Essex Junction
W-L: ( 9- 7) PR = 98.6429Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 412 H Burr and Burton Acad ( 9- 5, 97.8) 13- 6 414 A South Burlington (12- 5, 98.8) 8-10 418 H Mt Mansfield Union (14- 5, 99.9) 8-16 430 A Rice Memorial ( 5-13, 95.7) 6- 3 503 H Middlebury Union (14- 4, 99.4) 5- 9 506 H Champlain Valley Uni (13- 5, 99.7) 9-10 507 A Bellows Free Academy ( 0-15, 90.4) 18- 7 513 A Rutland (10- 6, 96.3) 10- 7 515 H South Burlington (12- 5, 98.8) 11- 5 516 H Bellows Free Academy ( 0-15, 90.4) 14- 6 520 A Mt Mansfield Union (14- 5, 99.9) 17-14 523 H Rice Memorial ( 5-13, 95.7) 10- 5 527 A Middlebury Union (14- 4, 99.4) 6- 7 530 A Champlain Valley Uni (13- 5, 99.7) 4-12 603 H Bellows Free Academy ( 0-15, 90.4) 19- 3 606 A Mt Mansfield Union (14- 5, 99.9) 5-10
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
412 H Burr and Burton Acad 13- 6 7 1 + 3.69
414 A South Burlington 8-10 -2 -1 -1.39
418 H Mt Mansfield Union 8-16 -8 -1 -- -4.16
430 A Rice Memorial 6- 3 3 3 0.43
503 H Middlebury Union 5- 9 -4 0 - -3.63
506 H Champlain Valley Uni 9-10 -1 -1 -0.39
507 A Bellows Free Academy 18- 7 11 8 0.00
513 A Rutland 10- 7 3 2 1.09
515 H South Burlington 11- 5 6 0 ++ 4.78
516 H Bellows Free Academy 14- 6 8 9 0.00
520 A Mt Mansfield Union 17-14 3 -2 ++ 4.67
523 H Rice Memorial 10- 5 5 3 1.60
527 A Middlebury Union 6- 7 -1 -1 0.20
530 A Champlain Valley Uni 4-12 -8 -1 - -3.56
603 H Bellows Free Academy 19- 3 16 9 0.00
606 A Mt Mansfield Union 5-10 -5 -2 - -3.33
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 418 H Mt Mansfield Union 8-16 -8 -1 -- -4.16 503 H Middlebury Union 5- 9 -4 0 - -3.63 530 A Champlain Valley Uni 4-12 -8 -1 - -3.56 606 A Mt Mansfield Union 5-10 -5 -2 - -3.33 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 515 H South Burlington 11- 5 6 0 ++ 4.78 520 A Mt Mansfield Union 17-14 3 -2 ++ 4.67 412 H Burr and Burton Acad 13- 6 7 1 + 3.69 |
Essex Junction Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bellows Free Academy | Essex Junction | Essex Junction | ||
| Bellows Free Academy | Essex Junction | Essex Junction | ||
| Brattleboro Union | Essex Junction | Essex Junction 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Burlington | Essex Junction | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Essex Junction | |
| Burr and Burton Acad | Essex Junction | Essex Junction | ||
| Champlain Valley Uni | Champlain Valley Uni | Champlain Valley Uni | ||
| Colchester | Essex Junction | Essex Junction 3- 3 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Green Mountain Valle | Essex Junction | Essex Junction | ||
| Hartford Union | Essex Junction | Essex Junction | ||
| Harwood Union | Harwood Union | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 1) | Harwood Union | |
| Lamoille Union | Essex Junction | Essex Junction | ||
| Lyndon Institute | Essex Junction | Essex Junction | ||
| Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | ||
| Milton | Essex Junction | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Essex Junction | |
| Montpelier | Essex Junction | Essex Junction | ||
| Mount Abraham | Essex Junction | Essex Junction | ||
| Mt Anthony Union | Essex Junction | Essex Junction 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Mt Mansfield Union | Mt Mansfield Union | Mt Mansfield Union | ||
| Otter Valley Union | Essex Junction | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Essex Junction | |
| Randolph Union | Essex Junction | Essex Junction | ||
| Rice Memorial | Essex Junction | Essex Junction | ||
| Rutland | Essex Junction | Essex Junction | ||
| South Burlington | South Burlington | insuffient: ( 4- 4)( 5- 1) | South Burlington | |
| Spaulding | Essex Junction | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Essex Junction | |
| St Johnsbury Academy | Essex Junction | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Essex Junction | |
| Stowe | Essex Junction | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Essex Junction | |
| Stratton Mountain Sc | Essex Junction | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Essex Junction | |
| Woodstock Union | Essex Junction | Essex Junction 4- 3 vs 0- 6 |
PowerWise = 23
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.14
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Burr and Burto ( 9- 5, 97.8) 13- 6 -2.15 14.90 -0.42 0.88 12.79
0 A South Burlingt (12- 5, 98.8) 8-10 -1.06 15.98 0.42 0.88 -0.57
0 H Mt Mansfield U (14- 5, 99.9) 8-16 -0.00 17.04 -0.42 0.88 -0.37
0 A Rice Memorial ( 5-13, 95.7) 6- 3 -4.24 12.80 0.42 0.88 11.68
0 H Middlebury Uni (14- 4, 99.4) 5- 9 -0.47 16.57 -0.42 0.88 -0.78
0 H Champlain Vall (13- 5, 99.7) 9-10 -0.23 16.81 -0.42 0.88 -0.57
0 A Bellows Free A ( 0-15, 90.4) 18- 7 -9.48 7.56 0.42 0.88 7.05
0 A Rutland (10- 6, 96.3) 10- 7 -3.58 13.46 0.42 0.88 12.26
0 H South Burlingt (12- 5, 98.8) 11- 5 -1.06 15.98 -0.42 0.88 13.75
0 H Bellows Free A ( 0-15, 90.4) 14- 6 -9.48 7.56 -0.42 0.88 6.32
0 A Mt Mansfield U (14- 5, 99.9) 17-14 -0.00 17.04 0.42 0.88 15.43
0 H Rice Memorial ( 5-13, 95.7) 10- 5 -4.24 12.80 -0.42 0.88 10.95
0 A Middlebury Uni (14- 4, 99.4) 6- 7 -0.47 16.57 0.42 0.88 -0.05
0 A Champlain Vall (13- 5, 99.7) 4-12 -0.23 16.81 0.42 0.88 -0.16
0 H Bellows Free A ( 0-15, 90.4) 19- 3 -9.48 7.56 -0.42 0.88 6.32
0 A Mt Mansfield U (14- 5, 99.9) 5-10 -0.00 17.04 0.42 0.88 -0.37
------
93.68
|
winning pts = 96.5513 losing points = -2.8734
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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