All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 67.8700027 home-field advantage = -0.78 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 317 A Washington-Liberty (11- 6, 79.4) 5-16 321 A Alexandria City (11- 9, 74.3) 5- 8 326 H Lake Braddock ( 9- 9, 75.3) 5- 8 401 H Lewis ( 2-10, 57.4) 11- 5 403 H Edison ( 9- 8, 68.8) 9-14 409 A Hayfield (14- 5, 73.9) 6-16 412 N South Lakes ( 4-12, 73.4) 3-16 414 H Fairfax ( 6-10, 72.3) 14- 4 425 H Mount Vernon ( 5- 8, 62.2) 15- 5 501 H Annandale ( 3- 9, 60.0) 20- 8 506 A Justice ( 5- 9, 65.8) 8- 7 508 A Thomas Jefferson ( 6- 8, 64.9) 8- 7 515 H Justice ( 5- 9, 65.8) 6- 9 521 A Alexandria City (11- 9, 74.3) 2-16
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 317 A Washington-Liberty 5-16 -11 -12 0.00 321 A Alexandria City 5- 8 -3 -7 ++ 4.00 326 H Lake Braddock 5- 8 -3 -6 + 3.62 401 H Lewis 11- 5 6 11 -1.00 403 H Edison 9-14 -5 0 -- -4.86 409 A Hayfield 6-16 -10 -6 -0.15 412 N South Lakes 3-16 -13 -5 -1.46 414 H Fairfax 14- 4 10 -3 +++ 10.67 425 H Mount Vernon 15- 5 10 6 0.53 501 H Annandale 20- 8 12 8 0.00 506 A Justice 8- 7 1 1 -0.30 508 A Thomas Jefferson 8- 7 1 2 -1.14 515 H Justice 6- 9 -3 2 -- -5.86 521 A Alexandria City 2-16 -14 -7 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 403 H Edison 9-14 -5 0 -- -4.86 515 H Justice 6- 9 -3 2 -- -5.86OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 414 H Fairfax 14- 4 10 -3 +++ 10.67 321 A Alexandria City 5- 8 -3 -7 ++ 4.00 326 H Lake Braddock 5- 8 -3 -6 + 3.62
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 67.87 Power Rank................. 111 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 40.34 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 106 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .4615 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 140 RPI Rating............... .4271 RPI Rank................... 123 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 49 Selection sum ........... 378 Selection Rank ............ 132 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -170. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 115 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -170. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 115 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 8.4 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 9.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 6- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -5.3