Poudre District
W-L: (10- 6) PR = 91.7091Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 306 H Windsor ( 8- 8, 82.2) 18- 8 312 H Cherry Creek (15- 0, 99.9) 8-13 314 A Arapahoe (12- 3, 95.6) 7- 9 325 H Resurrection Christi (11- 4, 87.2) 8- 6 402 A Legend (11- 4, 94.6) 3-16 404 A Fairview (11- 5, 91.7) 10- 6 411 A Ralston Valley (13- 3, 92.0) 5- 9 414 H Monarch ( 3-11, 86.6) 15- 2 416 A Chatfield (11- 6, 91.3) 5- 7 419 H Columbine ( 6-10, 86.7) 13- 4 423 A Mountain Range ( 3-12, 85.5) 7- 5 425 H Lakewood ( 8- 7, 89.6) 11- 7 430 H Erie ( 5- 9, 87.3) 7- 3 507 H Heritage ( 9- 6, 85.0) 13- 3 510 A Ralston Valley (13- 3, 92.0) 6- 2 514 A Colorado Academy (12- 4, 95.4) 4- 9
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
306 H Windsor 18- 8 10 10 0.00
312 H Cherry Creek 8-13 -5 -8 0.00
314 A Arapahoe 7- 9 -2 -4 + 2.22
325 H Resurrection Christi 8- 6 2 5 - -2.91
402 A Legend 3-16 -13 -3 -1.70
404 A Fairview 10- 6 4 0 ++ 4.38
411 A Ralston Valley 5- 9 -4 -1 - -3.35
414 H Monarch 15- 2 13 5 0.00
416 A Chatfield 5- 7 -2 0 - -2.08
419 H Columbine 13- 4 9 5 0.00
423 A Mountain Range 7- 5 2 6 - -3.00
425 H Lakewood 11- 7 4 2 1.51
430 H Erie 7- 3 4 5 -0.80
507 H Heritage 13- 3 10 7 0.00
510 A Ralston Valley 6- 2 4 -1 ++ 4.65
514 A Colorado Academy 4- 9 -5 -4 -0.90
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 325 H Resurrection Christi 8- 6 2 5 - -2.91 411 A Ralston Valley 5- 9 -4 -1 - -3.35 416 A Chatfield 5- 7 -2 0 - -2.08 423 A Mountain Range 7- 5 2 6 - -3.00 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 A Fairview 10- 6 4 0 ++ 4.38 510 A Ralston Valley 6- 2 4 -1 ++ 4.65 314 A Arapahoe 7- 9 -2 -4 + 2.22 |
Poudre District Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Academy | Poudre District | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Poudre District | |
| Arapahoe | Arapahoe | Arapahoe | ||
| Arvada West | Poudre District | Poudre District 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Aspen | Poudre District | Poudre District | ||
| Battle Mountain | Poudre District | Poudre District | ||
| Boulder | Poudre District | Poudre District 5- 0 vs 3- 2 | ||
| Castle View | Poudre District | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Poudre District | |
| Chaparral | Poudre District | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Poudre District | |
| Chatfield | Chatfield | Chatfield | ||
| Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | insuffient: ( 4- 4)( 3- 4) | Cherokee Trail | |
| Cherry Creek | Cherry Creek | Cherry Creek | ||
| Cheyenne Mountain | Poudre District | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Poudre District | |
| Colorado Academy | Colorado Academy | Colorado Academy | ||
| Columbine | Poudre District | Poudre District | ||
| Conifer | Poudre District | Poudre District 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Crested Butte | Poudre District | Poudre District | ||
| Dakota Ridge | Poudre District | tied - ( 4- 2) ( 4- 2) | Poudre District | |
| Denver East | Denver East | insuffient: ( 3- 5)( 4- 3) | Denver East | |
| Denver North | Poudre District | Poudre District | ||
| Denver South | Poudre District | insuffient: ( 1- 5)( 0- 5) | Poudre District | |
| Douglas County | Poudre District | Poudre District 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Durango | Poudre District | Poudre District | ||
| Eagle Valley | Poudre District | Poudre District | ||
| Eaglecrest | Poudre District | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Poudre District | |
| Erie | Poudre District | Poudre District | ||
| Evergreen | Poudre District | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Poudre District | |
| Fairview | Poudre District | Poudre District | ||
| Fountain Valley | Poudre District | Poudre District | ||
| Fruita Monument | Poudre District | Poudre District | ||
| Glenwood Springs | Poudre District | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Poudre District | |
| Golden | Poudre District | Poudre District 3- 1 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Grand Junction | Poudre District | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Poudre District | |
| Grandview | Poudre District | insuffient: ( 3- 4)( 2- 5) | Poudre District | |
| Green Mountain | Poudre District | Poudre District 4- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Heritage | Poudre District | Poudre District | ||
| Holy Family | Poudre District | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Poudre District | |
| Jefferson Academy | Poudre District | Poudre District 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Kent Denver | Poudre District | insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 0- 5) | Poudre District | |
| Lakewood | Poudre District | Poudre District | ||
| Legend | Legend | Legend | ||
| Lewis Palmer | Poudre District | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Poudre District | |
| Littleton | Poudre District | Poudre District | ||
| Lutheran | Poudre District | Poudre District 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Middle Park | Poudre District | Poudre District 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Monarch | Poudre District | Poudre District | ||
| Montrose | Poudre District | Poudre District | ||
| Mountain Range | Poudre District | Poudre District | ||
| Mountain Vista | Mountain Vista | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Mountain Vista | |
| Mullen | Poudre District | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Poudre District | |
| Northfield | Poudre District | insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 3- 2) | Poudre District | |
| Palmer | Poudre District | Poudre District | ||
| Pine Creek | Poudre District | Poudre District 3- 2 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Ponderosa | Poudre District | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Poudre District | |
| Prairie View | Poudre District | Poudre District 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Pueblo West | Poudre District | Poudre District | ||
| Ralston Valley | Ralston Valley | tied - ( 6- 1) ( 6- 1) | Ralston Valley | |
| Rangeview | Poudre District | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Poudre District | |
| Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit | insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) | Regis Jesuit | |
| Resurrection Christi | Poudre District | Poudre District | ||
| Rock Canyon | Poudre District | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Poudre District | |
| Smoky Hill | Poudre District | Poudre District | ||
| St Marys HS | Poudre District | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Poudre District | |
| Steamboat Springs | Poudre District | Poudre District | ||
| Summit | Poudre District | Poudre District | ||
| Telluride | Poudre District | Poudre District | ||
| Thomas Jefferson | Poudre District | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Poudre District | |
| Thompson Valley | Poudre District | Poudre District 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| ThunderRidge | Poudre District | Poudre District 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Vail Mountain | Poudre District | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Poudre District | |
| Valor Christian | Valor Christian | Valor Christian 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Vanguard School | Poudre District | Poudre District | ||
| Windsor | Poudre District | Poudre District |
PowerWise = 61
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.04
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Windsor ( 8- 8, 82.2) 18- 8 -17.66 15.84 -0.37 0.94 14.55
0 H Cherry Creek (15- 0, 99.9) 8-13 -0.00 33.50 -0.37 0.94 -0.35
0 A Arapahoe (12- 3, 95.6) 7- 9 -4.34 29.16 0.37 0.94 -3.73
0 H Resurrection C (11- 4, 87.2) 8- 6 -12.73 20.77 -0.37 0.94 19.18
0 A Legend (11- 4, 94.6) 3-16 -5.26 28.24 0.37 0.94 -4.60
0 A Fairview (11- 5, 91.7) 10- 6 -8.18 25.33 0.37 0.94 24.15
0 A Ralston Valley (13- 3, 92.0) 5- 9 -7.91 25.59 0.37 0.94 -7.09
0 H Monarch ( 3-11, 86.6) 15- 2 -13.29 20.21 -0.37 0.94 18.66
0 A Chatfield (11- 6, 91.3) 5- 7 -8.64 24.86 0.37 0.94 -7.77
0 H Columbine ( 6-10, 86.7) 13- 4 -13.19 20.32 -0.37 0.94 18.75
0 A Mountain Range ( 3-12, 85.5) 7- 5 -14.37 19.13 0.37 0.94 18.33
0 H Lakewood ( 8- 7, 89.6) 11- 7 -10.31 23.19 -0.37 0.94 21.46
0 H Erie ( 5- 9, 87.3) 7- 3 -12.62 20.88 -0.37 0.94 19.28
0 H Heritage ( 9- 6, 85.0) 13- 3 -14.87 18.64 -0.37 0.94 17.17
0 A Ralston Valley (13- 3, 92.0) 6- 2 -7.91 25.59 0.37 0.94 24.41
0 A Colorado Acade (12- 4, 95.4) 4- 9 -4.46 29.04 0.37 0.94 -3.85
------
168.55
|
winning pts = 195.9399 losing points = -27.3919
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------