List of boy Div 27 Frederick Douglass List of Team Values for Kentucky


      All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.



PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 H South Oldham            5-16     -11    -7           0.00
   309 H Covington Catholic      9- 2       7     8           0.00
   311 A Cooper                 16- 3      13     9           0.00
   313 H Walton-Verona          17- 3      14    12           0.00
   315 A Tates Creek            14- 7       7     7           0.00
   318 H Lexington Catholic      3-10      -7    -2    --    -4.63
   322 A Ryle                   11- 5       6     4           1.44
   328 H Bryan Station          17- 0      17    24           0.00
   411 H Henry Clay              6- 5       1     0           0.07
   413 A Collins                16- 7       9     2    ++     4.42
   415 H Lexington Christian    10- 5       5     1    +      3.12
   417 H Eastern                11- 9       2     1           0.85
   420 A Woodford County         3-16     -13    -4    -     -2.21
   422 A Ballard Louisville     10- 9       1    -1    +      2.24

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 H Lexington Catholic      3-10      -7    -2    --    -4.63
   420 A Woodford County         3-16     -13    -4    -     -2.21

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 A Collins                16- 7       9     2    ++     4.42
   415 H Lexington Christian    10- 5       5     1    +      3.12
   422 A Ballard Louisville     10- 9       1    -1    +      2.24



 RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Power Rating............. 69.62 Power Rank.................     8
 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 35.78 SOS (PR) Rank..............    10
 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6647 SOS (RPI) Rank.............     1
 RPI Rating............... .6426 RPI Rank...................     4
 Champ. Probability ......   0.0 Championship Rank .........    11
 Selection sum ...........     9 Selection Rank ............     3
 Qual Win (PR) Rating.....  100. Qual Win (PR) Rank.........     4
 Qual Win (RPI) Rating....  100. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........     4
    
 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals .....  10.6 Ave Defensive Goals .......    6.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3