Flint Hill
W-L: ( 4- 5) PR = 86.0539
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
311 H Bishop Ireton ( 6- 4, 89.6) 5-14
313 A Benedictine ( 6- 8, 87.7) 4-11
327 A Virginia Episcopal S ( 5- 9, 83.5) 10- 2
329 H Bishop OConnell ( 4- 5, 86.0) 5- 6
404 H Trinity Episcopal ( 1-14, 80.0) 16- 6
415 H Trinity Meadow View ( 8- 7, 82.6) 14- 3
423 H Potomac School ( 3- 6, 91.0) 6-12
502 H Cape Henry Collegiat (11- 6, 87.9) 8- 6
507 A Potomac School ( 3- 6, 91.0) 2-16
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
311 H Bishop Ireton 5-14 -9 -3 - -2.06
313 A Benedictine 4-11 -7 -2 - -2.76
327 A Virginia Episcopal S 10- 2 8 2 + 3.06
329 H Bishop OConnell 5- 6 -1 1 -1.66
404 H Trinity Episcopal 16- 6 10 7 0.00
415 H Trinity Meadow View 14- 3 11 4 0.93
423 H Potomac School 6-12 -6 -4 -0.67
502 H Cape Henry Collegiat 8- 6 2 -1 + 3.27
507 A Potomac School 2-16 -14 -6 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
311 H Bishop Ireton 5-14 -9 -3 - -2.06
313 A Benedictine 4-11 -7 -2 - -2.76
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
327 A Virginia Episcopal S 10- 2 8 2 + 3.06
502 H Cape Henry Collegiat 8- 6 2 -1 + 3.27
|
Flint Hill Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Albemarle |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Alexandria City |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Annandale |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Atlee |
Atlee |
|
 
| Atlee |
Battlefield |
Battlefield |
|
 
| Battlefield |
Bayside |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Benedictine |
Benedictine |
Benedictine |
 
| |
Bishop Ireton |
Bishop Ireton |
Bishop Ireton |
 
| |
Bishop OConnell |
Bishop OConnell |
Bishop OConnell |
 
| |
Blacksburg |
Flint Hill |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Flint Hill |
Blue Ridge School |
Blue Ridge School |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Blue Ridge School |
Brentsville |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Briar Woods |
Briar Woods |
|
 
| Briar Woods |
Broad Run |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
Brooke Point |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Cape Henry Collegiat |
Flint Hill |
Flint Hill |
 
| |
Catholic HS |
Catholic HS |
|
Catholic HS   4- 0 vs 2- 2 |
|
Cave Spring |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Centreville |
Centreville |
|
 
| Centreville |
Chantilly |
Chantilly |
|
 
| Chantilly |
Charlottesville |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Christchurch |
Christchurch |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Christchurch |
Christiansburg |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Clover Hill |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Colgan |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Collegiate School |
Collegiate School |
|
Collegiate School   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
Colonial Forge |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Cosby |
Cosby |
|
 
| Cosby |
Covenant School |
Covenant School |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Covenant School |
Cox |
Flint Hill |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Flint Hill |
Culpeper County |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Deep Run |
Deep Run |
|
 
| Deep Run |
Dominion |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Douglas Freeman |
Douglas Freeman |
|
 
| Douglas Freeman |
Eastern View |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
EC Glass |
EC Glass |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
EC Glass |
Edison |
Flint Hill |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Flint Hill |
Episcopal |
Episcopal |
|
Episcopal   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
Eukarya Christian |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Fairfax |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Falls Church |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Fauquier |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
First Colonial |
Flint Hill |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Flint Hill |
Fishburne Military A |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Fluvanna County |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Forest Park |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Fork Union Military |
Fork Union Military |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Fork Union Military |
Franklin County |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Fredericksburg Acade |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Fredericksburg Chris |
Flint Hill |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Flint Hill |
Freedom South Ridin |
Freedom South Ridin |
|
 
| Freedom South Ridin |
Freedom Woodbridge |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Gainesville |
Gainesville |
|
 
| Gainesville |
Gar-field |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Glen Allen |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Goochland |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Grafton LC |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Grassfield LC |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Green Run |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Handley |
Flint Hill |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Flint Hill |
Hanover |
Hanover |
|
 
| Hanover |
Hayfield |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Heritage Leesburg |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Herndon |
Herndon |
|
 
| Herndon |
Hickory LC |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Hidden Valley |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Highland School |
Flint Hill |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Flint Hill |
Highland Springs |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Hylton |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Independence |
Independence |
|
 
| Independence |
James Monroe |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
James River |
Flint Hill |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Flint Hill |
Jamestown LC |
Jamestown LC |
|
 
| Jamestown LC |
Jefferson Forest |
Jefferson Forest |
|
 
| Jefferson Forest |
John Champe |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Justice |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Kellam |
Kellam |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Kellam |
Kempsville |
Flint Hill |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Flint Hill |
Kettle Run |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Lafayette LC |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Lake Braddock |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Landstown |
Flint Hill |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Flint Hill |
Langley |
Langley |
|
 
| Langley |
Lewis |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Liberty Bealeton |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Lightridge |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Lloyd C Bird |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Lord Botetourt |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Loudoun County |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Loudoun Valley |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Madison |
Madison |
|
 
| Madison |
Manchester |
Manchester |
|
 
| Manchester |
Marshall |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Massaponax |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Matoaca |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Maury LC |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
McLean |
McLean |
|
 
| McLean |
Mechanicsville |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Menchville LC |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Meridian |
Meridian |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Meridian |
Midlothian |
Midlothian |
|
 
| Midlothian |
Mills Godwin |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Monacan |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Monticello |
Monticello |
|
 
| Monticello |
Mount Vernon |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Mountain View |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac |
Flint Hill |
|
Flint Hill   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
New Covenant School |
Flint Hill |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Flint Hill |
Norfolk Academy |
Norfolk Academy |
|
Norfolk Academy   4- 0 vs 2- 2 |
|
Norfolk Christian |
Flint Hill |
|
Flint Hill   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Norfolk Collegiate |
Flint Hill |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Flint Hill |
North Cross School |
North Cross School |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
North Cross School |
North Stafford |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Northern VA Home Sch |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Oakton |
Oakton |
|
 
| Oakton |
Ocean Lakes |
Flint Hill |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Flint Hill |
Orange County |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Osbourn |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Osbourn Park |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Park View |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Patrick Henry Ashla |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Patrick Henry Roano |
Patrick Henry Roano |
|
 
| Patrick Henry Roano |
Patriot |
Patriot |
|
 
| Patriot |
Paul VI |
Paul VI |
|
Paul VI   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Potomac Falls |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Potomac School |
Potomac School |
Potomac School |
 
| |
Potomac-Dumfries |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Powhatan |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Princess Anne |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Riverbend |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Riverside |
Riverside |
|
 
| Riverside |
Robinson |
Robinson |
|
 
| Robinson |
Rock Ridge |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Rockbridge County |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Rockingham LC |
Rockingham LC |
|
 
| Rockingham LC |
Salem |
Salem |
|
 
| Salem |
Salem Virginia Beach |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Seton School |
Flint Hill |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Flint Hill |
South County |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
South Lakes |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
St Annes-Belfield |
St Annes-Belfield |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
St Annes-Belfield |
St Christophers |
St Christophers |
|
St Christophers   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
St John Paul the Gre |
Flint Hill |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) |
Flint Hill |
St Stephen-St Agnes |
St Stephen-St Agnes |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
St Stephen-St Agnes |
Stafford |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Steward School |
Flint Hill |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Flint Hill |
Stone Bridge |
Stone Bridge |
|
 
| Stone Bridge |
Strasburg LC |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Tabb LC |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Tallwood |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Tandem Friends |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Thomas Dale |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Thomas Jefferson |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Trinity Christian |
Flint Hill |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Flint Hill |
Trinity Episcopal |
Flint Hill |
Flint Hill |
 
| |
Trinity Meadow View |
Flint Hill |
Flint Hill |
 
| |
Tuscarora |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Unity Reed |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Veritas School |
Flint Hill |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Flint Hill |
Virginia Academy |
Flint Hill |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Flint Hill |
Virginia Episcopal S |
Flint Hill |
Flint Hill |
 
| |
Wakefield HS |
Flint Hill |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Flint Hill |
Wakefield School |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Washington-Liberty |
Washington-Liberty |
|
 
| Washington-Liberty |
West Potomac |
West Potomac |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
West Potomac |
West Springfield |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Western Albemarle |
Western Albemarle |
|
 
| Western Albemarle |
Westfield |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
William Byrd |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
William Fleming |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Woodberry Forest |
Woodberry Forest |
|
Woodberry Forest   4- 0 vs 2- 2 |
|
Woodbridge |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Woodgrove |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Woodson |
Woodson |
|
 
| Woodson |
York LC |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Yorktown |
Yorktown |
|
 
| Yorktown |
PowerWise = 119

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.94
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Bishop Ireton ( 6- 4, 89.6) 5-14 -10.30 24.70 -0.61 1.55 -16.90
0 A Benedictine ( 6- 8, 87.7) 4-11 -12.22 22.78 0.61 1.55 -17.99
0 A Virginia Episc ( 5- 9, 83.5) 10- 2 -16.40 18.60 0.61 1.55 29.76
0 H Bishop OConnel ( 4- 5, 86.0) 5- 6 -13.90 21.11 -0.61 1.55 -22.47
0 H Trinity Episco ( 1-14, 80.0) 16- 6 -19.89 15.11 -0.61 1.55 22.47
0 H Trinity Meadow ( 8- 7, 82.6) 14- 3 -17.31 17.69 -0.61 1.55 26.46
0 H Potomac School ( 3- 6, 91.0) 6-12 -8.90 26.10 -0.61 1.55 -14.74
0 H Cape Henry Col (11- 6, 87.9) 8- 6 -11.96 23.04 -0.61 1.55 34.75
0 A Potomac School ( 3- 6, 91.0) 2-16 -8.90 26.10 0.61 1.55 -12.85
------
28.50
|
winning pts = 113.4437 losing points = -84.9475
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------