All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 74.5100021 home-field advantage = -0.97 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 304 A Kentucky Country Day ( 9- 9, 74.2) 6- 5 310 A South Oldham (16- 6, 84.4) 4-19 315 H Tates Creek ( 3-14, 62.4) 9- 3 317 A Great Crossing ( 8-10, 61.4) 14- 0 319 H Ryle ( 8-11, 66.5) 14- 5 322 H Woodford County (14- 3, 81.5) 5- 9 326 A Covington Catholic ( 6-12, 64.6) 9- 5 327 H North Oldham ( 9-12, 68.3) 10- 3 401 H Lexington Christian (10- 6, 70.8) 7- 4 402 A Sayre (11- 5, 72.7) 12- 5 416 H Lexington Catholic (10- 9, 72.6) 12- 3 418 H Legion Collegiate Acad (12- 9, 75.1) 5- 6 424 H Scott County ( 2-14, 53.0) 15- 1 429 A Henry Clay (13- 6, 71.9) 13-12 502 H Loveland (11- 8, 78.3) 4-18 505 H Bryan Station ( 1-13, 52.8) 21- 1 510 A Great Crossing ( 8-10, 61.4) 11- 2 512 N Henry Clay (13- 6, 71.9) 10- 2 514 H Lexington Catholic (10- 9, 72.6) 13- 6 517 H Woodford County (14- 3, 81.5) 6-16
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 304 A Kentucky Country Day 6- 5 1 0 1.67 310 A South Oldham 4-19 -15 -10 0.00 315 H Tates Creek 9- 3 6 13 -1.00 317 A Great Crossing 14- 0 14 12 0.00 319 H Ryle 14- 5 9 8 0.00 322 H Woodford County 5- 9 -4 -6 + 2.00 326 A Covington Catholic 9- 5 4 8 - -3.00 327 H North Oldham 10- 3 7 7 0.00 401 H Lexington Christian 7- 4 3 4 -1.65 402 A Sayre 12- 5 7 0 +++ 6.11 416 H Lexington Catholic 12- 3 9 2 ++ 4.16 418 H Legion Collegiate Acad 5- 6 -1 0 n/a 424 H Scott County 15- 1 14 22 0.00 429 A Henry Clay 13-12 1 1 -0.66 502 H Loveland 4-18 -14 -2 n/a 505 H Bryan Station 21- 1 20 22 0.00 510 A Great Crossing 11- 2 9 12 0.00 512 N Henry Clay 10- 2 8 2 ++ 4.37 514 H Lexington Catholic 13- 6 7 2 ++ 4.16 517 H Woodford County 6-16 -10 -6 -1.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 502 H Loveland 4-18 -14 -2 -- 326 A Covington Catholic 9- 5 4 8 - -3.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 402 A Sayre 12- 5 7 0 +++ 6.11 416 H Lexington Catholic 12- 3 9 2 ++ 4.16 512 N Henry Clay 10- 2 8 2 ++ 4.37 514 H Lexington Catholic 13- 6 7 2 ++ 4.16 322 H Woodford County 5- 9 -4 -6 + 2.00
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 74.51 Power Rank................. 5 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 41.97 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 11 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5689 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 16 RPI Rating............... .6282 RPI Rank................... 5 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 6 Selection sum ........... 24 Selection Rank ............ 7 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 175. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 3 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 165. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 3 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 10.0 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 6.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 15- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -9.7 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 4- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -0.7 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 9- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.9 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.7