---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:10 PDT

safe3step boys Ensworth School 1
  
Ensworth School       
W-L: (10- 8) PR = 91.3245

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 224 A Page ( 6- 9, 86.9) 14-13 228 A Christ Presbyterian (13- 3, 93.8) 4- 9 305 H Pope John Paul II ( 9- 7, 93.2) 7-11 314 A Boyd Buchanan ( 7- 6, 89.1) 12- 5 318 H Ravenwood ( 7- 8, 92.6) 13-10 321 A Independence ( 2- 9, 86.8) 20- 2 328 H St Georges ( 5- 5, 87.6) 20- 5 404 H Evangelical Christia ( 9- 5, 93.6) 10- 8 408 H Father Ryan ( 7- 5, 95.5) 5-18 410 H Brentwood ( 6- 8, 91.4) 13- 7 412 H University School Na ( 7- 7, 89.7) 7- 8 415 A Nolensville (14- 4, 96.2) 7-15 417 H Franklin (13- 4, 95.6) 8-15 425 A Christian Academy-Kn ( 6-10, 85.7) 16- 8 426 A Webb School Knoxvill (15- 2, 96.0) 7-14 429 A Hillsboro ( 6- 7, 87.7) 21- 3 502 H University School Na ( 7- 7, 89.7) 11-10 510 H Christ Presbyterian (13- 3, 93.8) 5-11

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   224 A Page                   14-13       1     4    -     -2.58
   228 A Christ Presbyterian     4- 9      -5    -3          -1.62
   305 H Pope John Paul II       7-11      -4    -1    -     -3.03
   314 A Boyd Buchanan          12- 5       7     1    +      3.62
   318 H Ravenwood              13-10       3     0    +      3.44
   321 A Independence           20- 2      18     4           1.32
   328 H St Georges             20- 5      15     5           0.47
   404 H Evangelical Christia   10- 8       2    -1    +      3.39
   408 H Father Ryan             5-18     -13    -3          -1.71
   410 H Brentwood              13- 7       6     1    ++     4.25
   412 H University School Na    7- 8      -1     3    -     -3.53
   415 A Nolensville             7-15      -8    -6           0.00
   417 H Franklin                8-15      -7    -3          -1.56
   425 A Christian Academy-Kn   16- 8       8     5           0.25
   426 A Webb School Knoxvill    7-14      -7    -6           0.00
   429 A Hillsboro              21- 3      18     3    +      2.24
   502 H University School Na   11-10       1     3          -1.53
   510 H Christ Presbyterian     5-11      -6    -2    -     -3.33

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   224 A Page                   14-13       1     4    -     -2.58
   305 H Pope John Paul II       7-11      -4    -1    -     -3.03
   412 H University School Na    7- 8      -1     3    -     -3.53
   510 H Christ Presbyterian     5-11      -6    -2    -     -3.33

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 H Brentwood              13- 7       6     1    ++     4.25
   314 A Boyd Buchanan          12- 5       7     1    +      3.62
   318 H Ravenwood              13-10       3     0    +      3.44
   404 H Evangelical Christia   10- 8       2    -1    +      3.39
   429 A Hillsboro              21- 3      18     3    +      2.24

Ensworth School Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Arlington Ensworth School Ensworth School   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Bartlett Ensworth School Ensworth School   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Baylor School Baylor School Baylor School   6- 0 vs 3- 3
Boyd Buchanan Ensworth School Ensworth School  
Brentwood Ensworth School Ensworth School  
Briarcrest Christian Briarcrest Christian insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) Briarcrest Christian
Centennial Ensworth School Ensworth School   4- 4 vs 0- 7
Christ Presbyterian Christ Presbyterian Christ Presbyterian  
Christian Academy-Kn Ensworth School Ensworth School  
Christian Brothers Christian Brothers tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Christian Brothers
Collierville Ensworth School Ensworth School   5- 1 vs 2- 4
Cookeville Ensworth School insuffient: ( 1- 5)( 0- 6) Ensworth School
Dobyns Bennett Ensworth School insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ensworth School
Evangelical Christia Ensworth School Ensworth School  
Farragut Farragut tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Farragut
Father Ryan Father Ryan Father Ryan  
Franklin Franklin Franklin  
Gibbs Ensworth School insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ensworth School
Green Hill Ensworth School Ensworth School   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Hardin Valley Academ Ensworth School tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Ensworth School
Hendersonville Hendersonville tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hendersonville
Hillsboro Ensworth School Ensworth School  
Houston Ensworth School Ensworth School   5- 0 vs 2- 3
Independence Ensworth School Ensworth School  
Knoxville Catholic Ensworth School insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Ensworth School
Lakeland Prep Ensworth School Ensworth School   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Lausanne Collegiate Ensworth School insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ensworth School
Maryville Ensworth School insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ensworth School
McCallie School McCallie School McCallie School   5- 0 vs 1- 4
Memphis University S Memphis University S insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Memphis University S
Montgomery Bell Acad Montgomery Bell Acad Montgomery Bell Acad   6- 0 vs 2- 4
Nolensville Nolensville Nolensville  
Oakland Ensworth School insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) Ensworth School
Page Ensworth School Ensworth School  
Pigeon Forge Ensworth School   Ensworth School
Pope John Paul II Pope John Paul II Pope John Paul II  
Ravenwood Ensworth School Ensworth School  
Roane County Ensworth School   Ensworth School
Science Hill Ensworth School insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ensworth School
Sevier County Ensworth School   Ensworth School
Siegel Ensworth School   Ensworth School
Signal Mountain Ensworth School Ensworth School   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Soddy Daisy Ensworth School insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ensworth School
St Benedict Auburnd Ensworth School   Ensworth School
St Georges Ensworth School Ensworth School  
Summit Ensworth School Ensworth School   4- 4 vs 1- 7
University School Na Ensworth School Ensworth School   5- 4 vs 3- 6
Walker Valley Ensworth School insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ensworth School
Webb School Knoxvill Webb School Knoxvill Webb School Knoxvill  
West Knoxville Ensworth School insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Ensworth School
Wilson Central Ensworth School Ensworth School   3- 1 vs 0- 3

PowerWise = 37


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.73

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Page            ( 6- 9, 86.9)    14-13      -13.01      17.75       0.85         0.65            12.12
   0 A Christ Presbyt  (13- 3, 93.8)     4- 9       -6.05      24.70       0.85         0.65            -3.39
   0 H Pope John Paul  ( 9- 7, 93.2)     7-11       -6.75      24.01      -0.85         0.65            -4.96
   0 A Boyd Buchanan   ( 7- 6, 89.1)    12- 5      -10.81      19.95       0.85         0.65            13.56
   0 H Ravenwood       ( 7- 8, 92.6)    13-10       -7.28      23.47      -0.85         0.65            14.74
   0 A Independence    ( 2- 9, 86.8)    20- 2      -13.11      17.65       0.85         0.65            12.06
   0 H St Georges      ( 5- 5, 87.6)    20- 5      -12.25      18.50      -0.85         0.65            11.50
   0 H Evangelical Ch  ( 9- 5, 93.6)    10- 8       -6.33      24.43      -0.85         0.65            15.36
   0 H Father Ryan     ( 7- 5, 95.5)     5-18       -4.43      26.32      -0.85         0.65            -3.45
   0 H Brentwood       ( 6- 8, 91.4)    13- 7       -8.47      22.28      -0.85         0.65            13.96
   0 H University Sch  ( 7- 7, 89.7)     7- 8      -10.25      20.51      -0.85         0.65            -7.24
   0 A Nolensville     (14- 4, 96.2)     7-15       -3.67      27.08       0.85         0.65            -1.84
   0 H Franklin        (13- 4, 95.6)     8-15       -4.29      26.47      -0.85         0.65            -3.35
   0 A Christian Acad  ( 6-10, 85.7)    16- 8      -14.18      16.57       0.85         0.65            11.36
   0 A Webb School Kn  (15- 2, 96.0)     7-14       -3.87      26.89       0.85         0.65            -1.96
   0 A Hillsboro       ( 6- 7, 87.7)    21- 3      -12.19      18.56       0.85         0.65            12.65
   0 H University Sch  ( 7- 7, 89.7)    11-10      -10.25      20.51      -0.85         0.65            12.81
   0 H Christ Presbyt  (13- 3, 93.8)     5-11       -6.05      24.70      -0.85         0.65            -4.50
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        99.45

winning pts = 130.1230 losing points = -30.6753

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------