---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:52 PDT

safe3step boys East River 1
  
East River            
W-L: (11- 6) PR = 78.2989

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 211 A Oviedo (14- 4, 86.2) 1-13 214 H Ocoee ( 2-15, 68.0) 19- 3 218 A Colonial ( 4-10, 70.1) 16- 0 220 A Lyman ( 9- 9, 75.0) 8- 3 227 A Lake Nona ( 8- 9, 80.0) 6-14 303 H Freedom Orlando ( 0-11, 65.2) 24- 0 304 A Dr Phillips ( 3-12, 72.3) 16- 2 306 A Apopka ( 9- 5, 76.6) 6- 3 307 H Lake Buena Vista ( 2-15, 71.3) 19- 0 311 A Timber Creek (13- 7, 86.3) 6-19 312 A Horizon ( 8- 9, 75.5) 11- 5 313 H Tohopekaliga ( 4-12, 73.2) 11- 4 325 H Boone ( 7- 9, 83.7) 10-17 327 A Edgewater (10- 6, 81.8) 5- 9 328 H University Orlando ( 1- 8, 68.3) 21- 0 403 A Winter Springs ( 2-13, 73.7) 7- 5 410 H Edgewater (10- 6, 81.8) 3-16

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   211 A Oviedo                  1-13     -12    -8           0.00
   214 H Ocoee                  19- 3      16    11           0.00
   218 A Colonial               16- 0      16     8           0.00
   220 A Lyman                   8- 3       5     3    +      2.31
   227 A Lake Nona               6-14      -8    -2    -     -2.65
   303 H Freedom  Orlando       24- 0      24    14           0.00
   304 A Dr Phillips            16- 2      14     5           0.00
   306 A Apopka                  6- 3       3     1           1.90
   307 H Lake Buena Vista       19- 0      19     8           0.00
   311 A Timber Creek            6-19     -13    -9           0.00
   312 A Horizon                11- 5       6     2    +      2.78
   313 H Tohopekaliga           11- 4       7     6           0.00
   325 H Boone                  10-17      -7    -5          -0.24
   327 A Edgewater               5- 9      -4    -4           0.06
   328 H University Orlando     21- 0      21    11           0.00
   403 A Winter Springs          7- 5       2     4    -     -2.01
   410 H Edgewater               3-16     -13    -3    -     -2.14

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 A Lake Nona               6-14      -8    -2    -     -2.65
   403 A Winter Springs          7- 5       2     4    -     -2.01
   410 H Edgewater               3-16     -13    -3    -     -2.14

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   220 A Lyman                   8- 3       5     3    +      2.31
   312 A Horizon                11- 5       6     2    +      2.78

East River Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Admiral Farragut Aca Admiral Farragut Aca   Admiral Farragut Aca
All Saints Academy All Saints Academy   All Saints Academy
Alonso Alonso   Alonso
American Heritage De American Heritage De   American Heritage De
American Heritage Pl American Heritage Pl   American Heritage Pl
Angeline Academy East River   East River
Apopka East River East River  
Archbishop McCarthy Archbishop McCarthy   Archbishop McCarthy
Atlantic Coast East River   East River
Atlantic-Delray Beac Atlantic-Delray Beac   Atlantic-Delray Beac
Aubrey Rogers Aubrey Rogers   Aubrey Rogers
Barron Collier Barron Collier   Barron Collier
Bartow Bartow   Bartow
Bartram Trail Bartram Trail   Bartram Trail
Beachside Beachside   Beachside
Belen Jesuit Belen Jesuit   Belen Jesuit
Benjamin School Benjamin School   Benjamin School
Berkeley Prep Berkeley Prep   Berkeley Prep
Bishop McLaughlin East River   East River
Bishop Moore Bishop Moore   Bishop Moore
Bishop Verot Bishop Verot   Bishop Verot
Bloomingdale Bloomingdale   Bloomingdale
Boca Ciega East River   East River
Boca Raton Boca Raton   Boca Raton
Bolles Bolles insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Bolles
Boone Boone Boone  
Bradenton Christian Bradenton Christian   Bradenton Christian
Buchholz Buchholz   Buchholz
Calvary Christian Ac Calvary Christian Ac   Calvary Christian Ac
Calvary Christian HS Calvary Christian HS   Calvary Christian HS
Canterbury School Canterbury School   Canterbury School
Cardinal Gibbons East River   East River
Cardinal Mooney Cardinal Mooney   Cardinal Mooney
Cardinal Newman Cardinal Newman   Cardinal Newman
Celebration East River tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1) East River
Chiles Chiles   Chiles
Clearwater Central C East River   East River
Cocoa Beach East River   East River
Colonial East River East River  
Columbus Catholic Columbus Catholic insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Columbus Catholic
Community School-Nap Community School-Nap   Community School-Nap
Cooper City East River   East River
Coral Glades East River   East River
Coral Reef East River   East River
Coral Shores Coral Shores   Coral Shores
Coral Springs East River   East River
Countryside East River   East River
Creekside Creekside   Creekside
Cypress Bay Cypress Bay   Cypress Bay
Cypress Creek East River   East River
Cypress Lake East River   East River
Dr Phillips East River East River  
Durant East River   East River
Dwyer Dwyer   Dwyer
East Lake East Lake   East Lake
East Ridge East River insuffient: ( 5- 2)( 4- 3) East River
Eastside East River   East River
Edgewater Edgewater Edgewater  
Edgewood East River   East River
Episcopal Jacksonvi Episcopal Jacksonvi   Episcopal Jacksonvi
Estero East River   East River
Evans Evans   Evans
Father Lopez East River East River   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Fernandina Beach East River   East River
First Academy First Academy First Academy   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Flagler Palm Coast East River   East River
Fleming Island Fleming Island   Fleming Island
Fletcher Fletcher   Fletcher
Florida Christian East River   East River
Forest East River   East River
Fort Myers Fort Myers   Fort Myers
Fort Walton Beach East River   East River
Foundation Academy Foundation Academy insuffient: ( 6- 0)( 5- 1) Foundation Academy
Freedom Orlando East River East River  
Freedom Tampa East River   East River
Golden Gate Golden Gate   Golden Gate
Gulf Breeze Gulf Breeze   Gulf Breeze
Gulf Coast Gulf Coast   Gulf Coast
Gulliver Prep Gulliver Prep   Gulliver Prep
Hagerty Hagerty tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) Hagerty
Holy Trinity Episcop Holy Trinity Episcop   Holy Trinity Episcop
Horizon East River East River  
IMG Academy-White IMG Academy-White   IMG Academy-White
Immaculata LaSalle Immaculata LaSalle   Immaculata LaSalle
Immokalee East River   East River
Indian Rocks Christi East River   East River
Innovation East River tied - ( 2- 4) ( 2- 4) East River
Jensen Beach Jensen Beach   Jensen Beach
Jesuit Tampa Jesuit Tampa   Jesuit Tampa
John Carroll Catholi East River   East River
Jupiter Jupiter   Jupiter
Jupiter Christian East River   East River
Key West Key West   Key West
Keys Gate East River   East River
Kings Academy Kings Academy   Kings Academy
Lake Brantley Lake Brantley tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Lake Brantley
Lake Buena Vista East River East River  
Lake Highland Prep Lake Highland Prep insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lake Highland Prep
Lake Howell East River East River   5- 2 vs 2- 5
Lake Mary Lake Mary Lake Mary   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Lake Minneola Lake Minneola insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Lake Minneola
Lake Nona Lake Nona Lake Nona  
Lake Wales East River tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) East River
Lakeland Christian East River tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) East River
Lakeland HS Lakeland HS tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Lakeland HS
Lakewood Ranch Lakewood Ranch   Lakewood Ranch
Land O Lakes Land O Lakes   Land O Lakes
Lely East River   East River
Leon Leon   Leon
Lincoln Tallahassee East River   East River
Lyman East River East River  
Maclay Maclay   Maclay
Manatee Manatee   Manatee
Mandarin East River   East River
Marco Island Academy East River   East River
Martin County Martin County   Martin County
Matanzas Matanzas   Matanzas
Melbourne Melbourne tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Melbourne
Melbourne Central Ca Melbourne Central Ca tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Melbourne Central Ca
Menendez Menendez   Menendez
Merritt Island Merritt Island tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Merritt Island
Miami Country Day East River   East River
Miami Palmetto Miami Palmetto   Miami Palmetto
Milton East River   East River
Mitchell Mitchell   Mitchell
Montverde Academy Montverde Academy   Montverde Academy
Naples East River   East River
Navarre Navarre   Navarre
Nease Nease   Nease
Newberry East River   East River
Newsome Newsome   Newsome
Niceville Niceville   Niceville
North Bay Haven East River   East River
North Broward Prep North Broward Prep   North Broward Prep
Northeast St Petersb East River   East River
Northside Christian Northside Christian   Northside Christian
NSU University Schoo NSU University Schoo   NSU University Schoo
Oak Hall Oak Hall   Oak Hall
Ocoee East River East River  
Okeechobee East River   East River
Olympia Olympia tied - ( 5- 2) ( 5- 2) Olympia
Olympic Heights Olympic Heights   Olympic Heights
Osceola Osceola   Osceola
Out-of-Door Academy Out-of-Door Academy   Out-of-Door Academy
Oviedo Oviedo Oviedo  
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy   Oxbridge Academy
Palm Beach Central Palm Beach Central   Palm Beach Central
Palm Beach Gardens East River   East River
Palm Harbor Universi Palm Harbor Universi   Palm Harbor Universi
Palmer Trinity East River   East River
Palmetto Ridge East River   East River
Park Vista East River   East River
Pasco East River   East River
Paxon Institute East River   East River
Pensacola East River   East River
Pensacola Catholic Pensacola Catholic   Pensacola Catholic
Pine Crest Pine Crest   Pine Crest
Plant Plant   Plant
Pompano Beach East River   East River
Ponte Vedra Ponte Vedra   Ponte Vedra
Providence School Providence School tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Providence School
Ransom Everglades Ransom Everglades   Ransom Everglades
Rickards Rickards   Rickards
Riverdale East River   East River
Riverside East River   East River
Riverview Sarasota Riverview Sarasota   Riverview Sarasota
Robinson Robinson   Robinson
Rockledge Rockledge   Rockledge
Sandalwood East River   East River
Santa Fe East River   East River
Sarasota HS Sarasota HS   Sarasota HS
Satellite Satellite   Satellite
Sebastian River East River tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) East River
Seminole Seminole Seminole   6- 1 vs 3- 4
Seminole Ridge East River   East River
Sickles Sickles   Sickles
South Fork East River   East River
South Lake East River East River   6- 0 vs 3- 3
South Plantation East River   East River
South Walton South Walton   South Walton
Spanish River Spanish River   Spanish River
St Andrews St Andrews   St Andrews
St Augustine St Augustine   St Augustine
St Brendan St Brendan   St Brendan
St Cloud East River East River   4- 0 vs 2- 2
St Edwards School St Edwards School   St Edwards School
St John Paul II Acad St John Paul II Acad   St John Paul II Acad
St Joseph Academy East River   East River
St Petersburg Cathol East River   East River
St Petersburg HS East River   East River
St Stephens Episcopa East River   East River
St Thomas Aquinas St Thomas Aquinas   St Thomas Aquinas
Stanton Prep East River   East River
Steinbrenner Steinbrenner   Steinbrenner
Stoneman Douglas Stoneman Douglas   Stoneman Douglas
Suncoast East River   East River
Sunlake East River   East River
Tampa Catholic East River   East River
Tampa Prep Tampa Prep   Tampa Prep
Taravella East River   East River
Timber Creek Timber Creek Timber Creek  
Tocoi Creek Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Tohopekaliga East River East River  
Trinity Catholic Trinity Catholic   Trinity Catholic
Trinity Prep Trinity Prep tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Trinity Prep
University Orlando East River East River  
Venice Venice   Venice
Vero Beach Vero Beach Vero Beach   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Viera Viera Viera   5- 0 vs 1- 4
Village School Naple East River   East River
Washington East River   East River
Wellington Wellington   Wellington
Wesley Chapel Wesley Chapel   Wesley Chapel
West Boca Raton East River   East River
West Broward West Broward   West Broward
West Florida West Florida   West Florida
West Orange West Orange insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) West Orange
West Shore East River   East River
Western Davie Western Davie   Western Davie
Westminster Academy Westminster Academy   Westminster Academy
Westminster Christia Westminster Christia   Westminster Christia
Wharton East River   East River
Windermere HS Windermere HS Windermere HS   8- 0 vs 5- 3
Windermere Prep East River East River   4- 1 vs 2- 3
Winter Haven East River   East River
Winter Park Winter Park Winter Park   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Winter Springs East River East River  
Wiregrass Ranch Wiregrass Ranch   Wiregrass Ranch

PowerWise = 92


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.16

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Oviedo          (14- 4, 86.2)     1-13      -13.75      24.65       0.60         0.89           -11.73
   0 H Ocoee           ( 2-15, 68.0)    19- 3      -31.87       6.52      -0.60         0.89             5.28
   0 A Colonial        ( 4-10, 70.1)    16- 0      -29.79       8.60       0.60         0.89             8.21
   0 A Lyman           ( 9- 9, 75.0)     8- 3      -24.89      13.51       0.60         0.89            12.58
   0 A Lake Nona       ( 8- 9, 80.0)     6-14      -19.85      18.54       0.60         0.89           -17.17
   0 H Freedom  Orlan  ( 0-11, 65.2)    24- 0      -34.71       3.69      -0.60         0.89             2.75
   0 A Dr Phillips     ( 3-12, 72.3)    16- 2      -27.63      10.76       0.60         0.89            10.14
   0 A Apopka          ( 9- 5, 76.6)     6- 3      -23.30      15.10       0.60         0.89            14.00
   0 H Lake Buena Vis  ( 2-15, 71.3)    19- 0      -28.64       9.76      -0.60         0.89             8.16
   0 A Timber Creek    (13- 7, 86.3)     6-19      -13.64      24.75       0.60         0.89           -11.63
   0 A Horizon         ( 8- 9, 75.5)    11- 5      -24.42      13.98       0.60         0.89            13.00
   0 H Tohopekaliga    ( 4-12, 73.2)    11- 4      -26.70      11.70      -0.60         0.89             9.89
   0 H Boone           ( 7- 9, 83.7)    10-17      -16.24      22.16      -0.60         0.89           -15.02
   0 A Edgewater       (10- 6, 81.8)     5- 9      -18.14      20.25       0.60         0.89           -15.65
   0 H University Orl  ( 1- 8, 68.3)    21- 0      -31.63       6.76      -0.60         0.89             5.49
   0 A Winter Springs  ( 2-13, 73.7)     7- 5      -26.21      12.18       0.60         0.89            11.40
   0 H Edgewater       (10- 6, 81.8)     3-16      -18.14      20.25      -0.60         0.89           -16.72
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        13.00

winning pts = 100.9131 losing points = -87.9119

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------