Ellington
W-L: ( 6-10) PR = 78.1658Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 408 H South Windsor ( 8- 9, 79.8) 3-11 410 A Suffield ( 9- 9, 81.9) 5-16 412 A Rocky Hill ( 7-11, 71.1) 11- 3 415 A Rockville Co-op ( 3-13, 70.1) 7- 1 417 H Berlin ( 6-10, 75.2) 8- 2 422 H Somers (20- 2, 86.8) 3-15 424 A Canton (12- 5, 81.6) 1-13 426 A Valley Regional (10- 9, 79.3) 6- 8 429 A Granby Memorial (13- 6, 82.8) 3-18 501 H Suffield ( 9- 9, 81.9) 4- 5 506 H Rockville Co-op ( 3-13, 70.1) 10- 4 508 A Somers (20- 2, 86.8) 2-12 510 A Lakeview United ( 6- 9, 73.8) 6- 1 513 H Canton (12- 5, 81.6) 6- 7 515 H Granby Memorial (13- 6, 82.8) 3-15 517 A Tolland ( 3-13, 71.9) 16- 3
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
408 H South Windsor 3-11 -8 -1 - -3.87
410 A Suffield 5-16 -11 -4 -0.83
412 A Rocky Hill 11- 3 8 7 0.00
415 A Rockville Co-op 7- 1 6 8 0.00
417 H Berlin 8- 2 6 3 1.52
422 H Somers 3-15 -12 -8 0.00
424 A Canton 1-13 -12 -4 -1.05
426 A Valley Regional 6- 8 -2 -2 -0.34
429 A Granby Memorial 3-18 -15 -5 0.00
501 H Suffield 4- 5 -1 -3 + 2.22
506 H Rockville Co-op 10- 4 6 9 0.00
508 A Somers 2-12 -10 -9 0.00
510 A Lakeview United 6- 1 5 4 1.10
513 H Canton 6- 7 -1 -3 + 2.01
515 H Granby Memorial 3-15 -12 -4 -0.79
517 A Tolland 16- 3 13 6 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 H South Windsor 3-11 -8 -1 - -3.87 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 501 H Suffield 4- 5 -1 -3 + 2.22 513 H Canton 6- 7 -1 -3 + 2.01 |
Ellington Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amity Regional | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Avon HS | Avon HS | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Avon HS | |
| Bacon Academy | Bacon Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Bacon Academy | |
| Berlin | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| Bethel | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Branford | Branford | Branford | ||
| Brien McMahon | Brien McMahon | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Brien McMahon | |
| Bristol Co-Op | Bristol Co-Op | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Bristol Co-Op | |
| Brookfield | Brookfield | Brookfield | ||
| Bunnell-Stratford | Ellington | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Ellington | |
| Canton | Canton | Canton | ||
| Capital-Classical Pr | Ellington | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Ellington | |
| Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cheshire HS | |
| Conard | Conard | Conard 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Cromwell | Ellington | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Ellington | |
| Danbury | Ellington | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Ellington | |
| Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | ||
| Darien | Darien | Darien | ||
| East Catholic | East Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | East Catholic | |
| East Lyme | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Enfield | Enfield | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) | Enfield | |
| EO Smith | Ellington | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) | Ellington | |
| Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | ||
| Fairfield Prep | Fairfield Prep | Fairfield Prep | ||
| Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Farmington | Farmington | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Farmington | |
| Fitch Groton | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| Foran | Foran | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Foran | |
| Glastonbury | Glastonbury | Glastonbury | ||
| Granby Memorial | Granby Memorial | Granby Memorial | ||
| Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | ||
| Guilford | Guilford | Guilford | ||
| Haddam-Killingworth | Haddam-Killingworth | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Haddam-Killingworth | |
| Hall | Hall | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Hall | |
| Hamden | Hamden | Hamden | ||
| Holy Cross | Ellington | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Ellington | |
| Immaculate Danbury | Ellington | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Ellington | |
| Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | ||
| Jonathan Law | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| Lakeview United | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| Ledyard-Griswold | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Lewis Mills | |
| Lyman Hall | Ellington | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ellington | |
| Maloney-Platt | Ellington | Ellington 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Masuk | Masuk | Masuk | ||
| Middletown | Ellington | Ellington 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Montville | Ellington | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ellington | |
| Morgan School | Ellington | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Ellington | |
| New Canaan | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| New Fairfield | New Fairfield | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) | New Fairfield | |
| New Milford | New Milford | New Milford | ||
| Newington | Newington | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Newington | |
| Newtown | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| North Branford | North Branford | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | North Branford | |
| North Haven | Ellington | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Ellington | |
| Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Norwalk | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| Norwich Free Academy | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| Norwich Tech | Ellington | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Ellington | |
| Notre Dame-Fairfield | Ellington | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ellington | |
| Notre Dame-West Have | Notre Dame-West Have | Notre Dame-West Have | ||
| Old Lyme | Ellington | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ellington | |
| Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Pomperaug | Pomperaug | Pomperaug | ||
| Prince-Cheney Tech | Ellington | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Ellington | |
| RHAM | RHAM | RHAM 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Ridgefield | Ridgefield | Ridgefield | ||
| Rockville Co-op | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| Rocky Hill | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| Sheehan | Sheehan | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Sheehan | |
| Shelton | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| Simsbury | Simsbury | Simsbury | ||
| Somers | Somers | Somers | ||
| South Windsor | South Windsor | South Windsor | ||
| Southington | Southington | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Southington | |
| St Bernard-Wheeler | St Bernard-Wheeler | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | St Bernard-Wheeler | |
| St Joseph Trumbull | St Joseph Trumbull | St Joseph Trumbull | ||
| St Paul Catholic | Ellington | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Ellington | |
| Stamford | Stamford | Stamford | ||
| Staples | Staples | Staples | ||
| Stonington | Ellington | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ellington | |
| Suffield | Suffield | Suffield | ||
| Tolland | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| Trumbull | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Valley Regional | Valley Regional | Valley Regional | ||
| Vinal/Goodwin Tech | Ellington | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Ellington | |
| Waterford | Waterford | Waterford | ||
| Watertown | Ellington | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Ellington | |
| West Haven | Ellington | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Ellington | |
| Westhill | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| Weston | Weston | Weston | ||
| Wethersfield | Wethersfield | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 1) | Wethersfield | |
| Wilbur Cross | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| Wilton | Wilton | Wilton | ||
| Windsor | Ellington | Ellington 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Wolcott | Ellington | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Ellington | |
| Woodstock Academy | Ellington | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Ellington | |
| Xavier | Xavier | Xavier |
PowerWise = 38
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H South Windsor ( 8- 9, 79.8) 3-11 -20.13 20.13 -0.47 1.06 -21.90
0 A Suffield ( 9- 9, 81.9) 5-16 -18.04 22.22 0.47 1.06 -18.67
0 A Rocky Hill ( 7-11, 71.1) 11- 3 -28.82 11.43 0.47 1.06 12.66
0 A Rockville Co-o ( 3-13, 70.1) 7- 1 -29.82 10.44 0.47 1.06 11.60
0 H Berlin ( 6-10, 75.2) 8- 2 -24.74 15.51 -0.47 1.06 15.99
0 H Somers (20- 2, 86.8) 3-15 -13.11 27.14 -0.47 1.06 -14.44
0 A Canton (12- 5, 81.6) 1-13 -18.25 22.00 0.47 1.06 -18.90
0 A Valley Regiona (10- 9, 79.3) 6- 8 -20.55 19.70 0.47 1.06 -21.35
0 A Granby Memoria (13- 6, 82.8) 3-18 -17.06 23.20 0.47 1.06 -17.63
0 H Suffield ( 9- 9, 81.9) 4- 5 -18.04 22.22 -0.47 1.06 -19.68
0 H Rockville Co-o ( 3-13, 70.1) 10- 4 -29.82 10.44 -0.47 1.06 10.59
0 A Somers (20- 2, 86.8) 2-12 -13.11 27.14 0.47 1.06 -13.44
0 A Lakeview Unite ( 6- 9, 73.8) 6- 1 -26.10 14.15 0.47 1.06 15.55
0 H Canton (12- 5, 81.6) 6- 7 -18.25 22.00 -0.47 1.06 -19.91
0 H Granby Memoria (13- 6, 82.8) 3-15 -17.06 23.20 -0.47 1.06 -18.64
0 A Tolland ( 3-13, 71.9) 16- 3 -28.05 12.21 0.47 1.06 13.48
------
-104.69
|
winning pts = 79.8699 losing points = -184.5581
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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