All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 76.3199997 home-field advantage = -0.38 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 225 A Seaforth (18- 4, 76.4) 13- 6 227 H RJ Reynolds (19- 3, 82.0) 3- 9 228 H First Flight (17- 4, 79.8) 3-10 303 H Green Hope (10-11, 82.0) 6-14 307 H Wakefield ( 7-10, 67.4) 7- 1 312 A Northwood ( 8-13, 67.9) 5- 2 314 A Grimsley ( 9-12, 67.9) 14- 2 318 A Northern Guilford ( 9- 8, 77.2) 9- 7 319 A Durham Academy (16- 3, 85.0) 6-16 321 H Chapel Hill (12- 8, 77.6) 9- 7 325 H Athens Drive (13- 8, 80.1) 9-15 408 A Heritage (19- 3, 82.1) 6-20 410 A Panther Creek ( 2-18, 62.2) 14- 0 422 A Jordan (12- 9, 74.7) 14-10 425 H Carrboro ( 7- 9, 72.5) 8- 4 429 H Riverside Durham ( 9- 8, 65.9) 13- 1 502 A Chapel Hill (12- 8, 77.6) 10-11 506 H Northern Durham ( 2-13, 52.4) 13- 0 507 A Hillsborough Orange (21- 5, 76.3) 11-10 513 H Clayton (13- 6, 73.3) 14- 7 516 A Heritage (19- 3, 82.1) 4-10
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 225 A Seaforth 13- 6 7 0 +++ 7.43 227 H RJ Reynolds 3- 9 -6 -5 -0.73 228 H First Flight 3-10 -7 -3 - -3.93 303 H Green Hope 6-14 -8 -5 -1.74 307 H Wakefield 7- 1 6 9 -1.00 312 A Northwood 5- 2 3 7 -- -4.00 314 A Grimsley 14- 2 12 8 0.00 318 A Northern Guilford 9- 7 2 -1 + 3.21 319 A Durham Academy 6-16 -10 -9 0.00 321 H Chapel Hill 9- 7 2 0 + 2.93 325 H Athens Drive 9-15 -6 -3 - -2.59 408 A Heritage 6-20 -14 -6 -0.81 410 A Panther Creek 14- 0 14 13 0.00 422 A Jordan 14-10 4 1 + 2.78 425 H Carrboro 8- 4 4 4 -0.22 429 H Riverside Durham 13- 1 12 10 0.00 502 A Chapel Hill 10-11 -1 -1 0.69 506 H Northern Durham 13- 0 13 24 0.00 507 A Hillsborough Orange 11-10 1 0 1.32 513 H Clayton 14- 7 7 3 + 3.56 516 A Heritage 4-10 -6 -6 0.19UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 76.32 Power Rank................. 46 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 48.71 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 44 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7192 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 8 RPI Rating............... .5942 RPI Rank................... 26 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 50 Selection sum ........... 78 Selection Rank ............ 18 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -125. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 64 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -65. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 44 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 9.1 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 7.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -10.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -10.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.7