
501 A Asheville School 21- 1 20 10 0.00
513 H Cape Fear Academy 14- 9 5 5 0.17
517 H Greensboro Day 13- 8 5 1 + 3.88
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 325 A Page 12-13 -1 2 - -2.92 404 A St Davids School 9- 7 2 4 - -2.12 408 H Charlotte Latin 10-16 -6 -3 - -2.12 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 410 A Ravenscroft School 15- 9 6 3 + 2.33 517 H Greensboro Day 13- 8 5 1 + 3.88 |
Forsyth Country Day Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apex | Apex | Apex | ||
| Apex Friendship | Apex Friendship | Apex Friendship | ||
| Ardrey Kell | Ardrey Kell | Ardrey Kell 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Arendell Parrott Aca | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Asheville HS | Forsyth Country Day | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Forsyth Country Day | |
| Asheville School | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Ashley | Ashley | Ashley | ||
| Athens Drive | Athens Drive | Athens Drive | ||
| Atkins | Forsyth Country Day | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Forsyth Country Day | |
| Ballantyne Ridge | Forsyth Country Day | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Forsyth Country Day | |
| Bishop McGuinness | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Bradford Prep | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Broughton | Broughton | Broughton | ||
| Butler | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Cannon School | Cannon School | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Cannon School | |
| Cape Fear Academy | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Cape Fear HS | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Cardinal Gibbons | |
| Carrboro | Forsyth Country Day | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Forsyth Country Day | |
| Cary Academy | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Cary Christian | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Cary HS | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Cedar Ridge | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Chapel Hill | Forsyth Country Day | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Forsyth Country Day | |
| Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Charlotte Catholic | |
| Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS | ||
| Charlotte Christian | Charlotte Christian | Charlotte Christian | ||
| Charlotte Latin | Charlotte Latin | Charlotte Latin | ||
| Christ School | Christ School | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Christ School | |
| Christ The King | Christ The King | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Christ The King | |
| Clayton | Forsyth Country Day | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Forsyth Country Day | |
| Cleveland | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Community School-Dav | Community School-Dav | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Community School-Dav | |
| Corinth Holders | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Cornerstone Charter | Forsyth Country Day | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Forsyth Country Day | |
| Croatan | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Cuthbertson | Forsyth Country Day | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Forsyth Country Day | |
| Davie | Davie | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Davie | |
| DH Conley | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Durham Academy | Durham Academy | Durham Academy 5- 0 vs 3- 2 | ||
| East Chapel Hill | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| East Forsyth | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Eastern Alamance | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Eastern Guilford | Forsyth Country Day | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Forsyth Country Day | |
| Enloe | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Fike | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| First Flight | First Flight | First Flight | ||
| Fuquay-Varina | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Garner | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Glenn | Forsyth Country Day | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Forsyth Country Day | |
| Grays Creek | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Green Hope | Green Hope | Green Hope | ||
| Green Level | Green Level | Green Level | ||
| Greensboro Day | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Grimsley | Forsyth Country Day | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Forsyth Country Day | |
| Havelock | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Heritage | Heritage | Heritage | ||
| Hickory | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| High Point Central | Forsyth Country Day | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Forsyth Country Day | |
| Hillsborough Orange | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Hoggard | Hoggard | Hoggard | ||
| Holly Springs | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Hough | Hough | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Hough | |
| Hunt | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Independence | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Jack Britt | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Jacksonville | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| JF Webb | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| JH Rose | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| John Paul II Catholi | Forsyth Country Day | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Forsyth Country Day | |
| Jordan | Forsyth Country Day | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Forsyth Country Day | |
| Lake Norman Charter | Lake Norman Charter | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Lake Norman Charter | |
| Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Lake Norman HS | |
| Laney | Laney | Laney | ||
| Leesville Road | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Lincoln Charter | Forsyth Country Day | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Forsyth Country Day | |
| Marvin Ridge | Forsyth Country Day | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Forsyth Country Day | |
| Middle Creek | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Millbrook | Forsyth Country Day | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Forsyth Country Day | |
| Mooresville | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Mount Tabor | Forsyth Country Day | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Forsyth Country Day | |
| Mountain Island Char | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Myers Park | Forsyth Country Day | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Forsyth Country Day | |
| New Bern | Forsyth Country Day | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Forsyth Country Day | |
| New Hanover | Forsyth Country Day | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Forsyth Country Day | |
| North Brunswick | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| North Davidson | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| North Lincoln | Forsyth Country Day | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Forsyth Country Day | |
| North Raleigh Christ | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Northern Durham | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Northern Guilford | Forsyth Country Day | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Forsyth Country Day | |
| Northside | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Northwest Guilford | Northwest Guilford | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Northwest Guilford | |
| Northwood | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Page | Page | Page | ||
| Panther Creek | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Parkwood | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Patton Morganton | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Pine Forest | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Pine Lake Prep | Forsyth Country Day | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Forsyth Country Day | |
| Pinecrest | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Porter Ridge | Forsyth Country Day | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Forsyth Country Day | |
| Providence | Forsyth Country Day | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Forsyth Country Day | |
| Providence Day | Providence Day | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Providence Day | |
| Queens Grant | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | |
| Ragsdale | Forsyth Country Day | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Forsyth Country Day | |
| Ravenscroft School | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Reagan | Forsyth Country Day | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Forsyth Country Day | |
| Riverside Durham | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| RJ Reynolds | RJ Reynolds | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | RJ Reynolds | |
| Rolesville | Forsyth Country Day | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Forsyth Country Day | |
| Roxboro Community | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Sanderson | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Seaforth | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| South Brunswick | Forsyth Country Day | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Forsyth Country Day | |
| South Garner | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| South Iredell | Forsyth Country Day | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Forsyth Country Day | |
| South Mecklenburg | Forsyth Country Day | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Forsyth Country Day | |
| South View | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Southeast Alamance | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Southeast Guilford | Forsyth Country Day | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Forsyth Country Day | |
| Southern Alamance | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Southlake Christian | Forsyth Country Day | tied - ( 4- 3) ( 4- 3) | Forsyth Country Day | |
| Southwest Guilford | Forsyth Country Day | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Forsyth Country Day | |
| St Davids School | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| St Stephens | Forsyth Country Day | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Forsyth Country Day | |
| Sun Valley | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Swansboro | Forsyth Country Day | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Forsyth Country Day | |
| TC Roberson | Forsyth Country Day | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Forsyth Country Day | |
| Terry Sanford | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Topsail | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Union Pines | Forsyth Country Day | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Forsyth Country Day | |
| Vance Charter | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Voyager Academy | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Wake Forest | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Wake Prep | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Wakefield | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Walter M Williams | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Watauga | Forsyth Country Day | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Forsyth Country Day | |
| Weddington | Weddington | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Weddington | |
| West Brunswick | Forsyth Country Day | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Forsyth Country Day | |
| West Carteret | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| West Forsyth | Forsyth Country Day | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Forsyth Country Day | |
| West Stokes | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Western Alamance | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Western Guilford | Forsyth Country Day | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Forsyth Country Day | |
| Willow Spring | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day |
PowerWise = 112
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.93
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H East Forsyth ( 6-14, 82.5) 15- 1 -17.38 16.43 -0.27 1.05 17.04
0 H Bishop McGuinn (10-11, 83.0) 17-12 -16.94 16.87 -0.27 1.05 17.50
0 A Mooresville ( 4-15, 83.8) 21- 5 -16.12 17.69 0.27 1.05 18.95
0 H North Raleigh ( 4-12, 84.3) 12- 4 -15.58 18.23 -0.27 1.05 18.94
0 H Cary Academy ( 6- 6, 87.0) 17- 7 -12.94 20.87 -0.27 1.05 21.73
0 H St Davids Scho ( 3- 7, 85.3) 15- 6 -14.57 19.23 -0.27 1.05 20.00
0 A Page (12-10, 87.5) 12-13 -12.37 21.44 0.27 1.05 -12.76
0 A Charlotte CDS (17- 6, 94.1) 4-13 -5.80 28.01 0.27 1.05 -5.83
0 A Greensboro Day (10- 8, 88.9) 9- 8 -11.03 22.78 0.27 1.05 24.32
0 A St Davids Scho ( 3- 7, 85.3) 9- 7 -14.57 19.23 0.27 1.05 20.58
0 H Charlotte Lati (10- 7, 92.9) 10-16 -7.02 26.79 -0.27 1.05 -7.70
0 A Ravenscroft Sc ( 7- 6, 86.8) 15- 9 -13.12 20.69 0.27 1.05 22.11
0 H Charlotte Chri ( 9- 8, 91.6) 10-11 -8.32 25.49 -0.27 1.05 -9.07
0 H Greensboro Day (10- 8, 88.9) 12-11 -11.03 22.78 -0.27 1.05 23.74
0 A Asheville Scho ( 0-10, 79.1) 21- 1 -20.79 13.02 0.27 1.05 14.02
0 H Cape Fear Acad ( 9- 6, 85.2) 14- 9 -14.74 19.07 -0.27 1.05 19.83
0 H Greensboro Day (10- 8, 88.9) 13- 8 -11.03 22.78 -0.27 1.05 23.74
------
227.17
|
winning pts = 262.5203 losing points = -35.3521
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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