Fitch Groton
W-L: ( 3-10) PR = 74.5553Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 410 H Ledyard-Griswold ( 8- 8, 75.4) 8- 7 417 H Pomperaug ( 5-11, 79.7) 8-15 422 A Woodstock Academy ( 4-11, 73.2) 9-11 424 A Waterford (10- 5, 79.7) 5-11 426 A Old Saybrook (15- 5, 83.4) 7-18 429 A East Lyme (15- 4, 83.6) 2-19 501 H Stonington ( 7- 9, 77.5) 8-11 506 A Montville ( 2-14, 69.6) 17- 8 508 H St Bernard-Wheeler ( 9- 7, 81.7) 8-16 513 H Norwich Free Academy ( 7- 9, 73.2) 8- 9 517 H Old Lyme ( 4-12, 74.7) 16- 7 519 A Bacon Academy (14- 5, 83.1) 5-22 521 H RHAM (15- 5, 83.2) 11-18
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
410 H Ledyard-Griswold 8- 7 1 0 1.36
417 H Pomperaug 8-15 -7 -5 -0.36
422 A Woodstock Academy 9-11 -2 1 - -2.93
424 A Waterford 5-11 -6 -6 0.00
426 A Old Saybrook 7-18 -11 -9 0.00
429 A East Lyme 2-19 -17 -10 0.00
501 H Stonington 8-11 -3 -2 -0.57
506 A Montville 17- 8 9 4 0.55
508 H St Bernard-Wheeler 8-16 -8 -7 0.00
513 H Norwich Free Academy 8- 9 -1 2 - -2.80
517 H Old Lyme 16- 7 9 0 ++ 4.69
519 A Bacon Academy 5-22 -17 -9 0.00
521 H RHAM 11-18 -7 -8 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 422 A Woodstock Academy 9-11 -2 1 - -2.93 513 H Norwich Free Academy 8- 9 -1 2 - -2.80 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 517 H Old Lyme 16- 7 9 0 ++ 4.69 |
Fitch Groton Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amity Regional | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Amity Regional | |
| Avon HS | Avon HS | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Avon HS | |
| Bacon Academy | Bacon Academy | Bacon Academy | ||
| Berlin | Berlin | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Berlin | |
| Bethel | Bethel | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Bethel | |
| Branford | Branford | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Branford | |
| Brien McMahon | Brien McMahon | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Brien McMahon | |
| Bristol Co-Op | Bristol Co-Op | Bristol Co-Op | ||
| Brookfield | Brookfield | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Brookfield | |
| Bunnell-Stratford | Fitch Groton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Fitch Groton | |
| Canton | Canton | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Canton | |
| Capital-Classical Pr | Fitch Groton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Fitch Groton | |
| Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | ||
| Conard | Conard | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Conard | |
| Cromwell | Fitch Groton | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Fitch Groton | |
| Danbury | Fitch Groton | Fitch Groton | ||
| Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Daniel Hand | |
| Darien | Darien | Darien | ||
| East Catholic | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| East Lyme | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Ellington | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| Enfield | Enfield | Enfield | ||
| EO Smith | EO Smith | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | EO Smith | |
| Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | ||
| Fairfield Prep | Fairfield Prep | Fairfield Prep | ||
| Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Farmington | Farmington | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Farmington | |
| Foran | Foran | Foran | ||
| Glastonbury | Glastonbury | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Glastonbury | |
| Granby Memorial | Granby Memorial | Granby Memorial 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | ||
| Guilford | Guilford | Guilford 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Haddam-Killingworth | Haddam-Killingworth | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Haddam-Killingworth | |
| Hall | Hall | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Hall | |
| Hamden | Hamden | Hamden | ||
| Holy Cross | Holy Cross | Holy Cross | ||
| Immaculate Danbury | Immaculate Danbury | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Immaculate Danbury | |
| Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Joel Barlow | |
| Jonathan Law | Fitch Groton | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Fitch Groton | |
| Lakeview United | Fitch Groton | Fitch Groton | ||
| Ledyard-Griswold | Fitch Groton | Fitch Groton | ||
| Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Lewis Mills | |
| Lyman Hall | Lyman Hall | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lyman Hall | |
| Maloney-Platt | Fitch Groton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Fitch Groton | |
| Masuk | Masuk | Masuk 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Middletown | Fitch Groton | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Fitch Groton | |
| Montville | Fitch Groton | Fitch Groton | ||
| Morgan School | Morgan School | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Morgan School | |
| New Canaan | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| New Fairfield | New Fairfield | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | New Fairfield | |
| New Milford | New Milford | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | New Milford | |
| Newington | Newington | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Newington | |
| Newtown | Newtown | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Newtown | |
| North Branford | North Branford | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | North Branford | |
| North Haven | North Haven | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | North Haven | |
| Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Norwalk | Fitch Groton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Fitch Groton | |
| Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | ||
| Norwich Tech | Fitch Groton | Fitch Groton 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Notre Dame-Fairfield | Fitch Groton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Fitch Groton | |
| Notre Dame-West Have | Notre Dame-West Have | Notre Dame-West Have | ||
| Old Lyme | Fitch Groton | Fitch Groton | ||
| Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| Pomperaug | Pomperaug | Pomperaug | ||
| Prince-Cheney Tech | Fitch Groton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Fitch Groton | |
| RHAM | RHAM | RHAM | ||
| Ridgefield | Ridgefield | Ridgefield | ||
| Rockville Co-op | Fitch Groton | Fitch Groton | ||
| Rocky Hill | Fitch Groton | Fitch Groton | ||
| Sheehan | Sheehan | Sheehan | ||
| Shelton | Shelton | Shelton | ||
| Simsbury | Simsbury | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Simsbury | |
| Somers | Somers | Somers 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| South Windsor | South Windsor | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | South Windsor | |
| Southington | Southington | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Southington | |
| St Bernard-Wheeler | St Bernard-Wheeler | St Bernard-Wheeler | ||
| St Joseph Trumbull | St Joseph Trumbull | St Joseph Trumbull | ||
| St Paul Catholic | St Paul Catholic | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | St Paul Catholic | |
| Stamford | Stamford | Stamford | ||
| Staples | Staples | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Staples | |
| Stonington | Stonington | Stonington | ||
| Suffield | Suffield | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Suffield | |
| Tolland | Fitch Groton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Fitch Groton | |
| Trumbull | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Valley Regional | Valley Regional | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Valley Regional | |
| Vinal/Goodwin Tech | Fitch Groton | Fitch Groton | ||
| Waterford | Waterford | Waterford | ||
| Watertown | Fitch Groton | Fitch Groton | ||
| West Haven | Fitch Groton | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Fitch Groton | |
| Westhill | Fitch Groton | Fitch Groton | ||
| Weston | Weston | Weston 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Wethersfield | Wethersfield | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Wethersfield | |
| Wilbur Cross | Fitch Groton | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Fitch Groton | |
| Wilton | Wilton | Wilton | ||
| Windsor | Fitch Groton | Fitch Groton | ||
| Wolcott | Fitch Groton | Fitch Groton | ||
| Woodstock Academy | Woodstock Academy | Woodstock Academy | ||
| Xavier | Xavier | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Xavier |
PowerWise = 25
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Ledyard-Griswo ( 8- 8, 75.4) 8- 7 -24.51 15.75 -0.47 1.31 19.98
0 H Pomperaug ( 5-11, 79.7) 8-15 -20.23 20.02 -0.47 1.31 -27.10
0 A Woodstock Acad ( 4-11, 73.2) 9-11 -26.74 13.51 0.47 1.31 -34.37
0 A Waterford (10- 5, 79.7) 5-11 -20.20 20.05 0.47 1.31 -25.82
0 A Old Saybrook (15- 5, 83.4) 7-18 -16.54 23.71 0.47 1.31 -21.03
0 A East Lyme (15- 4, 83.6) 2-19 -16.31 23.94 0.47 1.31 -20.73
0 H Stonington ( 7- 9, 77.5) 8-11 -22.45 17.81 -0.47 1.31 -29.99
0 A Montville ( 2-14, 69.6) 17- 8 -30.27 9.99 0.47 1.31 13.69
0 H St Bernard-Whe ( 9- 7, 81.7) 8-16 -18.24 22.02 -0.47 1.31 -24.48
0 H Norwich Free A ( 7- 9, 73.2) 8- 9 -26.67 13.59 -0.47 1.31 -35.51
0 H Old Lyme ( 4-12, 74.7) 16- 7 -25.18 15.07 -0.47 1.31 19.10
0 A Bacon Academy (14- 5, 83.1) 5-22 -16.79 23.47 0.47 1.31 -21.35
0 H RHAM (15- 5, 83.2) 11-18 -16.72 23.54 -0.47 1.31 -22.49
------
-210.09
|
winning pts = 52.7735 losing points = -262.8674
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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