East Chapel Hill
W-L: (13- 8) PR = 88.7993Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 225 A Seaforth (18- 3, 88.0) 13- 6 227 H RJ Reynolds (19- 3, 92.5) 3- 9 228 H First Flight (14- 3, 90.4) 3-10 303 H Green Hope (10-11, 91.9) 6-14 307 H Wakefield ( 7-10, 82.1) 7- 1 312 A Northwood ( 8-13, 81.8) 5- 2 314 A Grimsley ( 9-12, 82.8) 14- 2 318 A Northern Guilford ( 9- 8, 88.8) 9- 7 319 A Durham Academy (16- 2, 94.9) 6-16 321 H Chapel Hill (12- 8, 89.5) 9- 7 325 H Athens Drive (13- 8, 91.1) 9-15 408 A Heritage (19- 2, 92.6) 6-20 410 A Panther Creek ( 2-18, 79.4) 14- 0 422 A Jordan (12- 9, 87.3) 14-10 425 H Carrboro ( 7- 9, 85.6) 8- 4 429 H Riverside Durham ( 9- 8, 80.1) 13- 1 502 A Chapel Hill (12- 8, 89.5) 10-11 506 H Northern Durham ( 2-13, 71.9) 13- 0 507 A Hillsborough Orange (21- 5, 88.0) 11-10 513 H Clayton (13- 6, 86.9) 14- 7 516 A Heritage (19- 2, 92.6) 4-10
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
225 A Seaforth 13- 6 7 1 ++ 4.49
227 H RJ Reynolds 3- 9 -6 -3 -1.53
228 H First Flight 3-10 -7 -1 - -3.67
303 H Green Hope 6-14 -8 -3 - -2.13
307 H Wakefield 7- 1 6 7 0.00
312 A Northwood 5- 2 3 7 - -2.00
314 A Grimsley 14- 2 12 6 0.00
318 A Northern Guilford 9- 7 2 0 + 2.28
319 A Durham Academy 6-16 -10 -6 0.00
321 H Chapel Hill 9- 7 2 0 + 2.45
325 H Athens Drive 9-15 -6 -2 - -2.93
408 A Heritage 6-20 -14 -4 -0.92
410 A Panther Creek 14- 0 14 9 0.00
422 A Jordan 14-10 4 1 + 2.78
425 H Carrboro 8- 4 4 3 0.56
429 H Riverside Durham 13- 1 12 9 0.00
502 A Chapel Hill 10-11 -1 -1 -0.01
506 H Northern Durham 13- 0 13 17 0.00
507 A Hillsborough Orange 11-10 1 1 0.48
513 H Clayton 14- 7 7 2 + 2.85
516 A Heritage 4-10 -6 -4 -0.92
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 H First Flight 3-10 -7 -1 - -3.67 303 H Green Hope 6-14 -8 -3 - -2.13 312 A Northwood 5- 2 3 7 - -2.00 325 H Athens Drive 9-15 -6 -2 - -2.93 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 225 A Seaforth 13- 6 7 1 ++ 4.49 318 A Northern Guilford 9- 7 2 0 + 2.28 321 H Chapel Hill 9- 7 2 0 + 2.45 422 A Jordan 14-10 4 1 + 2.78 513 H Clayton 14- 7 7 2 + 2.85 |
East Chapel Hill Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apex | Apex | Apex 4- 0 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Apex Friendship | Apex Friendship | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 0) | Apex Friendship | |
| Ardrey Kell | Ardrey Kell | Ardrey Kell | ||
| Arendell Parrott Aca | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Asheville HS | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Asheville School | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Ashley | Ashley | Ashley | ||
| Athens Drive | Athens Drive | Athens Drive | ||
| Atkins | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Ballantyne Ridge | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Bishop McGuinness | East Chapel Hill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Bradford Prep | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Broughton | Broughton | Broughton 5- 0 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Butler | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Cannon School | Cannon School | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Cannon School | |
| Cape Fear Academy | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Cape Fear HS | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Carrboro | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Cary Academy | East Chapel Hill | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Cary Christian | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Cary HS | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Cedar Ridge | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 6- 1)( 5- 2) | Chapel Hill | |
| Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic | ||
| Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Charlotte CDS | |
| Charlotte Christian | Charlotte Christian | Charlotte Christian | ||
| Charlotte Latin | Charlotte Latin | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Charlotte Latin | |
| Christ School | Christ School | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Christ School | |
| Christ The King | Christ The King | Christ The King | ||
| Clayton | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Cleveland | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Community School-Dav | Community School-Dav | Community School-Dav | ||
| Corinth Holders | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Cornerstone Charter | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Croatan | Croatan | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 1) | Croatan | |
| Cuthbertson | East Chapel Hill | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Davie | Davie | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Davie | |
| DH Conley | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Durham Academy | Durham Academy | Durham Academy | ||
| East Forsyth | East Chapel Hill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Eastern Alamance | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Eastern Guilford | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Enloe | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Fike | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| First Flight | First Flight | First Flight | ||
| Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Fuquay-Varina | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill 3- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Garner | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Glenn | East Chapel Hill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Grays Creek | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Green Hope | Green Hope | Green Hope | ||
| Green Level | Green Level | Green Level 5- 1 vs 3- 4 | ||
| Greensboro Day | Greensboro Day | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Greensboro Day | |
| Grimsley | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Havelock | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Heritage | Heritage | Heritage | ||
| Hickory | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| High Point Central | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Hillsborough Orange | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Hoggard | Hoggard | Hoggard | ||
| Holly Springs | Holly Springs | Holly Springs 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Hough | Hough | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Hough | |
| Hunt | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Independence | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Jack Britt | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Jacksonville | East Chapel Hill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| JF Webb | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| JH Rose | East Chapel Hill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| John Paul II Catholi | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Jordan | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Lake Norman Charter | Lake Norman Charter | Lake Norman Charter | ||
| Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Laney | Laney | Laney | ||
| Leesville Road | Leesville Road | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Leesville Road | |
| Lincoln Charter | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Marvin Ridge | Marvin Ridge | Marvin Ridge | ||
| Middle Creek | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Middle Creek | |
| Millbrook | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 3- 2) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Mooresville | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Mount Tabor | East Chapel Hill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Mountain Island Char | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Myers Park | East Chapel Hill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| New Bern | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | East Chapel Hill | |
| New Hanover | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| North Brunswick | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| North Davidson | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| North Lincoln | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| North Raleigh Christ | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Northern Durham | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Northern Guilford | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Northside | East Chapel Hill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Northwest Guilford | Northwest Guilford | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Northwest Guilford | |
| Northwood | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Page | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill 3- 2 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Panther Creek | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Parkwood | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Patton Morganton | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Pine Forest | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Pine Lake Prep | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Pinecrest | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill 3- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Porter Ridge | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Providence | East Chapel Hill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Providence Day | Providence Day | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Providence Day | |
| Queens Grant | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | |
| Ragsdale | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Ravenscroft School | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Reagan | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Riverside Durham | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| RJ Reynolds | RJ Reynolds | RJ Reynolds | ||
| Rolesville | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Roxboro Community | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Sanderson | East Chapel Hill | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Seaforth | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| South Brunswick | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| South Garner | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| South Iredell | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| South Mecklenburg | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| South View | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Southeast Alamance | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Southeast Guilford | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Southern Alamance | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Southlake Christian | Southlake Christian | Southlake Christian | ||
| Southwest Guilford | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| St Davids School | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| St Stephens | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Sun Valley | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Swansboro | East Chapel Hill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| TC Roberson | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Terry Sanford | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Topsail | Topsail | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Topsail | |
| Union Pines | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill 4- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Vance Charter | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Voyager Academy | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Wake Forest | East Chapel Hill | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Wake Prep | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Wakefield | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Walter M Williams | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill 6- 1 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Watauga | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| Weddington | Weddington | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Weddington | |
| West Brunswick | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| West Carteret | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| West Forsyth | East Chapel Hill | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| West Stokes | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| Western Alamance | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Western Guilford | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Willow Spring | East Chapel Hill | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | East Chapel Hill |
PowerWise = 107
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.93
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Seaforth (18- 3, 88.0) 13- 6 -11.88 21.93 0.27 0.85 18.96
0 H RJ Reynolds (19- 3, 92.5) 3- 9 -7.36 26.45 -0.27 0.85 -6.52
0 H First Flight (14- 3, 90.4) 3-10 -9.50 24.31 -0.27 0.85 -8.34
0 H Green Hope (10-11, 91.9) 6-14 -7.96 25.85 -0.27 0.85 -7.03
0 H Wakefield ( 7-10, 82.1) 7- 1 -17.77 16.04 -0.27 0.85 13.46
0 A Northwood ( 8-13, 81.8) 5- 2 -18.13 15.68 0.27 0.85 13.62
0 A Grimsley ( 9-12, 82.8) 14- 2 -17.12 16.69 0.27 0.85 14.48
0 A Northern Guilf ( 9- 8, 88.8) 9- 7 -11.09 22.71 0.27 0.85 19.63
0 A Durham Academy (16- 2, 94.9) 6-16 -5.05 28.76 0.27 0.85 -4.08
0 H Chapel Hill (12- 8, 89.5) 9- 7 -10.38 23.43 -0.27 0.85 19.77
0 H Athens Drive (13- 8, 91.1) 9-15 -8.76 25.05 -0.27 0.85 -7.72
0 A Heritage (19- 2, 92.6) 6-20 -7.30 26.51 0.27 0.85 -6.00
0 A Panther Creek ( 2-18, 79.4) 14- 0 -20.55 13.26 0.27 0.85 11.56
0 A Jordan (12- 9, 87.3) 14-10 -12.59 21.22 0.27 0.85 18.35
0 H Carrboro ( 7- 9, 85.6) 8- 4 -14.27 19.54 -0.27 0.85 16.45
0 H Riverside Durh ( 9- 8, 80.1) 13- 1 -19.75 14.06 -0.27 0.85 11.77
0 A Chapel Hill (12- 8, 89.5) 10-11 -10.38 23.43 0.27 0.85 -8.63
0 H Northern Durha ( 2-13, 71.9) 13- 0 -27.95 5.86 -0.27 0.85 4.77
0 A Hillsborough O (21- 5, 88.0) 11-10 -11.89 21.92 0.27 0.85 18.95
0 H Clayton (13- 6, 86.9) 14- 7 -12.98 20.83 -0.27 0.85 17.56
0 A Heritage (19- 2, 92.6) 4-10 -7.30 26.51 0.27 0.85 -6.00
------
145.02
|
winning pts = 199.3336 losing points = -54.3174
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------