---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:52 PDT

safe3step boys Estero 1
  
Estero                
W-L: ( 1-10) PR = 72.3958

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 211 A Barron Collier (11- 6, 82.2) 7-16 214 H Aubrey Rogers (10- 6, 80.9) 3-12 220 A Riverdale ( 8- 6, 74.9) 8-11 225 H Cypress Lake ( 9- 7, 76.3) 11-12 227 H Fort Myers (10- 4, 81.0) 6-19 313 A Fort Myers (10- 4, 81.0) 4-18 325 H Cypress Lake ( 9- 7, 76.3) 7-18 326 H Riverdale ( 8- 6, 74.9) 4- 8 401 A Aubrey Rogers (10- 6, 80.9) 3-15 402 A Palmetto Ridge ( 0-16, 68.9) 13- 6 409 H Cypress Lake ( 9- 7, 76.3) 8-12

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   211 A Barron Collier          7-16      -9   -10           0.00
   214 H Aubrey Rogers           3-12      -9    -8           0.00
   220 A Riverdale               8-11      -3    -3           0.07
   225 H Cypress Lake           11-12      -1    -3    +      2.30
   227 H Fort Myers              6-19     -13    -8           0.00
   313 A Fort Myers              4-18     -14    -9           0.00
   325 H Cypress Lake            7-18     -11    -3          -1.70
   326 H Riverdale               4- 8      -4    -2    -     -2.13
   401 A Aubrey Rogers           3-15     -12    -9           0.00
   402 A Palmetto Ridge         13- 6       7     3    +      2.11
   409 H Cypress Lake            8-12      -4    -3          -0.70

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H Riverdale               4- 8      -4    -2    -     -2.13

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 H Cypress Lake           11-12      -1    -3    +      2.30
   402 A Palmetto Ridge         13- 6       7     3    +      2.11

Estero Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Admiral Farragut Aca Admiral Farragut Aca   Admiral Farragut Aca
All Saints Academy All Saints Academy   All Saints Academy
Alonso Alonso   Alonso
American Heritage De American Heritage De   American Heritage De
American Heritage Pl American Heritage Pl   American Heritage Pl
Angeline Academy Estero   Estero
Apopka Apopka   Apopka
Archbishop McCarthy Archbishop McCarthy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Archbishop McCarthy
Atlantic Coast Estero   Estero
Atlantic-Delray Beac Atlantic-Delray Beac   Atlantic-Delray Beac
Aubrey Rogers Aubrey Rogers Aubrey Rogers  
Barron Collier Barron Collier Barron Collier  
Bartow Bartow   Bartow
Bartram Trail Bartram Trail   Bartram Trail
Beachside Beachside   Beachside
Belen Jesuit Belen Jesuit   Belen Jesuit
Benjamin School Benjamin School   Benjamin School
Berkeley Prep Berkeley Prep   Berkeley Prep
Bishop McLaughlin Estero   Estero
Bishop Moore Bishop Moore   Bishop Moore
Bishop Verot Bishop Verot insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Bishop Verot
Bloomingdale Bloomingdale   Bloomingdale
Boca Ciega Estero   Estero
Boca Raton Boca Raton   Boca Raton
Bolles Bolles   Bolles
Boone Boone   Boone
Bradenton Christian Bradenton Christian   Bradenton Christian
Buchholz Buchholz   Buchholz
Calvary Christian Ac Calvary Christian Ac   Calvary Christian Ac
Calvary Christian HS Calvary Christian HS   Calvary Christian HS
Canterbury School Canterbury School Canterbury School   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Cardinal Gibbons
Cardinal Mooney Cardinal Mooney   Cardinal Mooney
Cardinal Newman Cardinal Newman   Cardinal Newman
Celebration Celebration   Celebration
Chiles Chiles   Chiles
Clearwater Central C Estero   Estero
Cocoa Beach Cocoa Beach   Cocoa Beach
Colonial Estero   Estero
Columbus Catholic Columbus Catholic insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Columbus Catholic
Community School-Nap Community School-Nap Community School-Nap   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Cooper City Estero   Estero
Coral Glades Estero   Estero
Coral Reef Coral Reef   Coral Reef
Coral Shores Coral Shores   Coral Shores
Coral Springs Estero   Estero
Countryside Countryside   Countryside
Creekside Creekside   Creekside
Cypress Bay Cypress Bay   Cypress Bay
Cypress Creek Cypress Creek   Cypress Creek
Cypress Lake Cypress Lake Cypress Lake  
Dr Phillips Estero   Estero
Durant Estero   Estero
Dwyer Dwyer   Dwyer
East Lake East Lake   East Lake
East Ridge East Ridge   East Ridge
East River East River   East River
Eastside Estero   Estero
Edgewater Edgewater   Edgewater
Edgewood Edgewood   Edgewood
Episcopal Jacksonvi Episcopal Jacksonvi   Episcopal Jacksonvi
Evans Evans   Evans
Father Lopez Estero   Estero
Fernandina Beach Fernandina Beach   Fernandina Beach
First Academy First Academy   First Academy
Flagler Palm Coast Flagler Palm Coast   Flagler Palm Coast
Fleming Island Fleming Island   Fleming Island
Fletcher Fletcher   Fletcher
Florida Christian Florida Christian insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Florida Christian
Forest Forest   Forest
Fort Myers Fort Myers Fort Myers  
Fort Walton Beach Fort Walton Beach   Fort Walton Beach
Foundation Academy Foundation Academy   Foundation Academy
Freedom Orlando Estero   Estero
Freedom Tampa Freedom Tampa   Freedom Tampa
Golden Gate Golden Gate   Golden Gate
Gulf Breeze Gulf Breeze   Gulf Breeze
Gulf Coast Gulf Coast Gulf Coast   5- 0 vs 1- 4
Gulliver Prep Gulliver Prep   Gulliver Prep
Hagerty Hagerty   Hagerty
Holy Trinity Episcop Holy Trinity Episcop   Holy Trinity Episcop
Horizon Horizon   Horizon
IMG Academy-White IMG Academy-White   IMG Academy-White
Immaculata LaSalle Immaculata LaSalle   Immaculata LaSalle
Immokalee Immokalee insuffient: ( 1- 5)( 2- 4) Immokalee
Indian Rocks Christi Estero   Estero
Innovation Innovation   Innovation
Jensen Beach Jensen Beach   Jensen Beach
Jesuit Tampa Jesuit Tampa   Jesuit Tampa
John Carroll Catholi John Carroll Catholi   John Carroll Catholi
Jupiter Jupiter   Jupiter
Jupiter Christian Jupiter Christian   Jupiter Christian
Key West Key West   Key West
Keys Gate Estero   Estero
Kings Academy Kings Academy   Kings Academy
Lake Brantley Lake Brantley   Lake Brantley
Lake Buena Vista Estero   Estero
Lake Highland Prep Lake Highland Prep   Lake Highland Prep
Lake Howell Lake Howell   Lake Howell
Lake Mary Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Lake Minneola Lake Minneola   Lake Minneola
Lake Nona Lake Nona   Lake Nona
Lake Wales Lake Wales   Lake Wales
Lakeland Christian Lakeland Christian   Lakeland Christian
Lakeland HS Lakeland HS   Lakeland HS
Lakewood Ranch Lakewood Ranch   Lakewood Ranch
Land O Lakes Land O Lakes   Land O Lakes
Lely Estero tied - ( 1- 5) ( 1- 5) Estero
Leon Leon   Leon
Lincoln Tallahassee Lincoln Tallahassee   Lincoln Tallahassee
Lyman Lyman   Lyman
Maclay Maclay   Maclay
Manatee Manatee   Manatee
Mandarin Mandarin   Mandarin
Marco Island Academy Marco Island Academy insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) Marco Island Academy
Martin County Martin County   Martin County
Matanzas Matanzas   Matanzas
Melbourne Melbourne   Melbourne
Melbourne Central Ca Melbourne Central Ca   Melbourne Central Ca
Menendez Menendez   Menendez
Merritt Island Merritt Island   Merritt Island
Miami Country Day Miami Country Day   Miami Country Day
Miami Palmetto Miami Palmetto   Miami Palmetto
Milton Milton   Milton
Mitchell Mitchell   Mitchell
Montverde Academy Montverde Academy   Montverde Academy
Naples Naples tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Naples
Navarre Navarre   Navarre
Nease Nease   Nease
Newberry Newberry   Newberry
Newsome Newsome   Newsome
Niceville Niceville   Niceville
North Bay Haven Estero   Estero
North Broward Prep North Broward Prep   North Broward Prep
Northeast St Petersb Northeast St Petersb   Northeast St Petersb
Northside Christian Northside Christian   Northside Christian
NSU University Schoo NSU University Schoo   NSU University Schoo
Oak Hall Oak Hall   Oak Hall
Ocoee Estero   Estero
Okeechobee Estero   Estero
Olympia Olympia   Olympia
Olympic Heights Olympic Heights   Olympic Heights
Osceola Osceola   Osceola
Out-of-Door Academy Out-of-Door Academy   Out-of-Door Academy
Oviedo Oviedo   Oviedo
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy   Oxbridge Academy
Palm Beach Central Palm Beach Central   Palm Beach Central
Palm Beach Gardens Estero   Estero
Palm Harbor Universi Palm Harbor Universi   Palm Harbor Universi
Palmer Trinity Estero   Estero
Palmetto Ridge Estero Estero  
Park Vista Park Vista   Park Vista
Pasco Pasco   Pasco
Paxon Institute Paxon Institute   Paxon Institute
Pensacola Estero   Estero
Pensacola Catholic Pensacola Catholic   Pensacola Catholic
Pine Crest Pine Crest   Pine Crest
Plant Plant   Plant
Pompano Beach Estero   Estero
Ponte Vedra Ponte Vedra   Ponte Vedra
Providence School Providence School   Providence School
Ransom Everglades Ransom Everglades   Ransom Everglades
Rickards Rickards   Rickards
Riverdale Riverdale Riverdale  
Riverside Estero   Estero
Riverview Sarasota Riverview Sarasota insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Riverview Sarasota
Robinson Robinson   Robinson
Rockledge Rockledge   Rockledge
Sandalwood Estero   Estero
Santa Fe Santa Fe   Santa Fe
Sarasota HS Sarasota HS   Sarasota HS
Satellite Satellite   Satellite
Sebastian River Sebastian River   Sebastian River
Seminole Seminole   Seminole
Seminole Ridge Seminole Ridge   Seminole Ridge
Sickles Sickles   Sickles
South Fork South Fork   South Fork
South Lake Estero   Estero
South Plantation South Plantation   South Plantation
South Walton South Walton   South Walton
Spanish River Spanish River   Spanish River
St Andrews St Andrews   St Andrews
St Augustine St Augustine   St Augustine
St Brendan St Brendan   St Brendan
St Cloud St Cloud   St Cloud
St Edwards School St Edwards School   St Edwards School
St John Paul II Acad St John Paul II Acad   St John Paul II Acad
St Joseph Academy St Joseph Academy   St Joseph Academy
St Petersburg Cathol Estero   Estero
St Petersburg HS St Petersburg HS   St Petersburg HS
St Stephens Episcopa St Stephens Episcopa   St Stephens Episcopa
St Thomas Aquinas St Thomas Aquinas   St Thomas Aquinas
Stanton Prep Estero   Estero
Steinbrenner Steinbrenner   Steinbrenner
Stoneman Douglas Stoneman Douglas   Stoneman Douglas
Suncoast Estero   Estero
Sunlake Sunlake   Sunlake
Tampa Catholic Estero   Estero
Tampa Prep Tampa Prep   Tampa Prep
Taravella Estero   Estero
Timber Creek Timber Creek   Timber Creek
Tocoi Creek Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Tohopekaliga Tohopekaliga   Tohopekaliga
Trinity Catholic Trinity Catholic   Trinity Catholic
Trinity Prep Trinity Prep   Trinity Prep
University Orlando Estero   Estero
Venice Venice Venice   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Vero Beach Vero Beach   Vero Beach
Viera Viera   Viera
Village School Naple Village School Naple tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Village School Naple
Washington Washington   Washington
Wellington Wellington   Wellington
Wesley Chapel Wesley Chapel   Wesley Chapel
West Boca Raton West Boca Raton   West Boca Raton
West Broward West Broward   West Broward
West Florida West Florida   West Florida
West Orange West Orange   West Orange
West Shore West Shore   West Shore
Western Davie Western Davie   Western Davie
Westminster Academy Westminster Academy   Westminster Academy
Westminster Christia Westminster Christia   Westminster Christia
Wharton Estero   Estero
Windermere HS Windermere HS   Windermere HS
Windermere Prep Windermere Prep   Windermere Prep
Winter Haven Winter Haven   Winter Haven
Winter Park Winter Park   Winter Park
Winter Springs Winter Springs   Winter Springs
Wiregrass Ranch Wiregrass Ranch   Wiregrass Ranch

PowerWise = 36


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.16

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Barron Collier  (11- 6, 82.2)     7-16      -17.73      20.66       0.60         1.38           -23.61
   0 H Aubrey Rogers   (10- 6, 80.9)     3-12      -18.99      19.41      -0.60         1.38           -27.00
   0 A Riverdale       ( 8- 6, 74.9)     8-11      -25.04      13.36       0.60         1.38           -33.68
   0 H Cypress Lake    ( 9- 7, 76.3)    11-12      -23.60      14.80      -0.60         1.38           -33.35
   0 H Fort Myers      (10- 4, 81.0)     6-19      -18.87      19.52      -0.60         1.38           -26.84
   0 A Fort Myers      (10- 4, 81.0)     4-18      -18.87      19.52       0.60         1.38           -25.19
   0 H Cypress Lake    ( 9- 7, 76.3)     7-18      -23.60      14.80      -0.60         1.38           -33.35
   0 H Riverdale       ( 8- 6, 74.9)     4- 8      -25.04      13.36      -0.60         1.38           -35.34
   0 A Aubrey Rogers   (10- 6, 80.9)     3-15      -18.99      19.41       0.60         1.38           -25.34
   0 A Palmetto Ridge  ( 0-16, 68.9)    13- 6      -31.00       7.40       0.60         1.38            11.03
   0 H Cypress Lake    ( 9- 7, 76.3)     8-12      -23.60      14.80      -0.60         1.38           -33.35
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -286.04

winning pts = 11.0288 losing points = -297.0711

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------