---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:10 PDT

safe3step boys Evangelical Christia 1
  
Evangelical Christia  
W-L: ( 9- 5) PR = 93.5722

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 225 A Collierville ( 5- 7, 89.2) 4- 3 304 H Christian Brothers ( 5-10, 92.3) 9- 5 318 A Memphis University S ( 8- 3, 98.1) 4- 8 325 H Arlington ( 4- 6, 85.3) 10- 3 328 H Webb School Knoxvill (15- 2, 96.0) 6- 8 404 A Ensworth School (10- 8, 91.3) 8-10 405 A Page ( 6- 9, 86.9) 13- 4 408 A Bartlett ( 2- 7, 80.0) 16- 2 411 H Lakeland Prep ( 1- 8, 81.5) 18- 2 415 H St Georges ( 5- 5, 87.6) 18- 7 417 H Houston ( 6- 6, 91.1) 8- 6 422 A Briarcrest Christian ( 7- 5, 95.9) 11-12 503 H Boyd Buchanan ( 7- 6, 89.1) 16- 7 510 A Webb School Knoxvill (15- 2, 96.0) 8- 9

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 A Collierville            4- 3       1     4    -     -2.53
   304 H Christian Brothers      9- 5       4     2           1.88
   318 A Memphis University S    4- 8      -4    -5           1.00
   325 H Arlington              10- 3       7     9           0.00
   328 H Webb School Knoxvill    6- 8      -2    -2          -0.40
   404 A Ensworth School         8-10      -2     1    -     -3.39
   405 A Page                   13- 4       9     6           0.00
   408 A Bartlett               16- 2      14    13           0.00
   411 H Lakeland Prep          18- 2      16    13           0.00
   415 H St Georges             18- 7      11     7           0.00
   417 H Houston                 8- 6       2     3          -1.30
   422 A Briarcrest Christian   11-12      -1    -3    +      2.20
   503 H Boyd Buchanan          16- 7       9     5           0.00
   510 A Webb School Knoxvill    8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.31

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 A Collierville            4- 3       1     4    -     -2.53
   404 A Ensworth School         8-10      -2     1    -     -3.39

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 A Briarcrest Christian   11-12      -1    -3    +      2.20
   510 A Webb School Knoxvill    8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.31

Evangelical Christia Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Arlington Evangelical Christia Evangelical Christia  
Bartlett Evangelical Christia Evangelical Christia  
Baylor School Baylor School insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) Baylor School
Boyd Buchanan Evangelical Christia Evangelical Christia  
Brentwood Evangelical Christia tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Evangelical Christia
Briarcrest Christian Briarcrest Christian Briarcrest Christian  
Centennial Evangelical Christia Evangelical Christia   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Christ Presbyterian Christ Presbyterian insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 1) Christ Presbyterian
Christian Academy-Kn Evangelical Christia insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Evangelical Christia
Christian Brothers Evangelical Christia Evangelical Christia  
Collierville Evangelical Christia Evangelical Christia  
Cookeville Evangelical Christia tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Evangelical Christia
Dobyns Bennett Evangelical Christia   Evangelical Christia
Ensworth School Ensworth School Ensworth School  
Farragut Evangelical Christia tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Evangelical Christia
Father Ryan Father Ryan insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Father Ryan
Franklin Franklin insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Franklin
Gibbs Evangelical Christia   Evangelical Christia
Green Hill Evangelical Christia insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Evangelical Christia
Hardin Valley Academ Evangelical Christia tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Evangelical Christia
Hendersonville Evangelical Christia   Evangelical Christia
Hillsboro Evangelical Christia tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Evangelical Christia
Houston Evangelical Christia Evangelical Christia  
Independence Evangelical Christia insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Evangelical Christia
Knoxville Catholic Evangelical Christia tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Evangelical Christia
Lakeland Prep Evangelical Christia Evangelical Christia  
Lausanne Collegiate Evangelical Christia insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Evangelical Christia
Maryville Evangelical Christia insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Evangelical Christia
McCallie School McCallie School insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) McCallie School
Memphis University S Memphis University S Memphis University S  
Montgomery Bell Acad Montgomery Bell Acad Montgomery Bell Acad   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Nolensville Nolensville insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Nolensville
Oakland Evangelical Christia insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Evangelical Christia
Page Evangelical Christia Evangelical Christia  
Pigeon Forge Evangelical Christia   Evangelical Christia
Pope John Paul II Evangelical Christia insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) Evangelical Christia
Ravenwood Evangelical Christia tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Evangelical Christia
Roane County Evangelical Christia insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Evangelical Christia
Science Hill Evangelical Christia insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Evangelical Christia
Sevier County Evangelical Christia   Evangelical Christia
Siegel Evangelical Christia   Evangelical Christia
Signal Mountain Evangelical Christia insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Evangelical Christia
Soddy Daisy Evangelical Christia insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Evangelical Christia
St Benedict Auburnd Evangelical Christia   Evangelical Christia
St Georges Evangelical Christia Evangelical Christia  
Summit Evangelical Christia tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Evangelical Christia
University School Na Evangelical Christia tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Evangelical Christia
Walker Valley Evangelical Christia insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Evangelical Christia
Webb School Knoxvill Webb School Knoxvill Webb School Knoxvill  
West Knoxville Evangelical Christia insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Evangelical Christia
Wilson Central Evangelical Christia insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Evangelical Christia

PowerWise = 40


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.73

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Collierville    ( 5- 7, 89.2)     4- 3      -10.71      20.04       0.85         0.84            17.51
   0 H Christian Brot  ( 5-10, 92.3)     9- 5       -7.60      23.16      -0.85         0.84            18.69
   0 A Memphis Univer  ( 8- 3, 98.1)     4- 8       -1.84      28.91       0.85         0.84            -0.83
   0 H Arlington       ( 4- 6, 85.3)    10- 3      -14.60      16.16      -0.85         0.84            12.82
   0 H Webb School Kn  (15- 2, 96.0)     6- 8       -3.87      26.89      -0.85         0.84            -3.96
   0 A Ensworth Schoo  (10- 8, 91.3)     8-10       -8.58      22.18       0.85         0.84            -6.47
   0 A Page            ( 6- 9, 86.9)    13- 4      -13.01      17.75       0.85         0.84            15.59
   0 A Bartlett        ( 2- 7, 80.0)    16- 2      -19.91      10.84       0.85         0.84             9.80
   0 H Lakeland Prep   ( 1- 8, 81.5)    18- 2      -18.40      12.35      -0.85         0.84             9.64
   0 H St Georges      ( 5- 5, 87.6)    18- 7      -12.25      18.50      -0.85         0.84            14.79
   0 H Houston         ( 6- 6, 91.1)     8- 6       -8.78      21.98      -0.85         0.84            17.70
   0 A Briarcrest Chr  ( 7- 5, 95.9)    11-12       -3.98      26.77       0.85         0.84            -2.62
   0 H Boyd Buchanan   ( 7- 6, 89.1)    16- 7      -10.81      19.95      -0.85         0.84            16.00
   0 A Webb School Kn  (15- 2, 96.0)     8- 9       -3.87      26.89       0.85         0.84            -2.53
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       116.13

winning pts = 132.5293 losing points = -16.4027

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------