Frederick Douglass
W-L: (15- 3) PR = 90.1463Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 304 A Kentucky Country Day ( 8- 7, 88.3) 6- 5 310 A South Oldham (12- 3, 96.6) 4-19 315 H Tates Creek ( 3-13, 79.2) 9- 3 317 A Great Crossing ( 8-10, 78.0) 14- 0 319 H Ryle ( 8- 9, 82.8) 14- 5 322 H Woodford County (14- 3, 94.6) 5- 9 326 A Covington Catholic ( 6- 9, 81.5) 9- 5 327 H North Oldham ( 9-10, 84.5) 10- 3 401 H Lexington Christian (10- 6, 85.7) 7- 4 402 A Sayre (11- 5, 87.4) 12- 5 416 H Lexington Catholic (10- 7, 87.6) 12- 3 424 H Scott County ( 2-14, 72.5) 15- 1 429 A Henry Clay (13- 5, 87.5) 13-12 505 H Bryan Station ( 1-13, 73.1) 21- 1 510 A Great Crossing ( 8-10, 78.0) 11- 2 512 N Henry Clay (13- 5, 87.5) 10- 2 514 H Lexington Catholic (10- 7, 87.6) 13- 6 517 H Woodford County (14- 3, 94.6) 6-16
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
304 A Kentucky Country Day 6- 5 1 1 -0.06
310 A South Oldham 4-19 -15 -7 0.00
315 H Tates Creek 9- 3 6 12 0.00
317 A Great Crossing 14- 0 14 11 0.00
319 H Ryle 14- 5 9 8 0.00
322 H Woodford County 5- 9 -4 -4 -0.27
326 A Covington Catholic 9- 5 4 8 -1.00
327 H North Oldham 10- 3 7 6 0.00
401 H Lexington Christian 7- 4 3 5 - -2.00
402 A Sayre 12- 5 7 2 + 3.00
416 H Lexington Catholic 12- 3 9 3 1.71
424 H Scott County 15- 1 14 18 0.00
429 A Henry Clay 13-12 1 2 -0.92
505 H Bryan Station 21- 1 20 18 0.00
510 A Great Crossing 11- 2 9 11 0.00
512 N Henry Clay 10- 2 8 3 + 2.33
514 H Lexington Catholic 13- 6 7 3 1.71
517 H Woodford County 6-16 -10 -4 -1.27
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 H Lexington Christian 7- 4 3 5 - -2.00 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 402 A Sayre 12- 5 7 2 + 3.00 512 N Henry Clay 10- 2 8 3 + 2.33 |
Frederick Douglass Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderson County | Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass | ||
| Atherton | Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass | ||
| Ballard Louisville | Frederick Douglass | insuffient: ( 6- 1)( 5- 2) | Frederick Douglass | |
| Bluegrass | Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass | ||
| Bowling Green | Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass | ||
| Bryan Station | Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass | ||
| Central Hardin | Frederick Douglass | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Frederick Douglass | |
| Christian Academy-Lo | Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Collins | Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass 5- 1 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Cooper | Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass 5- 0 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Covington Catholic | Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass | ||
| DeSales | Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass | ||
| Dixie Heights | Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass 10- 1 vs 6- 5 | ||
| DuPont Manual | Frederick Douglass | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Frederick Douglass | |
| Eastern | Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass 6- 0 vs 3- 3 | ||
| Great Crossing | Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass | ||
| Greenwood | Frederick Douglass | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Frederick Douglass | |
| Henry Clay | Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass | ||
| Kentucky Country Day | Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass | ||
| Lafayette | Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass 7- 1 vs 4- 4 | ||
| Lexington Catholic | Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass | ||
| Lexington Christian | Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass | ||
| Louisville Collegiat | Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Male | Frederick Douglass | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Frederick Douglass | |
| North Hardin | Frederick Douglass | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Frederick Douglass | |
| North Oldham | Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass | ||
| Oldham County | Frederick Douglass | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Frederick Douglass | |
| Owensboro | Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass | ||
| Paul Laurence Dunbar | Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass 6- 1 vs 3- 4 | ||
| Ryle | Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass | ||
| Sayre | Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass | ||
| Scott County | Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass | ||
| Shelby County | Frederick Douglass | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Frederick Douglass | |
| South Oldham | South Oldham | South Oldham | ||
| South Warren | Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| St Henry | Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| St Xavier Louisville | St Xavier Louisville | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | St Xavier Louisville | |
| Tates Creek | Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass | ||
| Trinity Louisville | Trinity Louisville | Trinity Louisville 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Walton-Verona | Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass 6- 0 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Woodford County | Woodford County | Woodford County |
PowerWise = 37
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.62
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Kentucky Count ( 8- 7, 88.3) 6- 5 -11.57 20.42 0.75 0.76 16.02
0 A South Oldham (12- 3, 96.6) 4-19 -3.31 28.68 0.75 0.76 -1.93
0 H Tates Creek ( 3-13, 79.2) 9- 3 -20.74 11.24 -0.75 0.76 7.94
0 A Great Crossing ( 8-10, 78.0) 14- 0 -21.94 10.05 0.75 0.76 8.17
0 H Ryle ( 8- 9, 82.8) 14- 5 -17.10 14.88 -0.75 0.76 10.69
0 H Woodford Count (14- 3, 94.6) 5- 9 -5.27 26.71 -0.75 0.76 -4.56
0 A Covington Cath ( 6- 9, 81.5) 9- 5 -18.44 13.54 0.75 0.76 10.82
0 H North Oldham ( 9-10, 84.5) 10- 3 -15.38 16.60 -0.75 0.76 11.99
0 H Lexington Chri (10- 6, 85.7) 7- 4 -14.24 17.75 -0.75 0.76 12.86
0 A Sayre (11- 5, 87.4) 12- 5 -12.50 19.48 0.75 0.76 15.31
0 H Lexington Cath (10- 7, 87.6) 12- 3 -12.29 19.69 -0.75 0.76 14.33
0 H Scott County ( 2-14, 72.5) 15- 1 -27.44 4.54 -0.75 0.76 2.87
0 A Henry Clay (13- 5, 87.5) 13-12 -12.43 19.56 0.75 0.76 15.37
0 H Bryan Station ( 1-13, 73.1) 21- 1 -26.81 5.18 -0.75 0.76 3.35
0 A Great Crossing ( 8-10, 78.0) 11- 2 -21.94 10.05 0.75 0.76 8.17
0 N Henry Clay (13- 5, 87.5) 10- 2 -12.43 19.56 -0.00 0.76 14.80
0 H Lexington Cath (10- 7, 87.6) 13- 6 -12.29 19.69 -0.75 0.76 14.33
0 H Woodford Count (14- 3, 94.6) 6-16 -5.27 26.71 -0.75 0.76 -4.56
------
155.95
|
winning pts = 167.0009 losing points = -11.0517
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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