Forest Lake
W-L: ( 1-13) PR = 84.9683Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 412 H Anoka (12- 3, 92.4) 2-19 415 A Stillwater (18- 1, 99.1) 0-25 417 H Woodbury ( 6- 9, 93.8) 1-19 421 A Park Cottage Grove ( 7- 8, 89.8) 10-19 424 A Cretin-Derham Hall (10- 5, 94.6) 7-17 429 H Mounds View ( 7- 7, 93.0) 4-14 501 A White Bear Lake (10- 5, 96.1) 1-19 502 H Grand Rapids/Greenwa ( 6- 7, 84.7) 11-10 505 H Roseville ( 2-10, 88.7) 7-10 507 A Spring Lake Park/Coo ( 8- 7, 90.1) 5-11 508 A East Ridge (13- 5, 96.6) 3-13 513 H Irondale ( 7- 7, 93.7) 6-18 521 A Chisago Lakes ( 7- 8, 90.6) 8-14 527 A Blaine ( 9- 8, 93.1) 3-21
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
412 H Anoka 2-19 -17 -7 0.00
415 A Stillwater 0-25 -25 -15 0.00
417 H Woodbury 1-19 -18 -8 0.00
421 A Park Cottage Grove 10-19 -9 -6 0.00
424 A Cretin-Derham Hall 7-17 -10 -10 0.00
429 H Mounds View 4-14 -10 -7 0.00
501 A White Bear Lake 1-19 -18 -12 0.00
502 H Grand Rapids/Greenwa 11-10 1 1 0.04
505 H Roseville 7-10 -3 -3 -0.04
507 A Spring Lake Park/Coo 5-11 -6 -6 0.00
508 A East Ridge 3-13 -10 -12 0.00
513 H Irondale 6-18 -12 -8 0.00
521 A Chisago Lakes 8-14 -6 -6 0.00
527 A Blaine 3-21 -18 -9 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
Forest Lake Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andover | Andover | Andover 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Anoka | Anoka | Anoka | ||
| Becker | Forest Lake | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Forest Lake | |
| Benilde-St Margarets | Benilde-St Margarets | Benilde-St Margarets 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Big Lake/Princeton | Forest Lake | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Forest Lake | |
| Blaine | Blaine | Blaine | ||
| Blake School | Blake School | Blake School | ||
| Bloomington Jefferso | Bloomington Jefferso | Bloomington Jefferso | ||
| Bloomington Kennedy/ | Forest Lake | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Forest Lake | |
| Brainerd | Forest Lake | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Forest Lake | |
| Breck School | Breck School | Breck School | ||
| Buffalo | Buffalo | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Buffalo | |
| Centennial | Centennial | Centennial 5- 0 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Champlin Park | Champlin Park | Champlin Park 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Chanhassen | Chanhassen | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Chanhassen | |
| Chaska | Chaska | Chaska | ||
| Chisago Lakes | Chisago Lakes | Chisago Lakes | ||
| Cloquet/Esko/Carlton | Forest Lake | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Forest Lake | |
| Cretin-Derham Hall | Cretin-Derham Hall | Cretin-Derham Hall | ||
| Delano/Rockford | Delano/Rockford | Delano/Rockford | ||
| Duluth East/Denfield | Duluth East/Denfield | Duluth East/Denfield 3- 3 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Duluth Marshall | Duluth Marshall | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Duluth Marshall | |
| Eagan | Eagan | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Eagan | |
| East Ridge | East Ridge | East Ridge | ||
| Eastview/Apple Valle | Eastview/Apple Valle | Eastview/Apple Valle | ||
| Eden Prairie | Eden Prairie | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Eden Prairie | |
| Edina | Edina | Edina 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Elk River/Zimmerman | Elk River/Zimmerman | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Elk River/Zimmerman | |
| Farmington | Farmington | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Farmington | |
| Grand Rapids/Greenwa | Forest Lake | Forest Lake | ||
| Hastings | Hastings | insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) | Hastings | |
| Hermantown/Proctor | Hermantown/Proctor | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Hermantown/Proctor | |
| Hill-Murray | Hill-Murray | Hill-Murray 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Holy Angels | Forest Lake | Forest Lake | ||
| Holy Family Catholic | Forest Lake | Forest Lake | ||
| Hopkins/St Louis Par | Hopkins/St Louis Par | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Hopkins/St Louis Par | |
| Hutchinson | Forest Lake | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Forest Lake | |
| Irondale | Irondale | Irondale | ||
| Lakeville North | Lakeville North | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lakeville North | |
| Lakeville South | Lakeville South | Lakeville South | ||
| Mahtomedi | Mahtomedi | insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) | Mahtomedi | |
| Mankato United | Mankato United | Mankato United | ||
| Maple Grove | Maple Grove | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Maple Grove | |
| Minneapolis United | Minneapolis United | Minneapolis United | ||
| Minnetonka | Minnetonka | Minnetonka 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Monticello | Monticello | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Monticello | |
| Moorhead | Moorhead | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Moorhead | |
| Mound Westonka | Forest Lake | Forest Lake | ||
| Mounds View | Mounds View | Mounds View | ||
| New Prague | New Prague | New Prague | ||
| Northfield | Northfield | Northfield | ||
| Orono | Orono | Orono | ||
| Osseo/Park Center | Forest Lake | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Forest Lake | |
| Owatonna | Owatonna | Owatonna | ||
| Park Cottage Grove | Park Cottage Grove | Park Cottage Grove | ||
| Prior Lake | Prior Lake | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Prior Lake | |
| Providence Academy | Providence Academy | Providence Academy | ||
| Robbinsdale Armstron | Robbinsdale Armstron | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Robbinsdale Armstron | |
| Rochester United | Rochester United | Rochester United | ||
| Rocori | Forest Lake | Forest Lake | ||
| Rogers | Rogers | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Rogers | |
| Rosemount | Rosemount | Rosemount | ||
| Roseville | Roseville | Roseville | ||
| Sartell/Sauk Rapids | Sartell/Sauk Rapids | Sartell/Sauk Rapids | ||
| Shakopee | Shakopee | Shakopee | ||
| Simley | Forest Lake | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Forest Lake | |
| Southwest Christian | Southwest Christian | Southwest Christian | ||
| Spring Lake Park/Coo | Spring Lake Park/Coo | Spring Lake Park/Coo | ||
| St Cloud Unified | Forest Lake | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Forest Lake | |
| St Michael-Albertvil | St Michael-Albertvil | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | St Michael-Albertvil | |
| St Paul/Two Rivers | St Paul/Two Rivers | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | St Paul/Two Rivers | |
| St Thomas Academy | St Thomas Academy | St Thomas Academy 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Stillwater | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Totino Grace | Forest Lake | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Forest Lake | |
| TriMAC Academy | TriMAC Academy | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | TriMAC Academy | |
| Waconia | Waconia | Waconia | ||
| Wayzata | Wayzata | Wayzata | ||
| White Bear Lake | White Bear Lake | White Bear Lake | ||
| Woodbury | Woodbury | Woodbury |
PowerWise = 15
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.62
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Anoka (12- 3, 92.4) 2-19 -7.54 17.52 -0.74 1.04 -8.65
0 A Stillwater (18- 1, 99.1) 0-25 -0.78 24.29 0.74 1.04 -0.04
0 H Woodbury ( 6- 9, 93.8) 1-19 -6.14 18.93 -0.74 1.04 -7.18
0 A Park Cottage G ( 7- 8, 89.8) 10-19 -10.12 14.95 0.74 1.04 -9.80
0 A Cretin-Derham (10- 5, 94.6) 7-17 -5.26 19.81 0.74 1.04 -4.72
0 H Mounds View ( 7- 7, 93.0) 4-14 -6.93 18.14 -0.74 1.04 -8.01
0 A White Bear Lak (10- 5, 96.1) 1-19 -3.79 21.28 0.74 1.04 -3.18
0 H Grand Rapids/G ( 6- 7, 84.7) 11-10 -15.15 9.92 -0.74 1.04 9.59
0 H Roseville ( 2-10, 88.7) 7-10 -11.23 13.84 -0.74 1.04 -12.51
0 A Spring Lake Pa ( 8- 7, 90.1) 5-11 -9.83 15.24 0.74 1.04 -9.50
0 A East Ridge (13- 5, 96.6) 3-13 -3.26 21.80 0.74 1.04 -2.64
0 H Irondale ( 7- 7, 93.7) 6-18 -6.20 18.87 -0.74 1.04 -7.25
0 A Chisago Lakes ( 7- 8, 90.6) 8-14 -9.35 15.72 0.74 1.04 -8.99
0 A Blaine ( 9- 8, 93.1) 3-21 -6.78 18.29 0.74 1.04 -6.30
------
-79.19
|
winning pts = 9.5857 losing points = -88.7716
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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