East Forsyth
W-L: ( 6-14) PR = 82.5173Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 225 A Forsyth Country Day (13- 4, 89.7) 1-15 228 H Southeast Guilford ( 6-11, 80.1) 8- 7 318 A Reagan (12-12, 86.8) 4- 5 321 H Davie (17- 3, 89.9) 2-16 325 A Mount Tabor ( 5-14, 81.1) 10- 7 327 H Bishop McGuinness (10-11, 83.0) 11-10 329 H TC Roberson (13- 2, 88.5) 6- 7 401 A RJ Reynolds (19- 3, 92.5) 5-15 404 A Glenn ( 5-14, 79.4) 4- 6 408 H West Forsyth (12-10, 84.0) 4- 8 415 A Davie (17- 3, 89.9) 2-15 417 H Mount Tabor ( 5-14, 81.1) 7- 8 423 H Reagan (12-12, 86.8) 5-12 425 H RJ Reynolds (19- 3, 92.5) 2-12 428 H Glenn ( 5-14, 79.4) 17- 3 429 A Atkins (14- 5, 81.9) 3- 5 502 A West Forsyth (12-10, 84.0) 9- 8 505 A Reagan (12-12, 86.8) 3-13 507 H West Stokes ( 8- 9, 78.0) 9- 2 514 A Myers Park ( 7-12, 88.4) 3-13
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
225 A Forsyth Country Day 1-15 -14 -7 0.00
228 H Southeast Guilford 8- 7 1 3 -1.72
318 A Reagan 4- 5 -1 -5 + 3.52
321 H Davie 2-16 -14 -7 0.00
325 A Mount Tabor 10- 7 3 1 1.84
327 H Bishop McGuinness 11-10 1 0 1.17
329 H TC Roberson 6- 7 -1 -6 ++ 4.00
401 A RJ Reynolds 5-15 -10 -10 0.00
404 A Glenn 4- 6 -2 3 -- -4.84
408 H West Forsyth 4- 8 -4 -1 - -2.74
415 A Davie 2-15 -13 -8 0.00
417 H Mount Tabor 7- 8 -1 2 - -2.70
423 H Reagan 5-12 -7 -4 -1.02
425 H RJ Reynolds 2-12 -10 -10 0.00
428 H Glenn 17- 3 14 3 1.62
429 A Atkins 3- 5 -2 0 - -2.37
502 A West Forsyth 9- 8 1 -2 + 2.80
505 A Reagan 3-13 -10 -5 -0.48
507 H West Stokes 9- 2 7 5 0.26
514 A Myers Park 3-13 -10 -6 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 A Glenn 4- 6 -2 3 -- -4.84 408 H West Forsyth 4- 8 -4 -1 - -2.74 417 H Mount Tabor 7- 8 -1 2 - -2.70 429 A Atkins 3- 5 -2 0 - -2.37 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 329 H TC Roberson 6- 7 -1 -6 ++ 4.00 318 A Reagan 4- 5 -1 -5 + 3.52 502 A West Forsyth 9- 8 1 -2 + 2.80 |
East Forsyth Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apex | Apex | Apex | ||
| Apex Friendship | Apex Friendship | Apex Friendship | ||
| Ardrey Kell | Ardrey Kell | Ardrey Kell 3- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Arendell Parrott Aca | Arendell Parrott Aca | Arendell Parrott Aca | ||
| Asheville HS | East Forsyth | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | East Forsyth | |
| Asheville School | East Forsyth | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | East Forsyth | |
| Ashley | Ashley | Ashley | ||
| Athens Drive | Athens Drive | Athens Drive | ||
| Atkins | Atkins | Atkins | ||
| Ballantyne Ridge | Ballantyne Ridge | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ballantyne Ridge | |
| Bishop McGuinness | East Forsyth | East Forsyth | ||
| Bradford Prep | East Forsyth | East Forsyth | ||
| Broughton | Broughton | Broughton | ||
| Butler | East Forsyth | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | East Forsyth | |
| Cannon School | Cannon School | Cannon School | ||
| Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Cape Fear Academy | |
| Cape Fear HS | East Forsyth | East Forsyth | ||
| Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | ||
| Carrboro | Carrboro | Carrboro | ||
| Cary Academy | Cary Academy | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Cary Academy | |
| Cary Christian | East Forsyth | East Forsyth | ||
| Cary HS | East Forsyth | East Forsyth | ||
| Cedar Ridge | East Forsyth | East Forsyth | ||
| Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Charlotte Christian | Charlotte Christian | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Charlotte Christian | |
| Charlotte Latin | Charlotte Latin | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Charlotte Latin | |
| Christ School | Christ School | Christ School | ||
| Christ The King | Christ The King | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Christ The King | |
| Clayton | Clayton | Clayton | ||
| Cleveland | East Forsyth | East Forsyth | ||
| Community School-Dav | Community School-Dav | Community School-Dav 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Corinth Holders | East Forsyth | East Forsyth | ||
| Cornerstone Charter | Cornerstone Charter | tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) | Cornerstone Charter | |
| Croatan | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Cuthbertson | Cuthbertson | Cuthbertson | ||
| Davie | Davie | Davie | ||
| DH Conley | East Forsyth | East Forsyth | ||
| Durham Academy | Durham Academy | Durham Academy | ||
| East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Eastern Alamance | East Forsyth | East Forsyth | ||
| Eastern Guilford | East Forsyth | East Forsyth 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Enloe | Enloe | Enloe | ||
| Fike | East Forsyth | East Forsyth | ||
| First Flight | First Flight | First Flight | ||
| Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Garner | East Forsyth | East Forsyth | ||
| Glenn | East Forsyth | East Forsyth 2- 5 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Grays Creek | East Forsyth | East Forsyth | ||
| Green Hope | Green Hope | Green Hope | ||
| Green Level | Green Level | Green Level | ||
| Greensboro Day | Greensboro Day | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Greensboro Day | |
| Grimsley | Grimsley | tied - ( 2- 5) ( 2- 4) | Grimsley | |
| Havelock | East Forsyth | East Forsyth | ||
| Heritage | Heritage | Heritage | ||
| Hickory | Hickory | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 1) | Hickory | |
| High Point Central | East Forsyth | East Forsyth 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| Hoggard | Hoggard | Hoggard | ||
| Holly Springs | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Hough | Hough | Hough 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Hunt | East Forsyth | East Forsyth | ||
| Independence | Independence | Independence | ||
| Jack Britt | East Forsyth | East Forsyth | ||
| Jacksonville | East Forsyth | East Forsyth | ||
| JF Webb | JF Webb | JF Webb | ||
| JH Rose | JH Rose | JH Rose | ||
| John Paul II Catholi | East Forsyth | East Forsyth | ||
| Jordan | Jordan | Jordan | ||
| Lake Norman Charter | Lake Norman Charter | Lake Norman Charter 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Laney | Laney | Laney | ||
| Leesville Road | Leesville Road | Leesville Road | ||
| Lincoln Charter | Lincoln Charter | Lincoln Charter | ||
| Marvin Ridge | Marvin Ridge | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) | Marvin Ridge | |
| Middle Creek | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Millbrook | Millbrook | Millbrook | ||
| Mooresville | Mooresville | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Mooresville | |
| Mount Tabor | East Forsyth | East Forsyth 4- 6 vs 2- 6 | ||
| Mountain Island Char | East Forsyth | East Forsyth | ||
| Myers Park | Myers Park | Myers Park | ||
| New Bern | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| New Hanover | East Forsyth | East Forsyth | ||
| North Brunswick | East Forsyth | East Forsyth | ||
| North Davidson | East Forsyth | East Forsyth 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| North Lincoln | North Lincoln | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | North Lincoln | |
| North Raleigh Christ | North Raleigh Christ | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | North Raleigh Christ | |
| Northern Durham | East Forsyth | East Forsyth | ||
| Northern Guilford | Northern Guilford | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Northern Guilford | |
| Northside | Northside | Northside | ||
| Northwest Guilford | Northwest Guilford | Northwest Guilford 5- 0 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Northwood | East Forsyth | East Forsyth | ||
| Page | Page | Page 5- 3 vs 3- 7 | ||
| Panther Creek | East Forsyth | East Forsyth | ||
| Parkwood | East Forsyth | East Forsyth | ||
| Patton Morganton | East Forsyth | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) | East Forsyth | |
| Pine Forest | East Forsyth | East Forsyth | ||
| Pine Lake Prep | Pine Lake Prep | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Pine Lake Prep | |
| Pinecrest | Pinecrest | Pinecrest | ||
| Porter Ridge | East Forsyth | East Forsyth | ||
| Providence | Providence | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) | Providence | |
| Providence Day | Providence Day | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Providence Day | |
| Queens Grant | Queens Grant | Queens Grant | ||
| Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | ||
| Ragsdale | East Forsyth | East Forsyth 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Ravenscroft School | Ravenscroft School | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ravenscroft School | |
| Reagan | Reagan | Reagan | ||
| Riverside Durham | East Forsyth | East Forsyth | ||
| RJ Reynolds | RJ Reynolds | RJ Reynolds | ||
| Rolesville | East Forsyth | East Forsyth | ||
| Roxboro Community | East Forsyth | East Forsyth | ||
| Sanderson | Sanderson | Sanderson | ||
| Seaforth | Seaforth | Seaforth | ||
| South Brunswick | East Forsyth | East Forsyth | ||
| South Garner | East Forsyth | East Forsyth | ||
| South Iredell | East Forsyth | East Forsyth 2- 3 vs 0- 3 | ||
| South Mecklenburg | East Forsyth | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | East Forsyth | |
| South View | South View | South View | ||
| Southeast Alamance | East Forsyth | East Forsyth | ||
| Southeast Guilford | East Forsyth | East Forsyth | ||
| Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Southern Alamance | |
| Southlake Christian | Southlake Christian | Southlake Christian | ||
| Southwest Guilford | East Forsyth | East Forsyth 2- 3 vs 0- 4 | ||
| St Davids School | St Davids School | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | St Davids School | |
| St Stephens | St Stephens | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 1) | St Stephens | |
| Sun Valley | East Forsyth | East Forsyth | ||
| Swansboro | East Forsyth | East Forsyth | ||
| TC Roberson | TC Roberson | TC Roberson | ||
| Terry Sanford | East Forsyth | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | East Forsyth | |
| Topsail | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Union Pines | Union Pines | Union Pines | ||
| Vance Charter | East Forsyth | East Forsyth | ||
| Voyager Academy | East Forsyth | East Forsyth | ||
| Wake Forest | East Forsyth | East Forsyth | ||
| Wake Prep | East Forsyth | East Forsyth | ||
| Wakefield | East Forsyth | East Forsyth | ||
| Walter M Williams | East Forsyth | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | East Forsyth | |
| Watauga | East Forsyth | East Forsyth 3- 3 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Weddington | Weddington | Weddington | ||
| West Brunswick | East Forsyth | East Forsyth | ||
| West Carteret | East Forsyth | East Forsyth | ||
| West Forsyth | West Forsyth | tied - ( 2- 5) ( 2- 3) | West Forsyth | |
| West Stokes | East Forsyth | East Forsyth | ||
| Western Alamance | East Forsyth | East Forsyth | ||
| Western Guilford | East Forsyth | East Forsyth 6- 4 vs 2- 5 | ||
| Willow Spring | Willow Spring | Willow Spring |
PowerWise = 62
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.93
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Forsyth Countr (13- 4, 89.7) 1-15 -10.18 23.63 0.27 0.90 -8.88
0 H Southeast Guil ( 6-11, 80.1) 8- 7 -19.83 13.98 -0.27 0.90 12.29
0 A Reagan (12-12, 86.8) 4- 5 -13.13 20.68 0.27 0.90 -11.53
0 H Davie (17- 3, 89.9) 2-16 -10.00 23.81 -0.27 0.90 -9.21
0 A Mount Tabor ( 5-14, 81.1) 10- 7 -18.81 15.00 0.27 0.90 13.69
0 H Bishop McGuinn (10-11, 83.0) 11-10 -16.94 16.87 -0.27 0.90 14.88
0 H TC Roberson (13- 2, 88.5) 6- 7 -11.44 22.37 -0.27 0.90 -10.50
0 A RJ Reynolds (19- 3, 92.5) 5-15 -7.36 26.45 0.27 0.90 -6.36
0 A Glenn ( 5-14, 79.4) 4- 6 -20.49 13.32 0.27 0.90 -18.13
0 H West Forsyth (12-10, 84.0) 4- 8 -15.86 17.95 -0.27 0.90 -14.46
0 A Davie (17- 3, 89.9) 2-15 -10.00 23.81 0.27 0.90 -8.72
0 H Mount Tabor ( 5-14, 81.1) 7- 8 -18.81 15.00 -0.27 0.90 -17.11
0 H Reagan (12-12, 86.8) 5-12 -13.13 20.68 -0.27 0.90 -12.02
0 H RJ Reynolds (19- 3, 92.5) 2-12 -7.36 26.45 -0.27 0.90 -6.85
0 H Glenn ( 5-14, 79.4) 17- 3 -20.49 13.32 -0.27 0.90 11.70
0 A Atkins (14- 5, 81.9) 3- 5 -18.03 15.78 0.27 0.90 -15.92
0 A West Forsyth (12-10, 84.0) 9- 8 -15.86 17.95 0.27 0.90 16.34
0 A Reagan (12-12, 86.8) 3-13 -13.13 20.68 0.27 0.90 -11.53
0 H West Stokes ( 8- 9, 78.0) 9- 2 -21.85 11.95 -0.27 0.90 10.47
0 A Myers Park ( 7-12, 88.4) 3-13 -11.47 22.33 0.27 0.90 -10.04
------
-81.89
|
winning pts = 79.3698 losing points = -161.2646
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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