Father Ryan
W-L: ( 7- 5) PR = 95.4652
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
225 H Brentwood ( 6- 8, 91.4) 23-16
306 A Hillsboro ( 6- 7, 87.7) 19- 3
325 H Ravenwood ( 7- 8, 92.6) 15- 6
331 H Nolensville (14- 4, 96.2) 14- 9
404 H Baylor School (10- 4, 96.9) 7-14
408 A Ensworth School (10- 8, 91.3) 18- 5
411 A Briarcrest Christian ( 7- 5, 95.9) 16-14
412 A Memphis University S ( 8- 3, 98.1) 7-13
416 H Christian Brothers ( 5-10, 92.3) 10-11
426 H Montgomery Bell Acad (12- 1, 99.9) 5-14
429 A Pope John Paul II ( 9- 7, 93.2) 15-12
502 A McCallie School (11- 2, 99.3) 3-14
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
225 H Brentwood 23-16 7 5 0.11
306 A Hillsboro 19- 3 16 7 0.00
325 H Ravenwood 15- 6 9 4 1.30
331 H Nolensville 14- 9 5 0 ++ 4.91
404 H Baylor School 7-14 -7 -1 -- -4.45
408 A Ensworth School 18- 5 13 3 1.71
411 A Briarcrest Christian 16-14 2 -1 + 3.30
412 A Memphis University S 7-13 -6 -3 -1.55
416 H Christian Brothers 10-11 -1 4 -- -5.02
426 H Montgomery Bell Acad 5-14 -9 -4 -1.42
429 A Pope John Paul II 15-12 3 1 1.54
502 A McCallie School 3-14 -11 -5 -0.32
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
404 H Baylor School 7-14 -7 -1 -- -4.45
416 H Christian Brothers 10-11 -1 4 -- -5.02
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
331 H Nolensville 14- 9 5 0 ++ 4.91
411 A Briarcrest Christian 16-14 2 -1 + 3.30
|
Father Ryan Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Arlington |
Father Ryan |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Father Ryan |
Bartlett |
Father Ryan |
|
 
| Father Ryan |
Baylor School |
Baylor School |
Baylor School |
 
| |
Boyd Buchanan |
Father Ryan |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) |
Father Ryan |
Brentwood |
Father Ryan |
Father Ryan |
 
| |
Briarcrest Christian |
Father Ryan |
Father Ryan |
 
| |
Centennial |
Father Ryan |
|
Father Ryan   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Christ Presbyterian |
Father Ryan |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) |
Father Ryan |
Christian Academy-Kn |
Father Ryan |
|
Father Ryan   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Christian Brothers |
Christian Brothers |
Christian Brothers |
 
|
Collierville |
Father Ryan |
|
Father Ryan   3- 1 vs 0- 4 |
|
Cookeville |
Father Ryan |
|
Father Ryan   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Dobyns Bennett |
Father Ryan |
|
 
| Father Ryan |
Ensworth School |
Father Ryan |
Father Ryan |
 
| |
Evangelical Christia |
Father Ryan |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) |
Father Ryan |
Farragut |
Father Ryan |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Father Ryan |
Franklin |
Franklin |
|
insuffient: ( 5- 2)( 4- 3) |
Franklin |
Gibbs |
Father Ryan |
|
 
| Father Ryan |
Green Hill |
Father Ryan |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Father Ryan |
Hardin Valley Academ |
Father Ryan |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Father Ryan |
Hendersonville |
Father Ryan |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Father Ryan |
Hillsboro |
Father Ryan |
Father Ryan |
 
| |
Houston |
Father Ryan |
|
Father Ryan   3- 1 vs 0- 4 |
|
Independence |
Father Ryan |
|
Father Ryan   4- 0 vs 0- 4 |
|
Knoxville Catholic |
Father Ryan |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) |
Father Ryan |
Lakeland Prep |
Father Ryan |
|
 
| Father Ryan |
Lausanne Collegiate |
Father Ryan |
|
 
| Father Ryan |
Maryville |
Father Ryan |
|
 
| Father Ryan |
McCallie School |
McCallie School |
McCallie School |
 
| |
Memphis University S |
Memphis University S |
Memphis University S |
 
| |
Montgomery Bell Acad |
Montgomery Bell Acad |
Montgomery Bell Acad |
 
| |
Nolensville |
Father Ryan |
Father Ryan |
 
| |
Oakland |
Father Ryan |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Father Ryan |
Page |
Father Ryan |
|
Father Ryan   4- 0 vs 0- 4 |
|
Pigeon Forge |
Father Ryan |
|
 
| Father Ryan |
Pope John Paul II |
Father Ryan |
Father Ryan |
 
| |
Ravenwood |
Father Ryan |
Father Ryan |
 
| |
Roane County |
Father Ryan |
|
 
| Father Ryan |
Science Hill |
Father Ryan |
|
 
| Father Ryan |
Sevier County |
Father Ryan |
|
 
| Father Ryan |
Siegel |
Father Ryan |
|
 
| Father Ryan |
Signal Mountain |
Father Ryan |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Father Ryan |
Soddy Daisy |
Father Ryan |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Father Ryan |
St Benedict Auburnd |
Father Ryan |
|
 
| Father Ryan |
St Georges |
Father Ryan |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Father Ryan |
Summit |
Father Ryan |
|
Father Ryan   4- 0 vs 0- 4 |
|
University School Na |
Father Ryan |
|
Father Ryan   4- 0 vs 2- 2 |
|
Walker Valley |
Father Ryan |
|
 
| Father Ryan |
Webb School Knoxvill |
Webb School Knoxvill |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) |
Webb School Knoxvill |
West Knoxville |
Father Ryan |
|
 
| Father Ryan |
Wilson Central |
Father Ryan |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Father Ryan |
PowerWise = 44

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.73
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Brentwood ( 6- 8, 91.4) 23-16 -8.47 22.28 -0.85 0.98 20.95
0 A Hillsboro ( 6- 7, 87.7) 19- 3 -12.19 18.56 0.85 0.98 18.98
0 H Ravenwood ( 7- 8, 92.6) 15- 6 -7.28 23.47 -0.85 0.98 22.11
0 H Nolensville (14- 4, 96.2) 14- 9 -3.67 27.08 -0.85 0.98 25.64
0 H Baylor School (10- 4, 96.9) 7-14 -3.03 27.72 -0.85 0.98 -3.80
0 A Ensworth Schoo (10- 8, 91.3) 18- 5 -8.58 22.18 0.85 0.98 22.52
0 A Briarcrest Chr ( 7- 5, 95.9) 16-14 -3.98 26.77 0.85 0.98 27.00
0 A Memphis Univer ( 8- 3, 98.1) 7-13 -1.84 28.91 0.85 0.98 -0.96
0 H Christian Brot ( 5-10, 92.3) 10-11 -7.60 23.16 -0.85 0.98 -8.26
0 H Montgomery Bel (12- 1, 99.9) 5-14 -0.00 30.75 -0.85 0.98 -0.84
0 A Pope John Paul ( 9- 7, 93.2) 15-12 -6.75 24.01 0.85 0.98 24.30
0 A McCallie Schoo (11- 2, 99.3) 3-14 -0.61 30.14 0.85 0.98 -0.24
------
147.41
|
winning pts = 161.4985 losing points = -14.0931
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------