Falls Church
W-L: ( 6- 8) PR = 80.5759Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 317 A Washington-Liberty (10- 6, 89.3) 5-16 321 A Alexandria City (10- 9, 85.6) 5- 8 326 H Lake Braddock ( 9- 9, 86.0) 5- 8 401 H Lewis ( 2-10, 69.7) 11- 5 403 H Edison ( 9- 8, 81.2) 9-14 409 A Hayfield (14- 5, 85.1) 6-16 412 N South Lakes ( 4-12, 84.3) 3-16 414 H Fairfax ( 6-10, 84.3) 14- 4 425 H Mount Vernon ( 5- 8, 76.1) 15- 5 501 H Annandale ( 3- 9, 74.2) 20- 8 506 A Justice ( 5- 9, 78.8) 8- 7 508 A Thomas Jefferson ( 6- 8, 78.2) 8- 7 515 H Justice ( 5- 9, 78.8) 6- 9 521 A Alexandria City (10- 9, 85.6) 2-16
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
317 A Washington-Liberty 5-16 -11 -9 0.00
321 A Alexandria City 5- 8 -3 -6 + 2.00
326 H Lake Braddock 5- 8 -3 -5 1.81
401 H Lewis 11- 5 6 11 0.00
403 H Edison 9-14 -5 0 -- -4.96
409 A Hayfield 6-16 -10 -5 0.00
412 N South Lakes 3-16 -13 -4 -1.30
414 H Fairfax 14- 4 10 -3 +++ 8.13
425 H Mount Vernon 15- 5 10 5 0.00
501 H Annandale 20- 8 12 7 0.00
506 A Justice 8- 7 1 1 -0.12
508 A Thomas Jefferson 8- 7 1 2 -0.78
515 H Justice 6- 9 -3 2 -- -5.34
521 A Alexandria City 2-16 -14 -6 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 403 H Edison 9-14 -5 0 -- -4.96 515 H Justice 6- 9 -3 2 -- -5.34 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 414 H Fairfax 14- 4 10 -3 +++ 8.13 321 A Alexandria City 5- 8 -3 -6 + 2.00 |
Falls Church Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albemarle | Albemarle | Albemarle | ||
| Alexandria City | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Annandale | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Atlee | Atlee | Atlee | ||
| Battlefield | Battlefield | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Battlefield | |
| Bayside | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Benedictine | Benedictine | Benedictine | ||
| Bishop Ireton | Bishop Ireton | Bishop Ireton | ||
| Bishop OConnell | Bishop OConnell | Bishop OConnell | ||
| Blacksburg | Blacksburg | Blacksburg | ||
| Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School | ||
| Brentsville | Brentsville | Brentsville | ||
| Briar Woods | Briar Woods | Briar Woods | ||
| Broad Run | Broad Run | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Broad Run | |
| Brooke Point | Brooke Point | Brooke Point | ||
| Cape Henry Collegiat | Cape Henry Collegiat | Cape Henry Collegiat | ||
| Catholic HS | Catholic HS | Catholic HS | ||
| Cave Spring | Cave Spring | Cave Spring | ||
| Centreville | Centreville | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Centreville | |
| Chantilly | Chantilly | Chantilly 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Charlottesville | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Christchurch | Christchurch | Christchurch | ||
| Christiansburg | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Clover Hill | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Colgan | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Collegiate School | Collegiate School | Collegiate School | ||
| Colonial Forge | Colonial Forge | Colonial Forge | ||
| Cosby | Cosby | Cosby | ||
| Covenant School | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Cox | Cox | Cox | ||
| Culpeper County | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Deep Run | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Dominion | Dominion | Dominion | ||
| Douglas Freeman | Douglas Freeman | Douglas Freeman | ||
| Eastern View | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| EC Glass | EC Glass | EC Glass | ||
| Edison | Edison | Edison | ||
| Episcopal | Episcopal | Episcopal | ||
| Eukarya Christian | Eukarya Christian | Eukarya Christian | ||
| Fairfax | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Fauquier | Fauquier | Fauquier | ||
| First Colonial | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Fishburne Military A | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Flint Hill | Flint Hill | Flint Hill | ||
| Fluvanna County | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Forest Park | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Fork Union Military | Fork Union Military | Fork Union Military | ||
| Franklin County | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Fredericksburg Acade | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Freedom South Ridin | Freedom South Ridin | Freedom South Ridin | ||
| Freedom Woodbridge | Freedom Woodbridge | Freedom Woodbridge | ||
| Gainesville | Gainesville | Gainesville | ||
| Gar-field | Falls Church | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Falls Church | |
| Glen Allen | Glen Allen | Glen Allen | ||
| Goochland | Goochland | Goochland | ||
| Grafton LC | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Grassfield LC | Grassfield LC | Grassfield LC | ||
| Green Run | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Handley | Handley | Handley | ||
| Hanover | Hanover | Hanover | ||
| Hayfield | Hayfield | Hayfield | ||
| Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Heritage Leesburg | |
| Herndon | Herndon | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 1) | Herndon | |
| Hickory LC | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Hidden Valley | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Highland School | Highland School | Highland School | ||
| Highland Springs | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Hylton | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Independence | Independence | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Independence | |
| James Monroe | James Monroe | James Monroe | ||
| James River | James River | James River | ||
| Jamestown LC | Jamestown LC | Jamestown LC | ||
| Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| John Champe | John Champe | John Champe | ||
| Justice | Falls Church | Falls Church 5- 3 vs 3- 5 | ||
| Kellam | Kellam | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Kellam | |
| Kempsville | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Kettle Run | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Lafayette LC | Lafayette LC | Lafayette LC | ||
| Lake Braddock | Lake Braddock | Lake Braddock | ||
| Landstown | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Langley | Langley | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Langley | |
| Lewis | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Liberty Bealeton | Liberty Bealeton | Liberty Bealeton | ||
| Lightridge | Lightridge | Lightridge | ||
| Lloyd C Bird | Lloyd C Bird | Lloyd C Bird | ||
| Lord Botetourt | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Loudoun County | Loudoun County | Loudoun County | ||
| Loudoun Valley | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Madison | Madison | Madison 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Manchester | Manchester | Manchester | ||
| Marshall | Falls Church | tied - ( 3- 3) ( 3- 2) | Falls Church | |
| Massaponax | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Matoaca | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Maury LC | Maury LC | Maury LC | ||
| McLean | McLean | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | McLean | |
| Mechanicsville | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Menchville LC | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Meridian | Meridian | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Meridian | |
| Midlothian | Midlothian | Midlothian | ||
| Mills Godwin | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Monacan | Monacan | Monacan | ||
| Monticello | Monticello | Monticello | ||
| Mount Vernon | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Mountain View | Mountain View | Mountain View | ||
| Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | ||
| New Covenant School | New Covenant School | New Covenant School | ||
| Norfolk Academy | Norfolk Academy | Norfolk Academy | ||
| Norfolk Christian | Norfolk Christian | Norfolk Christian | ||
| Norfolk Collegiate | Norfolk Collegiate | Norfolk Collegiate | ||
| North Cross School | North Cross School | North Cross School | ||
| North Stafford | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Northern VA Home Sch | Falls Church | Falls Church 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Oakton | Oakton | Oakton 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Ocean Lakes | Falls Church | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Falls Church | |
| Orange County | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Osbourn | Falls Church | Falls Church 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Osbourn Park | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Park View | Falls Church | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Falls Church | |
| Patrick Henry Ashla | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Patrick Henry Roano | Patrick Henry Roano | Patrick Henry Roano | ||
| Patriot | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Paul VI | Paul VI | Paul VI | ||
| Potomac Falls | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Potomac School | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Potomac-Dumfries | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Powhatan | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Princess Anne | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Riverbend | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Riverside | Riverside | Riverside | ||
| Robinson | Robinson | Robinson 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Rock Ridge | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Rockbridge County | Rockbridge County | Rockbridge County | ||
| Rockingham LC | Rockingham LC | Rockingham LC | ||
| Salem | Salem | Salem | ||
| Salem Virginia Beach | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Seton School | Seton School | Seton School | ||
| South County | South County | South County 5- 2 vs 2- 5 | ||
| South Lakes | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield | ||
| St Christophers | St Christophers | St Christophers | ||
| St John Paul the Gre | St John Paul the Gre | St John Paul the Gre | ||
| St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | ||
| Stafford | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Steward School | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Stone Bridge | Stone Bridge | Stone Bridge | ||
| Strasburg LC | Strasburg LC | Strasburg LC | ||
| Tabb LC | Tabb LC | Tabb LC | ||
| Tallwood | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Tandem Friends | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Thomas Dale | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Thomas Jefferson | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Trinity Christian | Trinity Christian | Trinity Christian | ||
| Trinity Episcopal | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Trinity Meadow View | Trinity Meadow View | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Trinity Meadow View | |
| Tuscarora | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Unity Reed | Falls Church | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Falls Church | |
| Veritas School | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Virginia Academy | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Virginia Episcopal S | Virginia Episcopal S | Virginia Episcopal S | ||
| Wakefield HS | Wakefield HS | insuffient: ( 4- 3)( 3- 3) | Wakefield HS | |
| Wakefield School | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Washington-Liberty | Washington-Liberty | Washington-Liberty | ||
| West Potomac | West Potomac | West Potomac 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| West Springfield | West Springfield | insuffient: ( 1- 5)( 0- 6) | West Springfield | |
| Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Westfield | Westfield | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Westfield | |
| William Byrd | William Byrd | William Byrd | ||
| William Fleming | William Fleming | William Fleming | ||
| Woodberry Forest | Woodberry Forest | Woodberry Forest | ||
| Woodbridge | Falls Church | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Falls Church | |
| Woodgrove | Woodgrove | Woodgrove | ||
| Woodson | Woodson | Woodson 6- 1 vs 2- 5 | ||
| York LC | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Yorktown | Yorktown | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Yorktown |
PowerWise = 64
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.94
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Washington-Lib (10- 6, 89.3) 5-16 -10.55 24.45 0.61 1.00 -9.90
0 A Alexandria Cit (10- 9, 85.6) 5- 8 -14.32 20.68 0.61 1.00 -13.66
0 H Lake Braddock ( 9- 9, 86.0) 5- 8 -13.90 21.10 -0.61 1.00 -14.46
0 H Lewis ( 2-10, 69.7) 11- 5 -30.21 4.79 -0.61 1.00 4.16
0 H Edison ( 9- 8, 81.2) 9-14 -18.67 16.33 -0.61 1.00 -19.20
0 A Hayfield (14- 5, 85.1) 6-16 -14.85 20.15 0.61 1.00 -14.18
0 N South Lakes ( 4-12, 84.3) 3-16 -15.63 19.37 -0.00 1.00 -15.57
0 H Fairfax ( 6-10, 84.3) 14- 4 -15.59 19.41 -0.61 1.00 18.73
0 H Mount Vernon ( 5- 8, 76.1) 15- 5 -23.82 11.18 -0.61 1.00 10.53
0 H Annandale ( 3- 9, 74.2) 20- 8 -25.71 9.29 -0.61 1.00 8.65
0 A Justice ( 5- 9, 78.8) 8- 7 -21.05 13.95 0.61 1.00 14.50
0 A Thomas Jeffers ( 6- 8, 78.2) 8- 7 -21.72 13.28 0.61 1.00 13.84
0 H Justice ( 5- 9, 78.8) 6- 9 -21.05 13.95 -0.61 1.00 -21.57
0 A Alexandria Cit (10- 9, 85.6) 2-16 -14.32 20.68 0.61 1.00 -13.66
------
-51.79
|
winning pts = 70.4081 losing points = -122.1941
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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