Faith Lutheran
W-L: ( 5- 6) PR = 97.5140Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 225 H Palo Verde (12- 1, 99.9) 8- 9 304 H Bishop Gorman ( 8- 4, 97.8) 11- 4 307 H Coronado ( 4- 6, 96.2) 7- 8 314 H Centennial ( 1- 8, 93.0) 14- 7 325 A Bishop Gorman ( 8- 4, 97.8) 6-10 408 A Clark County ( 0- 5, 86.1) 17- 4 417 A Coronado ( 4- 6, 96.2) 4- 2 422 A Centennial ( 1- 8, 93.0) 12- 2 425 H Bishop Manogue (15- 2, 99.5) 7- 8 430 A Palo Verde (12- 1, 99.9) 8-10 506 A Bishop Gorman ( 8- 4, 97.8) 5- 9
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
225 H Palo Verde 8- 9 -1 -2 0.74
304 H Bishop Gorman 11- 4 7 0 ++ 4.68
307 H Coronado 7- 8 -1 2 - -2.96
314 H Centennial 14- 7 7 5 0.00
325 A Bishop Gorman 6-10 -4 -1 - -3.03
408 A Clark County 17- 4 13 11 0.00
417 A Coronado 4- 2 2 1 1.33
422 A Centennial 12- 2 10 4 1.08
425 H Bishop Manogue 7- 8 -1 -1 0.31
430 A Palo Verde 8-10 -2 -3 1.03
506 A Bishop Gorman 5- 9 -4 -1 - -3.03
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 H Coronado 7- 8 -1 2 - -2.96 325 A Bishop Gorman 6-10 -4 -1 - -3.03 506 A Bishop Gorman 5- 9 -4 -1 - -3.03 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 304 H Bishop Gorman 11- 4 7 0 ++ 4.68 |
Faith Lutheran Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bishop Gorman | Bishop Gorman | Bishop Gorman | ||
| Bishop Manogue | Bishop Manogue | Bishop Manogue | ||
| Centennial | Faith Lutheran | Faith Lutheran | ||
| Clark County | Faith Lutheran | Faith Lutheran | ||
| Coronado | Faith Lutheran | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 2) | Faith Lutheran | |
| Damonte Ranch | Faith Lutheran | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Faith Lutheran | |
| Douglas | Faith Lutheran | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Faith Lutheran | |
| Foothill Hendersonvi | Faith Lutheran | Faith Lutheran | ||
| Galena | Faith Lutheran | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Faith Lutheran | |
| McQueen | Faith Lutheran | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Faith Lutheran | |
| Palo Verde | Palo Verde | Palo Verde | ||
| Reed | Faith Lutheran | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Faith Lutheran | |
| Reno | Faith Lutheran | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Faith Lutheran | |
| Spanish Springs | Faith Lutheran | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Faith Lutheran | |
| Truckee/North Tahoe | Faith Lutheran | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Faith Lutheran |
PowerWise = 12
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 11.38
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Palo Verde (12- 1, 99.9) 8- 9 -0.00 23.89 -0.64 1.03 -0.67
0 H Bishop Gorman ( 8- 4, 97.8) 11- 4 -2.06 21.83 -0.64 1.03 21.91
0 H Coronado ( 4- 6, 96.2) 7- 8 -3.70 20.19 -0.64 1.03 -4.49
0 H Centennial ( 1- 8, 93.0) 14- 7 -6.95 16.95 -0.64 1.03 16.86
0 A Bishop Gorman ( 8- 4, 97.8) 6-10 -2.06 21.83 0.64 1.03 -1.47
0 A Clark County ( 0- 5, 86.1) 17- 4 -13.85 10.05 0.64 1.03 11.06
0 A Coronado ( 4- 6, 96.2) 4- 2 -3.70 20.19 0.64 1.03 21.55
0 A Centennial ( 1- 8, 93.0) 12- 2 -6.95 16.95 0.64 1.03 18.19
0 H Bishop Manogue (15- 2, 99.5) 7- 8 -0.43 23.47 -0.64 1.03 -1.11
0 A Palo Verde (12- 1, 99.9) 8-10 -0.00 23.89 0.64 1.03 -0.67
0 A Bishop Gorman ( 8- 4, 97.8) 5- 9 -2.06 21.83 0.64 1.03 -1.47
------
79.70
|
winning pts = 89.5621 losing points = -9.8662
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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