Elk River/Zimmerman
W-L: ( 6- 9) PR = 88.0346Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 410 A Minnetonka (14- 5, 97.3) 5-20 414 A Rogers (10- 4, 92.7) 5-15 416 H Totino Grace ( 1-13, 81.8) 13- 3 423 H Osseo/Park Center ( 0-13, 82.3) 17- 8 424 A Becker ( 4-11, 84.4) 11- 6 430 H Andover (12- 3, 92.5) 7-13 502 A Moorhead (15- 4, 94.8) 2-12 505 H Robbinsdale Armstron ( 4-10, 86.9) 19- 4 506 H Big Lake/Princeton ( 6- 7, 84.5) 9- 4 512 A St Michael-Albertvil ( 7- 9, 90.8) 5-15 514 H Champlin Park ( 9- 6, 91.2) 9-13 520 A Maple Grove ( 5-10, 89.9) 6-12 522 A Spring Lake Park/Coo ( 8- 7, 90.1) 7-11 529 A Sartell/Sauk Rapids ( 8- 6, 87.4) 10- 8 603 A Moorhead (15- 4, 94.8) 3-13
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
410 A Minnetonka 5-20 -15 -10 0.00
414 A Rogers 5-15 -10 -5 0.00
416 H Totino Grace 13- 3 10 7 0.00
423 H Osseo/Park Center 17- 8 9 7 0.00
424 A Becker 11- 6 5 3 + 2.07
430 H Andover 7-13 -6 -4 -1.24
502 A Moorhead 2-12 -10 -8 0.00
505 H Robbinsdale Armstron 19- 4 15 2 + 3.10
506 H Big Lake/Princeton 9- 4 5 4 0.71
512 A St Michael-Albertvil 5-15 -10 -4 -1.48
514 H Champlin Park 9-13 -4 -2 -1.61
520 A Maple Grove 6-12 -6 -3 - -2.39
522 A Spring Lake Park/Coo 7-11 -4 -3 -1.23
529 A Sartell/Sauk Rapids 10- 8 2 0 + 2.06
603 A Moorhead 3-13 -10 -8 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 520 A Maple Grove 6-12 -6 -3 - -2.39 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 424 A Becker 11- 6 5 3 + 2.07 505 H Robbinsdale Armstron 19- 4 15 2 + 3.10 529 A Sartell/Sauk Rapids 10- 8 2 0 + 2.06 |
Elk River/Zimmerman Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andover | Andover | Andover | ||
| Anoka | Anoka | Anoka 6- 0 vs 3- 3 | ||
| Becker | Elk River/Zimmerman | Elk River/Zimmerman | ||
| Benilde-St Margarets | Benilde-St Margarets | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Benilde-St Margarets | |
| Big Lake/Princeton | Elk River/Zimmerman | Elk River/Zimmerman | ||
| Blaine | Blaine | Blaine 3- 3 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Blake School | Elk River/Zimmerman | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Elk River/Zimmerman | |
| Bloomington Jefferso | Bloomington Jefferso | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bloomington Jefferso | |
| Bloomington Kennedy/ | Elk River/Zimmerman | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Elk River/Zimmerman | |
| Brainerd | Elk River/Zimmerman | Elk River/Zimmerman 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Breck School | Elk River/Zimmerman | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Elk River/Zimmerman | |
| Buffalo | Buffalo | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Buffalo | |
| Centennial | Centennial | Centennial 5- 1 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Champlin Park | Champlin Park | Champlin Park | ||
| Chanhassen | Chanhassen | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Chanhassen | |
| Chaska | Chaska | Chaska | ||
| Chisago Lakes | Chisago Lakes | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) | Chisago Lakes | |
| Cloquet/Esko/Carlton | Elk River/Zimmerman | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Elk River/Zimmerman | |
| Cretin-Derham Hall | Cretin-Derham Hall | Cretin-Derham Hall | ||
| Delano/Rockford | Delano/Rockford | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Delano/Rockford | |
| Duluth East/Denfield | Duluth East/Denfield | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Duluth East/Denfield | |
| Duluth Marshall | Elk River/Zimmerman | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Elk River/Zimmerman | |
| Eagan | Elk River/Zimmerman | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Elk River/Zimmerman | |
| East Ridge | East Ridge | East Ridge | ||
| Eastview/Apple Valle | Eastview/Apple Valle | Eastview/Apple Valle | ||
| Eden Prairie | Eden Prairie | Eden Prairie 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Edina | Edina | Edina 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Farmington | Farmington | Farmington | ||
| Forest Lake | Elk River/Zimmerman | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Elk River/Zimmerman | |
| Grand Rapids/Greenwa | Elk River/Zimmerman | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Elk River/Zimmerman | |
| Hastings | Hastings | Hastings | ||
| Hermantown/Proctor | Elk River/Zimmerman | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Elk River/Zimmerman | |
| Hill-Murray | Hill-Murray | Hill-Murray 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Holy Angels | Elk River/Zimmerman | Elk River/Zimmerman | ||
| Holy Family Catholic | Elk River/Zimmerman | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Elk River/Zimmerman | |
| Hopkins/St Louis Par | Elk River/Zimmerman | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Elk River/Zimmerman | |
| Hutchinson | Elk River/Zimmerman | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Elk River/Zimmerman | |
| Irondale | Irondale | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Irondale | |
| Lakeville North | Lakeville North | Lakeville North 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Lakeville South | Lakeville South | Lakeville South | ||
| Mahtomedi | Mahtomedi | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Mahtomedi | |
| Mankato United | Elk River/Zimmerman | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Elk River/Zimmerman | |
| Maple Grove | Maple Grove | Maple Grove | ||
| Minneapolis United | Elk River/Zimmerman | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Elk River/Zimmerman | |
| Minnetonka | Minnetonka | Minnetonka | ||
| Monticello | Monticello | insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 4- 2) | Monticello | |
| Moorhead | Moorhead | Moorhead | ||
| Mound Westonka | Elk River/Zimmerman | Elk River/Zimmerman | ||
| Mounds View | Mounds View | Mounds View 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| New Prague | New Prague | New Prague | ||
| Northfield | Northfield | Northfield | ||
| Orono | Orono | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Orono | |
| Osseo/Park Center | Elk River/Zimmerman | Elk River/Zimmerman | ||
| Owatonna | Owatonna | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Owatonna | |
| Park Cottage Grove | Park Cottage Grove | Park Cottage Grove | ||
| Prior Lake | Prior Lake | Prior Lake | ||
| Providence Academy | Elk River/Zimmerman | Elk River/Zimmerman 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Robbinsdale Armstron | Elk River/Zimmerman | Elk River/Zimmerman | ||
| Rochester United | Elk River/Zimmerman | Elk River/Zimmerman | ||
| Rocori | Elk River/Zimmerman | Elk River/Zimmerman 3- 2 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Rogers | Rogers | Rogers | ||
| Rosemount | Rosemount | Rosemount | ||
| Roseville | Roseville | Roseville | ||
| Sartell/Sauk Rapids | Elk River/Zimmerman | Elk River/Zimmerman | ||
| Shakopee | Shakopee | Shakopee | ||
| Simley | Elk River/Zimmerman | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Elk River/Zimmerman | |
| Southwest Christian | Elk River/Zimmerman | Elk River/Zimmerman | ||
| Spring Lake Park/Coo | Spring Lake Park/Coo | Spring Lake Park/Coo | ||
| St Cloud Unified | Elk River/Zimmerman | Elk River/Zimmerman 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| St Michael-Albertvil | St Michael-Albertvil | St Michael-Albertvil | ||
| St Paul/Two Rivers | St Paul/Two Rivers | St Paul/Two Rivers | ||
| St Thomas Academy | St Thomas Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St Thomas Academy | |
| Stillwater | Stillwater | Stillwater 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Totino Grace | Elk River/Zimmerman | Elk River/Zimmerman | ||
| TriMAC Academy | Elk River/Zimmerman | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Elk River/Zimmerman | |
| Waconia | Elk River/Zimmerman | Elk River/Zimmerman | ||
| Wayzata | Wayzata | Wayzata 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| White Bear Lake | White Bear Lake | White Bear Lake | ||
| Woodbury | Woodbury | Woodbury |
PowerWise = 31
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.62
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Minnetonka (14- 5, 97.3) 5-20 -2.57 22.50 0.74 0.98 -1.78
0 A Rogers (10- 4, 92.7) 5-15 -7.22 17.85 0.74 0.98 -6.32
0 H Totino Grace ( 1-13, 81.8) 13- 3 -18.12 6.95 -0.74 0.98 6.05
0 H Osseo/Park Cen ( 0-13, 82.3) 17- 8 -17.63 7.44 -0.74 0.98 6.53
0 A Becker ( 4-11, 84.4) 11- 6 -15.54 9.53 0.74 0.98 10.01
0 H Andover (12- 3, 92.5) 7-13 -7.36 17.71 -0.74 0.98 -7.90
0 A Moorhead (15- 4, 94.8) 2-12 -5.09 19.98 0.74 0.98 -4.24
0 H Robbinsdale Ar ( 4-10, 86.9) 19- 4 -13.03 12.04 -0.74 0.98 11.02
0 H Big Lake/Princ ( 6- 7, 84.5) 9- 4 -15.41 9.66 -0.74 0.98 8.69
0 A St Michael-Alb ( 7- 9, 90.8) 5-15 -9.09 15.98 0.74 0.98 -8.14
0 H Champlin Park ( 9- 6, 91.2) 9-13 -8.74 16.33 -0.74 0.98 -9.24
0 A Maple Grove ( 5-10, 89.9) 6-12 -9.99 15.07 0.74 0.98 -9.02
0 A Spring Lake Pa ( 8- 7, 90.1) 7-11 -9.83 15.24 0.74 0.98 -8.86
0 A Sartell/Sauk R ( 8- 6, 87.4) 10- 8 -12.54 12.52 0.74 0.98 12.93
0 A Moorhead (15- 4, 94.8) 3-13 -5.09 19.98 0.74 0.98 -4.24
------
-4.51
|
winning pts = 55.2381 losing points = -59.7460
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------