---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:56 PDT

safe3step boys Fallston 1
  
Fallston              
W-L: (18- 3) PR = 90.8375

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 H Perryville ( 3- 8, 77.6) 20- 5 322 A South River (11- 3, 91.5) 8- 9 324 A Catonsville ( 6- 8, 88.7) 6- 4 325 H Joppatowne ( 1-13, 71.1) 18- 0 403 H Aberdeen ( 7- 8, 78.1) 21- 5 405 A Hereford (11- 5, 89.5) 8- 6 411 A Patterson Mill ( 7- 9, 81.5) 20- 4 415 A Bel Air ( 8- 6, 85.0) 16- 2 419 H Archbishop Curley (10- 5, 89.6) 12- 6 419 H Severn Run ( 4-11, 76.9) 16- 0 422 H North Harford ( 9- 5, 84.1) 17- 3 424 A CM Wright (11- 5, 88.8) 12- 4 428 H Sparrows Point ( 9- 5, 85.0) 17- 6 502 H North Harford ( 9- 5, 84.1) 15- 3 505 N CM Wright (11- 5, 88.8) 6- 7 507 H Joppatowne ( 1-13, 71.1) 21- 0 509 H Patterson Mill ( 7- 9, 81.5) 17- 1 512 H Havre De Grace ( 9- 6, 81.1) 20- 5 514 H Cambridge SD ( 5- 8, 81.1) 18- 1 516 H Liberty ( 8- 8, 84.5) 17- 3 520 H Middletown (12- 4, 87.3) 8- 9

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Perryville             20- 5      15    14           0.00
   322 A South River             8- 9      -1    -1           0.09
   324 A Catonsville             6- 4       2     2           0.33
   325 H Joppatowne             18- 0      18    20           0.00
   403 H Aberdeen               21- 5      16    13           0.00
   405 A Hereford                8- 6       2     1           1.08
   411 A Patterson Mill         20- 4      16     9           0.00
   415 A Bel Air                16- 2      14     5           0.00
   419 H Archbishop Curley      12- 6       6     2    +      3.29
   419 H Severn Run             16- 0      16    14           0.00
   422 H North Harford          17- 3      14     7           0.00
   424 A CM Wright              12- 4       8     2    +      3.37
   428 H Sparrows Point         17- 6      11     6           0.00
   502 H North Harford          15- 3      12     7           0.00
   505 N CM Wright               6- 7      -1     2    -     -3.08
   507 H Joppatowne             21- 0      21    20           0.00
   509 H Patterson Mill         17- 1      16    10           0.00
   512 H Havre De Grace         20- 5      15    10           0.00
   514 H Cambridge  SD          18- 1      17    10           0.00
   516 H Liberty                17- 3      14     7           0.00
   520 H Middletown              8- 9      -1     4    --    -4.94

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   520 H Middletown              8- 9      -1     4    --    -4.94
   505 N CM Wright               6- 7      -1     2    -     -3.08

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 H Archbishop Curley      12- 6       6     2    +      3.29
   424 A CM Wright              12- 4       8     2    +      3.37

Fallston Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Chris Fallston   Fallston
Archbishop Curley Fallston Fallston  
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding   Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh Fallston   Fallston
Bishop McNamara Fallston   Fallston
Boys Latin Boys Latin   Boys Latin
Bullis Bullis   Bullis
Calvert Hall Calvert Hall   Calvert Hall
Chapelgate Christian Fallston   Fallston
Concordia Prep Fallston insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Fallston
Cristo Rey Jesuit Fallston   Fallston
DeMatha DeMatha   DeMatha
FCA LC Fallston   Fallston
Friends Fallston   Fallston
Garrett County LC Fallston   Fallston
Georgetown Day Fallston   Fallston
Georgetown Prep Georgetown Prep   Georgetown Prep
Gerstell Academy Fallston tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Fallston
Gilman Gilman   Gilman
Glenelg Country Fallston   Fallston
Gonzaga Gonzaga   Gonzaga
Good Counsel Good Counsel   Good Counsel
Gunston School Fallston   Fallston
Heights Heights   Heights
Indian Creek School Fallston insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Fallston
Jemicy School Fallston   Fallston
John Carroll Fallston   Fallston
Key School Fallston   Fallston
Landon Landon   Landon
Loyola-Blakefield Loyola-Blakefield   Loyola-Blakefield
Maret Fallston   Fallston
McDonogh McDonogh   McDonogh
Mercersburg Academy Fallston   Fallston
Mount Carmel Fallston   Fallston
Mount St Joseph Mount St Joseph tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Mount St Joseph
Park School Fallston insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Fallston
Salisbury School Fallston   Fallston
Sandy Spring Friends Fallston   Fallston
Severn School Severn School   Severn School
Sidwell Friends Fallston   Fallston
St Albans St Albans tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Albans
St Andrews Episcopal Fallston   Fallston
St James Fallston   Fallston
St Johns Catholic Pr Fallston insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Fallston
St Johns College HS St Johns College HS   St Johns College HS
St Marys Annapolis St Marys Annapolis   St Marys Annapolis
St Marys Ryken St Marys Ryken tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Marys Ryken
St Pauls St Pauls   St Pauls
St Vincent Pallotti Fallston insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Fallston
Sts Peter & Paul Fallston insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Fallston
Tome School Fallston insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Fallston
Worcester Prep Fallston   Fallston
Aberdeen Fallston Fallston  
Academy for College Fallston insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Fallston
Annapolis Fallston   Fallston
Arundel Fallston tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fallston
Atholton Fallston   Fallston
Baltimore Polytechni Fallston insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Fallston
Bel Air Fallston Fallston  
Bethesda-Chevy Chase Fallston   Fallston
Bladensburg Fallston   Fallston
Blair Fallston   Fallston
Blake Fallston   Fallston
Bohemia Manor Fallston   Fallston
Boonsboro Fallston tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1) Fallston
Bowie Fallston   Fallston
Broadneck Broadneck tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Broadneck
Brunswick Fallston tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Fallston
Calvert Fallston insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Fallston
Cambridge SD Fallston Fallston  
Carver A&T Fallston   Fallston
Catoctin Fallston insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) Fallston
Catonsville Fallston Fallston  
Centennial Fallston   Fallston
Century Fallston insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Fallston
CH Flowers Fallston   Fallston
Chesapeake AA Fallston insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Fallston
Chesapeake BC Fallston   Fallston
Chopticon Fallston   Fallston
City College Fallston insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Fallston
Clarksburg Fallston   Fallston
CM Wright Fallston tied - ( 5- 0) ( 5- 0) Fallston
Crofton Fallston tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fallston
Damascus Fallston   Fallston
Digital Harbor Fallston insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Fallston
Dr Henry Wise Fallston   Fallston
Dulaney Fallston Fallston   5- 1 vs 3- 2
Dunbar Fallston insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Fallston
Dundalk Fallston insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Fallston
DuVal Fallston   Fallston
Eastern Tech Fallston Fallston   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Easton Fallston tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Fallston
Edgewood Fallston Fallston   6- 1 vs 1- 5
Edmondson-Westside Fallston   Fallston
Einstein Fallston   Fallston
Eleanor Roosevelt Fallston insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Fallston
Elkton Fallston Fallston   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Fairmont Heights Fallston   Fallston
Forest Park Fallston tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Fallston
Francis Scott Key Fallston insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Fallston
Franklin Fallston Fallston   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Frederick Fallston tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Fallston
Frederick Douglass B Fallston   Fallston
Frederick Douglass P Fallston   Fallston
Friendly Fallston   Fallston
Gaithersburg Fallston   Fallston
Glen Burnie Fallston tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Fallston
Glenelg HS Fallston tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Fallston
Gov Thomas Johnson Fallston   Fallston
Great Mills Fallston   Fallston
Guilford Park Fallston insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Fallston
Gwynn Park Fallston   Fallston
Hammond Fallston insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Fallston
Harford Tech Fallston Fallston   6- 1 vs 0- 6
Havre De Grace Fallston Fallston  
Hereford Fallston Fallston  
High Point Fallston   Fallston
Howard Fallston tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Fallston
Huntingtown Huntingtown tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Huntingtown
JM Bennett Fallston tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Fallston
Joppatowne Fallston Fallston  
Kennedy Fallston   Fallston
Kent County Fallston insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Fallston
Kent Island Kent Island tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Kent Island
Kenwood Fallston tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Fallston
La Plata Fallston   Fallston
Lackey Fallston   Fallston
Lake Clifton Fallston   Fallston
Lansdowne Fallston insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Fallston
Laurel Fallston   Fallston
Leonardtown Fallston   Fallston
Liberty Fallston Fallston  
Linganore Fallston insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) Fallston
Loch Raven Fallston Fallston   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Long Reach Fallston tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Fallston
Magruder Fallston   Fallston
Manchester Valley Fallston tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 1) Fallston
Marriotts Ridge Fallston tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Fallston
Meade Fallston insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Fallston
Mergenthaler Fallston   Fallston
Middletown Middletown Middletown  
Milford Mill Fallston   Fallston
MJ McDonough Fallston   Fallston
Mount Hebron Fallston insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Fallston
National Academy Fou Fallston   Fallston
New Town Fallston   Fallston
North Caroline Fallston tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Fallston
North County Fallston tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Fallston
North Dorchester Fallston insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Fallston
North East Cecil Fallston Fallston   4- 0 vs 2- 2
North Hagerstown Fallston   Fallston
North Harford Fallston Fallston  
North Point Fallston   Fallston
Northeast AA Fallston tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Fallston
Northern Calvert Fallston tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fallston
Northwest Fallston   Fallston
Northwestern PG Fallston   Fallston
Northwood Fallston   Fallston
Oakdale Fallston insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) Fallston
Oakland Mills Fallston   Fallston
Old Mill Fallston tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Fallston
Overlea Fallston   Fallston
Owings Mills Fallston   Fallston
Oxon Hill Fallston   Fallston
Paint Branch Fallston   Fallston
Parkdale Fallston   Fallston
Parkside Fallston tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Fallston
Parkville Fallston   Fallston
Patapsco Fallston Fallston   2- 1 vs 0- 2
Patterson HS Fallston insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Fallston
Patterson Mill Fallston Fallston  
Patuxent Fallston   Fallston
Perry Hall Fallston insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Fallston
Perryville Fallston Fallston  
Pikesville Fallston insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Fallston
Poolesville Fallston   Fallston
Queen Annes County Fallston tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Fallston
Quince Orchard Fallston   Fallston
Randallstown Fallston insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Fallston
Reginald F Lewis Fallston   Fallston
Reservoir Fallston   Fallston
Richard Montgomery Fallston   Fallston
Rising Sun Fallston Fallston   7- 1 vs 4- 4
River Hill Fallston   Fallston
Rockville Fallston   Fallston
Seneca Valley Fallston   Fallston
Severn Run Fallston Fallston  
Severna Park Severna Park insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Severna Park
Sherwood Fallston   Fallston
Smithsburg Fallston tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Fallston
South Carroll Fallston insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) Fallston
South Hagerstown Fallston   Fallston
South River South River South River  
Southern AA Fallston insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Fallston
Sparrows Point Fallston Fallston  
Springbrook Fallston   Fallston
St Charles Fallston   Fallston
Stephen Decatur Stephen Decatur tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Stephen Decatur
Suitland Fallston   Fallston
Surrattsville Fallston   Fallston
Thomas Stone Fallston   Fallston
Towson Fallston insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 1) Fallston
Tuscarora Fallston   Fallston
Urbana Urbana insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 0) Urbana
Walkersville Fallston insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 2- 0) Fallston
Walt Whitman Fallston insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Fallston
Walter Johnson Fallston   Fallston
Watkins Mill Fallston   Fallston
Western STES Fallston   Fallston
Westlake Fallston   Fallston
Westminster Fallston Fallston   5- 0 vs 2- 3
Wheaton Fallston   Fallston
Wicomico Fallston insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Fallston
Wilde Lake Fallston   Fallston
Winston Churchill Fallston   Fallston
Winters Mill Fallston insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Fallston
Woodlawn Fallston   Fallston
Wootton Fallston   Fallston
Archbishop Carroll Fallston   Fallston
DC International PCS Fallston   Fallston
Jackson Reed Fallston   Fallston

PowerWise = 193


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.14

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Perryville      ( 3- 8, 77.6)    20- 5      -22.34      13.25      -0.45         0.58             7.40
   0 A South River     (11- 3, 91.5)     8- 9       -8.42      27.17       0.45         0.58            -4.61
   0 A Catonsville     ( 6- 8, 88.7)     6- 4      -11.18      24.42       0.45         0.58            14.37
   0 H Joppatowne      ( 1-13, 71.1)    18- 0      -28.80       6.79      -0.45         0.58             3.67
   0 H Aberdeen        ( 7- 8, 78.1)    21- 5      -21.85      13.74      -0.45         0.58             7.69
   0 A Hereford        (11- 5, 89.5)     8- 6      -10.43      25.16       0.45         0.58            14.80
   0 A Patterson Mill  ( 7- 9, 81.5)    20- 4      -18.45      17.15       0.45         0.58            10.16
   0 A Bel Air         ( 8- 6, 85.0)    16- 2      -14.92      20.67       0.45         0.58            12.20
   0 H Archbishop Cur  (10- 5, 89.6)    12- 6      -10.33      25.27      -0.45         0.58            14.34
   0 H Severn Run      ( 4-11, 76.9)    16- 0      -22.98      12.61      -0.45         0.58             7.03
   0 H North Harford   ( 9- 5, 84.1)    17- 3      -15.79      19.81      -0.45         0.58            11.19
   0 A CM Wright       (11- 5, 88.8)    12- 4      -11.14      24.45       0.45         0.58            14.39
   0 H Sparrows Point  ( 9- 5, 85.0)    17- 6      -14.86      20.73      -0.45         0.58            11.72
   0 H North Harford   ( 9- 5, 84.1)    15- 3      -15.79      19.81      -0.45         0.58            11.19
   0 N CM Wright       (11- 5, 88.8)     6- 7      -11.14      24.45      -0.00         0.58            -6.44
   0 H Joppatowne      ( 1-13, 71.1)    21- 0      -28.80       6.79      -0.45         0.58             3.67
   0 H Patterson Mill  ( 7- 9, 81.5)    17- 1      -18.45      17.15      -0.45         0.58             9.65
   0 H Havre De Grace  ( 9- 6, 81.1)    20- 5      -18.76      16.83      -0.45         0.58             9.47
   0 H Cambridge  SD   ( 5- 8, 81.1)    18- 1      -18.81      16.78      -0.45         0.58             9.44
   0 H Liberty         ( 8- 8, 84.5)    17- 3      -15.38      20.21      -0.45         0.58            11.42
   0 H Middletown      (12- 4, 87.3)     8- 9      -12.56      23.03      -0.45         0.58            -7.52
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       165.23

winning pts = 183.7951 losing points = -18.5625

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------