Fluvanna County
W-L: ( 5- 9) PR = 79.2947Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 A Patrick Henry Ashla ( 5- 9, 79.3) 2- 6 329 H Kettle Run ( 4- 9, 79.4) 13- 9 408 A Charlottesville ( 3-11, 78.8) 11-10 411 H James Monroe (11- 3, 81.0) 7- 8 412 A Highland Springs ( 1-11, 73.9) 12- 3 418 H Orange County ( 4-12, 79.8) 11-10 425 A Goochland (12- 5, 82.6) 6-14 429 H Monticello (14- 3, 86.8) 2-17 502 H Charlottesville ( 3-11, 78.8) 7- 6 506 A Albemarle ( 9- 7, 84.6) 3-12 514 H Western Albemarle (14- 5, 86.7) 2-14 520 H Goochland (12- 5, 82.6) 13-17 522 A Monticello (14- 3, 86.8) 1-14 527 A Orange County ( 4-12, 79.8) 10-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
321 A Patrick Henry Ashla 2- 6 -4 -1 - -3.39
329 H Kettle Run 13- 9 4 1 + 3.47
408 A Charlottesville 11-10 1 0 1.12
411 H James Monroe 7- 8 -1 -1 0.08
412 A Highland Springs 12- 3 9 5 0.22
418 H Orange County 11-10 1 0 0.85
425 A Goochland 6-14 -8 -4 -1.04
429 H Monticello 2-17 -15 -7 0.00
502 H Charlottesville 7- 6 1 1 -0.10
506 A Albemarle 3-12 -9 -6 0.00
514 H Western Albemarle 2-14 -12 -7 0.00
520 H Goochland 13-17 -4 -3 -1.26
522 A Monticello 1-14 -13 -8 0.00
527 A Orange County 10-11 -1 -1 0.07
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 A Patrick Henry Ashla 2- 6 -4 -1 - -3.39 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 329 H Kettle Run 13- 9 4 1 + 3.47 |
Fluvanna County Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albemarle | Albemarle | Albemarle | ||
| Alexandria City | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Annandale | Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | ||
| Atlee | Atlee | Atlee 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Battlefield | Battlefield | Battlefield | ||
| Bayside | Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | ||
| Benedictine | Benedictine | Benedictine | ||
| Bishop Ireton | Bishop Ireton | Bishop Ireton | ||
| Bishop OConnell | Bishop OConnell | Bishop OConnell | ||
| Blacksburg | Blacksburg | Blacksburg | ||
| Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School | ||
| Brentsville | Brentsville | Brentsville 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Briar Woods | Briar Woods | Briar Woods | ||
| Broad Run | Broad Run | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Broad Run | |
| Brooke Point | Brooke Point | Brooke Point | ||
| Cape Henry Collegiat | Cape Henry Collegiat | Cape Henry Collegiat | ||
| Catholic HS | Catholic HS | Catholic HS | ||
| Cave Spring | Cave Spring | Cave Spring | ||
| Centreville | Centreville | Centreville | ||
| Chantilly | Chantilly | Chantilly | ||
| Charlottesville | Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | ||
| Christchurch | Christchurch | Christchurch | ||
| Christiansburg | Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | ||
| Clover Hill | Fluvanna County | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Fluvanna County | |
| Colgan | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Collegiate School | Collegiate School | Collegiate School | ||
| Colonial Forge | Colonial Forge | Colonial Forge | ||
| Cosby | Cosby | Cosby | ||
| Covenant School | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Cox | Cox | Cox | ||
| Culpeper County | Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County 2- 3 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Deep Run | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Dominion | Dominion | Dominion | ||
| Douglas Freeman | Douglas Freeman | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Douglas Freeman | |
| Eastern View | Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| EC Glass | EC Glass | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | EC Glass | |
| Edison | Edison | Edison | ||
| Episcopal | Episcopal | Episcopal | ||
| Eukarya Christian | Eukarya Christian | Eukarya Christian | ||
| Fairfax | Fairfax | Fairfax | ||
| Falls Church | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Fauquier | Fauquier | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Fauquier | |
| First Colonial | Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | ||
| Fishburne Military A | Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | ||
| Flint Hill | Flint Hill | Flint Hill | ||
| Forest Park | Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | ||
| Fork Union Military | Fork Union Military | Fork Union Military | ||
| Franklin County | Franklin County | Franklin County | ||
| Fredericksburg Acade | Fluvanna County | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Fluvanna County | |
| Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Freedom South Ridin | Freedom South Ridin | Freedom South Ridin | ||
| Freedom Woodbridge | Freedom Woodbridge | Freedom Woodbridge | ||
| Gainesville | Gainesville | Gainesville | ||
| Gar-field | Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | ||
| Glen Allen | Glen Allen | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Glen Allen | |
| Goochland | Goochland | Goochland | ||
| Grafton LC | Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | ||
| Grassfield LC | Grassfield LC | Grassfield LC | ||
| Green Run | Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | ||
| Handley | Handley | Handley | ||
| Hanover | Hanover | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Hanover | |
| Hayfield | Hayfield | Hayfield | ||
| Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Herndon | Herndon | Herndon | ||
| Hickory LC | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Hidden Valley | Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | ||
| Highland School | Highland School | Highland School | ||
| Highland Springs | Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | ||
| Hylton | Hylton | Hylton | ||
| Independence | Independence | Independence | ||
| James Monroe | James Monroe | James Monroe | ||
| James River | James River | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | James River | |
| Jamestown LC | Jamestown LC | Jamestown LC | ||
| Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| John Champe | John Champe | John Champe | ||
| Justice | Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | ||
| Kellam | Kellam | Kellam | ||
| Kempsville | Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | ||
| Kettle Run | Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | ||
| Lafayette LC | Lafayette LC | Lafayette LC | ||
| Lake Braddock | Lake Braddock | Lake Braddock | ||
| Landstown | Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | ||
| Langley | Langley | Langley | ||
| Lewis | Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | ||
| Liberty Bealeton | Liberty Bealeton | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 1) | Liberty Bealeton | |
| Lightridge | Lightridge | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Lightridge | |
| Lloyd C Bird | Lloyd C Bird | Lloyd C Bird | ||
| Lord Botetourt | Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | ||
| Loudoun County | Loudoun County | Loudoun County | ||
| Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Loudoun Valley | |
| Madison | Madison | Madison | ||
| Manchester | Manchester | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Manchester | |
| Marshall | Marshall | Marshall | ||
| Massaponax | Fluvanna County | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Fluvanna County | |
| Matoaca | Fluvanna County | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Fluvanna County | |
| Maury LC | Maury LC | Maury LC | ||
| McLean | McLean | McLean | ||
| Mechanicsville | Fluvanna County | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Fluvanna County | |
| Menchville LC | Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | ||
| Meridian | Meridian | Meridian 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Midlothian | Midlothian | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Midlothian | |
| Mills Godwin | Mills Godwin | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Mills Godwin | |
| Monacan | Monacan | Monacan 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Monticello | Monticello | Monticello | ||
| Mount Vernon | Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | ||
| Mountain View | Mountain View | Mountain View | ||
| Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | ||
| New Covenant School | New Covenant School | New Covenant School | ||
| Norfolk Academy | Norfolk Academy | Norfolk Academy | ||
| Norfolk Christian | Norfolk Christian | Norfolk Christian | ||
| Norfolk Collegiate | Norfolk Collegiate | Norfolk Collegiate | ||
| North Cross School | North Cross School | North Cross School | ||
| North Stafford | Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | ||
| Northern VA Home Sch | Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | ||
| Oakton | Oakton | Oakton | ||
| Ocean Lakes | Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | ||
| Orange County | Orange County | insuffient: ( 1- 5)( 0- 6) | Orange County | |
| Osbourn | Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | ||
| Osbourn Park | Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | ||
| Park View | Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | ||
| Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | ||
| Patrick Henry Roano | Patrick Henry Roano | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Patrick Henry Roano | |
| Patriot | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Paul VI | Paul VI | Paul VI | ||
| Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Potomac School | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Potomac-Dumfries | Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | ||
| Powhatan | Fluvanna County | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 3) | Fluvanna County | |
| Princess Anne | Princess Anne | Princess Anne | ||
| Riverbend | Riverbend | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) | Riverbend | |
| Riverside | Riverside | Riverside | ||
| Robinson | Robinson | Robinson | ||
| Rock Ridge | Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | ||
| Rockbridge County | Rockbridge County | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Rockbridge County | |
| Rockingham LC | Rockingham LC | Rockingham LC | ||
| Salem | Salem | Salem 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Salem Virginia Beach | Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | ||
| Seton School | Seton School | Seton School | ||
| South County | South County | South County | ||
| South Lakes | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield | ||
| St Christophers | St Christophers | St Christophers | ||
| St John Paul the Gre | St John Paul the Gre | St John Paul the Gre | ||
| St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | ||
| Stafford | Stafford | Stafford | ||
| Steward School | Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | ||
| Stone Bridge | Stone Bridge | Stone Bridge | ||
| Strasburg LC | Strasburg LC | Strasburg LC | ||
| Tabb LC | Tabb LC | Tabb LC | ||
| Tallwood | Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | ||
| Tandem Friends | Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | ||
| Thomas Dale | Fluvanna County | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Fluvanna County | |
| Thomas Jefferson | Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | ||
| Trinity Christian | Trinity Christian | Trinity Christian | ||
| Trinity Episcopal | Trinity Episcopal | Trinity Episcopal | ||
| Trinity Meadow View | Trinity Meadow View | Trinity Meadow View | ||
| Tuscarora | Fluvanna County | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Fluvanna County | |
| Unity Reed | Fluvanna County | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Fluvanna County | |
| Veritas School | Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | ||
| Virginia Academy | Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | ||
| Virginia Episcopal S | Virginia Episcopal S | Virginia Episcopal S | ||
| Wakefield HS | Wakefield HS | Wakefield HS | ||
| Wakefield School | Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | ||
| Washington-Liberty | Washington-Liberty | Washington-Liberty | ||
| West Potomac | West Potomac | West Potomac | ||
| West Springfield | West Springfield | West Springfield | ||
| Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Westfield | Westfield | Westfield | ||
| William Byrd | William Byrd | William Byrd | ||
| William Fleming | William Fleming | William Fleming | ||
| Woodberry Forest | Woodberry Forest | Woodberry Forest | ||
| Woodbridge | Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | ||
| Woodgrove | Woodgrove | Woodgrove | ||
| Woodson | Woodson | Woodson | ||
| York LC | Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | ||
| Yorktown | Yorktown | Yorktown |
PowerWise = 49
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.94
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Patrick Henry ( 5- 9, 79.3) 2- 6 -20.60 14.40 0.61 1.00 -19.91
0 H Kettle Run ( 4- 9, 79.4) 13- 9 -20.53 14.47 -0.61 1.00 13.81
0 A Charlottesvill ( 3-11, 78.8) 11-10 -21.10 13.90 0.61 1.00 14.46
0 H James Monroe (11- 3, 81.0) 7- 8 -18.92 16.08 -0.61 1.00 -19.45
0 A Highland Sprin ( 1-11, 73.9) 12- 3 -25.99 9.01 0.61 1.00 9.58
0 H Orange County ( 4-12, 79.8) 11-10 -20.14 14.86 -0.61 1.00 14.19
0 A Goochland (12- 5, 82.6) 6-14 -17.26 17.75 0.61 1.00 -16.58
0 H Monticello (14- 3, 86.8) 2-17 -13.06 21.95 -0.61 1.00 -13.61
0 H Charlottesvill ( 3-11, 78.8) 7- 6 -21.10 13.90 -0.61 1.00 13.24
0 A Albemarle ( 9- 7, 84.6) 3-12 -15.30 19.70 0.61 1.00 -14.63
0 H Western Albema (14- 5, 86.7) 2-14 -13.16 21.84 -0.61 1.00 -13.71
0 H Goochland (12- 5, 82.6) 13-17 -17.26 17.75 -0.61 1.00 -17.79
0 A Monticello (14- 3, 86.8) 1-14 -13.06 21.95 0.61 1.00 -12.40
0 A Orange County ( 4-12, 79.8) 10-11 -20.14 14.86 0.61 1.00 -19.46
------
-82.26
|
winning pts = 65.2788 losing points = -147.5363
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------