Erskine Academy
W-L: ( 8- 7) PR = 83.9415
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
423 H John Bapst Memorial ( 1- 7, 78.2) 15- 2
425 H Houlton/Hogdon ( 3- 4, 82.2) 8- 6
429 A Gardiner Area ( 8- 8, 86.2) 9-11
503 H Morse/Boothbay ( 8- 7, 86.3) 8-15
505 A MCI-Nokomis ( 0- 8, 74.9) 23- 2
507 A Oak Hill (10- 6, 88.6) 7-16
512 H Brewer ( 4- 4, 83.1) 9- 8
514 A Morse/Boothbay ( 8- 7, 86.3) 7-11
519 A Camden Hills Regiona ( 6- 8, 82.3) 12-11
520 H Oxford Hills ( 5- 9, 83.0) 13- 3
528 A Mount Ararat ( 6- 9, 84.4) 9-10
530 H Lincoln Academy ( 4- 8, 82.0) 11- 1
603 H Maranacook-Winthrop (10- 4, 88.1) 6-12
605 A Lawrence/Winslow ( 2- 7, 78.8) 17- 2
613 N Fryeburg Academy ( 5- 7, 88.4) 6-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
423 H John Bapst Memorial 15- 2 13 6 0.00
425 H Houlton/Hogdon 8- 6 2 3 -0.51
429 A Gardiner Area 9-11 -2 -3 1.00
503 H Morse/Boothbay 8-15 -7 -2 - -3.38
505 A MCI-Nokomis 23- 2 21 8 0.00
507 A Oak Hill 7-16 -9 -5 0.00
512 H Brewer 9- 8 1 2 -0.58
514 A Morse/Boothbay 7-11 -4 -3 -0.90
519 A Camden Hills Regiona 12-11 1 1 0.07
520 H Oxford Hills 13- 3 10 2 + 3.30
528 A Mount Ararat 9-10 -1 -1 0.16
530 H Lincoln Academy 11- 1 10 3 + 2.35
603 H Maranacook-Winthrop 6-12 -6 -3 -1.62
605 A Lawrence/Winslow 17- 2 15 4 0.63
613 N Fryeburg Academy 6-11 -5 -4 -0.52
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
503 H Morse/Boothbay 8-15 -7 -2 - -3.38
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
520 H Oxford Hills 13- 3 10 2 + 3.30
530 H Lincoln Academy 11- 1 10 3 + 2.35
|
Erskine Academy Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Bangor |
Erskine Academy |
|
insuffient: ( 5- 1)( 4- 2) |
Erskine Academy |
Biddeford |
Erskine Academy |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Erskine Academy |
Bonny Eagle |
Bonny Eagle |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Bonny Eagle |
Brewer |
Erskine Academy |
Erskine Academy |
 
| |
Brunswick |
Brunswick |
|
Brunswick   4- 0 vs 1- 3 |
|
Camden Hills Regiona |
Erskine Academy |
Erskine Academy |
 
| |
Cape Elizabeth |
Cape Elizabeth |
|
 
| Cape Elizabeth |
Cheverus |
Cheverus |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Cheverus |
Cony |
Erskine Academy |
|
Erskine Academy   7- 3 vs 3- 7 |
|
Deering |
Deering |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Deering |
Edward Little |
Edward Little |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) |
Edward Little |
Falmouth |
Falmouth |
|
 
| Falmouth |
Freeport |
Freeport |
|
Freeport   4- 0 vs 1- 3 |
|
Fryeburg Academy |
Fryeburg Academy |
Fryeburg Academy |
 
| |
Gardiner Area |
Gardiner Area |
Gardiner Area |
 
| |
Gorham |
Gorham |
|
 
| Gorham |
Gray/New Gloucester/ |
Gray/New Gloucester/ |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Gray/New Gloucester/ |
Greely |
Greely |
|
Greely   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Hampden Academy |
Erskine Academy |
|
Erskine Academy   4- 1 vs 0- 5 |
|
Houlton/Hogdon |
Erskine Academy |
Erskine Academy |
 
| |
John Bapst Memorial |
Erskine Academy |
Erskine Academy |
 
| |
Kennebunk |
Kennebunk |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Kennebunk |
Lake Region |
Lake Region |
|
 
| Lake Region |
Lawrence/Winslow |
Erskine Academy |
Erskine Academy |
 
| |
Lewiston |
Lewiston |
|
tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) |
Lewiston |
Lincoln Academy |
Erskine Academy |
Erskine Academy |
 
| |
Maranacook-Winthrop |
Maranacook-Winthrop |
Maranacook-Winthrop |
 
| |
Marshwood |
Marshwood |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Marshwood |
Massabesic |
Massabesic |
|
 
| Massabesic |
MCI-Nokomis |
Erskine Academy |
Erskine Academy |
 
| |
Messalonskee |
Messalonskee |
|
Messalonskee   5- 0 vs 1- 4 |
|
Morse/Boothbay |
Morse/Boothbay |
Morse/Boothbay |
 
| |
Mount Ararat |
Mount Ararat |
Mount Ararat |
 
| |
Mount Blue |
Erskine Academy |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) |
Erskine Academy |
Noble/Sanford |
Noble/Sanford |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Noble/Sanford |
North Yarmouth Acade |
North Yarmouth Acade |
|
North Yarmouth Acade   5- 0 vs 1- 4 |
|
Oak Hill |
Oak Hill |
Oak Hill |
 
| |
Oxford Hills |
Erskine Academy |
Erskine Academy |
 
| |
Portland |
Portland |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Portland |
Scarborough |
Scarborough |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Scarborough |
South Portland |
South Portland |
|
 
| South Portland |
Thornton Academy |
Thornton Academy |
|
 
| Thornton Academy |
Traip Academy |
Erskine Academy |
|
 
| Erskine Academy |
Waynflete School |
Waynflete School |
|
 
| Waynflete School |
Wells |
Wells |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) |
Wells |
Westbrook |
Erskine Academy |
|
Erskine Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Windham |
Windham |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Windham |
Yarmouth |
Yarmouth |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Yarmouth |
York |
York |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
York |
PowerWise = 15

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.00
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H John Bapst Mem ( 1- 7, 78.2) 15- 2 -21.68 6.76 -0.74 0.87 5.22
0 H Houlton/Hogdon ( 3- 4, 82.2) 8- 6 -17.73 10.71 -0.74 0.87 8.64
0 A Gardiner Area ( 8- 8, 86.2) 9-11 -13.70 14.75 0.74 0.87 -11.23
0 H Morse/Boothbay ( 8- 7, 86.3) 8-15 -13.60 14.84 -0.74 0.87 -12.42
0 A MCI-Nokomis ( 0- 8, 74.9) 23- 2 -25.04 3.41 0.74 0.87 3.59
0 A Oak Hill (10- 6, 88.6) 7-16 -11.32 17.12 0.74 0.87 -9.17
0 H Brewer ( 4- 4, 83.1) 9- 8 -16.80 11.64 -0.74 0.87 9.45
0 A Morse/Boothbay ( 8- 7, 86.3) 7-11 -13.60 14.84 0.74 0.87 -11.14
0 A Camden Hills R ( 6- 8, 82.3) 12-11 -17.62 10.82 0.74 0.87 10.01
0 H Oxford Hills ( 5- 9, 83.0) 13- 3 -16.92 11.52 -0.74 0.87 9.35
0 A Mount Ararat ( 6- 9, 84.4) 9-10 -15.54 12.90 0.74 0.87 -12.83
0 H Lincoln Academ ( 4- 8, 82.0) 11- 1 -17.87 10.57 -0.74 0.87 8.52
0 H Maranacook-Win (10- 4, 88.1) 6-12 -11.84 16.60 -0.74 0.87 -10.90
0 A Lawrence/Winsl ( 2- 7, 78.8) 17- 2 -21.07 7.37 0.74 0.87 7.03
0 N Fryeburg Acade ( 5- 7, 88.4) 6-11 -11.48 16.96 -0.00 0.87 -9.95
------
-15.83
|
winning pts = 61.8115 losing points = -77.6443
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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