Fredericksburg Chris
W-L: (11- 5) PR = 83.4624Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 314 A Norfolk Collegiate ( 6- 9, 81.2) 11- 8 317 A Fredericksburg Acade ( 3- 6, 76.8) 14- 7 320 A Seton School ( 5- 8, 81.6) 9- 5 324 H Fredericksburg Acade ( 3- 6, 76.8) 14- 6 327 A Trinity Meadow View ( 8- 7, 82.6) 12-13 401 A St John Paul the Gre ( 5- 9, 81.4) 9-11 405 H New Covenant School ( 1- 8, 82.3) 10- 8 408 H Trinity Christian ( 9- 7, 82.6) 14- 4 410 H Seton School ( 5- 8, 81.6) 9- 5 415 H St John Paul the Gre ( 5- 9, 81.4) 10- 9 417 A Highland School ( 8- 3, 81.6) 9-10 430 H Norfolk Christian ( 7-10, 80.9) 15- 6 502 A Trinity Christian ( 9- 7, 82.6) 8- 9 507 H St John Paul the Gre ( 5- 9, 81.4) 13-11 509 H Trinity Christian ( 9- 7, 82.6) 7- 5 515 A Covenant School ( 9- 7, 86.6) 6-19
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
314 A Norfolk Collegiate 11- 8 3 2 1.34
317 A Fredericksburg Acade 14- 7 7 6 0.00
320 A Seton School 9- 5 4 1 + 2.75
324 H Fredericksburg Acade 14- 6 8 7 0.00
327 A Trinity Meadow View 12-13 -1 0 -1.26
401 A St John Paul the Gre 9-11 -2 1 - -3.45
405 H New Covenant School 10- 8 2 2 0.20
408 H Trinity Christian 14- 4 10 1 + 3.56
410 H Seton School 9- 5 4 2 1.53
415 H St John Paul the Gre 10- 9 1 3 -1.67
417 A Highland School 9-10 -1 1 - -2.24
430 H Norfolk Christian 15- 6 9 3 1.86
502 A Trinity Christian 8- 9 -1 0 -1.22
507 H St John Paul the Gre 13-11 2 3 -0.67
509 H Trinity Christian 7- 5 2 1 0.56
515 A Covenant School 6-19 -13 -4 -1.26
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 A St John Paul the Gre 9-11 -2 1 - -3.45 417 A Highland School 9-10 -1 1 - -2.24 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 320 A Seton School 9- 5 4 1 + 2.75 408 H Trinity Christian 14- 4 10 1 + 3.56 |
Fredericksburg Chris Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albemarle | Albemarle | Albemarle | ||
| Alexandria City | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Annandale | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Atlee | Atlee | Atlee | ||
| Battlefield | Battlefield | Battlefield | ||
| Bayside | Fredericksburg Chris | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Fredericksburg Chris | |
| Benedictine | Benedictine | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) | Benedictine | |
| Bishop Ireton | Bishop Ireton | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Bishop Ireton | |
| Bishop OConnell | Bishop OConnell | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Bishop OConnell | |
| Blacksburg | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Blue Ridge School | |
| Brentsville | Brentsville | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Brentsville | |
| Briar Woods | Briar Woods | Briar Woods | ||
| Broad Run | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Brooke Point | Brooke Point | Brooke Point | ||
| Cape Henry Collegiat | Cape Henry Collegiat | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Cape Henry Collegiat | |
| Catholic HS | Catholic HS | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Catholic HS | |
| Cave Spring | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Centreville | Centreville | Centreville | ||
| Chantilly | Chantilly | Chantilly | ||
| Charlottesville | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Christchurch | Christchurch | Christchurch | ||
| Christiansburg | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Clover Hill | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Colgan | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Collegiate School | Collegiate School | Collegiate School | ||
| Colonial Forge | Colonial Forge | Colonial Forge | ||
| Cosby | Cosby | Cosby | ||
| Covenant School | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Cox | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Culpeper County | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Deep Run | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Dominion | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Douglas Freeman | Douglas Freeman | Douglas Freeman | ||
| Eastern View | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| EC Glass | EC Glass | EC Glass | ||
| Edison | Fredericksburg Chris | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Fredericksburg Chris | |
| Episcopal | Episcopal | Episcopal | ||
| Eukarya Christian | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Fairfax | Fairfax | Fairfax | ||
| Falls Church | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Fauquier | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| First Colonial | Fredericksburg Chris | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Fredericksburg Chris | |
| Fishburne Military A | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Flint Hill | Flint Hill | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Flint Hill | |
| Fluvanna County | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Forest Park | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Fork Union Military | Fork Union Military | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Fork Union Military | |
| Franklin County | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Fredericksburg Acade | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Freedom South Ridin | Freedom South Ridin | Freedom South Ridin | ||
| Freedom Woodbridge | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Gainesville | Gainesville | Gainesville | ||
| Gar-field | Fredericksburg Chris | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Fredericksburg Chris | |
| Glen Allen | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Goochland | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Grafton LC | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Grassfield LC | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Green Run | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Handley | Handley | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Handley | |
| Hanover | Hanover | Hanover | ||
| Hayfield | Hayfield | Hayfield | ||
| Heritage Leesburg | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Herndon | Herndon | Herndon | ||
| Hickory LC | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Hidden Valley | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Highland School | Highland School | Highland School | ||
| Highland Springs | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Hylton | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Independence | Independence | Independence | ||
| James Monroe | Fredericksburg Chris | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Fredericksburg Chris | |
| James River | James River | James River | ||
| Jamestown LC | Jamestown LC | Jamestown LC | ||
| Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Jefferson Forest | |
| John Champe | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Justice | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Kellam | Kellam | Kellam | ||
| Kempsville | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Kettle Run | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Lafayette LC | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Lake Braddock | Lake Braddock | Lake Braddock | ||
| Landstown | Fredericksburg Chris | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Fredericksburg Chris | |
| Langley | Langley | Langley | ||
| Lewis | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Liberty Bealeton | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Lightridge | Lightridge | Lightridge | ||
| Lloyd C Bird | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Lord Botetourt | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Loudoun County | Loudoun County | Loudoun County | ||
| Loudoun Valley | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Madison | Madison | Madison | ||
| Manchester | Manchester | Manchester | ||
| Marshall | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Massaponax | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Matoaca | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Maury LC | Fredericksburg Chris | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Fredericksburg Chris | |
| McLean | McLean | McLean | ||
| Mechanicsville | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Menchville LC | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Meridian | Meridian | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Meridian | |
| Midlothian | Midlothian | Midlothian | ||
| Mills Godwin | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Monacan | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Monticello | Monticello | Monticello | ||
| Mount Vernon | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Mountain View | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | |
| New Covenant School | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Norfolk Academy | Norfolk Academy | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Norfolk Academy | |
| Norfolk Christian | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Norfolk Collegiate | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| North Cross School | North Cross School | insuffient: ( 4- 3)( 5- 0) | North Cross School | |
| North Stafford | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Northern VA Home Sch | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris 3- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Oakton | Oakton | Oakton | ||
| Ocean Lakes | Fredericksburg Chris | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Fredericksburg Chris | |
| Orange County | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Osbourn | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Osbourn Park | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Park View | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Patrick Henry Ashla | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Patrick Henry Roano | Patrick Henry Roano | Patrick Henry Roano | ||
| Patriot | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Paul VI | Paul VI | Paul VI | ||
| Potomac Falls | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Potomac School | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Potomac-Dumfries | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Powhatan | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Princess Anne | Fredericksburg Chris | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Fredericksburg Chris | |
| Riverbend | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Riverside | Riverside | Riverside | ||
| Robinson | Robinson | Robinson | ||
| Rock Ridge | Fredericksburg Chris | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Fredericksburg Chris | |
| Rockbridge County | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Rockingham LC | Rockingham LC | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Rockingham LC | |
| Salem | Salem | Salem | ||
| Salem Virginia Beach | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Seton School | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| South County | South County | South County | ||
| South Lakes | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield | ||
| St Christophers | St Christophers | St Christophers | ||
| St John Paul the Gre | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | ||
| Stafford | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Steward School | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Stone Bridge | Stone Bridge | Stone Bridge | ||
| Strasburg LC | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Tabb LC | Tabb LC | Tabb LC | ||
| Tallwood | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Tandem Friends | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Thomas Dale | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Thomas Jefferson | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Trinity Christian | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Trinity Episcopal | Fredericksburg Chris | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Fredericksburg Chris | |
| Trinity Meadow View | Trinity Meadow View | Trinity Meadow View | ||
| Tuscarora | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Unity Reed | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Veritas School | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris 3- 2 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Virginia Academy | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris 4- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Virginia Episcopal S | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris 4- 2 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Wakefield HS | Fredericksburg Chris | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Fredericksburg Chris | |
| Wakefield School | Fredericksburg Chris | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Fredericksburg Chris | |
| Washington-Liberty | Washington-Liberty | Washington-Liberty | ||
| West Potomac | West Potomac | West Potomac | ||
| West Springfield | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Westfield | Westfield | Westfield | ||
| William Byrd | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| William Fleming | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Woodberry Forest | Woodberry Forest | Woodberry Forest | ||
| Woodbridge | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Woodgrove | Woodgrove | Woodgrove | ||
| Woodson | Woodson | Woodson | ||
| York LC | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Yorktown | Yorktown | Yorktown |
PowerWise = 98
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.94
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Norfolk Colleg ( 6- 9, 81.2) 11- 8 -18.70 16.30 0.61 0.87 14.73
0 A Fredericksburg ( 3- 6, 76.8) 14- 7 -23.13 11.87 0.61 0.87 10.88
0 A Seton School ( 5- 8, 81.6) 9- 5 -18.30 16.70 0.61 0.87 15.09
0 H Fredericksburg ( 3- 6, 76.8) 14- 6 -23.13 11.87 -0.61 0.87 9.82
0 A Trinity Meadow ( 8- 7, 82.6) 12-13 -17.31 17.69 0.61 0.87 -14.56
0 A St John Paul t ( 5- 9, 81.4) 9-11 -18.50 16.51 0.61 0.87 -15.59
0 H New Covenant S ( 1- 8, 82.3) 10- 8 -17.63 17.38 -0.61 0.87 14.61
0 H Trinity Christ ( 9- 7, 82.6) 14- 4 -17.27 17.74 -0.61 0.87 14.93
0 H Seton School ( 5- 8, 81.6) 9- 5 -18.30 16.70 -0.61 0.87 14.02
0 H St John Paul t ( 5- 9, 81.4) 10- 9 -18.50 16.51 -0.61 0.87 13.85
0 A Highland Schoo ( 8- 3, 81.6) 9-10 -18.29 16.71 0.61 0.87 -15.41
0 H Norfolk Christ ( 7-10, 80.9) 15- 6 -18.97 16.03 -0.61 0.87 13.44
0 A Trinity Christ ( 9- 7, 82.6) 8- 9 -17.27 17.74 0.61 0.87 -14.52
0 H St John Paul t ( 5- 9, 81.4) 13-11 -18.50 16.51 -0.61 0.87 13.85
0 H Trinity Christ ( 9- 7, 82.6) 7- 5 -17.27 17.74 -0.61 0.87 14.93
0 A Covenant Schoo ( 9- 7, 86.6) 6-19 -13.31 21.70 0.61 0.87 -11.06
------
79.02
|
winning pts = 150.1491 losing points = -71.1328
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------