---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:50 PDT

safe3step boys Farmington 1
  
Farmington            
W-L: (10- 9) PR = 82.9837

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 408 H East Catholic ( 8- 9, 83.0) 12- 5 410 A Glastonbury (14- 2, 95.3) 5-12 417 A North Haven ( 5-11, 77.1) 22- 7 421 H Lewis Mills ( 8- 9, 79.5) 19- 8 424 A Wethersfield ( 7-11, 80.9) 16-11 426 A Avon HS ( 4-12, 80.2) 15- 5 429 A Conard (16- 5, 89.6) 6-18 501 A Berlin ( 6-10, 75.2) 17- 5 505 H Simsbury ( 8-10, 86.0) 7-13 510 A RHAM (15- 5, 83.2) 11- 9 513 A Northwest Catholic ( 8- 9, 82.7) 8-12 515 H Tolland ( 3-13, 71.9) 16- 0 517 H Hall ( 7- 9, 82.7) 9-11 519 A South Windsor ( 8- 9, 79.8) 15- 8 521 H Newington ( 5-12, 79.9) 5- 6 523 H Somers (20- 2, 86.8) 3-17 527 H Newington ( 5-12, 79.9) 12- 6 529 A RHAM (15- 5, 83.2) 11-15 604 A Newtown (13- 7, 85.1) 10-12

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H East Catholic          12- 5       7     0    ++     4.57
   410 A Glastonbury             5-12      -7   -13           0.00
   417 A North Haven            22- 7      15     5           0.00
   421 H Lewis Mills            19- 8      11     4           1.06
   424 A Wethersfield           16-11       5     2    +      3.37
   426 A Avon HS                15- 5      10     2    +      2.67
   429 A Conard                  6-18     -12    -7           0.00
   501 A Berlin                 17- 5      12     7           0.00
   505 H Simsbury                7-13      -6    -2    -     -2.50
   510 A RHAM                   11- 9       2    -1    +      2.67
   513 A Northwest Catholic      8-12      -4     0    -     -3.81
   515 H Tolland                16- 0      16    12           0.00
   517 H Hall                    9-11      -2     1    -     -2.74
   519 A South Windsor          15- 8       7     3    +      2.26
   521 H Newington               5- 6      -1     4    --    -4.59
   523 H Somers                  3-17     -14    -3          -1.67
   527 H Newington              12- 6       6     4           1.41
   529 A RHAM                   11-15      -4    -1    -     -3.33
   604 A Newtown                10-12      -2    -3           0.61

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   521 H Newington               5- 6      -1     4    --    -4.59
   505 H Simsbury                7-13      -6    -2    -     -2.50
   513 A Northwest Catholic      8-12      -4     0    -     -3.81
   517 H Hall                    9-11      -2     1    -     -2.74
   529 A RHAM                   11-15      -4    -1    -     -3.33

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H East Catholic          12- 5       7     0    ++     4.57
   424 A Wethersfield           16-11       5     2    +      3.37
   426 A Avon HS                15- 5      10     2    +      2.67
   510 A RHAM                   11- 9       2    -1    +      2.67
   519 A South Windsor          15- 8       7     3    +      2.26

Farmington Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional Amity Regional   Amity Regional
Avon HS Farmington Farmington  
Bacon Academy Bacon Academy insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Bacon Academy
Berlin Farmington Farmington  
Bethel Bethel insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Bethel
Branford Farmington tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Farmington
Brien McMahon Farmington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Farmington
Bristol Co-Op Farmington tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Farmington
Brookfield Brookfield insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Brookfield
Bunnell-Stratford Farmington insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Farmington
Canton Farmington insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) Farmington
Capital-Classical Pr Farmington   Farmington
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Conard Conard Conard  
Cromwell Farmington insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Farmington
Danbury Farmington insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Farmington
Daniel Hand Daniel Hand Daniel Hand   5- 0 vs 3- 3
Darien Darien   Darien
East Catholic Farmington Farmington  
East Lyme East Lyme tied - ( 3- 3) ( 3- 1) East Lyme
Ellington Farmington insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) Farmington
Enfield Farmington Farmington   4- 2 vs 2- 3
EO Smith Farmington Farmington   4- 1 vs 1- 3
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Fairfield Prep Fairfield Prep   Fairfield Prep
Fairfield Warde Farmington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Farmington
Fitch Groton Farmington insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Farmington
Foran Foran tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Foran
Glastonbury Glastonbury Glastonbury  
Granby Memorial Farmington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Farmington
Greenwich HS Greenwich HS   Greenwich HS
Guilford Guilford insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Guilford
Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 0) Haddam-Killingworth
Hall Hall Hall  
Hamden Farmington tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) Farmington
Holy Cross Farmington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Farmington
Immaculate Danbury Farmington tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Farmington
Joel Barlow Joel Barlow insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Joel Barlow
Jonathan Law Farmington insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Farmington
Lakeview United Farmington insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Farmington
Ledyard-Griswold Farmington   Farmington
Lewis Mills Farmington Farmington  
Lyman Hall Farmington tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Farmington
Maloney-Platt Farmington Farmington   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Masuk Farmington insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 2) Farmington
Middletown Farmington insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Farmington
Montville Farmington   Farmington
Morgan School Farmington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Farmington
New Canaan New Canaan insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) New Canaan
New Fairfield New Fairfield New Fairfield   2- 0 vs 0- 3
New Milford New Milford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) New Milford
Newington Farmington Farmington   6- 2 vs 3- 4
Newtown Newtown Newtown  
North Branford Farmington tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Farmington
North Haven Farmington Farmington  
Northwest Catholic Northwest Catholic Northwest Catholic  
Norwalk Farmington   Farmington
Norwich Free Academy Farmington insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Farmington
Norwich Tech Farmington   Farmington
Notre Dame-Fairfield Farmington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Farmington
Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Notre Dame-West Have
Old Lyme Farmington   Farmington
Old Saybrook Old Saybrook tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Old Saybrook
Pomperaug Farmington insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Farmington
Prince-Cheney Tech Farmington insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Farmington
RHAM RHAM tied - ( 7- 3) ( 7- 2) RHAM
Ridgefield Ridgefield insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ridgefield
Rockville Co-op Farmington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Farmington
Rocky Hill Farmington Farmington   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Sheehan Sheehan tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Sheehan
Shelton Farmington insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Farmington
Simsbury Simsbury Simsbury  
Somers Somers Somers  
South Windsor Farmington Farmington  
Southington Southington Southington   8- 2 vs 4- 7
St Bernard-Wheeler Farmington tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) Farmington
St Joseph Trumbull St Joseph Trumbull insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) St Joseph Trumbull
St Paul Catholic Farmington Farmington   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Stamford Stamford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Stamford
Staples Staples   Staples
Stonington Farmington insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Farmington
Suffield Farmington tied - ( 3- 3) ( 3- 2) Farmington
Tolland Farmington Farmington  
Trumbull Trumbull insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Trumbull
Valley Regional Farmington   Farmington
Vinal/Goodwin Tech Farmington   Farmington
Waterford Farmington   Farmington
Watertown Farmington insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Farmington
West Haven Farmington insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Farmington
Westhill Farmington   Farmington
Weston Weston tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Weston
Wethersfield Farmington Farmington  
Wilbur Cross Farmington Farmington   2- 1 vs 0- 2
Wilton Wilton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Wilton
Windsor Farmington   Farmington
Wolcott Farmington   Farmington
Woodstock Academy Farmington insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) Farmington
Xavier Xavier insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 1) Xavier

PowerWise = 60


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.01

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H East Catholic   ( 8- 9, 83.0)    12- 5      -16.87      23.39      -0.47         0.90            20.51
   0 A Glastonbury     (14- 2, 95.3)     5-12       -4.61      35.64       0.47         0.90            -3.71
   0 A North Haven     ( 5-11, 77.1)    22- 7      -22.82      17.43       0.47         0.90            16.03
   0 H Lewis Mills     ( 8- 9, 79.5)    19- 8      -20.38      19.88      -0.47         0.90            17.37
   0 A Wethersfield    ( 7-11, 80.9)    16-11      -19.02      21.24       0.47         0.90            19.44
   0 A Avon HS         ( 4-12, 80.2)    15- 5      -19.72      20.54       0.47         0.90            18.81
   0 A Conard          (16- 5, 89.6)     6-18      -10.26      30.00       0.47         0.90            -8.76
   0 A Berlin          ( 6-10, 75.2)    17- 5      -24.74      15.51       0.47         0.90            14.31
   0 H Simsbury        ( 8-10, 86.0)     7-13      -13.94      26.31      -0.47         0.90           -12.91
   0 A RHAM            (15- 5, 83.2)    11- 9      -16.72      23.54       0.47         0.90            21.50
   0 A Northwest Cath  ( 8- 9, 82.7)     8-12      -17.20      23.06       0.47         0.90           -14.97
   0 H Tolland         ( 3-13, 71.9)    16- 0      -28.05      12.21      -0.47         0.90            10.51
   0 H Hall            ( 7- 9, 82.7)     9-11      -17.19      23.07      -0.47         0.90           -15.81
   0 A South Windsor   ( 8- 9, 79.8)    15- 8      -20.13      20.13       0.47         0.90            18.44
   0 H Newington       ( 5-12, 79.9)     5- 6      -20.03      20.22      -0.47         0.90           -18.36
   0 H Somers          (20- 2, 86.8)     3-17      -13.11      27.14      -0.47         0.90           -12.16
   0 H Newington       ( 5-12, 79.9)    12- 6      -20.03      20.22      -0.47         0.90            17.68
   0 A RHAM            (15- 5, 83.2)    11-15      -16.72      23.54       0.47         0.90           -14.54
   0 A Newtown         (13- 7, 85.1)    10-12      -14.78      25.47       0.47         0.90           -12.81
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        60.57

winning pts = 174.5996 losing points = -114.0304

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------