---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:49 PDT

safe3step boys Evergreen 1
  
Evergreen             
W-L: (15- 3) PR = 89.3672

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 306 A Fairview (11- 5, 91.7) 5-11 311 A Steamboat Springs (10- 7, 87.3) 8- 7 313 H Battle Mountain ( 8- 8, 84.9) 12- 8 325 A Lutheran ( 7- 9, 84.4) 16- 6 328 H Telluride (11- 5, 86.7) 7- 6 401 A Resurrection Christi (11- 4, 87.2) 13- 9 407 A Lewis Palmer ( 9- 5, 88.0) 7- 3 414 H Thompson Valley ( 3-12, 78.3) 17- 3 417 H Dakota Ridge (14- 2, 91.2) 10-14 421 A Green Mountain ( 7- 9, 83.1) 15- 5 423 H Conifer ( 5-11, 80.0) 21- 4 425 A Golden ( 9- 6, 86.8) 18- 4 428 A Cheyenne Mountain ( 8- 7, 87.7) 12-11 430 A Mullen ( 7- 7, 82.4) 8- 2 503 H Vail Mountain ( 8- 9, 84.5) 12- 4 509 H Vail Mountain ( 8- 9, 84.5) 13- 2 513 H Golden ( 9- 6, 86.8) 16- 6 517 A Dakota Ridge (14- 2, 91.2) 9-13

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 A Fairview                5-11      -6    -3    -     -2.28
   311 A Steamboat Springs       8- 7       1     2          -0.69
   313 H Battle Mountain        12- 8       4     5          -0.83
   325 A Lutheran               16- 6      10     5           0.41
   328 H Telluride               7- 6       1     3    -     -2.03
   401 A Resurrection Christi   13- 9       4     2    +      2.17
   407 A Lewis Palmer            7- 3       4     1    +      2.98
   414 H Thompson Valley        17- 3      14    11           0.00
   417 H Dakota Ridge           10-14      -4    -1    -     -2.53
   421 A Green Mountain         15- 5      10     6           0.00
   423 H Conifer                21- 4      17    10           0.00
   425 A Golden                 18- 4      14     2    +      2.81
   428 A Cheyenne Mountain      12-11       1     1          -0.28
   430 A Mullen                  8- 2       6     7           0.00
   503 H Vail Mountain          12- 4       8     5           0.00
   509 H Vail Mountain          13- 2      11     5           0.00
   513 H Golden                 16- 6      10     3    +      2.07
   517 A Dakota Ridge            9-13      -4    -2          -1.79

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 A Fairview                5-11      -6    -3    -     -2.28
   328 H Telluride               7- 6       1     3    -     -2.03
   417 H Dakota Ridge           10-14      -4    -1    -     -2.53

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Resurrection Christi   13- 9       4     2    +      2.17
   407 A Lewis Palmer            7- 3       4     1    +      2.98
   425 A Golden                 18- 4      14     2    +      2.81
   513 H Golden                 16- 6      10     3    +      2.07

Evergreen Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Air Academy Air Academy insuffient: ( 7- 1)( 6- 2) Air Academy
Arapahoe Arapahoe tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Arapahoe
Arvada West Evergreen Evergreen   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Aspen Evergreen tied - ( 5- 0) ( 5- 0) Evergreen
Battle Mountain Evergreen Evergreen  
Boulder Evergreen insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Evergreen
Castle View Castle View tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Castle View
Chaparral Evergreen insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Evergreen
Chatfield Chatfield tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Chatfield
Cherokee Trail Cherokee Trail   Cherokee Trail
Cherry Creek Cherry Creek   Cherry Creek
Cheyenne Mountain Evergreen Evergreen  
Colorado Academy Colorado Academy Colorado Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Columbine Evergreen tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Evergreen
Conifer Evergreen Evergreen  
Crested Butte Evergreen insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Evergreen
Dakota Ridge Dakota Ridge Dakota Ridge  
Denver East Denver East insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Denver East
Denver North Evergreen Evergreen   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Denver South Denver South   Denver South
Douglas County Evergreen insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Evergreen
Durango Evergreen Evergreen   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Eagle Valley Evergreen Evergreen   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Eaglecrest Evergreen insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Evergreen
Erie Evergreen Evergreen   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Fairview Fairview Fairview  
Fountain Valley Evergreen insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Evergreen
Fruita Monument Evergreen insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Evergreen
Glenwood Springs Evergreen Evergreen   5- 0 vs 1- 4
Golden Evergreen Evergreen  
Grand Junction Evergreen insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Evergreen
Grandview Evergreen   Evergreen
Green Mountain Evergreen Evergreen  
Heritage Evergreen insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) Evergreen
Holy Family Evergreen Evergreen   6- 0 vs 1- 5
Jefferson Academy Evergreen Evergreen   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Kent Denver Evergreen tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Evergreen
Lakewood Lakewood tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Lakewood
Legend Legend insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Legend
Lewis Palmer Evergreen Evergreen  
Littleton Evergreen Evergreen   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Lutheran Evergreen Evergreen  
Middle Park Evergreen Evergreen   5- 0 vs 3- 2
Monarch Evergreen tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Evergreen
Montrose Evergreen insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Evergreen
Mountain Range Evergreen insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Evergreen
Mountain Vista Mountain Vista   Mountain Vista
Mullen Evergreen Evergreen  
Northfield Evergreen tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Evergreen
Palmer Evergreen   Evergreen
Pine Creek Evergreen insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Evergreen
Ponderosa Evergreen Evergreen   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Poudre District Poudre District insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Poudre District
Prairie View Evergreen Evergreen   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Pueblo West Evergreen insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Evergreen
Ralston Valley Ralston Valley tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Ralston Valley
Rangeview Evergreen Evergreen   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Regis Jesuit Regis Jesuit   Regis Jesuit
Resurrection Christi Evergreen Evergreen  
Rock Canyon Evergreen tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Evergreen
Smoky Hill Evergreen Evergreen   2- 0 vs 0- 2
St Marys HS Evergreen Evergreen   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Steamboat Springs Evergreen Evergreen  
Summit Evergreen Evergreen   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Telluride Evergreen Evergreen  
Thomas Jefferson Evergreen insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Evergreen
Thompson Valley Evergreen Evergreen  
ThunderRidge Evergreen insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Evergreen
Vail Mountain Evergreen Evergreen  
Valor Christian Valor Christian   Valor Christian
Vanguard School Evergreen Evergreen   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Windsor Evergreen Evergreen   6- 1 vs 3- 4

PowerWise = 54


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.04

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Fairview        (11- 5, 91.7)     5-11       -8.18      25.33       0.37         0.84            -6.53
   0 A Steamboat Spri  (10- 7, 87.3)     8- 7      -12.59      20.91       0.37         0.84            17.78
   0 H Battle Mountai  ( 8- 8, 84.9)    12- 8      -15.00      18.50      -0.37         0.84            15.15
   0 A Lutheran        ( 7- 9, 84.4)    16- 6      -15.49      18.01       0.37         0.84            15.36
   0 H Telluride       (11- 5, 86.7)     7- 6      -13.20      20.31      -0.37         0.84            16.66
   0 A Resurrection C  (11- 4, 87.2)    13- 9      -12.73      20.77       0.37         0.84            17.66
   0 A Lewis Palmer    ( 9- 5, 88.0)     7- 3      -11.92      21.59       0.37         0.84            18.35
   0 H Thompson Valle  ( 3-12, 78.3)    17- 3      -21.62      11.88      -0.37         0.84             9.62
   0 H Dakota Ridge    (14- 2, 91.2)    10-14       -8.69      24.81      -0.37         0.84            -7.57
   0 A Green Mountain  ( 7- 9, 83.1)    15- 5      -16.80      16.70       0.37         0.84            14.26
   0 H Conifer         ( 5-11, 80.0)    21- 4      -19.87      13.64      -0.37         0.84            11.09
   0 A Golden          ( 9- 6, 86.8)    18- 4      -13.09      20.41       0.37         0.84            17.36
   0 A Cheyenne Mount  ( 8- 7, 87.7)    12-11      -12.19      21.32       0.37         0.84            18.12
   0 A Mullen          ( 7- 7, 82.4)     8- 2      -17.54      15.97       0.37         0.84            13.65
   0 H Vail Mountain   ( 8- 9, 84.5)    12- 4      -15.41      18.09      -0.37         0.84            14.81
   0 H Vail Mountain   ( 8- 9, 84.5)    13- 2      -15.41      18.09      -0.37         0.84            14.81
   0 H Golden          ( 9- 6, 86.8)    16- 6      -13.09      20.41      -0.37         0.84            16.75
   0 A Dakota Ridge    (14- 2, 91.2)     9-13       -8.69      24.81       0.37         0.84            -6.95
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       210.39

winning pts = 231.4399 losing points = -21.0499

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------